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Questions tagged [stochastic-processes]

A stochastic process is a collection of random variables usually indexed by a totally ordered set.

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5 votes
1 answer
774 views

Question/References on the Skorokhod M1 topology

Let $D(0,T)$ be the space of right continuous functions with left limits defined on $[0,T]$. Consider the Skorokhod M1 topology on $D(0,T)$, see e.g. S. Ledger, Skorokhod’s M1 topology for ...
19 votes
2 answers
2k views

Higher or lower?

Consider the following game - I draw a number from $[0, 1]$ uniformly, and show it to you. I tell you I am going to draw another $1000$ numbers in sequence, independently and uniformly. Your task is ...
1 vote
1 answer
199 views

Oscillation of Riemann-Liouville process after hitting time

Let $W$ be a one-dimensional Brownian motion and let $X_t = \int_0^t (t-s)^{H - 1/2} \mathrm{d} W_t$, $H \in (0, \frac{1}{2})$ be a Riemann-Liouville process. We set $$ \sigma(a) := \inf \{t > 0 : ...
2 votes
2 answers
88 views

Can the solution to a controlled SDE with additive noise have non full support?

Let $W$ be a standard $d$-dimensional Brownian motion. Consider the following SDE $$dX_t = b(X_t, u_t) \, dt + dW_t$$ with initial condition $X_0 = 0$ a.s., $b: \mathbb R^d \times \mathbb R^n \to \...
5 votes
1 answer
1k views

Is this process strictly positive?

Let $W_t$ is standard Brownian motion under probability measure $P$. Consider 1-D stochastic differential equation $$ dY_t = dt + \sigma(Y_t) dW_t, \ Y_0 = y\ge 0.$$ We assume $\sigma(0) = 0$, and $\...
4 votes
1 answer
107 views

Identify an SDE on the sphere from its generator

I have a diffusion on the 2-sphere with expression: $$ (L\phi)(u):=\frac{1}{2{N(u)}}\Big(f(u)\Delta_{\mathbb S^2}\phi+ 2g\left( \nabla_{\mathbb S^2}\phi, \nabla_{\mathbb S^2}f\right)\Big) $$ ...
6 votes
1 answer
659 views

On the martingale betting scheme

For a fixed probability $0 < p < 1$, let $X^p$ be the martingale that goes up by $1$ with probability $p$, and goes down by $\frac{p}{q}$ with probability $q := 1-p$. Write $X$ for the ...
1 vote
0 answers
40 views

Renewal Process with inter-arrival times having quadratic tails

Consider a sequence $(X_n)_{n \ge 1}$ of i.i.d. Pareto($2$) random variables, which means $$ \mathbb{P}( X_1 > x) = \begin{cases} 1/x \qquad &\text{for } x \ge 1 \\ 1 \qquad & \text{else}....
6 votes
1 answer
133 views

Coupling/Ordering of Brownian bridges

Suppose I have two 1D Brownian bridges $(B^{(1)}_t,t\in [0,1]),(B^{(2)}_t,t\in [0,1])$, one from $0$ to $0$ and one from $x$ to $y$ where $x,y \geq 0$. Is there a neat way to show that there exists a ...
1 vote
1 answer
179 views

For fixed $f \in L^2$ and $T>0$, choose $g$ so that $ \mathbb{E}^x[g(T-\tau)\chi_{X_\tau=1}]=-\mathbb{E}^x[f(X_T)\chi_{\tau \ge T}]$

Let $f \in L^2(0,1)$ and $T>0$ be fixed. How can I choose $g \in L^2(0,T)$ such that \begin{align*} 0\equiv \mathbb{E}^x\left[f\left(X_T\right) \chi_{\tau \geqslant T}+g(T-\tau) \chi_{X_\tau=1}\...
4 votes
1 answer
315 views

Impulse signal detection

Notation: Here $\mathcal Y_t$ denotes the natural filtration of the process $Y_t$, and $\{\cdot\}$ denotes the fractional part of a real number. This question concerns detecting the presence (or ...
5 votes
2 answers
557 views

A race to the bottom

Nate has a biased coin that comes up heads $\frac{1}{2} + \delta$ proportion of the time, where $0 < \delta \leq \frac{1}{2}$. He is competing against a large number $N$ people who each have fair ...
3 votes
1 answer
289 views

Smoothness of expectation

Suppose that $X_t$ is a strong solution to the SDE, $$dX_t = C_t \,dB_t$$ where $B_t$ is a standard Brownian motion and $C_t \ge 0$ is measurable with respect to the natural filtration generated by ...
3 votes
1 answer
181 views

A nice terminal inequality for martingales

Let $X_t$ be a continuous time martingale taking with $\sup_t \mathbb E[X_t^-] < \infty$, and $X_0 = 0$ almost surely. Assume further that $X_1$ admits a probability density function. Is it true ...
1 vote
1 answer
60 views

Reverse Doob’s maximal inequality for bounded martingales

Consider the set of discrete or continuous time $L^\infty$-bounded martingales $X$ with $X_0 = 0$ almost surely. Here $L^\infty$-bounded means $\|X\|_{\infty} := \sup_t \mathbb \|X_t\|_{L^\infty(\...
0 votes
0 answers
76 views

When we should integrate on both side over a SDE?

Maybe I am quite stupid, I am quite confused about, when we should use ito formula to solve SDE and when it is appropriate to integrate directly to get the solution? Specifically, let us consider the ...
0 votes
1 answer
64 views

Sharpening Doob’s upcrossing inequality for Brownian motion

Note: This question is heavily related to a series of posts ([1], [2]) by user GJC20. Provided a martingale $X$ in continuous-time, Doob's upcrosssing inequality states: If $U(a,b)$ denotes the number ...
5 votes
0 answers
348 views

Sharpness of Doob's upcrossing inequality

Provided a martingale $X$, discrete-time $X=(X_n, n\in\mathbb N)$ or continuous-time $X=(X_t, t\ge 0)$, Doob's upcrosssing inequality states that : If $U_N(a,b)$ denotes the number of up-crossings of $...
0 votes
2 answers
60 views

Do continuous martingales satisfy this nice terminal inequality?

Let $X$ be a continuous, non negative martingale on $[0, 1]$ with $X_0 = x_0$ a.s. for some $x_0 \in \mathbb R$. Assume further that $X_1$ admits a probability density function. Is it true that the ...
1 vote
1 answer
183 views

Let $(X, W)$ be a weak solution to a SDE. Is $W$ a Brownian motion w.r.t. $\sigma(X_s : s \le t)$?

Let $(X, W)$, $(\Omega, \mathcal{F}, \mathbb{P})$, $\{\mathcal{F}_t\}$ be a weak solution to an SDE. Per definition $W$ is an $\mathcal{F}_t$-Brownian motion and both $X$, $W$ are adapted to $\mathcal{...
5 votes
1 answer
798 views

Meaningful interpretation for fixed point of a probability generating function

Suppose $f$ is the probability generating function for the Galton-Watson branching process. What intuition makes the fact that $f(s) = s$ is the probability of extinction obvious? Moreover, can one ...
4 votes
1 answer
150 views

Convex order between Gamma distributions and Exponential distributions

Let $ (b_1, \dots, b_n) $ be a tuple of positive integers. Define independent random variables $ Y_i \sim \text{Gamma}(b_i, b_i) $ (shape and rate parameter both equal to $ b_i $) for $( i = 1, \dots, ...
2 votes
0 answers
71 views

Assumptions Wald's second equation?

Let $(X_n)_{n\in \mathbb{N}}$ be an i.i.d. sequence of random variables and $N$ an $\mathbb{N}_0$ valued random variable. Let $X_1 \in \mathcal{L}^2$ and $N \in \mathcal{L}^1$. Let $S_n := \sum_{i=1}^...
4 votes
0 answers
122 views

Finiteness of the moments of the Malliavin derivative of the stochastic heat equation

I am studying section 2.4.2 from Nualart's book "The Malliavin calculus and related topics" on the stochastic heat equation. I have some questions on the validity of some estimates for the ...
1 vote
1 answer
335 views

Finding a connection between two types of convergence

Please, help me find connections between two types of convergence: Let $\{X_n\}_{n\ge1}: (\Omega,F,P) \rightarrow (\mathbb{R},Bor)$ be a sequence of r.v., there are two convergences: 1) $X_n \...
3 votes
1 answer
218 views

Pathwise linearization of diffusion processes

Let $W$ be a standard $n$-dimensional Brownian motion, and $X$ the diffusion process given by the solution to the SDE $$dX_t = \mu(X_t) \, dt + \sigma(X_t) \, dW_t,$$ with $\mu: \mathbb R^n \to \...
5 votes
0 answers
112 views

Discrete random walk in an expanding cage (i.e. in a growing domain)

In the book "A guide to First-Passage Processes" by Sidney Redner, a section is dedicated to the survival probability of a random walker in a growing domain. For a fixed-length interval $[0,...
2 votes
1 answer
246 views

Can we construct close martingales if their terminal marginal laws are close?

Let $M=(M_t)_{0\le t\le 1}$ be a real-valued continuous martingale. Let $\mu := {\rm Law}(M_1)$ and $\varepsilon \in (0,1)$. For any $\nu$ satisfying $W_2(\mu,\nu)\le \varepsilon$, can we construct ...
4 votes
1 answer
110 views

Scaling of stopped Hölder norm of Brownian motion

I'm interested in the behaviour of the stopped $\alpha$-Hölder norm of a one-dimensional real-valued Brownian motion $(B_t)_{t \geq 0}$ for $\alpha < 1/2$. For fixed $T>0$, self similarity ...
1 vote
1 answer
284 views

Rate of convergence to uniform distribution

Let $p=(p(1),\ldots,p(N))$ be a discrete distribution on $[N]:=\{1,2,\ldots,N\}$ with full support (i.e all the $p(i)$'s are strictly positive and sum to $1$). Let $i_1,i_2,\ldots,i_T$ be an iid ...
2 votes
1 answer
59 views

The ranked mass process associated with a Lambda-coalescent

I am reading a paper by Pitman (1999), and I am confused by his Corollary 7. First some notation so that I can explain my confusion: $\mathcal{P}_\infty$ is the space of partitions of $\mathbb{N}$, $\...
14 votes
1 answer
2k views

Why do we mainly integrate with respect to martingales?

Although my resarch focuses on PDEs (optimal transport, these days), I am currently trying to learn stochastic calculus and integration. I am just beginning in this topics, but I was wondering: why do ...
2 votes
0 answers
82 views

Existence of SDE solution under integrability of Lipschitz coefficients

I am reading the paper Lan and Wu, Stoch. Process. Appl., 2014, on sufficient conditions weaker than Lipschitzianity for the existence of strong solutions of time-inhomoegneous $d$-dimensional SDEs. ...
1 vote
1 answer
131 views

Breiman's first exit times from a square root boundary generalization

The paper "First exit times from a square root boundary" by Breiman, generalizes an observation made by Blackwell and Freedman. In summary: given a zero-mean random walk $S_n$ with i.i.d. ...
3 votes
1 answer
269 views

Optimal rule for multiple stopping times for defect finding

Suppose a quality inspector is inspecting $b$ black amongst which $d_B$ are known to be defective and $w$ white gadgets amongst which $d_W$ are known to be defective. The gadgets come down along an ...
2 votes
1 answer
89 views

Upper bound on the Levy-Prokhorov distance between the distributions of continuous Gaussian processes in terms of their covariances

Denote by $d$ the supremum metric on the space $C[0,T]$ of continuous real-valued functions on $[0,T]$: $$ d(f,g) = \sup_{t \in [0,T]} |f(t)-g(t)|. $$ Let $\rho$ be the Levy-Prokhorov metric on the ...
3 votes
0 answers
145 views

What is an example of a non-tight probability measure?

Billingsley (Convergence of Probability Measures, 1968) and van der Vaart and Wellner (Weak Convergence and Empirical Processes, 2023) discuss the concept of tight probability measures and use the ...
4 votes
0 answers
113 views

SPDE Renormalization

some SPDE (in higher dimensions) can only be interpreted in a "renormalised" sense. For example considering $\Phi_2^4$ on $\mathbb{R}_+\times \mathbb{T}^d$ the solution is defined as the ...
1 vote
1 answer
185 views

Sum of $X_k$ with $\mathbb{P}(X_k=\pm 1) = 1/2\pm 1/(2\sqrt{k})$

Let $\{X_k\}$ be a sequence of mutually independent random variables with \begin{align} \mathbb{P}(X_k = 1) & = \frac{1}{2} + \frac{1}{2\sqrt{k}}, \\ \mathbb{P}(X_k = -1) & = \frac{1}{2} - \...
2 votes
1 answer
311 views

Conditional expectation w.r.t. filtration of Brownian motion as a continuous map of its paths

Let $(\Omega, \mathcal{F}, \mathbb{P})$ be a probability space on which we define Brownian motion $B$ and let us denote by $\mathcal{F}_t$ its natural filtration. Assume we have Itô process $dX_t = \...
4 votes
0 answers
87 views

Statistics of random Voronoi S-tessellations

Given a locally finite set of points $\{x_1,x_2,\dots\}\subset\mathbb{R}^d$, the Voronoi cell of a point $x_{i}$, denoted by $C(x_{i})$, consists of all the points in $\mathbb{R}^d$ that are closer to ...
2 votes
1 answer
297 views

Asymptotic estimate of random walk involved hitting time and return time

Consider a reversible random walk on (say) $\mathbb{Z}$. Are there any estimates for the probability $\mathbb{P}(\tau_n=m<\tau_0^+)$ where $\tau_n$ is the first hitting time at site n and $\tau_0^+$...
4 votes
1 answer
196 views

(Lattice approximation) Does UV stability lead to continuum limit of a subsequence?

In the context of lattice approximation, the term "UV stability" seems to be used frequently. To me, it seems like Uniform boundedness of the partition function in the limit where lattice ...
3 votes
2 answers
403 views

Functional integral formulas for the wave equation and other hyperbolic PDEs

The Feynman–Kac formula provides a functional (Wiener) integral representation of the solution $u$ to the heat equation \begin{align*} \partial_t u &= \frac{1}{2}\Delta_x u,\\ u(0,x) &= ...
6 votes
2 answers
1k views

Brownian bridges as conditioning

Brownian bridges are interpreted as Brownian motions conditioned to start and end at given points. However, I have not seen a source that makes this precise, though this may be due to my own lack of ...
9 votes
3 answers
448 views

All stationary martingales are constant?

Suppose $(X_{n})_{n\geq{1}}$ is a stationary process that is a martingale with respect to some filtration. Suppose also that $\mathbb{E}X_{0}^{2}<\infty$ so that $\mathbb{E}X_{n}^{2}<\infty$ for ...
5 votes
2 answers
945 views

Itô's Formula for functions that are $C^2$ almost everywhere

In the conventional Itô's formula, it is required that $F$ is $C^2$ everywhere. However I've seen mentioning of a slightly weaker condition, where $F$ is $C^1$ everywhere but $C^2$ almost everywhere. ...
2 votes
0 answers
42 views

Diffusions vs elliptic operators with dkp coefficients

I am wondering if there is any literature on the relationship between diffusions and elliptic equations. In particular I am interested in literature concerning operators with Dahlberg–Kenig–Pipher ...
1 vote
1 answer
161 views

About boundary local time on reflecting brownian motion

Definition: A bounded measurable function $u$ on $\bar{D}$ is called a weak solution of the Neumann problem $N(D ; q, \varphi)$ if, for all $x \in \bar{D}$, $$ M_{\varphi}^u(t)=u\left(X_t\right)-u\...
2 votes
0 answers
70 views

Poisson process subordinated by a gamma process

I am working on a problem and I encountered the following situation: $(N(t): t \ge 0)$ is a Poisson process with parameter $\lambda t $. If $T_{n} = \sum_{i=1}^n W_i$ represents the $n^\text{th}$ ...

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