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Reference book for a probability course

In the next months I am planning to deliver a (more-or-less) advanced course in probability theory. My students will have had already a first encounter with discrete probability theory (discrete ...
Johnny Cage's user avatar
  • 1,561
0 votes
0 answers
85 views

When is a family of distributions "closed" with respect to minimal sufficient statistics?

As in the title, I am interested in understanding how to express the idea that a parametric family of distribution is "closed" with respect to minimal sufficient statistics. Before giving ...
Francesco Bilotta's user avatar
2 votes
1 answer
177 views

Optimization over Poisson-binomial distributions

I am studying the problem of how an expected utility maximizer should optimally form a portfolio of uncorrelated Bernoullis. Fix an increasing sequence of $n$ numbers in $(0,1)$, $0<p_1<\dots<...
Francesco Bilotta's user avatar
2 votes
1 answer
170 views

Law of large numbers for a continuum of Bernoullis

Suppose I have a family of $n$ independent Bernoulli random variables described by a vector of parameters $(p_i)_{i=1}^n$. As it is well known, the number of successes within this family is a random ...
Francesco Bilotta's user avatar
1 vote
0 answers
43 views

Definition of "interval of continuity" for function defined on sets

At the beginning of Chapter 8 of Kubilius's Probabilistic Methods in the Theory of Numbers, the author defines $Q=Q(E)$ to be a completely additive nonnegative function defined for all Borel subsets $...
Greg Martin's user avatar
  • 12.8k
0 votes
0 answers
99 views

Random walks on groups

I recently started reading Wolfgang Woess' book titled "Random Walks on Infinite Groups". In the section where he introduces Markov chains and random walks on a set $X$, he has defined a ...
Dimitri's user avatar
4 votes
0 answers
142 views

Algebraic area of Brownian half-plane excursion

Is anything known about the distribution of the algebraic area, à la Lévy's stochastic area, of a Brownian excursion in the half-plane? To be precise, letting $x>0$, we consider the path $(X_t,Y_t)...
Timothy Budd's user avatar
  • 3,927
3 votes
1 answer
561 views

On the convergence in total variation

$\newcommand\R{\mathbb R}$For a probability measure $\mu$ over $\R^2$ and a unit vector $u\in\R^2$, let $\mu^u$ denote the pushforward of $\mu$ under the projection map $\R^2\ni x\mapsto u\cdot x\in\R$...
Iosif Pinelis's user avatar
7 votes
0 answers
222 views

Projected polar chessboard measure convergence in total variation?

$\newcommand\R{\mathbb R}\newcommand\C{\mathbb C}\newcommand\ga{\gamma}$For natural $n$, let $E_n$ be the set of all points in $\R^2$ with "polar coordinates" $(r,t)$ in the set $$F_n:=\...
Iosif Pinelis's user avatar
3 votes
1 answer
407 views

Relative entropy equality for a sequence of Bernoulli random variables

We are given two joint probability distributions, $p$ and $q$, of $n$ Bernoulli random variables $X_1, X_2, \ldots, X_n$. We denote by $p(x_k\mid x^{k-1})$ the probability $\mathbb{P}_p(X_k=x_k\mid ...
Penelope Benenati's user avatar
4 votes
1 answer
197 views

On a double sum involving binomial coefficients

For natural $n$, let \begin{equation} p_n:=2^{1-n}\sum_{v=1}^l \binom l{(v+l)/2}1(v\equiv l) \sum_{u=1-v}^{v-1}\binom k{(u+k)/2}1(u\equiv k), \tag{1}\label{1} \end{equation} where $k:=\lfloor(n+1)/...
Iosif Pinelis's user avatar
14 votes
1 answer
417 views

Lipschitz property of the determinant

$\newcommand{\A}{\mathcal A}\newcommand{\Tr}{\operatorname{tr}}$For $c$ and $C$ such that $0<c<C<\infty$, let $\A_{d;c,C}$ denote the set of all symmetric positive-definite real $d\times d$ ...
Iosif Pinelis's user avatar
3 votes
0 answers
141 views

Direct analytic proof of positive definiteness of stable characteristic functions

Is there a direct analytic proof that the function $$ f ( t ) = \exp\left(-|t|^\alpha \big[ \lambda + i \theta \operatorname{sign} ( t ) \big]\right), \qquad \lambda > 0, \quad |\theta| < \...
tsnao's user avatar
  • 620
0 votes
1 answer
188 views

Equality cases in a certain case of Jensen's inequality

Suppose that $Y$ is an independent copy of a random variable (r.v.) $X$ with a zero-mean nondegenerate distribution. Is there a non-tautological, preferably simple characterization of the cases when $$...
Iosif Pinelis's user avatar
1 vote
1 answer
97 views

A strict inequality for the $L^1$-norm of a symmetrized zero-mean random variable

Suppose that $Y$ is an independent copy of a random variable (r.v.) $X$ with a zero-mean nondegenerate distribution. Is it then always true that $E|X-Y|>E|X|$? To get the non-strict version of ...
Iosif Pinelis's user avatar
3 votes
1 answer
266 views

A linearly distributed version of the balls into bins problem

Some years ago, I found a paper with all the formulas for the balls into bins problem when the "areas" (i.e., probabilities to capture a ball) of the bins are all different. However, the ...
Penelope Benenati's user avatar
0 votes
1 answer
154 views

Maximum of a certain Gaussian field

Let $S_{d-1}$ denote the unit sphere in $\mathbb{R}^d$ and let $(Z_x)_{x \in S_{d-1}}$ be a gaussian process with mean zero and covariance structure given by the square of the scalar product, i.e. $$ \...
Ben Deitmar's user avatar
  • 1,295
4 votes
1 answer
265 views

Bounds on discrepancy metric of product measures

Consider two measurable spaces $X_1 = (\mathbb{R}^m,\mathcal{B}(\mathbb{R}^m),\mu_1)$ and $X_2 = (\mathbb{R}^m,\mathcal{B}(\mathbb{R}^m),\mu_2)$ and the product spaces $$X_1^{q} = (\times_{i=1}^q\...
Ludwig's user avatar
  • 2,712
2 votes
0 answers
93 views

Approximating a probability density with a point set

Let $f$ be a "nice" probability density on $\mathbb{R}^2$, let $p=1/k$ for some fixed positive integer $k$, and let $\epsilon>0$. Are there any known statements of the following form? &...
Tom Solberg's user avatar
  • 4,049
5 votes
1 answer
512 views

Concentration inequality for Hilbert space valued random variables

I have read in a paper about the following result: Let $V$ be a separable Hilbert space and $(\Omega,A_{\Omega},P)$ a probability space. Suppose that $Y_1,Y_2,...$ is a sequence of independent $V$-...
Hugo10T's user avatar
  • 115
0 votes
1 answer
79 views

Visualization PDF of distribution defined by quantiles

How can I visualise PDF of distribution defined by quantiles, that I predict with my neural network? Now I'm passing quantiles to the histogram, but I don't think it is the correct way for visualising....
Bc. Martin Kubovčík's user avatar
0 votes
0 answers
86 views

Expected diameter of a random point set

General problem: For a point set $S\subset X$ in a metric space $(X,d)$, let $\text{diam}(S)=\max_{x,y\in S}d(x,y)$. Given a distribution $P$ on $X$ and $m$ i.i.d. points $x_1,\ldots,x_m\sim P$, what ...
user34500's user avatar
0 votes
1 answer
209 views

Factorisation of Gaussian random matrix into random Hermitian and correction factor

By the Bartlett decomposition, one has that for $k \leq n$ and $\mathbf{\Gamma}_{n\times k} \in \mathbb{R}^{n\times k}$ a standard Gaussian matrix with independent entries $$\mathbf{\Gamma}_{n\times k}...
user avatar
4 votes
2 answers
480 views

Hitting probability of a line

Consider a simple (nearest neighbor) random walk on a lattice $\Bbb Z^2$ which starts at the origin, is constrained to $x\ge 0$ halfplane, and stops when it hits the line $x=n$. Denote by $p(n,k)$ ...
Igor Pak's user avatar
  • 17k
7 votes
1 answer
259 views

Normal distribution by successive approximation?

$\newcommand\R{\mathbb R}\newcommand\la\lambda$It is well known and easy to see that the rotationally invariant product of two probability measures on $\R$ has to be a Gaussian (or Dirac) measure; see ...
Iosif Pinelis's user avatar
1 vote
0 answers
74 views

Measurability of $\mathbb{R}^n$-Random Field

Let $(X_x)_{x\in [0,1]^d}$ be a collection of integrable random variable defined on a (common) probability space $(\Omega,\mathcal{F},\mathbb{P})$. Under what condition is the map: $$ [0,1]^d\ni x \...
ABIM's user avatar
  • 5,405
1 vote
0 answers
88 views

Berry-Esseen type bounds for functions of almost Gaussian random variables

Suppose that I have $n$ dependent random variables $X_1,\ldots,X_n$ with $\mathbb{E}[X_i]=0, \mathbb{E}[X_i^2]=1$, where we have the following bounds on the Kolmogorov distance from a normal ...
61plus's user avatar
  • 141
0 votes
0 answers
113 views

How much a probability distribution is non-uniform in a convex subspace of $\mathbb{R}^d$?

I know a number of (standard and well known) ways to measure the distance between two probability distributions and, more in general, to quantify how much one is far from another. Could you please ...
Penelope Benenati's user avatar
2 votes
1 answer
476 views

Is total variation distance of normalized sum of random variables to Gaussian monotonic decreasing?

Let $X_1, X_2, \ldots$ be independent and identically distributed random variables with mean $0$ and variance $1$ and let $S_n = (X_1 + \cdots + X_n)/\sqrt{n}$ to be their normalized sum. Define $D_n$ ...
Sandeep Silwal's user avatar
2 votes
0 answers
49 views

What are some beginner's references on algebraically structured (statistical) models, and their connection with group actions and Fourier transform?

I asked this question on Cross Validated a few days ago, but didn't really get a favorable response, so asking here to see if I get any. I'm looking at the description of a short-term position in ...
Stat_math's user avatar
  • 223
8 votes
1 answer
2k views

General Fourier inversion formula (Gil-Pelaez)

Gil-Pelaez (1951) proves the Fourier inversion formula \begin{align*} F(x) &= \frac{1}{2} + \frac{1}{2\pi} \int_0^\infty \frac{e^{itx}\phi(-t)-e^{-itx}\phi(t)}{it}dt \\ &= \frac{1}{2} - \frac{...
Alex's user avatar
  • 255
1 vote
1 answer
149 views

Asymptotics of $\chi_m$-distribution where the degree of freedom $m \to \infty?$

I'm interested to see a result where for large degree of freedom $m,$ the chi distribution $\chi_m$ is increasingly well approximated by a family of normal distributions with parameters depending on $...
Learning math's user avatar
4 votes
1 answer
365 views

Reference for multivariate generalised CLT

I know that one can generalise the classical CLT in terms of heavy tail distributions, namely, for any i.i.d. random variables $X_i$, $$\frac{X_1+\cdots+X_n}{n^{1/\alpha}}\rightarrow S(\alpha,\beta,\...
JJJZZZZZ's user avatar
  • 380
0 votes
1 answer
428 views

First and last order statistics and their ratio for $\chi^2_{m}$ random samples

Let $X_1, \dots, X_n \sim_{iid} \chi^2_{m}$ be a random sample from a chi-squared distribution with $m$ degrees of freedom (d.f.). I was wondering if there's any known result for the order statistics $...
Learning math's user avatar
2 votes
1 answer
318 views

Distribution of a stopped random sum, with subexponential stopping time

I am trying to find a reference (or, if it's false, a counterexample) for the following sort-of-intuitive fact: if $\tau$ is a stopping time with a subexponential probability distribution, and $(X_n)_{...
Clement C.'s user avatar
  • 1,372
0 votes
0 answers
141 views

What is the distribution of the norm of the multivariate $X \sim \mathcal{N}(\mu, \Sigma) \in \mathbb{R}^d?$

Let $X \sim \mathcal{N}(\mu, \Sigma) \in \mathbb{R}^d$ follow a multivariate normal distribution. Then what's the distribution (PDF, CDF etc.) of $X?$ When $\mu = 0, \Sigma = I_d,$ we know that $||X||...
Learning math's user avatar
1 vote
0 answers
64 views

Dependence rank: what is the size of the largest subcollection of random variables which is statistically independent?

Let $X_1,\ldots,X_p$ be random variables on the same space. Define their dependence rank, denoted $rank(X_1,\ldots,X_p)$ as the largest nonnegative integer $k$ such that there is a subcollection of $k$...
dohmatob's user avatar
  • 6,853
2 votes
1 answer
1k views

Bound on eigenvalues of sample covariance matrices in terms of $d, n$, where $n=$ sample size, $d=$ dimension of data

Let $Z=[z_1, \dots z_n]$ be a $d \times n$ matrix, where the $z_i$'s are iid random vactors with mean $\mu \in \mathbb{R}^d$ and $d \times d$ (population) covariance matrix $\Sigma$, but the entries $...
Learning math's user avatar
1 vote
0 answers
124 views

Law of large numbers and Central Limit Theorem for eigenvalues of perturbed matrices

I'm looking for results where perturbation by iid random entries to a matrix will result in convergence of the eigenvalues to the original eigenvalues. More precisely, Let $ \forall n \in \mathbb{N},...
Learning math's user avatar
1 vote
0 answers
83 views

Tracy Widom type results for asymptotic distribution of the $k$-th largest eigenvalue of the sample covariance when $n, p \to \infty$?

Earlier I asked a question: Distribution of the $k$-th largest eigenvalue of in the sample covariance matrix?, but I forgot to mention that I'd like results for asymtotic regime. So, I'm posting here ...
Learning math's user avatar
1 vote
1 answer
104 views

Limit of normalized sum of Dirac measures at first $\lfloor p/2\rfloor$ eigenvalues of the sample covariance matrix, with Marcenko-Pastur assumptions?

Let $\lfloor{*}\rfloor$ denotes the nearest integer $\le *$. I'm asking myself the question what's the limit of the part of the empirical spectral distribution corresponding to the first $\lfloor{p/2}...
Learning math's user avatar
1 vote
1 answer
448 views

Law of large numbers for random Dirac measures

Suppose $\{X_1,...X_n\}:\Omega \to \mathbb{R}^p$ be i.i.d. random vectors with common probability law/measure $p$, i.e. $Prob(X_i^{-1}(E))=p(E) \forall E \subset \mathbb{R}^p $ Borel measurable. ...
Learning math's user avatar
2 votes
1 answer
1k views

Order statistics on the spacings between order statistics for the uniform distribution

For any natural $n$, let $U_1,\dots,U_n$ be independent identically distributed random variables each uniformly distributed on the interval $[0,1]$. As usual, let $U_{n:1}\le\cdots\le U_{n:n}$ ...
Iosif Pinelis's user avatar
1 vote
1 answer
191 views

Hitting time estimates

In a number of different contexts, I have wanted to estimate hitting times for a monotonic process $(T_n)$ taking values in the reals (or sometimes a process $(T_n,X_n)$ taking values in $\mathbb R^2$ ...
Anthony Quas's user avatar
  • 23.2k
1 vote
1 answer
155 views

Reference request concerning order statistics from the uniform distribution

Let $U_1,\dots,U_n$ be iid random variables uniformly distributed on the interval $[0,1]$, with the corresponding order statistics $U_{(1)}\le\dots\le U_{(n)}$. Let $G_i:=U_{(i+1)}-U_{(i)}$ for $i=0,\...
Iosif Pinelis's user avatar
3 votes
1 answer
364 views

Can anyone give a reference to the proof of this concentration inequality?

The following concentration inequality for the supremum of a Gaussian process indexed by a separable metric space appears here: http://math.iisc.ac.in/~manju/GP/6-Concentration%20and%20comparison%...
Somabha's user avatar
  • 123
4 votes
0 answers
261 views

Tight bounds for finite de Finetti's theorem

de Finetti's theorem roughly states that infinite sequence of exchangeable random variables are conditionally independent. I am looking for tight bounds for de Finetti's theorem in the following ...
Sandeep Silwal's user avatar
1 vote
0 answers
72 views

Large Deviation of Triple Poisson Product

Let $X_i$ with $i=1,\ldots,n$ be independent Poisson variables, $X_i$ with parameter $\lambda_i.$ Let $\circ$ be a group operation on a group of size $n.$ I would like to obtain a large deviation ...
kodlu's user avatar
  • 10.4k
2 votes
0 answers
100 views

Reference Request: Total Variation Between Dependent and Independent Bernoulli Processes

Let $X$ be a random variable taking values in $\{0,1\}^n$ with the following distribution. For each coordinate $i$, we have $p_i = P(X_i = 1) = c/\sqrt n$, where $c$ is a (very small) constant. ...
Sam OT's user avatar
  • 560
0 votes
0 answers
424 views

Bounding the total variation distance between two measures from a given set

I have a distance on the space of probability measures on $[0,2]$. It is defined as such for two probability measures $\mu_1$ and $\mu_2$ : $d_p(\mu_1,\mu_2) := \sum_{k=0}^p ( \mathbb{E}[X_1 ^k]- \...
YZ22's user avatar
  • 31