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Questions tagged [pr.probability]

Theory and applications of probability and stochastic processes: e.g. central limit theorems, large deviations, stochastic differential equations, models from statistical mechanics, queuing theory.

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Expectation of maxima of random functions

I have a question regarded the expected maxima of random functions, but it seems easier to phrase using n-tuples of random variables: Let $(X_{1}, X_{2}, ..., X_{n})$ and $(Y_{1}, ..., Y_{n})$ be ...
Snidd's user avatar
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What is the probability that the absolute value of the root of a polynomial is greater than $x$?

Note: This question was unanswered in MSE for a month so posting it in MO. Let $f(x) = 0$ be an equation of degree $n$. WLOG we can assume that the its coefficients are in $(-1,1)$. This is because we ...
Nilotpal Kanti Sinha's user avatar
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21 views

Unimodality of distribution from Lévy symbol

Also posted in MSE. Assume that one want to study a distribution $f$ on $\mathbb{R}$ for which the Lévy symboln, i.e.: $$ \forall u\in\mathbb{R},\quad\psi(u) := \log \mathbb{E}\left[e^{iuX}\right] $$ ...
NancyBoy's user avatar
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1 answer
81 views

Rate of convergence of random samples wrt Hausdorff distance

Let $X$ be a compact metric space with a probability measure $\mu$. We can draw random samples $X_n = \{x_1,\cdots, x_n\}$ from $X$ using $\mu$, and I am interested in the rate of convergence of $X_n$ ...
Kaira's user avatar
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1 answer
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Maximum of exponentially-tailed variables

Suppose that $X$ is a random variable on supported $\mathbb{R}$ and denote $f_X$ its density. Assume also that $f_X$ has "exponential tailed", i.e.: $$f_X(x)\sim_{x\to+\infty} Ze^{-ax}$$ ...
NancyBoy's user avatar
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45 views

Modifiying a sequence of measures to assign a certain value when integrating a fixed function?

Let $f:\mathbb R ^d\to \mathbb R$ be some continuous function, $|f|\leq A(1+|x|)$, where $|\cdot|$ denotes the usual Euclidean norm. Fix a measure $\mu$ and constant $C$. Assume that $\mu_n$ is a ...
J.R.'s user avatar
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2 answers
192 views

Behavior of a Wishart quadratic form

Let $X \in \mathbb{R}^{n \times d}$ be a random matrix with iid standard Gaussian entries. Let $e_1$ denote the first canonical basis vector in $\mathbb{R}^d$. Define $$ P_d(\lambda) = (1-\lambda) e_1 ...
Drew Brady's user avatar
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0 answers
48 views

Integral functional minimal value problems

\begin{align} & F_n(\theta)=\int_0^T f_{n}(t,\theta(t)) \, dt \\[6pt] & f_n(t,\xi)=\int_\Omega\mathcal{L}(X(t) + Z_n(t,\omega),Y(t),\xi (\omega)) + R_n(\xi(\omega)) Pd(\omega) \end{align} ...
xingye zhan's user avatar
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101 views

Simulation of Markov processes with exponential timestepping

Let $(Y_t)_{t\ge0}$ be a time-homogeneous Markov process with transition semigroup $(\kappa_t)_{t\ge0}$. Numerical simulation of $(Y_t)_{t\ge0}$ can be done in the following way: Choose an initial ...
0xbadf00d's user avatar
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Upper bounding a inner product between gaussian Wigner matrix and a rank 2 matrix

Let $W$ be a standard gaussian Wigner matrix, i.e., $W_{ij}=W_{ji}$, $W_{ii}$ is iid standard gaussian. Consider $$\langle W,QQ^T\rangle$$ where $\langle,\rangle$ is Frobenius inner product, $Q$ is a $...
tony's user avatar
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1 answer
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Is this set $\sigma$-compact in the Wasserstein space?

This is a follow-up to this question. Fix a finite first moment probability measure $q\in\mathcal{P}_1(\mathbb R ^d)$, and real numbers $K,M,R$. Consider the following set: $$A:=\left\{p\in\mathcal{P}...
J.R.'s user avatar
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1 answer
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Is the following set compact w.r.t. the Wasserstein distance?

Fix a finite first moment probability measure $q\in\mathcal{P}_1(\mathbb R ^d)$, and real numbers $K,M,R$. Consider the following set: $$A:=\left\{p\in\mathcal{P}_1(\mathbb R ^d): \int |x|dp\leq K, \...
J.R.'s user avatar
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1 answer
146 views

Orthogonal projection $X X^+$ from random Gaussian matrix $X$

Given a standard Gaussian matrix $X\in\mathbb{R}^{n\times d}$, $d<n$, with entries sampled i.i.d. from $\mathcal{N}(0,1)$, is the corresponding orthogonal projection $X X^+ = X (X^\top X)^{-1} X^\...
João F. Doriguello's user avatar
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1 answer
211 views

Local solutions of renormalized stochastic PDE

To illustrate the problem consider the mild formulation of the $\Phi^4_2$ model on $[0,T]\times \mathbb{T}^d$: $$\phi=P_r\phi_0+\int_0^rP_{r-q}(-\phi^3(q))dq+Y_r \ \ \ \ \ \ (1)$$ where $(P_r)_{r \...
mathex's user avatar
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1 vote
1 answer
114 views

Convergence in probability of sample covariance for permutation invariant triangular arrays

Take two triangular arrays $X_{N,i}$ and $Y_{N,i}$ of random variables where $1 \le i \le N$. Suppose that the families $\{X_{N,i}\}$ and $\{Y_{N,i}\}$ are independent, and that the following ...
Greg Zitelli's user avatar
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1 vote
0 answers
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Can any point process be thinned into a homogenous Poisson point process?

Let $X$ be a stationary and isotropic point process. Under what sufficient conditions can $X$ be thinned into an (approximation of an) homogenous Poisson point process $Y$ of positive intensity? What ...
PtH's user avatar
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Probability of being inside a convex n-dimensional polytop

I am currently conducting some post-grad research about wireless transmissions with uncertain transmission delays. As part of the research, each individual transmission is modelled using a probability ...
Florian Bauer's user avatar
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0 answers
59 views

Convergence of Liouville correlation functions

A key object in Liouville conformal field theory is the random Liouville measure $M$ defined heuristically as $M(d^2x) = :e^{2bX(x)}: d^2x$, where $X$ is a Gaussian free field and $:e^{2bX}:$ denotes ...
user avatar
2 votes
0 answers
137 views

Holder-Besov space and time continuity

Let $\mathbb{T}^d$ be the $d$-dimensional torus, $\mathscr{S}:=C^\infty(\mathbb{T}^d)$ the Schwartz space, $\mathscr{S}'$ the space of tempered distributions. We consider a dyadic partition of unity $(...
mathex's user avatar
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0 answers
167 views

How to choose N policemen positions to catch a drunk driver in the most effective way (on a Cayley graph of a finite group)?

Consider a Cayley graph of some big finite group. Consider random walk on such a graph - think of it as drunk driver. Fix some number $N$ which is much smaller than group size. Question 1: How to ...
Alexander Chervov's user avatar
2 votes
1 answer
177 views

Simple version of fourth moment theorem of Nualart and Peccati

I'm trying to understand this theorem, which gives several conditions for a sequence of random variables in the $n$-th Weiner chaos to converge to a normal law. I am finding even the statements of the ...
Greg Markowsky's user avatar
2 votes
0 answers
84 views

Mean and variance of Wasserstein 2-distance for sequence of normal distributions obtained from resampling

I am reading this article: The curse of recurssion. At page 8, I dont know how to calculate the mean and variance for the Wassertein distance (the relations 4 and 5), in this context the hypothesis. I ...
Andrei Mihalcea's user avatar
1 vote
1 answer
345 views

Random walk on $\mathbb{Z}^3$. Expected number of visits and probability of return

I am working with the simple symmetric random walk on $\mathbb{Z}^3$. Using the Fourier identity I have been able to prove: $$ P(S_n = 0) = \frac{1}{(2\pi)^3} \int_{-\pi}^{\pi} \int_{-\pi}^{\pi} \...
Gonzalo Chiva San Román's user avatar
1 vote
0 answers
36 views

Uniform distribution as argument for copula likelihood

I am reading a well-known paper about copulas by Chen and Fan (2006). Specifically, Proposition 4.2 (see attached), in which all the arguments are uniform $U_{t-1}, U_t$. However, when the copula is ...
Grigori's user avatar
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5 votes
2 answers
369 views

Markov process on a torus with prescribed invariant distribution

In Euclidean space, $\mathbb R^d$, the Langevin diffusion $${\rm d}X_t=b(X_t){\rm d}t+\sigma(X_t){\rm d}W_t\tag1,$$ where $\sigma:\mathbb R^d\to\mathbb R^{d\times k}$, $$b:=\frac{\Sigma+U}2\nabla\ln p+...
0xbadf00d's user avatar
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3 votes
0 answers
60 views

Comparison theorem for SDEs driven by a continuous martingale

Consider the well-known comparison theorem for SDEs, versions of which appear in several textbooks, e.g., Karatzas and Shreve, Proposition 5.2.18, or Revuz and Yor, Theorem IX.3.7. The result states ...
ColorfulLion's user avatar
2 votes
1 answer
106 views

Lower bounds for the expectation of log ratio between the posterior and prior Beta densities

The quantity I'm interested in is expressed as follows: $$ I = \mathbb{E}_{k\sim \text{Binom}(n,p)} \left[\ln \frac{\text{Beta}(p;a+k,b+n-k)}{\text{Beta}(p;a,b)}\right] $$ The term inside the ...
entropy07's user avatar
1 vote
0 answers
59 views

Gaussian Hypercontractivity of Chaos based on Gaussian with value in Hilbert spaces?

The classical Gaussian hypercontractivity is stated as following: Suppose $\xi$ is a Gaussian variable and $H_n(\xi)$ is the space of n-th homogeneous Wiener chaos constructed from $\xi$, then for any ...
Inuyasha's user avatar
  • 253
3 votes
1 answer
181 views

When does a local supermartingale become a proper supermartingale?

This is a cross-post of my question on MSE. Abstract: When a local supermartingale is bounded from below, is it a proper supermartingale? Question: In remark 4.2 (p.16) of the lecture notes by Martin ...
Hirofumi Shiba's user avatar
2 votes
1 answer
322 views

Penalty shootout

Two teams are having an intense penalty shootout. The game ends when either team leads by a certain threshold, or once a certain number of rounds has passed, whichever comes first. Currently team $X$ ...
Nate River's user avatar
  • 6,213
0 votes
1 answer
78 views

Uniform concentration bound (function-valued random variable / continuous stochastic process)

I'm trying to consider a probability space $\Omega$ and $f(x,\xi):\mathcal{X}\times\Omega\to\mathbb{R}$ (stochastic process over space? or function-valued random variable?), where $\mathcal{X}\subset\...
YJ Kim's user avatar
  • 321
1 vote
0 answers
82 views

Is there a proof of the de Moivre-Laplace central limit theorem along these lines?

Let $X_1, X_2, \dots$ denote independent identically distributed random variable with, say, distribution given by $P(X_i= \pm 1)=1/2$. As usual, set $$S_n=X_1+ \cdots +X_n.$$ It follows from Skorokhod'...
Keivan Karai's user avatar
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0 votes
1 answer
159 views

Dot product of a randomly orientated vector and a fixed vector

Let us consider a random variable $Z$ with a probability density function $f$ with respect to the Haar measure on $\mathrm{SO}(3)$. Next, we consider two fixed normal vectors $u,v$ in $\mathbb{R}^3$. ...
user avatar
4 votes
1 answer
123 views

Borel measures on the Martin boundary and the Poisson-Martin representation theorem

I have been studying the construction of the Martin boundary on a discrete set $X$ admitting an irreducible transient random walk $(X,P)$ from Wolfgang Woess' book titled "Random Walks on Infinte ...
Steve's user avatar
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1 vote
1 answer
144 views

Ornstein Uhlenbeck process with discontinuous drift

This question is a modified version of this unanswered question asked on MSE, which mainly concerns an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process with discontinuous drift on $\mathbb R^n$(for simplicity let $n=2$ for ...
painday's user avatar
  • 163
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1 answer
108 views

RMT for modified Wishard matrix $Y'Y$ (where $i$th row of $Y$ is zero if $|x_i^\top u| \le \theta$; else it equals $x_i$)

Let $n$ and $d$ be positive integers tending to infinity such that $d/n \to \phi \in (0,\infty)$. Let $X$ be an $n \times d$ random matrix with iid rows $x_1,\ldots,x_n$ from $N(0, \Sigma)$, where $\...
dohmatob's user avatar
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1 vote
1 answer
127 views

If $\pi$ is a coupling between $f_*\mu_X, g_*\mu_Y$ and $\pi = (f(x),g(y))_* \sigma$, then $\sigma$ is a coupling between $\mu_X,\mu_Y$

I am trying to read this paper: "The Gromov-Wasserstein distance between networks and stable network invariants" https://arxiv.org/abs/1808.04337. In this paper, they have the following ...
Kaira's user avatar
  • 305
0 votes
1 answer
81 views

Stochastic Geometric Progression [closed]

Let $\mu_1, \mu_2, \ldots, \mu_n, \ldots \in \mathbb{R}$, let $\sigma_1, \sigma_2, \ldots \in [0, \infty)$ be sequences of numbers. Let $z_1, z_2, \ldots, z_n, \ldots$ be independent random variables ...
Pierbene96's user avatar
0 votes
0 answers
51 views

Power expectation involving a Poisson process

Consider a Poisson process $N_t$ with intensity $\lambda>0$ and let $x$ be a real-valued number. In principle, from the properties of the Poisson distribution, we have: \begin{align} \mathbb{E}(x^{...
Daneel Olivaw's user avatar
1 vote
1 answer
114 views

Is a $\sigma$-algebra generated by complete independent $\sigma$-algebras also complete?

$ \newcommand{\cA}{\mathcal{A}} \newcommand{\cB}{\mathcal{B}} \newcommand{\sP}{\mathscr{P}} $ Let $(\Omega, \cA, \mu)$ be a probability space and $\cA_1, \cA_2$ sub $\sigma$-algebras of $\cA$. Let $\...
Akira's user avatar
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7 votes
0 answers
134 views

Why does this oddly nice lognormal shape come out of tree?

I was reading this paper and came across the Euclid tree. For a simple version of this tree, consider an infinite binary tree rooted with the triple $(1,2,3)$. Then for each vertex $(x,y,z)$, its left ...
hamburglar's user avatar
0 votes
0 answers
65 views

Talagrand/Bousquet's inequality for U-processes

I have a U-process of the form $$\left\lbrace Z_n(g) := \frac{1}{n^2} \sum_{1 \leq i,j \leq n} (g(S_i) - E[g(S_i)] )(g(S_j') - E[g(S_j')]) : g \in \mathcal{G} \right\rbrace,$$ where $S_1,\ldots,S_n,...
Aurelien's user avatar
  • 301
2 votes
1 answer
150 views

Can we find background noise for every Følner sequence in a countable amenable group?

Let $G$ be a countable amenable group. We consider sequences $(z_g)_{g\in G}$ of complex numbers with $|z_g|=1$ for all $g\in G$. I will say $(z_g)_{g\in G}$ is background noise for a (left-)Følner ...
Saúl RM's user avatar
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0 votes
0 answers
153 views

Inequalities on the distribution of the maximum of the normalized sum $\max_{k = 1,\dots,n} \frac{|S_k|}{\sqrt{k}}$

Let $\{X_i\}_{i\in\mathbb{N}}$ be i.i.d. random variables with $\mathbb{E}(X) = 0$,$\mathbb{E}(X^2) = \sigma^2$ and finite moments. Let $S_k = \sum_{i = 1}^{k} X_i$ and consider the normalized ...
MathRevenge's user avatar
4 votes
2 answers
246 views

Rigorous interpretation of the generalized variance

Let $X=(X_1,\ldots,X_d)$ be a $d\text{-}$dimensional, square-integrable random vector, and let $\Sigma$ denote its covariance matrix. The quantity $\det(\Sigma)$ is known in statistics as the ...
DRJ's user avatar
  • 234
5 votes
1 answer
226 views

A polynomial identity involving Wick ordering of a complex power

The problem is related to the paper 1509.02093 by Oh and Thomann, where the authors considered the 2D Wick ordered NLS. Let $g=a+ib$ be a complex number. Then it is claimed (see (2.7) in the paper and ...
Student's user avatar
  • 333
0 votes
0 answers
89 views

Stein's Lemma for conditional expectation?

Let $X=(X_1,\ldots,X_d)$ be a standard normal random vector in $\mathbb R^d$, let $m:\mathbb R^d \to \mathbb R$ be a function, and let $E=E_m$ denote the expectation operator conditioned on $m(X) > ...
dohmatob's user avatar
  • 6,853
0 votes
0 answers
34 views

Sub-additiviy of the log-Sobolev constant without independence

If two random variables $X$ and $Y$ verify the log-Sobolev inequality, what can we say about the log-Sobolev constant of their sum $X+Y$? If they are independent, we know that $$ c_{LS}(X+Y) \leq c_{...
StrongDataProcessing's user avatar
0 votes
0 answers
87 views

Parameter derivative of the confluent hypergeometric function

Let $X$ follow a normal distribution with mean $\mu$ and variance $\sigma^2$. Mathematica gives $$ E[\log|1+X|]=\frac{1}{2}\biggl(-\gamma-\log 2+2\log\sigma-\frac{\partial}{\partial a}{}_1 F_1\biggl(0,...
user108's user avatar
  • 73
2 votes
0 answers
118 views

the projection distribution induced by integral points on the sphere

Let $A=\{\mathbf{v} \in \mathbb{Z}^{n}: \|\mathbf{v}\|^2= m \}$ and a fixed $\mathbf{y}\in \mathbb{R}^n$, the norm here refers to the Euclidean norm. Suppose $\mathbf{x}$ is a uniform distribution on ...
constantine's user avatar

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