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7 votes
0 answers
759 views

Product of two random Gaussian matrices - orthant probability

Let $X \in \mathbb{R}^{m \times n}$ and $Y \in \mathbb{R}^{n \times k} $ be two independent Gaussian random matrices, i.e., with entries independently sampled from $\mathcal{N}(0,1)$ (a normal ...
1 vote
0 answers
110 views

Approximating or calculating the mutual information of certain binary random vectors

In my studies of applied probability I have recently met the following problem on which I need help: We consider two binary random (column) vectors $ X,Y \in \{0,1\}^d $ where the mutual ...
4 votes
1 answer
141 views

Fuzzy layers in graphs and neural networks

I wonder if the following statistical description of the layer architecture of finite graphs has been considered before and where I can find some references (especially under which name). Consider a ...
3 votes
2 answers
1k views

Is there a notion of Convergence in PDF/PMF

I am learning about local limit theorems. The following example is probably why we don't have a "convergence in density/pmf." Ex: $X_1,X_2,\ldots$ is a sequence of independent RVs with mean $a$ and ...
1 vote
0 answers
58 views

A possible extension of the information bottleneck principle with added equality constraint on the conditional probability

This question is related to research on Tishby's information bottleneck principle as seen here, the problem at hand is inherently an optimization problem as seen directly on page 7 section 3.2, my ...
0 votes
1 answer
905 views

Parameter estimation distribution for hypergeometric distribution

Let the hypergeometric distribution is given by $h(k\mid N;M;n)$, where $k$ is the number of observed successes, $N$ is the population size, $M$ is the number of success states in the population and $...
1 vote
0 answers
77 views

Random variables with values in binary operations or in topologies of a certain set $X$

I wonder if the following situations have already been considered by mathematicians : Random variables with values in a set of binary operations endowed with a certain topology (or just with a $\...
4 votes
2 answers
314 views

Convexity of truncated expectation

Let $k, n$ be two positive integers with $k \leq n$, and let $P = \{ (x_1, \dots, x_n) \in [0, 1]^n : \sum_i x_i = k \}$. Given $x = (x_1, x_2, \dots, x_n) \in P$, let $X_i$ be the random variable ...
-1 votes
2 answers
512 views

Deriving the joint distribution of multivariate normal transformed into Bernoulli

Given a covariance matrix $\sum_{ij}$ and a mean vector $\mu$ I have sampled $N$ multivariate normal vectors $Z = (z_1,...z_n)$ My goal is to create a vector of Bernoulli random variables $Y = (y_1,......
4 votes
0 answers
95 views

Approximating martingales given marginal distributions

Let $(\mu_0,\mu_1)$ be a vector of probability measures on $\mathbb R$ that are of finite first moment, i.e. $$\int_{\mathbb{R}}|x|\mu_i(dx)~<~+\infty \mbox{ for } i=0,1$$ and increasing in ...
2 votes
0 answers
63 views

Sensitivity of a function against its random arguments

Let $g:R^{n+m} \to R$ be a deterministic function of some independent random variables $x_1,\ldots,x_n$ with distributions $f_{x_1}(x),\ldots,f_{x_n}(x)$ and some deterministic variables $z_1,\ldots,...
4 votes
1 answer
463 views

Variance and expectation of timed-change squared Bessel process

Let $X_t$ be a squared Bessel process satisfying the SDE: $$ dX_t=\left(1-\frac{\beta}{(1-\beta)(1-\rho^2)} \right) dt +2\sqrt{X_t}dW^{(1)}_t $$ and $v_t=v_0e^{-\alpha^2 t/2+\alpha W^{(2)}_t}$ be a ...
2 votes
1 answer
228 views

Clustering in Euclidean space

Let $P_1,\cdots,P_m$ be points in $\mathbb{R}^n$ such that the distance between any $P_i,P_j$ is less than 1. Let $p_{i,j}$ be a probability distribution on pairs of these points, that is for $1\leq ...
3 votes
1 answer
649 views

Bound on the total variation distance for multiple samples $d_{tv}(P^n,Q^n)$

Given two discrete distributions $P$ and $Q$, with computable total variation distance $d_{TV}(P,Q)=||P - Q||_1$, is there a precise bound for $d_{TV}(P^n,Q^n)=||P^n - Q^n||_1$, as need to estimate ...
2 votes
0 answers
417 views

What is the Blumenthal-Getoor index of Student's distributions?

For infinitely divisible random variables, Blumenthal and Getoor introduced in [1] an index that allow to study for instance the local Hölder regularity of Lévy processes. For a symmetric infinitely ...
2 votes
0 answers
80 views

Maximal and second max of chi-squared (normal squared) distribution

Suppose $X_i$ are i.i.d.~$\log \chi^2$ where $\chi\sim N(0,1)$ distribution, in which case $$ F(x) = \mathbb{P}\left( \log \chi^2 \le x \right) = 2\Phi(e^{x/2}) - 1, $$ and $$ f(x) = e^{x/2}\phi(e^{x/...
2 votes
1 answer
295 views

The asymptotics of $\int_{-\infty}^{\infty} \phi(x) {\Phi(\frac{x}{a})}^{qa} dx $ for normal distribution using saddle point approximation

In my probability and numerical analysis research I have come across the following predicament: If we have a standard normal random variable X with CDF $ \Phi $, and PDF $ \phi $ I am interested in ...
3 votes
1 answer
961 views

Expected value: Stakes and coin tosses [closed]

Consider the following game, lets call it $G$. You flip a fair coin $100$ times, but instead of having a fixed stake, you can freely choose the stake for each flip, just before the flip. You start ...
0 votes
1 answer
369 views

How to derive this change of measure identity in multi-armed bandits?

We have two Bernoulli distributions with success probabilities $\mu_1$ and $\mu_2$. We sample $n$ times from distribution 1 and the sequence we get is $X_1, \ldots, X_n$. Let $ \hat{kl}_s = \sum_{t=...
2 votes
1 answer
401 views

Reference on Probability theory on functional spaces (in special Hilbert spaces)

Currently, I am working on some sort of stochastic optimization problems defined over function spaces. I am familiar with standard probability theory (R. Durrett, ''Probability: Theory and Examples")...
1 vote
1 answer
510 views

Total variation distance between multinomial laws

Can someone help me with the following problem: Let $P_n$ and $Q_n$ two multinomial laws with parameters $(p,n)$ and $(q,n)$, where $p$ and $q$ are two probability measures on some measurable space ...
8 votes
1 answer
552 views

Frobenius norm of the principal submatrix of a uniformly distributed random orthonormal matrix

Suppose that we have a uniformly distributed $d\times d$ random orthonormal matrix $\mathbf{X}$. Here "uniform" is defined in the sense of Haar measure, i.e., the distribution does not change up to ...
3 votes
0 answers
699 views

How does Jensen Shannon divergence and KL divergence correlate?

I am wondering if there is way to derive the correlation between Jensen Shannon divergence and KL divergence for two distributions: P and Q, in order to show that if JSD(P,Q) decreases, KLD(P,Q) ...
3 votes
0 answers
83 views

Selecting the best choice for the smallest single appearing natural number

Assume we have $n$ players (each knows the number of competitors). Each has to chose a natural number and the player that has selected the smallest number, that appears uniquely, is going to win (if ...
5 votes
2 answers
559 views

A measure of how "spread out" a probability measure is

Consider a random variable $X$ whose variance is large. As a contrast to Markov's or Chebyshev's inequality, both of which measure the concentration of a probability distribution, is there a measure ...
1 vote
0 answers
448 views

Largest possible variance for log-concave distributions on a bounded interval

Let $f$ be the density of a log-concave probability distribution on the interval $[0,1]$ (with respect to Lebesgue measure). To be concrete, suppose that $f(x) = \exp( - \varphi(x))$, for some convex ...
2 votes
1 answer
376 views

Independent Decomposition of a Random Vector

Let $\vec{x} \in \mathbb{R}^n$ be a fixed vector and suppose that we are given an isotropic random vector $\vec{a} = (a_1, \dots, a_n)^T$ in $\mathbb{R}^n$ (i.e., the covariance matrix of $\vec{a}$ is ...
1 vote
1 answer
313 views

Finding the joint distribution from Poisson conditionals

Suppose that for two discrete random variables $X_1$ and $X_2$, we know their conditional distributions. Namely $$X_1~|~X_2 = x_2 \sim \mathrm{Poisson}(\lambda_1 + ax_2),$$ $$X_2~|~X_1 = x_1 \sim \...
0 votes
0 answers
96 views

How to get some information about a random variable if we know very little about its distribution

Suppose that $X, Y$ are random variables,both from a probability space to $(0,\infty]$, such that X and $1+Y$ have the same distribution, $Y=Z_1$ with probability equals half, otherwise $Y= \frac{...
2 votes
1 answer
207 views

Expectation of Truncated Bivariate Gaussian Random Variables

Suppose $Z , \epsilon \sim N(0, 1)$ are independent Gaussian random variables. Let $a \ll 1$ be a small positive number. Let $W = aZ + \epsilon$. It can be show that \begin{align} \mathbb{E} [ W^2 (Z^...
0 votes
1 answer
65 views

Limit of iterative addition of a mean-preserving spread

Suppose I iteratively add a given mean-preserving spread to a random variable. In the limit, will exactly half the mass be above $0$? Formally: Let $X$ be a random variable, and let $\varepsilon_1,\...
1 vote
1 answer
147 views

Proving that an integral related to order statistics is increasing in a certain parameter

Let $f$ and $F$ denote, respectively, the pdf and cdf of a probability distribution on $\mathbb R$. Take any natural $n\ge3$ and any real $a$ and $c$ such that $a\le c$. Does it always follow that $$...
2 votes
1 answer
271 views

How to compute bounding coefficients for McDiarmid's inequality?

I am trying to understand the proof in Sec. A2 of Gretton et al.. To make the question self-contained, I summarize below the key ingredients. At the end of the post, I state my question. Given a ...
7 votes
2 answers
606 views

Uniform Concentration Bounds on Weighted Sum of i.i.d. Bernoulli Random Variables

Let $\delta_1,...,\delta_n$ be $n$ independent identically distributed Bernoulli random variables with $\mathbb{P}(\delta_1=1)=p$. We consider a set $\Omega = \{\mathbf{a}:=(a_1,...,a_n)~|~a_i\in [0,c/...
6 votes
2 answers
735 views

Negative probabilities - what are two ordinary pgfs that correspond to the gf of a half-coin?

In Half of a Coin: Negative Probabilities, author considers pgf of a fair coin represented by random variable, $X = 1_H$: $$G_X(z) = E[z^X] = \sum_{x=0,1} z^xP(X=x) = (z^0)(1/2) + (z^1)(1/2) = \frac{...
2 votes
1 answer
150 views

Probability of collision of some family of hash functions

Given $x$ and $y$ in $\mathbb{R}$, and let $\mathcal{H} = \{ h \mid \mathbb{R} \to \mathbb{N} \}$ be a family of hash functions where $ h(x) = \left\lfloor x + \sum^C_{i=1} U_i \right\rfloor$ for some ...
4 votes
1 answer
681 views

Tail bound for product of normal distribution

Let $U, V$ be two standard normal random variables with covariance $cov(U,V) = \beta \in [0,1)$. Let $W = UV$ be the product of two RV's, and $W_1, W_2, \ldots, W_n$ be n i.i.d copies of $W$, what's ...
2 votes
0 answers
278 views

Radon-Nikodym for continuous time processes

Likelihood theory for statistical inference concerning stochastic processes in continuous time are well used. How ever i've found no real literature concerning the fundamentals. What is know from ...
1 vote
0 answers
171 views

Bounding a distribution using moments

Suppose $X$ is a non-negative random variable with bounded image. I was wondering if anybody knew of any results that could answer a question of the following type: Suppose the $n$-th moment satisfies ...
5 votes
0 answers
149 views

Distribution of Random Knots from Braids

Let $R_{2n,l}$ be a random braid word of length $l$, where each letter is chosen uniformly from the braid generators of $B_{2n}$, $\{\sigma_1,\ldots,\sigma_{2n-1},\sigma_1^{-1},\ldots,\sigma_{2n-1}^{-...
6 votes
1 answer
385 views

Functional limit theorem under random change of time

FINAL EDIT: There is one main question left: According to the answer, we have choosen $\theta=1$ , where we could choose $0<\theta<\infty$ as we like. His this sufficient, if we regarde the ...
1 vote
1 answer
64 views

Conditioned sum of n Poissons versus unconditioned Poissons

Let $\theta >1$ and take independent random variables $Z_k \sim \text{Poisson}(\theta/k)$ for $1 \leq k \leq n$ and let $Z_k^*$ have marginals like the $Z_k$ conditioned on $\sum_1^n k Z_k = n$: $$\...
2 votes
1 answer
216 views

Ask for a special function related to the error function

I am wondering whether anyone knows the following integration has a named special function or a reference $$ F_{a,b}(z) :=\frac{2}{\sqrt{\pi}} \int_0^z \text{erf}(a+b y)\: e^{-y^2} \text{d}y $$ for ...
1 vote
1 answer
219 views

connection between the statistical properties of a scalar field and its columns

Consider a scalar field $s:[0,1]^3 \to \mathbb{R}$ and its "column" field \begin{equation} c: [0,1]^2 \to \mathbb{R}: (x,y) \mapsto \int_0^1 s(x,y,z) \,\mathrm{d}z. \end{equation}. What can be said ...
2 votes
0 answers
71 views

Existence of probability distribution satisfying upper/lower bounds on events

Suppose we have a finite sample space $S$ and some events $A_1, \dots, A_k \subseteq S$. We would like to put a probability distribution on $S$ so that no element has probability greater than a ...
40 votes
1 answer
5k views

When should we expect Tracy-Widom?

The Tracy-Widom law describes, among other things, the fluctuations of maximal eigenvalues of many random large matrix models. Because of its universal character, it obtained his position on the ...
1 vote
0 answers
90 views

The role of absolute continuity in stochastic ordering defined over sets of probability distributions

This question is about a claim given in this paper (page 261, the remark), but without any proof. It simply says that if two sets of probability distributions, $\mathscr{P}_0$ and $\mathscr{P}_1$ (...
7 votes
1 answer
342 views

Upper Bound for the Difference of Even Probability and Odd Probability in Hypergeometric Distribution

Let $X$ be a random variable following the hypergeometric distribution with parameters $N,K,n$, where \begin{equation} Pr(X=k) = \frac{\binom{K}{k}\binom{N-K}{n-k}}{\binom{N}{n}}. \end{equation} To ...
2 votes
1 answer
191 views

Median of a uniform multinomial variable

Let $k\in\mathbb N^+$ be a positive integer. Consider a set of i.i.d. random variables $X_1,X_2,\ldots, X_n$, each of which is distributed uniformly over $\{1,2,\ldots,2k+1\}$. For $i\in \{1,2,\...
5 votes
2 answers
200 views

Expected number of changes in the sign of a rolling sum of independent normal variables

Imagine we define $Y(t+n)= X(t+1)+.....+X(t+n)$ where $X(i)$ is an independent normal (i.e. everyday we remove the starting observation and we add a new one). We have $n$ consecutive observations of $...

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