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16 views

A question on Ibragimov's theorem on strong unimodality

I am not a mathematics student and unfortunately have some confusion about a (well-known) theorem about strong unimodality of distributions. First of all let me clarify some terminologies and then ask ...
Ervand's user avatar
  • 51
-1 votes
0 answers
25 views

Estimate the value of the PDF $P(f)$ at the minimal $f_0$ of the random-variable function $f(\mathbf{x})$

Let $f(\mathbf{x})=f(x_1,x_2,\dotsc,x_N)$ with $N>2$ be a real and continuous function and $f(\mathbf{x})\ge f_0$ for any $\mathbf{x}\in\mathbb{R}^N$. Now let $x_1,x_2,\dotsc,x_N$ be the i.i.d. ...
Guoqing's user avatar
  • 375
1 vote
1 answer
54 views

Proving bound on expectation of likelihood ratio involving mixtures

Let $p$ be a Lebesgue density function with infinite support (i.e. $p(x)>0 \forall x\in \mathbb{R}$ and $\int p(x) dx = 1$). Moreover, assume that $p$ is even (i.e. $p(x) = p(-x)$) and unimodal: $p(...
ILoveMath's user avatar
-3 votes
0 answers
136 views

Approximation on Dirichlet's arithmetic progression by means of central limit theorem

In this video lecture on Number theory over function fields taught by Will Sawin is presented a 'conceptional' reason for error estimation $\#\{p \in \Bbb P: p =a \ \text{mod} \ N, p <x \} =\frac{1}...
JackYo's user avatar
  • 619
0 votes
2 answers
126 views

Unique coupling

Let $X$ be a Polish metric space, and let $\mu,\nu$ be two Borel probability measures on $X$, when is the product measure the only coupling of $\mu$ and $\nu$. More formally, let $$\Gamma(\mu,\nu):=\{\...
Andrea Aveni's user avatar
1 vote
0 answers
91 views

How to optimize parametric information-theoretic bounds?

I am faced with an information-theoretic upper bound, such as \begin{align} \sqrt{\alpha'}2^{I_\alpha(X;Y)}, \end{align} where $I_\alpha(X;Y)$ is the Rényi mutual information with parameter $\alpha>...
Math_Y's user avatar
  • 287
0 votes
1 answer
51 views

Reconstruction of law of diffusion process from call option values

Let $X_{\cdot}$ be a $1$-dimensional diffusion process. If I know the value of the $$\big\{\mathbb{E}[\max\{X_t,c\}\big| X_0 =x\big]:\, c\in \mathbb{R} \text{ and } \,\, t\in (0,1] \big\}.$$ Then, ...
ABIM's user avatar
  • 5,405
1 vote
1 answer
51 views

How do the total variation distances of the marginals relate to the total variation distance of the joint under independence?

Suppose there are two sets of random variables $X_1,...,X_n$ and $Y_1,...,Y_n$ with all the variables being defined over the same sample space, but not necessarily being identically distributed. Is ...
David Pascall's user avatar
2 votes
0 answers
43 views

A distribution defined via an ODE for its Laplace trnsform

Fix a parameter $0 < c < \infty$. As the solution to a certain problem, there is a probability density function $f_c(t)$ on $0 < t < \infty$ with mean $1$ and whose Laplace transform $L(\...
David Aldous's user avatar
14 votes
1 answer
2k views

Expected survival time in Russian Roulette not monotone?

Let $a, n$ be positive integers with $a < n$. A revolver with $n$ chambers is loaded with $a$ bullets, where the distribution is uniform among all $\binom{n}{a}$ possible choices of $a$ objects ...
Nate River's user avatar
  • 6,165
4 votes
2 answers
389 views

Gaussian mixtures are dense in total variation?

Let $M_{TV}(\mathbb{R}^d)$ denote the set of probability measures on $\mathbb{R}^d$ with finite total variation norm which are absolutely continuous with respect to the Lebesgue measure. By a Gaussian ...
ABIM's user avatar
  • 5,405
1 vote
0 answers
67 views

A functional equation coming from a distribution function

Currently, I am working on a random series as follows. Let $\{Y_k\}$ be a sequence of i.i.d. Bernoulli random variables with expectation $p$. Then we define $$ S = \sum_{k=1}^\infty \prod_{\ell=1}^k 2^...
Greenhand's user avatar
9 votes
0 answers
240 views

Does there exist such a probability distribution?

Does there exist a probability distribution over the set $\{(x,y,z)\in[0,1]^3\colon x+y+z=3/2\}$ whose projection on each of the three coordinate axes is the uniform distribution over the interval $[0,...
Iosif Pinelis's user avatar
5 votes
2 answers
527 views

Which coupling of uniform random variables maximises the essential infimum of the sum?

Recall that a coupling of probability measures $\mu_i$ is a set of random variables $X_i$ defined on the same probability space $\Omega$ such that $X_i \sim \mu_i$. Question: Let $\mu_1, \dots, \mu_n$ ...
Nate River's user avatar
  • 6,165
0 votes
1 answer
88 views

Exchanging the integral and infimum on the space of couplings

Let $\mu,\nu$ be probability measures on $\mathbb{R}^d$ with finite $p$-th moment ($p\in [1,\infty)$) and define the set of couplings by $\mathcal{C}(\mu,\nu)$ i.e. the set of probability measures on ...
Kaira's user avatar
  • 305
2 votes
1 answer
156 views

Measurability of $X$ with respect to $Y$ in conditional probability distributions

Let $\pi$ be a probability measure on $\mathbb{R}^2$ with respective marginals $\mu$ and $\nu$ such that $(X,Y) \sim \pi$. Notation: $\pi_{X=x}$ be the conditional distribution of $Y$ given $X=x$, $\...
thibault jeannin's user avatar
2 votes
0 answers
114 views

Echoes of the chord

Just a fun problem I thought of. A man is playing a magical pipe organ - every chord is an integer number of decibals (dB) loud. The softest chord is $0$ dB. Every chord of $N > 0$ dB creates a ...
Nate River's user avatar
  • 6,165
2 votes
0 answers
104 views

Existence of Dirac measures in the context of joint and marginal distributions

Let $\pi$ be the joint law of $(X, Y)$ with marginal distributions $\mu$ and $\nu$. We assume that we have: for all $A \in \mathcal{B}(\mathbb{R})$ such that $\mu(A) > 0$ $$ \nu\left(\{y \in \...
thibault jeannin's user avatar
0 votes
1 answer
86 views

Analytical approaches to approximate probability density functions of multivariate random functions

Given a random multivariate function $f(x, y, z)$, where $x, y, z$ are independent and identically distributed random variables with a probability distribution $\rho(X)$, I aim to approximate the ...
Guoqing's user avatar
  • 375
1 vote
1 answer
197 views

Probability distribution on Python-dictionary-like objects?

I would like to examine information-theoretical properties of random variables that take as values objects which are akin to dictionaries in the Python programing language. That is, each sample of the ...
Lukas's user avatar
  • 11
0 votes
0 answers
32 views

A question on Poisson approximation of number of secure rooks on a d-dimensional chessboard

This question was given in our first year undergraduate Probability I course. In $d$ dimensions the lattice points $i = (i_1, i_2, \cdots, i_d)$ where $1\leq i_j\leq n$ may be identified with the “...
Souparna's user avatar
  • 149
0 votes
1 answer
99 views

Expressing a multivariate normal distribution as a mixture of uniform distributions?

Context: Given a scalar normal distribution $X\sim \mathrm{N}(\mu, \sigma^2)$, it is possible to express $X$ as a mixture of uniform distributions over intervals (compound probability distributions), ...
PiePiePie's user avatar
1 vote
1 answer
75 views

Probability of correctly guessing the maximum event probability of a multinomial distribution

I have a sample from multinomial distribution with $n$ trials, and $k=3$ options. I know that one of the event probabilities $p_i$ is larger than the two others (who are equal). I'm trying to guess ...
Ted's user avatar
  • 267
2 votes
0 answers
76 views

Inequalities concerning cummulative distributions of binomials

For random variable $Z$, let $F_Z$ denote its cdf, i.e., $F_Z(t)=\mathbb{P}(Z\leq t)$. Let $X$ be a binomial distribution with parameters $(n,p)$ and $Y$ a binomial distribution with parameters $(m,p)$...
Marcos Kiwi's user avatar
3 votes
1 answer
116 views

Interpretations of analytic continuations of CDFs to complex probabilities

Are there notable cases where analytic continuations of cumulative distribution functions to complex arguments have a meaningful interpretation or are otherwise useful? If a one dimensional CDF is ...
Dmytro Taranovsky's user avatar
0 votes
0 answers
159 views

How to express the expectation and variance of a truncated binomial distribution without summation?

Given a binomial distribution with parameters $ n $ and $ p $, where $ n $ is an odd integer greater than or equal to 3, I am interested in the truncated binomial distribution where we truncate at $ k ...
GodsDusk's user avatar
3 votes
1 answer
195 views

Probability of sum of i.i.d. random variables being positive

Let $g,l \in (0,1)$ and $p\in [0,1]$. Let $X(k,1-p)$ be a random variable with binomial distribution with parameters $k$ and $1-p$. Let $Y(k,p)$ be a random variable with binomial distribution with ...
EGT's user avatar
  • 63
0 votes
0 answers
24 views

Is there a log-concave distribution not spherical symmetric s.t $ \langle X, \theta \rangle$ is almost normal for all directions $\theta$?

Klartag's results indicate that for a log-concave isotropic random vector, with high probability over $\theta$, $\langle X, \theta \rangle$ is close to a normal distribution. It is known that for the ...
Yass1's user avatar
  • 11
3 votes
0 answers
81 views

Can we remove the restriction on a parameter in Talagrand concentration inequality?

Recently I am trying to use Talagrand concentration inequality to do something on graphs. I find a version from the book of Molloy and Reed ''Graph Colouring and Probabilistics Method''. I attached a ...
Xin Zhang's user avatar
  • 1,190
20 votes
1 answer
2k views

How rich is the richest person in a society satisfying the Pareto principle?

The Pareto Principle roughly states that in many societies, the top 20% of people hold over 80% of the wealth. Suppose we had a society that satisfied this principle in every stratum of society - how ...
Nate River's user avatar
  • 6,165
0 votes
1 answer
164 views

Which coupling minimises the following cyclic sum?

We recall that a coupling of probability distributions $\mu_1, \dots, \mu_n$ on $\mathbb R$ is a set of random variables $X_1, \dots, X_n$ defined on the same probability space such that $X_i$ is ...
Nate River's user avatar
  • 6,165
7 votes
2 answers
706 views

Poisson binomial conjecture

Let $X_i\in\{0,1\}$ be mutually independent and distributed according to $\mathrm{Bernoulli}(p_i)$ and similarly, $Y_i\sim\mathrm{Bernoulli}(q_i)$, for some parameters $p,q\in[0,1]^n$. Put $X:=\sum_{i=...
Aryeh Kontorovich's user avatar
0 votes
0 answers
93 views

Distance between binomial and normal distributions

I want to compare binomial distribution $Bin(n,p)$ with a constant $p$ when $n\rightarrow \infty$, to a normal distribution with $\mu=np,\sigma^2=np(1-p)$. How close are they with the discrete ...
Tomer Ezra's user avatar
1 vote
0 answers
69 views

Simulating binomial distribution

$\DeclareMathOperator\Bin{Bin}\DeclareMathOperator\Pr{Pr}$I have a series of distributions $D_k=\Bin(3k,\frac{1+k^{-1/3}}{3})$, and a distribution $D_{k,\ell} = k +\Bin(k,\ell)$ parametrized by $\ell\...
Tomer Ezra's user avatar
2 votes
1 answer
105 views

Inequality for Gaussian measures

Let $\mu$ denote a centered Gaussian measure on $\mathbb{R}^k$, $K=(-\infty, a] \times \mathbb{R}^{k-1}$ ($a\ge 0$) and $L=\mathbb{R}\times C$ where $C$ is a convex set in $\mathbb{R}^{k-1}$, ...
bdx77's user avatar
  • 197
0 votes
0 answers
31 views

What is the Fisher information matrix of the von Mises-Fisher distribution?

Assuming the von Mises-Fisher distribution as $$f_{p}(\mathbf{x}; \boldsymbol{\mu}, \kappa) = C_{p}(\kappa) \exp \left( {\kappa \boldsymbol{\mu}^\mathsf{T} \mathbf{x} } \right),$$ where $\kappa \ge 0$,...
Math_Y's user avatar
  • 287
9 votes
1 answer
155 views

How to sample exactly k indices given the inclusion probabilities of all indices?

Let $k<d$ two positive integers, and $\{p_i\}_{i=1}^d$ a series of probabilities, with $p_i \in (0,1)$ and $\sum_{i=1}^d p_i = k$. We wish to sample exactly $k$ distinct indices $\mathcal{I}\...
Daniel Soudry's user avatar
3 votes
0 answers
131 views

Matrix-Gaussian distributions

The point of this question is to ask for references on matrix-variate Gaussian distributions. But I will explain what I mean by a matrix-variate Gaussian with an example (the notion I have in mind is ...
user3826143's user avatar
3 votes
0 answers
352 views

Moments of normalized multivariate Gaussians (and Wick's/Isserlis theorems)

Suppose $x = \begin{bmatrix}x_1 \\ x_2\end{bmatrix}$ is distributed according to the real two-dimensional Gaussian with mean-$0$ and covariance matrix $\Sigma$. I am interested in a closed form for ...
user3826143's user avatar
0 votes
0 answers
149 views

Reference book for a probability course

In the next months I am planning to deliver a (more-or-less) advanced course in probability theory. My students will have had already a first encounter with discrete probability theory (discrete ...
Johnny Cage's user avatar
  • 1,561
2 votes
0 answers
70 views

Poisson process subordinated by a gamma process

I am working on a problem and I encountered the following situation: $(N(t): t \ge 0)$ is a Poisson process with parameter $\lambda t $. If $T_{n} = \sum_{i=1}^n W_i$ represents the $n^\text{th}$ ...
Rosy's user avatar
  • 21
23 votes
2 answers
1k views

How large can $\mathbf{P}[X_1 + X_2 + X_3 < 2 X_4]$ get?

Let $\mu$ be a probability measure on $[0,\infty)$ and $X_1, \dots, X_4 \sim \mu$ independent. Then what can be said about the probability that $X_1 + X_2 + X_3 < 2 X_4$? More precisely, what is ...
Tobias Fritz's user avatar
  • 6,406
1 vote
1 answer
81 views

Inference for the normal distribution with known variance from multiple clusters

Here's the question: We have: $q \sim N\left(q_p, \frac{1}{\tau}\right), q_i \sim N\left(q, \frac{1}{\zeta}\right), t_n \sim N\left(0, \frac{1}{\eta}\right)$. Let $$ r_n=\sum_{i=1}^{\theta k_{n}} \...
LunaSakura's user avatar
0 votes
0 answers
85 views

When is a family of distributions "closed" with respect to minimal sufficient statistics?

As in the title, I am interested in understanding how to express the idea that a parametric family of distribution is "closed" with respect to minimal sufficient statistics. Before giving ...
Francesco Bilotta's user avatar
0 votes
0 answers
29 views

Conditional Expectation of Normal Distribution $E(q+t_1|r)$

I have difficulty deriving the follow conditional expectation: there are N cluster of $q_{ni}+t_n$, each cluster has $k_n$ elements, $q_{ni}\sim N(q,\dfrac{1}{\zeta})$, $q\sim N(q_p,\dfrac{1}{\tau})$, ...
LunaSakura's user avatar
2 votes
1 answer
281 views

Hermite polynomial and Gaussian random variable

The following formula is well known: $E[H_k(X,E[X])H_q(Y,E[Y])]=\delta_{kq}E[XY]^k$ for a joint Gaussian r.v. $(X, Y),$ $H_k$ are Hermite polynomiale. Is there a generalization for this to a joint ...
mathex's user avatar
  • 573
1 vote
2 answers
108 views

Does stochastic boundedness imply stochastic domination by a constant multiple?

Let $X, Y$ be non negative random variables with finite expectation. We say that $Y$ stochastically bounds $X$ if there exists some $C > 0$ such that for all $x \in \mathbb R$, $$\mathbb P(X \geq x)...
Nate River's user avatar
  • 6,165
3 votes
1 answer
143 views

Does stochastic domination of $X$ and $Y$ imply stochastic domination of $X \cdot Y$?

Suppose the random variables $X \geq 0$ and $Y \geq 0$ are both stochastically dominated by $Z \geq 0$, i.e. \begin{align*} & P(X \leq x), P(Y \leq x) \geq P(Z \leq x) \ , \ \forall x \geq 0 \ . \...
Ben Deitmar's user avatar
  • 1,295
2 votes
0 answers
50 views

Weighted squared norm of multivariate truncated normal vector

Let $X \sim \mathcal{N}(0, \Sigma)$ be a multivariate normal vector with zero mean and inverse covariance matrix $$ \Sigma^{-1} = \begin{pmatrix} n & 1 & 1 & \cdots & 1 &...
Jesse van Rhijn's user avatar
2 votes
1 answer
87 views

How to prove: $\gamma^2=\frac{n-p}{(n-1)p}\tau^2\sim F_{p,n-p}$, where $\tau^2\sim T^2(p,n-1)$

In multivariate statistics it is used to do hypothesis tests for Hotelling's $T^2$ distribution, but no textbooks prove this. Is there any proof for it?
LunaSakura's user avatar

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