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Questions tagged [pr.probability]

Theory and applications of probability and stochastic processes: e.g. central limit theorems, large deviations, stochastic differential equations, models from statistical mechanics, queuing theory.

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The degrees in a random subgraph

Fix some positive integers $N$ and $d_k$, $k=1,2,\dots$ with $N=\sum_{k=1}^\infty d_k$. Suppose you have a graph $G$ taken randomly uniformly among the set of all (unoriented) graphs with $N$ ...
8 votes
3 answers
431 views

Characterising semi-definite positiveness on vectors with non-negative entries

My problem is to characterise (or find useful information on) the cone $C$ of $N\times N$ matrices $M$ ($N\geq 1$) such that $$V^t M V\geq 0$$ for every vector $V $ with non-negative entries. Is this ...
kaleidoscop's user avatar
  • 1,352
15 votes
2 answers
10k views

Convergence of moments implies convergence to normal distribution

I have a sequence $\{X_n\}$ of random variables supported on the real line, as well as a normally distributed random variable $X$ (whose mean and variance are known but irrelevant). I know that the ...
Greg Martin's user avatar
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8 votes
2 answers
1k views

Does infinite-dimensional Brownian motion live in hyperplanes?

I'll begin this question with the finite-dimensional case, as a warmup. Let me say a continuous path $\omega : [0,1] \to \mathbb{R}^d$ is hyperplanar if there exists a nonzero $x \in \mathbb{R}^d$ ...
Nate Eldredge's user avatar
0 votes
0 answers
352 views

prewhitening (whitening transform) in terms of expected-value-wr-sigma-algebra

I'm trying to understand the mathematics of prewhitening a little better. (See http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Whitening_transformation, e.g.) Taking the conditional expectation of an RV with respect to ...
user25286's user avatar
2 votes
1 answer
272 views

Derivative of the CDF of a family of random variables

Suppose I have a r.v. $Z = X + \alpha Y$ and that $F_Z$ is the probability distribution function of $Z$. If we think of the probability $p = F_Z(q) = \mathbb{P}(X+\alpha Y < q)$ as a function $p = ...
safetyduck's user avatar
0 votes
0 answers
161 views

T. Lyons Criterion

Hello all, I want to prove that any flow on the following tree must have an infinite energy. The structure of the graph is (taken from R.Lyons and Y.Peres book) "We’ll construct a tree $T$ embedded ...
StarDust's user avatar
2 votes
0 answers
124 views

Does a certain Theorem on Boltzmann Distributions exist?

Suppose $X_n(z)$ is a sequence of random variables with a boltzmann distribution on $\{1,2,\dots n\}.$ That is $$P(X_n(z)=j)=\frac{c_{j,n} z^j}{F_n(z)}$$ where $F_n(z)=\sum_{j=1}^n c_{j,n}z^j$ is a ...
Daniel Parry's user avatar
  • 1,306
17 votes
3 answers
736 views

Probability that a word in the free group becomes (much) shorter?

Let $w$ be a word of length $2\ell$ chosen at random on the alphabet $\{x_1,x_1^{-1},x_2,x_2^{-1},\dotsc,x_k,x_k^{-1}\}$. By the reduction $\rho(w)$ I mean what you obtain by deleting substrings of ...
H A Helfgott's user avatar
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2 votes
1 answer
267 views

Expected number of identical vertex pairs with the same Euclidean distance on a randomly colored rectangular lattice

Imagine I have an $N$ by $M$ rectangular lattice where I randomly assign one of $k$ colors to every vertex in the lattice. I then write down a list of the ${N*M}\choose{2}$ possible unordered pairs ...
Polyrhythm's user avatar
32 votes
4 answers
4k views

Is a random subset of the real numbers non-measurable? Is the set of measurable sets measurable?

One might say, "a random subset of $\mathbb{R}$ is not Lebesgue measurable" without really thinking about it. But if we unpack the standard definitions of all those terms (and work in ZFC), it's not ...
Gene S. Kopp's user avatar
  • 2,210
2 votes
1 answer
447 views

MCMC with progressive demollification of delta distributions

Edit: I simplified the example to a canonical case for clarity. Given an integral $\int_{\Omega}{g(\mathbf{x})}$ with a well-posed integrand $g(\mathbf{x})$ defined on some multidimensional space $\...
5 votes
3 answers
883 views

Simple random walk on the 3-1 tree is recurrent

Hello guys, There is an infinite tree structure named "the 3-1 tree", denoted by $T_{3-1}$. The tree is constructed as follows: The origin vertex (which can be referred to as the zeroth level) has ...
Daniel D's user avatar
1 vote
1 answer
390 views

Probability that p and q are both prime provided q-p=2r

Hello, I would like to know whether there is a way, thanks to the prime number theorem, to give some kind of an equivalent of the probability that two positive integers $p$ and $q$ less than a given ...
Sylvain JULIEN's user avatar
2 votes
0 answers
90 views

Limiting distribution of the cardinal of a Markovian set

Let $S_1=\lbrace u_1 \rbrace$ where $u_1$ is a random uniform drawing on $[0,1]$. To build $S_{n+1}$ draw $u_{n+1}$ uniformly on $[0,1]$ (independently from previous draws) and draw $v_{n+1}$ ...
Fred jouneau sion's user avatar
18 votes
1 answer
1k views

How fast can extreme eigenvalues of the average of random matrices converge to their expectation?

Suppose that $X_1,X_2,\ldots,X_m$ are independent $d\times d$ random matrices and let $\overline{X} := \frac{1}{m}\sum_{i=1}^m X_i$. One of the questions studied under the theory of random matrices is ...
sbahmani's user avatar
  • 181
4 votes
0 answers
114 views

Bounds on the size of a set of strings over an arbitrary alphabet within a fixed Hamming distance of one-another

I pick a set of random strings $S$ of length $L$ over an $P$-letter alphabet. These strings are 'random' in the sense that every character is chosen with uniform random probability over the ...
Bob's user avatar
  • 41
3 votes
1 answer
253 views

Bounds for duplicate finding with limited independence

(This is a follow up to this previous question on math.stackexchange.com.) Assume a process that samples uniformly at random from the range $[1,\ldots,n]$. I am interested in the time to find a ...
Raphael's user avatar
  • 33
1 vote
1 answer
1k views

Null hypothesis test for independent but not identically distributed samples

I'm trying to figure out the best statistical test to use for an edge case I've run into: trying to figure out the likelihood of the null hypothesis for a set of samples that each (potentially) come ...
user25065's user avatar
  • 111
9 votes
1 answer
405 views

Applied Problems in Probability which can not be modelled on Polish spaces

Probabilist often work on Polish spaces. Does somebody know an ("non-exotic") example, for which it is not possible to work on a Polish space, but instead one has to work on a general measurable space?...
Andy Teich's user avatar
0 votes
1 answer
515 views

Lower Bound on $E[X Y]$

(Cross-post from math.stackexchange.com Q#166689) I would like to lower-bound $E[X Y]$ where $X, Y$ are two random variables such that: $X \in [x_0, 1], Y \in [y_0, 1]$ $E[X] = x, E[Y] = y$ $X \geq ...
David Harris's user avatar
  • 3,475
4 votes
3 answers
750 views

Random walk and the liouville property

Hello, How can one prove that the Lamplighter group on $G=\mathbb{Z}$ is Liouville. I have seen a stronger claim which states that the Lamplighter group over all recurrent graphs is Liouville. How can ...
Daniel D's user avatar
1 vote
0 answers
690 views

Continuity of sample paths of stochastic processes

Dear all, [Bauer, Probability Theory, Exercise 2 of Chapter 39] --> http://books.google.de/books?id=w76IHsPHybcC&pg=PA339#v=onepage&q&f=false gives the following characterisation for ...
lpdbw's user avatar
  • 19
17 votes
1 answer
787 views

Homotopy of random simplicial complexes

A random graph on $n$ vertices is defined by selectiung the edges according to some probability distribution, the simplest case being the one where the edge between any two vertices exists with ...
Pinying's user avatar
  • 249
14 votes
1 answer
2k views

surprisingly difficult filtration problem

I am interested in a proof of the following statement which seems intuitive, but is somehow really tricky: Let $X$ be a stochastic process and let $(\mathcal{F}(t) : t \geq 0)$ be the filtration ...
Hauke L.'s user avatar
  • 473
4 votes
1 answer
174 views

Set of unitaries with "spread-like" properties

I'm interested in finding two sets of $N$ unitary $N \times N$ matrices $U_{1}, \ldots, U_{N}$, $V_{1}, \ldots, V_{N}$ such that: $ \sup\limits_{X, Y}\sum\limits_{j,k = 1}^{N} |\mathrm{Tr}(YU_{j}XV_{...
Michal Kotowski's user avatar
4 votes
1 answer
587 views

Combinatorial descriptions of the stationary distribution of a Markov chain

When I say "Markov chain" I think of a directed positively weighted (finite) graph, such that the sum of all edges going out of a vertex equals 1. Also I assume that it is aperiodic and irreducible. ...
Erik Aas's user avatar
  • 406
0 votes
2 answers
763 views

multivariate distributions unaffected by unitary transformations

Hi, In my research I reached some very nice results for IID complex Gaussian vectors $\bf{x}$. Now I realize that my results hold for any random vectors that are unaffected by a unitary map, i.e., $\...
Tommaso's user avatar
16 votes
6 answers
2k views

Optimal pebble-packing shape

Suppose you throw many ($n$) congruent convex bodies (in $\mathbb{R}^3$) of unit volume (or of unit area in $\mathbb{R}^2$) into a large container, and shake it until little else changes. Q. ...
Joseph O'Rourke's user avatar
52 votes
5 answers
2k views

Tetris-like falling sticky disks

Suppose unit-radius disks fall vertically from $y=+\infty$, one by one, and create a random jumble of disks above the $x$-axis. When a falling disk hits another, it stops and sticks there. Otherwise, ...
Joseph O'Rourke's user avatar
6 votes
2 answers
568 views

Number of neigbour Voronoi cells for a random set of points on S^k or cube [-1, 1]^k?

Consider $S^k \subset R^{k+1} $. Sample $N$ points by say uniform distribution. (Example k=120, N=2^24, i.e. N>>k ). Consider Voronoi cell around each point. How many neighbours would a cell have ...
Alexander Chervov's user avatar
16 votes
4 answers
597 views

The lattice spanned by $m$ random 0-1 vectors of length $n$

Consider $m$ random 0-1 vectors of length $n$. Let $L$ be the lattice spanned by them. What is the value of $m$ (as a function of $n$) for which it is true with positive probability that $L=Z^n$? More ...
Gil Kalai's user avatar
  • 24.7k
2 votes
2 answers
598 views

On Random Vectors and Eigenvectors of Symmetric Matrices

I have a question that might be answered with a pointer to some references or with some discussion. I did some searching, to no avail, but I realized that I might not have the vocabulary to form a ...
Kirk S.'s user avatar
  • 325
12 votes
3 answers
2k views

Compactness of the set of densities of equivalent martingale measures

Consider an incomplete market $(\Omega,\mathcal F,\mathbb P)$ driven by a semimartingale $S=(S_t)_{t\in[0,T]}$. Under the no free lunch under vanishing risk (NFLVR) assumption, the set $\mathcal P^\...
Aldanor's user avatar
  • 243
3 votes
1 answer
602 views

Where does directed random walk hit the boundary of a region?

I have a problem that I more or less know the answer to (in an ad hoc way), but would really like to see it done in a systematic way. In spite of this, I will pose the question in quite a concrete way....
Anthony Quas's user avatar
  • 23.2k
11 votes
1 answer
413 views

First Table of Random Numbers

What was the first table of random numbers of any sort? The best I can do is Tippett and Pearson's Random Sampling Numbers of 1927. Can anybody identify an earlier table? Thanks for any insight....
Scott Guthery's user avatar
17 votes
2 answers
953 views

Convexity of spectral radius of Markov operators, Random walks on non-amenable groups

Let $P_1,P_2$ denote stochastic transition matrices on a countable set $I$. Consider $P_1,P_2$ as operators on $\ell^2(I)$ given by multiplication. Question Under which conditions can we show that ...
Mika's user avatar
  • 171
5 votes
1 answer
476 views

Elementary Markov Chain Question

Are any general conditions known on a finite transition nxn matrix that ensure that there exists at least one mth root which is also a transition matrix? It is easy to construct a 3x3 , diagonally ...
Ian Calvert's user avatar
17 votes
2 answers
1k views

The Bruss-Yor conjecture about an iterated integral

Is the sequence $$w_n=n! \int_0^{1/2} \int_{x_1}^{2/3} \cdots\int_{x_{n-2}}^{\frac{n-1}{n}} \int_{\frac{n}{n+1}}^1 dx_n dx_{n-1} \cdots dx_1$$ increasing for $n\ge 3$? This is a conjecture of F. ...
Jochen Wengenroth's user avatar
2 votes
2 answers
571 views

Family of Brownian Motions

I am trying to show the following statement Let $D\subset \mathbb{R}^2$ be an open and bounded subset. $\Pi=(P^x : x \in D )$ a Family of standard Brownian Motions started at $x \in D$. Then $\Pi$ ...
Boldwing's user avatar
  • 279
32 votes
4 answers
7k views

Bayesian statistics for pure mathematicians

Could someone please recommend reading on Bayesian statistics presented from a pure mathematical point of view? That is, works that start assuming a good knowledge of measure theoretic probability. ...
2 votes
0 answers
399 views

Convexity and probability

Problem instance: A closed convex body $B\subset {\Bbb R}^n$ of volume 1; a point $p\in B$; and a real number $v\in(0,1)$. Objective: Find the probability $P(B,v,p)$ that $p\in B'$, for $B'$ a ...
David Feldman's user avatar
5 votes
0 answers
154 views

Positive estimator

Suppose that one knows how to generate (independent) random samples $X_1, X_2, \ldots$ distributed as the random varable $X$ with $\mathbb{E}[X]=\mu \in \mathbb{R}$. It is then easy to construct an ...
Alekk's user avatar
  • 2,133
0 votes
1 answer
1k views

Probability of an edge appearing in a spanning tree

Hi guys, let's say I have a connected, undirected graph with many nodes. I am interested in finding the probability that an edge appears in any spanning tree of the graph. I could apply some of the ...
user24603's user avatar
6 votes
0 answers
301 views

Generating stationary, ergodic random fields on a homogeneous space

Consider a homogeneous space $M$, which for the sake of concreteness, let's take to be $M = \mathbb R^d$. Fix some space $A$, and consider the space of functions $X = C(M,A)$, along with its Borel $\...
Tom LaGatta's user avatar
  • 8,512
2 votes
1 answer
320 views

Error bounds for truncating a probability distribution based on the entropy?

Heuristic Background Consider a set of states labeled $n=1,2,...$ in order of non-increasing probability $p(n)$. The standard Shannon argument gives meaning to the entropy $S$ of $p$ in terms of the ...
Physics Monkey's user avatar
0 votes
5 answers
1k views

Generate points of a (n-2)-sphere on a n-hyperplane [duplicate]

Possible Duplicate: Efficiently sampling points uniformly from the surface of an n-sphere I'm trying to generate random points of a (n-2)-sphere on a n-hyperplane so basically the intersection of ...
David's user avatar
  • 11
3 votes
1 answer
266 views

Probability that a randomly filled Go board has a set of white stones connected through their von Neumann neighborhoods

I have an $N$ by $M$ grid (a Go board for example), where for every square in the grid, I place a white stone with probability $p$ and a black stone with probability $(1-p)$. We call two white stones ...
Roger S.'s user avatar
21 votes
3 answers
1k views

Probability that random weights on $K_n$ satisfy triangle inequality

Given $K_n$, if a random real weight between $[0, 1]$ is chosen for every edge, what is the probability that the graph satisfies the triangle inequality? How about the discrete version, where the ...
aelguindy's user avatar
  • 343
3 votes
2 answers
430 views

Itô's Formula on a bounded Domain

Let $U$ be a connected and bounded Domain, w.l.o.g. we choose $[0,1]^2$ and let $f \in \mathcal{C}^2((0,1)^2)$ with $\Delta f(x)=0$ for $x \in (0,1)^2$ and having normal derivative of $0$ almost ...

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