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2 votes
1 answer
136 views

Does higher volatility of SDE imply lower probability of staying positive?

Given two SDEs $X^1$, $X^2$ : $$X^i_t=1+t+\int_0^t\sigma_i(s)dW_s,\quad \forall t\ge 0,$$ where $\sigma_i:\mathbb R_+\to [1/2,1]$ are non-decreasing s.t. $\sigma_1(t)\le \sigma_2(t)$ for all $t\ge 0$....
10 votes
3 answers
803 views

Discrete entropy of the integer part of a random variable

Let $X$ be a real valued random variable. Of course, the integer part $\lfloor X \rfloor$ of $X$ is a discrete random variable taking values in $\mathbb{Z}$. We can therefore define its discrete ...
1 vote
0 answers
664 views

The distribution of hitting time in 2D-lattice random walk [closed]

Assume a particle at $(0,0)$ with the same possibility of $1/4$ for moving up/down/left/right (i.e. random walk in 2D lattice). We define the stopping time 𝑇𝑐 as it hits $(a,b)$. How can we get the ...
2 votes
1 answer
377 views

Extension of subcopulas to copulas

This question is about the extension of subcopulas to copulas, shown in Sklar, A. (1996), "Random variables, distribution functions, and copulas: A personal look backward and forward." ...
1 vote
1 answer
157 views

Moments of rescaled Bernoulli random matrix

Suppose $X \in \{0,1\}^{n \times m}$ is a matrix generated according to the following generative process: $$Z_{ij} \sim \text{Bernoulli}(p) \implies X_{ij} = \frac{Z_{ij}}{\sum_{k=1}^m Z_{ik}}.$$ Is ...
10 votes
1 answer
701 views

Martingales converging in probability but not a.s

It is known that a random series $$ \sum_{n\geq 1} X_n $$ whose terms $X_n$ are independent converges a.s. if and only if it converges in probability. Is it true that a martingale $(Y_n)$ converges a....
1 vote
2 answers
111 views

Concentration bound for sum of indicators of maximum value of k combinations

Let $X_1, \dots, X_n$ be i.i.d. random variables distributed as $\mathrm{Exp}(\lambda)$ for some $\lambda > 0$ and let $t > 0$. For every combination $J$ of $k$ of these variables, we define $...
5 votes
1 answer
392 views

Uniqueness of the solution to some SDE

Consider the stochastic differential equation as follows: $$X_t=X_0+t+\int_0^t\frac{dW_s}{1+m(s)},\quad \forall t\ge 0,~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~(\ast)$$ where $X_0>0$ is square integrable and $m(t)=\mathbb P[...
1 vote
1 answer
193 views

Identity for special case of Markov chain

Consider $P(X,Y)$ discrete and $Z = f(Y)$ with $f$ deterministic. The function $f$ identifies a partition of the elements of the alphabet $\mathcal{Y}$ of $Y$. Each outcome $z \in \mathcal{Z}$ is a ...
0 votes
0 answers
84 views

Determining the tails of a convolution from its behavior on a compact set

Let $p$ be a smooth (say, $C^\infty$, but this is not crucial) density on the interval $I=[0,1]$ and $g_\sigma$ be the density of $N(0,\sigma^2)$. Define $f=p\ast g_\sigma$. To what extent does the ...
1 vote
1 answer
226 views

Orthogonal transformation of multivariate Bernoulli-Gaussian distribution

Actually, I have asked this question in https://math.stackexchange.com/questions/4330127/orthogonal-transformation-of-multivariate-bernoulli-gaussian-distribution, but I think mathoverflow might be ...
1 vote
2 answers
277 views

Distribution of interarrival times for a special class of stochastic point processes

I am interested in Poisson-binomial stationary point processes (here on the real line) defined as follows. Let $t_k=k/\lambda$, with $k\in\mathbb{Z}$ and $\lambda>0$, $F_s(x)$ be a symmetric, ...
4 votes
0 answers
118 views

What is the least compressible probability distribution? (under entropy constraint, for an expected squared error metric)

This is a cross-post from cstheory after a week with no answers/comments; I'm hoping someone here may have some thoughts. Consider a distribution $\mathcal D$ over the reals, a real parameter $H\in\...
2 votes
1 answer
138 views

Comparison between $\|X\|_2$ and $\|X\|_{2,1}$

For any real random variable $X$, define $$\|X\|_{2,1}=\int_0^\infty \sqrt{\Pr(|X|>t)}dt.$$ This quantity (it is not a norm) appears in various problems, e.g. the multiplier central limit theorem (...
4 votes
1 answer
538 views

L_infinity norm of two gaussian vector

$X = (x_1,...x_n) \in \mathbb{R}^n, X \sim \mathcal{N}(O, \Sigma_X)$ and $Y = (x_1,...x_n) \in \mathbb{R}^n, Y \sim \mathcal{N}(O, \Sigma_Y)$ are two independent gaussian vectors. If $\Sigma_Y - \...
1 vote
0 answers
146 views

Using maximum entropy principle for joint probability estimation

Let $X_1, \dots, X_n, Y$ be random variables, each taking values in $\{0,1\}$. Assume that we are interested in estimating, for each $v=(v_1,\dots,v_n)\in \{0,1\}^n$, the probability $$ p(v) = P[Y=1|...
1 vote
1 answer
169 views

Probability involving dependent random variables constructed from i.i.d. Gaussians

This is a problem I need to address for a certain computation in my research. Let $Y_1,\dots,Y_n$ be a sequence of i.i.d. standard normal variables; and let $I\subset[0,+\infty)$ be an interval. In my ...
0 votes
1 answer
133 views

How to demonstrate a correlation inequality? [closed]

If there are 3 vectors X, Y, Z of the same length, for any $x_i \in X,y_i \in Y,z_i \in Z$, we have $0<x_i<1,0<y_i<1,0<z_i<1$. The correlation between Z, Y is greater than between X, ...
3 votes
2 answers
593 views

A lower bound for the expectation of $\min\{X,n-X\}$ when $X$ follows a $\mathrm{Binomial}(n,p)$ distribution

Let $X$ be a random variable following a $\mathrm{Binomial}(n,p)$ distribution, and let $$Y=\min\{X,n-X\}.$$ Ispired by the problem posed by C. Clement on https://math.stackexchange.com/questions/...
3 votes
2 answers
297 views

Does my construction always result in a stationary Poisson point process of intensity $1$? How so?

My construction is as follows: Let $X_k$ be a real-valued continuous random variable centered at $k$ (an integer), having distribution $F_k(x,s)$ where $k$ is the location parameter and $s$, a ...
6 votes
3 answers
368 views

Curvature function as a random variable with uniform distribution

Let $(S,g)$ be a Riemannian surface. Then the curvature function $\kappa: S\to \mathbb{R}$ can be counted as a random variable. So it produces a probability density function $f_g:\mathbb{R}\to \...
6 votes
1 answer
261 views

Convergence speed of the tail of distribution using Tauberian remainder theorem

This question may be related to this one. Now I try to make some statistical estimator using Laplace transform, but I face the following serious problem. Let $f$ be some one-sided probability ...
2 votes
1 answer
89 views

Probability measure of trapezoidal area [closed]

Let $Pr_{(X,Y)}$ be a probability distribution of a random vector $(X,Y)$. Let $F$ be the cumulative distribution function of $(X,Y)$. Define $$ \mathcal{A}\equiv \{(x,y): x\leq 2 \text{ and }x-y\leq ...
2 votes
1 answer
87 views

Is there some similar spine decomposition for Galton-Watson tree in supercritical case whose offsprings have positive probability to have no child?

I am interested in the supercritical GW tree whose offsprings have positive probability to have no child conditioned on the event that the tree is not dead.
2 votes
0 answers
192 views

Convergence of Gibbs distribution to Dirac measure [closed]

Consider the probability density function on $R^d$ for a continuous function $F: R^d \to R$: $$ q_{\varepsilon}(x) = \frac{1}{Z} \exp\left(-\frac{1}{\varepsilon} F(x)\right). $$ Denote $x^* = \arg \...
7 votes
1 answer
347 views

Expectation for game choosing uniformly number in $[0,1]$ until it decreases

We are playing a game where we keep on choosing a number from the uniform distribution U(0,1). The game goes on until we have the current number less than the previously picked number, i.e. the game ...
1 vote
0 answers
100 views

Exponential decay of a random matrix falling into a ball

Let $A=U\Sigma V^T\in\mathbb{R}^{n\times n}$ be a random matrix defined in the following way: $U,V$ are uniformly distributed on the orthogonal group $O(n)$, $\Sigma$ is a diagonal matrix such that ...
5 votes
2 answers
311 views

A comparison of diffusions

Consider two diffusions given by $$X_j(t)=\int_0^t a_j(s,X_j(s))\,dW_s$$ for $j=1,2$ and $t\ge 0$, where $W_\cdot$ is a standard Wiener process/Brownian motion and the $a_j$'s are smooth enough ...
1 vote
1 answer
252 views

Condition on the probabilities for the $J\times J$ matrix $[ \Pr(X=j \mid Y=k) ]$ to be invertible

$\DeclareMathOperator\Pr{P}\newcommand\cPr[2]{\Pr(#1 \mid #2)}$I have a $J \times J$ matrix: $$ M:= \begin{bmatrix} \cPr{X=1}{Y=1} & \cPr{X=2}{Y = 1} & \cdots & \cPr{X=J}{Y = 1} \\ \cPr{X=...
1 vote
1 answer
158 views

Generating iid random vectors such that the distribution of their dot product is $\mathit{Uniform}[a, b]$

Take two independent and identically distributed random vectors $X_i$, $X_j$. I want to find a multivariate distribution for these vectors such that the dot product $X_i^\top X_j \sim U[a, b]$. This ...
1 vote
1 answer
423 views

Generalized random harmonic series

Let $Z_n=\sum_{k=1}^n a_k X_k$ with $(a_k)$ a strictly decreasing sequence of positive real numbers that tend to zero. The random variables $X_k$ are independent and satisfy $P(X_k=1) =p_k, P(X_k=-1)=...
3 votes
1 answer
527 views

Wasserstein-type concentration inequalities for empirical measures on polish spaces

Let $(\mathcal{X},d)$ be a Polish (metric) space and let $\{X_n\}_{n=1}^{\infty}$ be a sequence of i.i.d. $\mathcal{X}$-valued random elements defined on a common complete (standard) probability space ...
1 vote
1 answer
278 views

Construct a random vector as a function of another random vector

ASSUMPTION 1: there exists a continuous random vector $(X,Y,Z)$ such that $$ \begin{cases} p_1=\Pr(X\geq 0, Z\geq 0)\\ p_2=\Pr(Y\geq 0, Z< 0)\\ p_3=\Pr(X< 0, Y<0)\\ \end{cases} $$ where $(p_1,...
2 votes
1 answer
268 views

General form for likelihood of Cox process, from Diggle–Moraga–Rowlingson–Taylor

On page 4 of "Spatial and spatio-temporal log-Gaussian Cox processes: Extending the geostatistical paradigm" by Diggle–Moraga–Rowlingson–Taylor (2013), accessible at arXiv, they claim the ...
9 votes
5 answers
922 views

Are these two definitions of "uniformly distributed" equivalent?

For an article I am writing, I would like to know that two somewhat different looking conditions are in fact equivalent. Here is the setting. $X$ is a compact (and first countable) metric space and $\...
5 votes
0 answers
797 views

How many balls should we throw into $m$ bins so that at least $k$ bins get at least $r$ balls, with probability $1-\delta$?

Let $m,k,r\in\mathbb N$ and $\delta\in(0,1)$, such that $k\le m$. Suppose that we throw balls uniformly and independently into $m$ bins. I am looking for an upper bound $N_{m,k,r,\delta}$ on the ...
4 votes
2 answers
218 views

Do these distributions have a name already?

In playing with some math finance stuff I ran into the following distribution and I was curious if someone had a name for it or has studied it or worked with it already. To start, let $\Delta^n$ be ...
1 vote
1 answer
101 views

Estimating the average of two gaussians' mean with minimal squared error

This is a follow-up to my previous question. Assume that $X\sim \mathcal N(\mu_1,\sigma_1^2)$ and $Y\sim \mathcal N(\mu_2,\sigma_2^2)$. I want to estimate $\frac{\mu_1+\mu_2}{2}$ after observing $X,Y$....
2 votes
1 answer
872 views

Estimating the average of two gaussians' mean

Assume that $X\sim \mathcal N(\sigma_1,\mu_1)$ and $Y\sim \mathcal N(\sigma_2,\mu_2)$. I want to estimate $\frac{\mu_1+\mu_2}{2}$ after observing $X,Y$. In my setting, $\sigma_1,\sigma_2$ are known ...
0 votes
1 answer
46 views

PDF of the summation of L lognormal RVs

Given the following summation $$\gamma = \sum_{l=1}^{L} y_{l},$$ where the PDF of $Y$ follows the lognormal distribution and is given by $$f_{Y}(y)=\frac{10}{y\ln(10)\sqrt{2\pi}\sigma}\exp\left(-\frac{...
0 votes
0 answers
100 views

Lognormal PDF in terms of the Meijer-G function

Is it possible to write this lognormal PDF in terms of the Meijer-G function? $$f_{Y}(y)=\frac{10}{y\ln(10)\sqrt{2\pi}\sigma}\exp\left(-\frac{(-10\log_{10}(y) - \mu)^2}{2 \sigma^2}\right)$$
1 vote
1 answer
159 views

A problem related to bivariate normal stochastic order

Let $\boldsymbol{X} = (X_1,X_2)^{\rm T}\sim \mathcal{N}_2(\boldsymbol{\mu}, \mathrm{\Sigma})$, where \begin{eqnarray*} \boldsymbol{\mu} = (\mu_1, \mu_2)^{\rm T}& = &(\sqrt{\xi_1\xi_2/(\xi_1+\...
1 vote
1 answer
202 views

A problem related to stochastic ordering

Let $\boldsymbol{X} = (X_1,X_2)^{\rm T}\sim \mathcal{N}_2(\boldsymbol{\mu}, \mathrm{\Sigma})$, where \begin{eqnarray*} \boldsymbol{\mu} = (\mu_1, \mu_2)^{\rm T}& = &(\sqrt{\xi_1\xi_2/(\xi_1+\...
1 vote
1 answer
84 views

Jeffreys' priors as coefficients of a linear estimator

I asked the following question in a forum more suitable for statistics, but I didn't get any answer; I hope, someone could shed light on my question: I have three random variables, $X_1$, $X_2$, and $...
2 votes
1 answer
287 views

Uniform distribution on a manifold

To generate a uniform distribution on a sphere $S^n$ in $\mathbb R^{n+1}$, we can normalize a vector whose entries are $n+1$ i.i.d normal random variables. If $\rho$ is a correlation, $|\rho|<1$, ...
5 votes
0 answers
239 views

Expected value of $X^{\top}(XAX^{\top})^{-1}X$ for large random $X$

Let $X\in \mathbb{R}^{m\times n}$ be a random matrix where the entries are i.i.d. standard normal, and let $A\in \mathbb{R}^{n\times n}$ be a deterministic diagonal matrix with positive entries on the ...
1 vote
1 answer
123 views

Stochastic ordering of absolute multivariate normal random variables

Let $X\sim\mathcal{N}(\boldsymbol{\mu}_1,\mathrm{\Sigma}_1)$ and $Y\sim\mathcal{N}(\boldsymbol{\mu}_2,\mathrm{\Sigma}_2)$. Then it is know that $\mathbb{P}(X>\boldsymbol{t})\leq\mathbb{P}(Y>\...
8 votes
4 answers
1k views

What is the probability distribution of the $k$th largest coordinate chosen over a simplex?

Suppose we're selecting points uniformly at random from the $N$-simplex $S_N = \{x \in \mathbb R^{N+1}: $ all $ x_i \ge 0$ and $x_1 + \ldots x_N = 1\}$. One way to do this in practice is choose $N-...
1 vote
1 answer
141 views

Does the compactness of parameter of distribution function imply the compactness of the distribution (or probability measure) in Wasserstein space?

For a family of probability measures sharing the same form of distribution function $F(x; p)$ with different parameters (i.e., $p$'s), if the parameter falls in a compact subset of real line, can we ...
3 votes
1 answer
203 views

Underdispersed Poisson-like discrete probability distribution

I'm trying to model some discrete data that's under-dispersed enough that the Poisson distribution doesn't seem to fit. (That is, the variance is significantly less than the mean.) If the data were ...

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