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Questions tagged [pr.probability]

Theory and applications of probability and stochastic processes: e.g. central limit theorems, large deviations, stochastic differential equations, models from statistical mechanics, queuing theory.

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Limit of the stochastic process at time 0

This is not a homework question so please be kind not to remove it right away. I am working on some research but have to justify the following argument: Assume $S_t$ is a continuous stochastic process,...
Kamil's user avatar
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2 votes
1 answer
348 views

random matrix products reference

For a long time the standard (though not the easiest to find) reference on random matrix products was Bougerol and Lacrois: Bougerol, Philippe, and Jean Lacroix. Products of random matrices with ...
Igor Rivin's user avatar
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3 votes
1 answer
281 views

Deciding whether or not an exponentially distributed random variable exists in a set via the use of a "black box" function

I have some set of known size but with unknown elements, $(x_1, ..., x_N) \in X$, where the elements of $X$ are exponentially distributed random variables with unknown rate parameters, $(\lambda_1, ......
user28187's user avatar
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0 answers
2k views

Derivative of the most probable value (of a gaussian variable) VS most probable value of the derivative

Let $x$ be a random variable with gaussian probability distribution $P(x)$. We assume that $x$ depends parametrically on a parameter $t$ so that : $P(x(t))=\frac{1}{\sqrt{2\pi\sigma^2(t)}}\exp(-\frac{(...
gfleury's user avatar
0 votes
2 answers
305 views

Properties of the Euler Discretization of a diffusion

Let $X$ be a continuous 1-d diffusion: $$ dX_t = a(X_t)dt + b(X_t)dW_t, X_0 = x. $$ W is a standard Brownian Motion and $a(\cdot)$ and $b(\cdot)$ can have nice regularity properties. Let $Z^n_1,Z^...
weakstar's user avatar
  • 943
1 vote
1 answer
220 views

First order approximation of the current in ASEP

I am searching for an elementary proof of the first order approximation of the current of particles in ASEP (asymmetric simple exclusion process) and TASEP (totally asymetric). To avoid technical ...
Guillaume's user avatar
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1 vote
1 answer
258 views

Probability distribution for the size of an ordered set of (randomly pruned) integer pairs with intersection constraints on successive elements in the permutation

Update: To write a quick preamble, this question is basically asking that, if you take all possible pairs of some set of characters, call these pairs elements of the set $S$, and if you throw out some ...
InThePool's user avatar
5 votes
1 answer
7k views

Expected Hitting Time for Simple Random Walk from origin to point (x,y) in 2D-Integer-Grid

Consider a simple random walk on the lattice $\mathbb Z^2$ starting at the origin $(0,0)$ where in each step, one of the four adjacent vertices in chosen uniformly at random, i.e. with probability $1/...
carnage's user avatar
  • 53
5 votes
1 answer
980 views

"Nice" eigenvectors for (square of) adjacency matrix of a bipartite graph?

Let $G$ be a bipartite graph, and let $A$ be its adjacency matrix. I was wondering in this case whether $A^2$ will have nice eigenvectors that reflect combinatorial structure of the graph. I'd be ...
marco polo's user avatar
2 votes
0 answers
361 views

Computing a density function for the integral of a stochastic process, given its transition function

$P$ is a one-dimensional Markov stochastic process that runs on time interval $[0, t_f]$. I know its transition function: $P(0) = x_0$ and for any $0 \le t_a < t_b \le t_f$, the function $f(x_b | ...
user21816's user avatar
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74 votes
16 answers
8k views

Geometric / physical / probabilistic interpretations of Riemann zeta($n>1$)?

What are some physical, geometric, or probabilistic interpretations of the values of the Riemann zeta function at the positive integers greater than one? I've found some examples: 1) In MO-Q111339 ...
4 votes
2 answers
675 views

between "giant-component" and "fully connected"

This is a request for reference. Where can I find discussion of the Erdős–Rényi random graph in the regime between "giant-component" and "fully connected"? e.g. a detailed picture for say, $p_n=\frac{(...
Marco Isopi's user avatar
6 votes
1 answer
443 views

Algorithm for numerically approximating the Prokhorov metric?

Question: What is known about algorithms for numerically computing/approximating the Prokhorov distance between two measures? Recall that the Prokhorov distance metrizes the topology of weak(-*) ...
Nick Alger's user avatar
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145 views

Finding expectation of size of a subgraph

I have been trying to implement a algorithm but got stuck in finding expectation of the size of the subgraph. n - size of the network. d - at most number of communities a node could participate ...
sachin's user avatar
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3 votes
0 answers
213 views

Find a minimum entropy code for a simple gibbs random field.

Just to make precise what I am talking about, I will include the definition of a minimum entropy code. I will then define the precise markov random field I am asking about. In the rest of this ...
Alin's user avatar
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3 votes
1 answer
144 views

Median-of-k elements

Hello, Assume I am given a sequence of $n$ elements (by sequence I mean an ordered set). I want to randomly pick $k$ elements out of these $n$ elements, where $k$ is an odd number $\leq n$. Then out ...
AntiClimacus's user avatar
1 vote
0 answers
289 views

Inequality regarding $\ell_p$ norms, $p<1$

Let $(x_{i,j})$ be an infinite double sequence of nonnegative real numbers, and $ 0< p<1$. I would like to know whether one can bound from above the sum \begin{equation} \sum_{i,j} x_{i,j}^p \...
newuser's user avatar
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1 vote
1 answer
142 views

Linear Maps between $L^1$-spaces of singular measures

I posted the following question also here, but thought that I can get more answers in MO. Let $(\Omega,\Sigma)$ be a measurable space and $\nu_1$, $\nu_2$ two probability measures on it. For $i=1,2$, ...
Andy Teich's user avatar
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1 answer
61 views

What is the distribution of the distance between a specific word in a Text which is generated by a markov process?

What is the distribution of the distance between a specific word in a Text which is generated by a markov process? For example for a text which is generated by a multinomial distribution over words, ...
gstar2002's user avatar
5 votes
1 answer
585 views

Existence of a probability measure with "confined" zero measure sets

Hi, I am struggling with the following question that is tangentially arising from a paper I'm working on. It is not at all essential for the revision but it would be nice to know if there is a ...
Rabee Tourky's user avatar
3 votes
3 answers
991 views

Berry Esseen inequality for multidimensional distributions

The classical Berry-Esseen theorem asserts that if $f$ and $g$ are the characteristic functions of two distribution functions $F(t)$ and $G(t)$ respectively then with $T$ arbitrary $$ \sup_{t \in \...
blober's user avatar
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1 answer
165 views

transition probability convergence for Harris chains - Durrett.

Dear mathoverflow. This is a question to a proof in a graduate text. I have asked two professors at my university without help, so I hope it suffices in difficulty for this forum otherwise I ...
Henrik's user avatar
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23 votes
1 answer
3k views

Bochner integral of stochastic process = path by path Lebesgue integral?

After some helpful comments, I realized that I had to repost this question in a more systematic way. On a complete probability space, let $\mathcal{H}_0$ denote the Hilbert space of square ...
Hauke L.'s user avatar
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48 votes
8 answers
5k views

A sudden smiley? :-)

This is a vague question, and I will no doubt be (properly!) chastised for posing it. I would like to generate a set $S$ of points in $\mathbb{R}^3$—$|S|$ finite or infinite—which has the ...
Joseph O'Rourke's user avatar
3 votes
0 answers
251 views

Permutations & Balanced Distribution

I would like to implement a form of consistent hashing using a set of permutations. The rules are as follows: I have Y=~32 buckets and X items. Buckets may be "alive" or "dead". Items are to be ...
Joel Smith's user avatar
13 votes
1 answer
869 views

Lotteries, Turan's problem, and minimization of risk

Suppose I am a high-volume broker aiming to make some money on a state lottery. In this lottery, six balls are drawn from a population of (let's say) 50, without replacement. A ticket is a choice of ...
JSE's user avatar
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4 votes
1 answer
527 views

invertibility of a matrix with a Gaussian perturbation

Suppose that $A$ is an arbitrary fixed $n\times n$ matrix and $G$ a random $n\times n$ matrix with i.i.d. $N(0,1)$ entries. Is there a simple proof that $A+G$ is invertible with probability 1? What ...
user14432's user avatar
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0 answers
303 views

hitting probability for integrated Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process

Consider an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck position process: $dV_t=dB_t-\lambda V_tdt$ $dX_t=V_tdt$ where $B_t,V_t,X_t$ are all in $R^d$ with $d\geq 3$. Let $X_0\neq0$, $V_0=0$ . Let $r>0$ and $S_r$ be the ...
Guolong Li's user avatar
5 votes
2 answers
631 views

Proving that a complicated function is eventually concave

I have a function $f:\mathbb{R}^+ \to \mathbb{R}^+$ that I want to prove is eventually concave - i.e. that there exists $\gamma _0 > 0$ such that for every $\gamma>\gamma_0$, $f(\gamma)$ is ...
Yair Carmon's user avatar
0 votes
1 answer
123 views

Enumeration of quadrangulations with a boundary and simple faces.

I wish to enumerate all quadrangulations of a $2p$ gon with $n$ internal vertices. Quadrangles are required to have simple faces. Simple face means all four vertices of each quadrangle are distinct. ...
gmath's user avatar
  • 141
1 vote
1 answer
516 views

Properties of the minimum circumscribing circle for points sequentially placed within a circle of radius $r$ of previously placed points on a 2D plane

Imagine I perform the following procedure: [1] At time point $t_1$, I place a single point on a two-dimensional plane at the coordinate $(x, y) = (0, 0)$. [2] At time point $t_2$, I center a ...
user27203's user avatar
  • 197
11 votes
2 answers
608 views

Covariance of INID order statistics [closed]

In the IID case, it is known that all order statistics are positively correlated.* Thus, we know that $$\text{Cov}(X_{(i)},X_{(j)}) \geq 0.$$ Is this known in the INID (independent, non-identically ...
orderstats's user avatar
2 votes
1 answer
372 views

contraction property for conditioned SDEs

Consider a strongly convex potential $U: \mathbb{R}^d \to \mathbb{R}$ and the Langevin diffusion $$dX = -\nabla U(X) dt + dW \qquad (*)$$ where $W$ is a standard Brownian motion. If $(X_t)_{t \geq 0}$ ...
Alekk's user avatar
  • 2,133
11 votes
2 answers
466 views

Defining measures over frames in place of $\sigma$-algebras

Normally, measures and probability spaces are defined over $\sigma$-algebras. I was wondering what would happen if one tries to define it over frames in place of $\sigma$-algebras? Specifically, ...
Kaveh's user avatar
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1 vote
0 answers
50 views

Volume estimates of rooted embedded tree containing certain subtrees.

Consider a rooted embedded tree of $n+1$ vertices. It is known that around the root for small $r$, volume of the ball of radius $r$ grows like $r^2$. Now suppose we are given that a certain subtree is ...
gmath's user avatar
  • 141
4 votes
2 answers
2k views

Probability of a submatrix to be full rank in a N x N Random Matrix of rank m.

Consider a random matrix $\mathbf{A} \in \mathbb{C}^{N \times N}$ of rank $m$ with $m < N$ that follows the Wishart distribution ( http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wishart_distribution ). I have a ...
George's user avatar
  • 43
5 votes
1 answer
506 views

Approximation of stochastic differential equations

Consider the two following real Stochastic Differential Equations (SDE) starting from the same initial condition: $$dx_t = f(x_t)dt + \sigma dB_t$$ $$dy_t = f(y_t)g_{\epsilon}(y_t)dt + \sigma dB_t$$ ...
user16215's user avatar
  • 840
2 votes
1 answer
469 views

If two probability distributions have the same weak limit and one of them satisfies Large Deviation Principle, what can we say about the other?

If the probability distribution function of two sequences of random variables have the same weak limit and one of the sequences satisfies a Large deviation principle, then does it imply that the other ...
Ritwik's user avatar
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13 votes
2 answers
715 views

What time does it take for irrational rotations to hit an interval?

Hi, Consider $\theta_n = (\theta_0 + n \theta) \mod 1$, $\theta$ being an irrational number, and $\theta_0$ an uniform random variable in $(0,1)$. Is there any estimates for the time it will take ...
Antoine Levitt's user avatar
-1 votes
1 answer
332 views

Expectation where linearity does not hold

We have four random variables say W,X,Y,Z where W and X has the same distribution and Y, Z also has the same distribution. Bad news is EX and EY may not exist but E(W+Z) is zero. Could we conclude ...
mathstrike's user avatar
4 votes
2 answers
315 views

Sampling from a recursively defined distribution

I'd like to know if there are techniques for sampling from a recursively defined probability distribution, assuming that solving the recursion for a formula for the distribution is too difficult. As ...
Jamie's user avatar
  • 41
8 votes
1 answer
429 views

Ising model on a cycle

The Ising model on $\mathbb{Z} / 2d\mathbb{Z}$ gives to the configuration $x=(x_0, \ldots, x_{2d-1}) \in \{-1,+1\}^{2d}$ a probability proportional to $\exp\\big(\beta \sum_i x_ix_{i+1} \\big)$. The ...
Alekk's user avatar
  • 2,133
7 votes
3 answers
6k views

Concentration results for inner products of two independent random gaussian vectors

Hi, I wanted to know if there are standard results on concentration of absolute value of inner products of two random vectors. Thus if $X, Y \in R^m$ are two independent random vectors with each ...
AB-Spc's user avatar
  • 71
20 votes
3 answers
1k views

what is the probability that a scissor became the champion?

Here is a question from one of my students: suppose 8 players are in an elimination match. The players are marked with marked with either R (for rock), P (for paper) or S (for scissors). If two ...
user16674's user avatar
  • 201
1 vote
1 answer
368 views

Product of probability densities of the form x^{-t} exp (-ax)

I have two probability distributions $p(x) = N_1 x^{-\tau} \exp(-\frac{x}{x_0})$ and $p(y) = N_2 y^{-\kappa} \exp(-\frac{y}{y_0})$. $N_1$ and $N_2$ are just normalization constants and $x>0$, $y>...
Heiko Hoffmann's user avatar
5 votes
2 answers
1k views

Derivatives through random variables?

Suppose I have some random variable X with probability distribution P(.;theta). Suppose I have a single sample x from this distribution. Does it make any sense to ask for the derivative of x with ...
Ian Goodfellow's user avatar
1 vote
1 answer
294 views

Kalman Filter...Denoising measurement data to track objects

Hi Everyone, I am about to implement a Kalman Filter in a software. I found this very helpful article here: http://bilgin.esme.org/BitsBytes/KalmanFilterforDummies.aspx The example helps a lot, ...
user27298's user avatar
0 votes
0 answers
104 views

Proving that a property holds for random sequences with given marginal distribution by rearrangement

I am currently investigating the property of random sequences with a special marginal distribution function $F(x)$. Given any random sequence $X_1, X_2, \cdots, X_n$, supposing their joint ...
Richard Guo's user avatar
8 votes
2 answers
540 views

Maximum entropy priors in infinite dimensional spaces

Is there an extension of maximum entropy probability distributions for function spaces? For $\mathbb{R}^n$ and discrete spaces, there is much literature about this problem under names such as "non-...
Nick Alger's user avatar
  • 1,160
4 votes
1 answer
712 views

bound the hitting time in Markov chain

Given a finite-state Markov chain $M$ and assume there is a terminate state $f$ which is reached with prob. 1, I am interested in the distribution of hitting time $T$ of $f$, namely, $T$ is defined as ...
Jialin's user avatar
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