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Questions tagged [pr.probability]

Theory and applications of probability and stochastic processes: e.g. central limit theorems, large deviations, stochastic differential equations, models from statistical mechanics, queuing theory.

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29 votes
6 answers
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Combinatorial Morse functions and random permutations

This question has its origin in combinatorial topology. In the 90s R. Forman proposed a discrete counterpart of Morse theory. In his case, a Morse function on a triangulated space is a function ...
Liviu Nicolaescu's user avatar
29 votes
3 answers
3k views

Perron-Frobenius "inverse eigenvalue problem"

The Perron-Frobenius theorem says that the largest eigenvalue of a positive real matrix (all entries positive) is real. Moreover, that eigenvalue has a positive eigenvector, and it is the only ...
Gene S. Kopp's user avatar
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29 votes
5 answers
2k views

Random walk: police catching the thief

I posted this problem on stackexchange.com,but haven't get a satifactory answer. This is a problem about the meeting time of several independent random walks on the lattice $\mathbb{Z}^1$: Suppose ...
zemora's user avatar
  • 291
28 votes
2 answers
771 views

Probability of generation of ${\mathbb Z}^2$

What is the probability that three pairs $(a,b) $ , $(c,d) $ and $(e,f) $ of integers generate $\mathbb Z^2$? As usual the probability is the limit as $n\to \infty$ of the same probability for the $n\...
user avatar
28 votes
5 answers
2k views

Moments of area of random triangle inscribed in a circle

The $2m$th moment of the (random) area of the triangle whose vertices are three independent, uniformly distributed random points on the unit circle appears to be $((3m)!/(m!)^3)/16^m$. Can anyone ...
James Propp's user avatar
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28 votes
2 answers
2k views

"Are you taller than the average of those who are taller than the average?"

I've met tall people. That is: people taller than the average. Every now and then we encounter really tall people, even taller than the average of tall people i.e. taller than the average of those who ...
Qfwfq's user avatar
  • 23.3k
28 votes
6 answers
2k views

Random Alternating Permutations

An alternating permutation of {1, ..., n} is one were π(1) > π(2) < π(3) > π(4) < ... For example: (24153) is an alternating permutation of length 5. If $E_n$ is the number of alternating ...
john mangual's user avatar
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28 votes
2 answers
2k views

Age of Stochasticity?

One user on MSE made an interesting question, which was unanswered so I suggested him to post it here but he refused for personal reasons and said I could ask it here. The question is this: Today ...
Red Banana's user avatar
28 votes
3 answers
1k views

For a round-robin tournament, what is the favorite's least favorite size?

Suppose we have a round-robin tournament (i.e., each player plays exactly one game with each other player) with $n$ players, who are all equally skillful except for one player, the favorite, whose ...
Timothy Chow's user avatar
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28 votes
1 answer
6k views

1-Wasserstein distance between two multivariate normal

The $p$-Wasserstein between two measures $\nu_1$ and $\nu_2$ on $X$ is given by $$d_p(\nu_{1},\nu_{2})=\left(\underset{\pi\in\Gamma(\nu_{1},\nu_{2})}{\inf}\int_{\mathbf{\mathcal{X}}^{2}}d(x,y)^p\pi(dx,...
warsaga's user avatar
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27 votes
7 answers
9k views

Why are two "random" vectors in $\mathbb R^n$ approximately orthogonal for large $n$?

I saw that two random independent vectors are approximately orthogonal in high dimensional space. How can I prove this? And is there an intuitive explanation? Thank you.
YONGSEEN KIM's user avatar
27 votes
5 answers
3k views

Nice applications for Schwartz distributions

I am to teach a second year grad course in analysis with focus on Schwartz distributions. Among the core topics I intend to cover are: Some multilinear algebra including the Kernel Theorem and ...
Abdelmalek Abdesselam's user avatar
27 votes
7 answers
30k views

When do 3D random walks return to their origin?

The probability of a random walk returning to its origin is 1 in two dimensions (2D) but only 34% in three dimensions: This is Pólya's theorem. I have learned that in 2D the condition of returning to ...
Joseph O'Rourke's user avatar
27 votes
3 answers
4k views

Why is free probability a generalization of probability theory?

Note: This question was already asked on Math.SE nearly a week and a half ago but did not receive any responses. To the best of my knowledge, free probability is an active topic of research, so I hope ...
Chill2Macht's user avatar
  • 2,680
27 votes
5 answers
7k views

Probability of a Random Walk crossing a straight line

Let $(S_n)_{n=1}^{\infty}$ be a standard random walk with $S_n = \sum_{i=1}^n X_i$ and $\mathbb{P}(X_i = \pm 1) = \frac{1}{2}$. Let $\alpha \in \mathbb{R}$ be some constant. I would like to know the ...
TMM's user avatar
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27 votes
3 answers
13k views

What is known about the distribution of eigenvectors of random matrices?

Let $A$ be a real asymmetric $n \times n$ matrix with i.i.d. random, zero-mean elements. What results, if any, are there for the eigenvectors of $A$? In particular: How are individual eigenvectors ...
Andrew's user avatar
  • 433
27 votes
4 answers
3k views

Rate of convergence of $\frac{1}{\sqrt{n\ln n}}(\sum_{k=1}^n 1/\sqrt{X_k}-2n)$, $X_i$ i.i.d. uniform on $[0,1]$?

Let $(X_n)$ be a sequence of i.i.d. random variables uniformly distributed in $[0,1]$; and, for $n\geq 1$, set $$ S_n = \sum_{k=1}^n \frac{1}{\sqrt{X_k}}\,. $$ It follows from the generalized central ...
Clement C.'s user avatar
  • 1,372
27 votes
3 answers
2k views

Expected edit distance

The edit or Levenshtein distance between two strings is the minimum number of single symbol insertions, deletions and substitutions to transform one string into another. For example $$\operatorname{...
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27 votes
5 answers
3k views

How to show a function converges to 1

Consider the following recurrence relation in two variables: $$f(a, b) = \frac{a}{a+b} f(a-1,b)+ \frac{b}{a+b}f(a+1,b-1) $$ for positive integers $a$ and $b$, with the boundary conditions $f(0,b)=0$ ...
Simd's user avatar
  • 3,377
27 votes
2 answers
812 views

What is the right notion of self-dual (two-dimensional) percolation in R^4?

For a lattice in $\mathbb{R}^2$, if we include each edge independently with probability $p$ (i.e. bond percolation), it is well known that there is a critical probability $0 < p_c < 1$ depending ...
Matthew Kahle's user avatar
26 votes
5 answers
10k views

Is there a simple way to compute the number of ways to write a positive integer as the sum of three squares?

It's a standard theorem that the number of ways to write a positive integer N as the sum of two squares is given by four times the difference between its number of divisors which are congruent to 1 ...
Michael Lugo's user avatar
26 votes
3 answers
3k views

An $L^0$ Khintchine inequality

Suppose that $\epsilon_1,\epsilon_2,\ldots$ are IID random variables with the Bernoulli distribution $\mathbb{P}(\epsilon_n=\pm1)=1/2$, and $a_1,a_2,\ldots$ is a real sequence with $\sum_na_n^2=1$. ...
George Lowther's user avatar
26 votes
4 answers
2k views

$\binom{x}{2}+\binom{x}{4}+\cdots+\binom{x}{2u}$ is a convex function on $[0,+\infty)$?

Let $f(x)=\binom{x}{2}+\binom{x}{4}+\cdots+\binom{x}{2u}$, where $u\in\mathbb{Z}^+$ and $\binom{x}{l}=\frac{x(x-1)\dots(x-l+1)}{l!}$ for all $l\in\mathbb{Z}^+$. Then can we prove $f(x)$ is a convex ...
Anyu's user avatar
  • 271
26 votes
4 answers
11k views

Rate of convergence in the Law of Large Numbers

I'm working on a problem where I need information on the size of $E_n=|S_n-n\mu|$, where $S_n=X_1+\ldots+X_n$ is a sum of i.i.d. random variables and $\mu=\mathbb EX_1$. For this to make sense, the $(...
Anthony Quas's user avatar
  • 23.2k
26 votes
2 answers
2k views

Is there any sense in which Dirichlet density is "optimal?"

A philosopher asked me an interesting math question today! We know that there are sets S of integers which don't have a "natural" or "naive" density -- that is, the quantity (1/n)|S intersect [1..n]| ...
JSE's user avatar
  • 19.2k
26 votes
2 answers
2k views

Random points on the unit sphere

Suppose you have $n$ points picked uniformly at random on the surface of $\mathbb{S}^d,$ and let the volume of the convex hull of these points be $V_{n, d}.$ Clearly, $V_{n, d}$ converges to the ...
Igor Rivin's user avatar
  • 96.4k
26 votes
4 answers
2k views

A percolation problem

Let's consider the 2-dimensional integer lattice $\mathbb{Z}^2$ for simplicity. In "ordinary" bond percolation, there is a parameter $p \in [0,1]$, and each edge is on with probability $p$. Consider ...
Peter Hegarty's user avatar
26 votes
3 answers
2k views

A game of plates and olives

This question has its origin in Morse theory (see this paper) but it can be given an entirely elementary and amusing formulation. The game of plates and olives starts with an empty table and ...
Liviu Nicolaescu's user avatar
26 votes
4 answers
1k views

Are there lightweight foundations for arbitrarily extendable objects?

My experience with foundations is rather scant, but I've run into some types of objects that seem to resist the sort of set-theoretic encoding schemes via Kurowski tuples that are rather common for ...
S. Carnahan's user avatar
  • 45.7k
26 votes
3 answers
11k views

L1 distance between gaussian measures

L1 distance between gaussian measures: Definition Let $P_1$ and $P_0$ be two gaussian measures on $\mathbb{R}^p$ with respective "mean,Variance" $m_1,C_1$ and $m_0,C_0$ (I assume matrices have full ...
robin girard's user avatar
25 votes
6 answers
6k views

Proof of Krylov-Bogoliubov theorem

Where can I find a proof (in English) of the Krylov-Bogoliubov theorem, which states if $X$ is a compact metric space and $T\colon X \to X$ is continuous, then there is a $T$-invariant Borel ...
Quinn Culver's user avatar
25 votes
5 answers
2k views

Find the area of the region enclosed by $\frac{\sin x}{\sin y}=\frac{\sin x+\sin y}{\sin(x+y)}$ and the $x$-axis (comes from a probability question)

This question resisted attacks at MSE, so I am posting it here. Here is the graph of $\dfrac{\sin x}{\sin y}=\dfrac{\sin x+\sin y}{\sin(x+y)}$. Find the area of the region enclosed by the curve and ...
Dan's user avatar
  • 3,527
25 votes
2 answers
4k views

Understanding of rough path

A rough path is defined as an ordered pair $ (X, \mathbb X)$, where $X$ is a path mapping from $[0,T]$ to some Banach space $V$ and $\mathbb X:[0,T]^2 \mapsto V^2$ is another mapping for additional ...
kenneth's user avatar
  • 1,399
25 votes
6 answers
10k views

Metrization of weak convergence of signed measures

Edit: Changed from "Hausdorff" to "metric" spaces. Let $\mathcal{M}(\Omega)$ denote the space of signed regular Borel measures on a compact metric space $\Omega$. By Riesz-Markov, ...
Dirk's user avatar
  • 12.7k
25 votes
3 answers
2k views

Some models for random graphs that I am curious about

G(n,p) We are familiar with the standard notion of random graphs where you fixed the number n of vertices and choose every edge to belong to the graph with probability 1/2 (or p) independently. This ...
Gil Kalai's user avatar
  • 24.7k
25 votes
3 answers
2k views

Persistent homology of Gaussian fields in Euclidean space

If you generate points in $\mathbb R^n$ via a process that respects a Gaussian normal distribution, then compute the persistent homology / barcodes, to my eye something fairly regular seems to be ...
Ryan Budney's user avatar
  • 44.4k
25 votes
1 answer
4k views

What kind of random matrices have rapidly decaying singular values?

I've been told that in machine learning it's common to compute the singular value decomposition of matrices in order to throw out all information in the matrix except that corresponding to, say, the $...
Qiaochu Yuan's user avatar
25 votes
1 answer
2k views

Expected halting time for "The 2^n Game" (aka 2048) -- with random moves

Recently I encountered an online flash game that features an m-by-m grid and input from the directional pad (up, down, left, right). At any point in the game, the grid contains numbers ('blocks') from ...
user avatar
24 votes
14 answers
26k views

Book for probability [closed]

I am looking for a good book to study probability. My advisor suggested the "Probability" by Leo Breiman. I am reading it now, it seems rather a dense book, so I would like to ask you guys advice on ...
24 votes
6 answers
3k views

Shortest grid-graph paths with random diagonal shortcuts

Suppose you have a network of edges connecting each integer lattice point in the 2D square grid $[0,n]^2$ to each of its (at most) four neighbors, {N,S,E,W}. Within each of the $n^2$ unit cells of ...
Joseph O'Rourke's user avatar
24 votes
3 answers
4k views

What upper bounds are known for the diameter of the minimum spanning tree of $n$ uniformly random points in $[0,1]^2$?

Let $P$ be a pointset consisting of $n$ uniformly random elements of $[0,1]^2$. It is known that the diameter (greatest number of edges in any shortest path between two points) of the Delaunay ...
Louigi Addario-Berry's user avatar
24 votes
1 answer
2k views

A puzzle about finding three points $(x,y)$, $(x,z)$ and $(y,z)$ in a subset of a square.

I was asked (by myself) to give a proof of the following seemingly simple geometric statement, but after thinking a little I now suspect it could be less elementary than I thought (or am I being silly?...
Pietro Majer's user avatar
  • 60.5k
24 votes
1 answer
1k views

A Rademacher ‘root 7’ anti-concentration inequality

Let $r_1,r_2,r_3,\dotsc$ be an IID sequence of Rademacher random variables, so that $\mathbb P(r_n=\pm1)=1/2$, and $a_1,a_2,\dotsc$ be a real sequence with $\sum_na_n^2=1$. For $S=\sum_na_nr_n$, does ...
George Lowther's user avatar
24 votes
1 answer
615 views

Permutations, stopping times, Bessel functions, hook formula and Robinson-Schensted

For given counting number $n$, consider all permutations $\pi$ of {$1,\ldots,n$}, generate for every $\pi$ its Robinson-Schensted pair of standard tableaux $(P_\pi,Q_\pi)$ and average together all the ...
David Feldman's user avatar
24 votes
0 answers
1k views

conjectures regarding a new Renyi information quantity

In a recent paper http://arxiv.org/abs/1403.6102, we defined a quantity that we called the "Renyi conditional mutual information" and investigated several of its properties. We have some open ...
Mark M. Wilde's user avatar
24 votes
2 answers
1k views

Drawing natural numbers without replacement.

Suppose we start with an initial probability distribution on $\mathbb{N}$ that gives positive probability to each $n$. Let's call this random variable $X_1$ so we have $P(X_1=n)=p_{1,n}>0$ for all $...
HMPanzo's user avatar
  • 551
23 votes
2 answers
2k views

Parity of $\lfloor 1/(x y) \rfloor$ not equally distributed

A curious puzzle for which I would appreciate an explanation. For $x$ and $y$ both uniformly and independently distributed in $[0,1]$, the value of $\lfloor 1/(x y) \rfloor$ has a bias toward odd ...
Joseph O'Rourke's user avatar
23 votes
7 answers
5k views

What makes Gaussian distributions special?

I'm looking for as many different arguments or derivations as possible that support the informal claim that Gaussian/Normal distributions are "the most fundamental" among all distributions. ...
23 votes
11 answers
2k views

Random versions of deterministic problems

What are the examples of situations where "randomizing" a problem (or some part of it) and analyzing it using probabilistic techniques yields some insight into its deterministic version? An example ...
23 votes
3 answers
2k views

Zeroes of the random Fibonacci sequence

Let $X_n$ be the "random Fibonacci sequence," defined as follows: $X_0 = 0, X_1 = 1$; $X_n = \pm X_{n-1} \pm X_{n-2}$, where the signs are chosen by independent 50/50 coinflips. It is known ...
JSE's user avatar
  • 19.2k