Questions tagged [stochastic-processes]
A stochastic process is a collection of random variables usually indexed by a totally ordered set.
2,460 questions
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Question/References on the Skorokhod M1 topology
Let $D(0,T)$ be the space of right continuous functions with left limits defined on $[0,T]$. Consider the Skorokhod M1 topology on $D(0,T)$, see e.g. S. Ledger, Skorokhod’s M1 topology for ...
19
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2
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Higher or lower?
Consider the following game - I draw a number from $[0, 1]$ uniformly, and show it to you. I tell you I am going to draw another $1000$ numbers in sequence, independently and uniformly. Your task is ...
1
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1
answer
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Oscillation of Riemann-Liouville process after hitting time
Let $W$ be a one-dimensional Brownian motion and let $X_t = \int_0^t (t-s)^{H - 1/2} \mathrm{d} W_t$, $H \in (0, \frac{1}{2})$ be a Riemann-Liouville process. We set
$$ \sigma(a) := \inf \{t > 0 : ...
2
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2
answers
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Can the solution to a controlled SDE with additive noise have non full support?
Let $W$ be a standard $d$-dimensional Brownian motion. Consider the following SDE
$$dX_t = b(X_t, u_t) \, dt + dW_t$$
with initial condition $X_0 = 0$ a.s., $b: \mathbb R^d \times \mathbb R^n \to \...
5
votes
1
answer
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Is this process strictly positive?
Let $W_t$ is standard Brownian motion under probability measure $P$.
Consider 1-D stochastic differential equation
$$ dY_t = dt + \sigma(Y_t) dW_t, \ Y_0 = y\ge 0.$$
We assume $\sigma(0) = 0$, and $\...
4
votes
1
answer
107
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Identify an SDE on the sphere from its generator
I have a diffusion on the 2-sphere with expression:
$$
(L\phi)(u):=\frac{1}{2{N(u)}}\Big(f(u)\Delta_{\mathbb S^2}\phi+
2g\left( \nabla_{\mathbb S^2}\phi, \nabla_{\mathbb S^2}f\right)\Big)
$$
...
6
votes
1
answer
659
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On the martingale betting scheme
For a fixed probability $0 < p < 1$, let $X^p$ be the martingale that goes up by $1$ with probability $p$, and goes down by $\frac{p}{q}$ with probability $q := 1-p$.
Write $X$ for the ...
1
vote
0
answers
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Renewal Process with inter-arrival times having quadratic tails
Consider a sequence $(X_n)_{n \ge 1}$ of i.i.d. Pareto($2$) random variables, which means
$$
\mathbb{P}( X_1 > x) =
\begin{cases}
1/x \qquad &\text{for } x \ge 1
\\
1 \qquad & \text{else}....
6
votes
1
answer
133
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Coupling/Ordering of Brownian bridges
Suppose I have two 1D Brownian bridges $(B^{(1)}_t,t\in [0,1]),(B^{(2)}_t,t\in [0,1])$, one from $0$ to $0$ and one from $x$ to $y$ where $x,y \geq 0$. Is there a neat way to show that there exists a ...
1
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1
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For fixed $f \in L^2$ and $T>0$, choose $g$ so that $ \mathbb{E}^x[g(T-\tau)\chi_{X_\tau=1}]=-\mathbb{E}^x[f(X_T)\chi_{\tau \ge T}]$
Let $f \in L^2(0,1)$ and $T>0$ be fixed. How can I choose $g \in L^2(0,T)$ such that
\begin{align*}
0\equiv \mathbb{E}^x\left[f\left(X_T\right) \chi_{\tau \geqslant T}+g(T-\tau) \chi_{X_\tau=1}\...
4
votes
1
answer
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Impulse signal detection
Notation: Here $\mathcal Y_t$ denotes the natural filtration of the process $Y_t$, and $\{\cdot\}$ denotes the fractional part of a real number.
This question concerns detecting the presence (or ...
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2
answers
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A race to the bottom
Nate has a biased coin that comes up heads $\frac{1}{2} + \delta$ proportion of the time, where $0 < \delta \leq \frac{1}{2}$. He is competing against a large number $N$ people who each have fair ...
3
votes
1
answer
289
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Smoothness of expectation
Suppose that $X_t$ is a strong solution to the SDE,
$$dX_t = C_t \,dB_t$$ where $B_t$ is a standard Brownian motion and $C_t \ge 0$ is measurable with respect to the natural filtration generated by ...
3
votes
1
answer
181
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A nice terminal inequality for martingales
Let $X_t$ be a continuous time martingale taking with $\sup_t \mathbb E[X_t^-] < \infty$, and $X_0 = 0$ almost surely. Assume further that $X_1$ admits a probability density function.
Is it true ...
1
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1
answer
60
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Reverse Doob’s maximal inequality for bounded martingales
Consider the set of discrete or continuous time $L^\infty$-bounded martingales $X$ with $X_0 = 0$ almost surely. Here $L^\infty$-bounded means $\|X\|_{\infty} := \sup_t \mathbb \|X_t\|_{L^\infty(\...
0
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0
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76
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When we should integrate on both side over a SDE?
Maybe I am quite stupid, I am quite confused about, when we should use ito formula to solve SDE and when it is appropriate to integrate directly to get the solution?
Specifically, let us consider the ...
0
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1
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Sharpening Doob’s upcrossing inequality for Brownian motion
Note: This question is heavily related to a series of posts ([1], [2]) by user GJC20.
Provided a martingale $X$ in continuous-time, Doob's upcrosssing inequality states:
If $U(a,b)$ denotes the number ...
5
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0
answers
348
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Sharpness of Doob's upcrossing inequality
Provided a martingale $X$, discrete-time $X=(X_n, n\in\mathbb N)$ or continuous-time $X=(X_t, t\ge 0)$, Doob's upcrosssing inequality states that :
If $U_N(a,b)$ denotes the number of up-crossings of $...
0
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2
answers
60
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Do continuous martingales satisfy this nice terminal inequality?
Let $X$ be a continuous, non negative martingale on $[0, 1]$ with $X_0 = x_0$ a.s. for some $x_0 \in \mathbb R$. Assume further that $X_1$ admits a probability density function. Is it true that the ...
1
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1
answer
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Let $(X, W)$ be a weak solution to a SDE. Is $W$ a Brownian motion w.r.t. $\sigma(X_s : s \le t)$?
Let $(X, W)$, $(\Omega, \mathcal{F}, \mathbb{P})$, $\{\mathcal{F}_t\}$ be a weak solution to an SDE.
Per definition $W$ is an $\mathcal{F}_t$-Brownian motion and both $X$, $W$ are adapted to $\mathcal{...
5
votes
1
answer
798
views
Meaningful interpretation for fixed point of a probability generating function
Suppose $f$ is the probability generating function for the Galton-Watson branching process.
What intuition makes the fact that $f(s) = s$ is the probability of extinction obvious? Moreover, can one ...
4
votes
1
answer
150
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Convex order between Gamma distributions and Exponential distributions
Let $ (b_1, \dots, b_n) $ be a tuple of positive integers. Define independent random variables $ Y_i \sim \text{Gamma}(b_i, b_i) $ (shape and rate parameter both equal to $ b_i $) for $( i = 1, \dots, ...
2
votes
0
answers
71
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Assumptions Wald's second equation?
Let $(X_n)_{n\in \mathbb{N}}$ be an i.i.d. sequence of random variables and $N$ an $\mathbb{N}_0$ valued random variable. Let $X_1 \in \mathcal{L}^2$ and $N \in \mathcal{L}^1$. Let $S_n := \sum_{i=1}^...
4
votes
0
answers
122
views
Finiteness of the moments of the Malliavin derivative of the stochastic heat equation
I am studying section 2.4.2 from Nualart's book "The Malliavin calculus and related topics" on the stochastic heat equation. I have some questions on the validity of some estimates for the ...
1
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1
answer
335
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Finding a connection between two types of convergence
Please, help me find connections between two types of convergence:
Let $\{X_n\}_{n\ge1}: (\Omega,F,P) \rightarrow (\mathbb{R},Bor)$ be a sequence of r.v., there are two convergences:
1) $X_n \...
3
votes
1
answer
218
views
Pathwise linearization of diffusion processes
Let $W$ be a standard $n$-dimensional Brownian motion, and $X$ the diffusion process given by the solution to the SDE
$$dX_t = \mu(X_t) \, dt + \sigma(X_t) \, dW_t,$$
with $\mu: \mathbb R^n \to \...
5
votes
0
answers
112
views
Discrete random walk in an expanding cage (i.e. in a growing domain)
In the book "A guide to First-Passage Processes" by Sidney Redner, a section is dedicated to the survival probability of a random walker in a growing domain.
For a fixed-length interval $[0,...
2
votes
1
answer
246
views
Can we construct close martingales if their terminal marginal laws are close?
Let $M=(M_t)_{0\le t\le 1}$ be a real-valued continuous martingale. Let $\mu := {\rm Law}(M_1)$ and $\varepsilon \in (0,1)$. For any $\nu$ satisfying $W_2(\mu,\nu)\le \varepsilon$, can we construct ...
4
votes
1
answer
110
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Scaling of stopped Hölder norm of Brownian motion
I'm interested in the behaviour of the stopped $\alpha$-Hölder norm of a one-dimensional real-valued Brownian motion $(B_t)_{t \geq 0}$ for $\alpha < 1/2$.
For fixed $T>0$, self similarity ...
1
vote
1
answer
284
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Rate of convergence to uniform distribution
Let $p=(p(1),\ldots,p(N))$ be a discrete distribution on $[N]:=\{1,2,\ldots,N\}$ with full support (i.e all the $p(i)$'s are strictly positive and sum to $1$). Let $i_1,i_2,\ldots,i_T$ be an iid ...
2
votes
1
answer
59
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The ranked mass process associated with a Lambda-coalescent
I am reading a paper by Pitman (1999), and I am confused by his Corollary 7. First some notation so that I can explain my confusion:
$\mathcal{P}_\infty$ is the space of partitions of $\mathbb{N}$, $\...
14
votes
1
answer
2k
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Why do we mainly integrate with respect to martingales?
Although my resarch focuses on PDEs (optimal transport, these days), I am currently trying to learn stochastic calculus and integration. I am just beginning in this topics, but I was wondering: why do ...
2
votes
0
answers
82
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Existence of SDE solution under integrability of Lipschitz coefficients
I am reading the paper Lan and Wu, Stoch. Process. Appl., 2014, on sufficient conditions weaker than Lipschitzianity for the existence of strong solutions of time-inhomoegneous $d$-dimensional SDEs. ...
1
vote
1
answer
131
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Breiman's first exit times from a square root boundary generalization
The paper "First exit times from a square root boundary" by Breiman, generalizes an observation made by Blackwell and Freedman. In summary: given a zero-mean random walk $S_n$ with i.i.d. ...
3
votes
1
answer
269
views
Optimal rule for multiple stopping times for defect finding
Suppose a quality inspector is inspecting $b$ black amongst which $d_B$ are known to be defective and $w$ white gadgets amongst which $d_W$ are known to be defective. The gadgets come down along an ...
2
votes
1
answer
89
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Upper bound on the Levy-Prokhorov distance between the distributions of continuous Gaussian processes in terms of their covariances
Denote by $d$ the supremum metric on the space $C[0,T]$ of continuous real-valued functions on $[0,T]$:
$$
d(f,g) = \sup_{t \in [0,T]} |f(t)-g(t)|.
$$
Let $\rho$ be the Levy-Prokhorov metric on the ...
3
votes
0
answers
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What is an example of a non-tight probability measure?
Billingsley (Convergence of Probability Measures, 1968) and van der Vaart and Wellner (Weak Convergence and Empirical Processes, 2023) discuss the concept of tight probability measures and use the ...
4
votes
0
answers
113
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SPDE Renormalization
some SPDE (in higher dimensions) can only be interpreted in a "renormalised" sense. For example considering $\Phi_2^4$ on $\mathbb{R}_+\times \mathbb{T}^d$ the solution is defined as the ...
1
vote
1
answer
185
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Sum of $X_k$ with $\mathbb{P}(X_k=\pm 1) = 1/2\pm 1/(2\sqrt{k})$
Let $\{X_k\}$ be a sequence of mutually independent random variables with
\begin{align}
\mathbb{P}(X_k = 1) & = \frac{1}{2} + \frac{1}{2\sqrt{k}},
\\
\mathbb{P}(X_k = -1) & = \frac{1}{2} - \...
2
votes
1
answer
311
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Conditional expectation w.r.t. filtration of Brownian motion as a continuous map of its paths
Let $(\Omega, \mathcal{F}, \mathbb{P})$ be a probability space on which we define Brownian motion $B$ and let us denote by $\mathcal{F}_t$ its natural filtration. Assume we have Itô process $dX_t = \...
4
votes
0
answers
87
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Statistics of random Voronoi S-tessellations
Given a locally finite set of points $\{x_1,x_2,\dots\}\subset\mathbb{R}^d$, the Voronoi cell of a point $x_{i}$, denoted by $C(x_{i})$, consists of all the points in $\mathbb{R}^d$ that are closer to ...
2
votes
1
answer
297
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Asymptotic estimate of random walk involved hitting time and return time
Consider a reversible random walk on (say) $\mathbb{Z}$. Are there any estimates for the probability $\mathbb{P}(\tau_n=m<\tau_0^+)$ where $\tau_n$ is the first hitting time at site n and $\tau_0^+$...
4
votes
1
answer
196
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(Lattice approximation) Does UV stability lead to continuum limit of a subsequence?
In the context of lattice approximation, the term "UV stability" seems to be used frequently. To me, it seems like
Uniform boundedness of the partition function in the limit where lattice ...
3
votes
2
answers
403
views
Functional integral formulas for the wave equation and other hyperbolic PDEs
The Feynman–Kac formula provides a functional (Wiener) integral representation of the solution $u$ to the heat equation
\begin{align*}
\partial_t u &= \frac{1}{2}\Delta_x u,\\
u(0,x) &= ...
6
votes
2
answers
1k
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Brownian bridges as conditioning
Brownian bridges are interpreted as Brownian motions conditioned to start and end at given points. However, I have not seen a source that makes this precise, though this may be due to my own lack of ...
9
votes
3
answers
448
views
All stationary martingales are constant?
Suppose $(X_{n})_{n\geq{1}}$ is a stationary process that is a martingale with respect to some filtration. Suppose also that $\mathbb{E}X_{0}^{2}<\infty$ so that $\mathbb{E}X_{n}^{2}<\infty$ for ...
5
votes
2
answers
945
views
Itô's Formula for functions that are $C^2$ almost everywhere
In the conventional Itô's formula, it is required that $F$ is $C^2$ everywhere. However I've seen mentioning of a slightly weaker condition, where $F$ is $C^1$ everywhere but $C^2$ almost everywhere. ...
2
votes
0
answers
42
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Diffusions vs elliptic operators with dkp coefficients
I am wondering if there is any literature on the relationship between diffusions and elliptic equations. In particular I am interested in literature concerning operators with Dahlberg–Kenig–Pipher ...
1
vote
1
answer
161
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About boundary local time on reflecting brownian motion
Definition: A bounded measurable function $u$ on $\bar{D}$ is called a weak solution of the Neumann problem $N(D ; q, \varphi)$ if, for all $x \in \bar{D}$,
$$
M_{\varphi}^u(t)=u\left(X_t\right)-u\...
2
votes
0
answers
70
views
Poisson process subordinated by a gamma process
I am working on a problem and I encountered the following situation:
$(N(t): t \ge 0)$ is a Poisson process with parameter $\lambda t $. If $T_{n} = \sum_{i=1}^n W_i$ represents the $n^\text{th}$ ...