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6 votes
1 answer
481 views

Probabilistic Proofs of Key Number-Theoretic Results

Given a positive integer $n$, let $p$ be the largest prime less than or equal to $n$. Let $N(n)=2^{C_2}\cdots p^{C_p}$ be uniformly distributed from $1$ to $n$, and $M(n)=2^{Z_2}\cdots p^{Z_p}$ where ...
The Substitute's user avatar
1 vote
1 answer
517 views

log-like distance between probability distributions

Given two probability density functions (PDF) $f$ and $g$, both defined over the same set $X$, there are many ways to describe/measure the distance between them, e.g., KL divergence and Hellinger ...
Amir Sagiv's user avatar
  • 3,574
4 votes
2 answers
108 views

A density function that matches the $k$ smallest elements of $n$ uniform samples

Let me apologize in advance as this feels like a homework question, though I've tried without success to work through the relevant integrals. My question is: given positive integers $k$ and $n$ with ...
Tom Solberg's user avatar
  • 4,049
7 votes
3 answers
278 views

Solve $\inf_{ X: |X| \le a \text{ a.s.}} E \left[ \frac{1}{1+(X-X^\prime)^2} \right] $

I want to solve the following optimization problem \begin{align} \inf_{ X: |X| \le a \text{ a.s.}} E \left[ \frac{1}{1+(X-X^\prime)^2} \right] \end{align} where $X^\prime$ is an independent copy ...
Boby's user avatar
  • 671
1 vote
1 answer
231 views

Are interarrival times of doubly-stochastic Poisson I.I.D.?

I am working on a Markov-modulated Poisson process $\{N_{t}, t \geq 0\}$, which is itself a Poisson but the rates of which are governed by a CTMC. In my case, the CTMC is a one-class, aperiodic and ...
Liäm's user avatar
  • 48
2 votes
0 answers
247 views

Moments of a Normal-Wishart distribution

Do known expressions exist for the moments of a gaussian-wishart (aka normal wishart) distribution? $$NW(\mu,K\mid\mu_0,\lambda_0, v, W) = \frac{|\lambda_0K|^{1/2}}{(2\pi)^{d/2}}e^{-0.5([\mu - \mu_0]...
ejlouw's user avatar
  • 121
8 votes
3 answers
8k views

Upper bound total variation by Wasserstein distance for continuous distance

I am reading the survey of the relationships between metrics of distributions (see https://arxiv.org/pdf/math/0209021.pdf for the paper). The general results show that for general distributions, we ...
Felix Y.'s user avatar
  • 163
3 votes
2 answers
430 views

Multivariate normal concentration

If $X\sim N(0,\Sigma)$ for some $d$-dimensional normal distribution, then $X = \Sigma^{1/2} Z$ where $Z\sim (0,I)$. How to compute the following quantity? $$ \operatorname{var} (X^T X) = \...
Nikolayevich's user avatar
5 votes
0 answers
523 views

How to obtain the probability distribution of a sum of dependent discrete random variables more efficiently

I hope you are well. Here is my problem. Let $\{s_0,\,s_1,\ldots,\,s_T\}$ be a sequence of discrete random variables and denote $S_t=s_0+s_1+\cdots+s_t$, with $S_0=0$ and $S_T\leq M$, where $M$ and $T$...
Student1981's user avatar
3 votes
1 answer
281 views

Stein's Equation for Gaussian Mixtures

In the paper "Spin glasses and Stein's method" (https://arxiv.org/pdf/0706.3500.pdf), Sourav Chatterjee established Stein's equation for mixtures of two Gaussian densities in $\mathbb{R}$, which takes ...
Minkov's user avatar
  • 1,127
5 votes
3 answers
117 views

Looking for a certain kind of a distribution

Is there any probability distribution supported on a compact or a half-open interval (of $\mathbb{R}$) such that if a vector $\vec{x} \in \mathbb{R}^n$ is sampled by sampling its coordinates like that ...
gradstudent's user avatar
  • 2,246
1 vote
0 answers
386 views

Bounds on the distance between probability distributions in terms characteristic functions

I am looking for the bounds on the distance between probability distributions in terms characteristic functions. For example, I am aware of the following bound \begin{align} d(P,Q) \le \frac{1}{T} \...
Boby's user avatar
  • 671
4 votes
0 answers
91 views

What is the entropy of binomial decay?

Let's play a game. I start with $N$ indistinguishable tokens, and I wait $T$ turns. Every turn, each token has probability $p$ of disappearing. I want an analytic formula for the entropy of this ...
Andrew's user avatar
  • 141
2 votes
0 answers
191 views

Splitting of a random variable

Can we characterize the laws of n-uple real random variables $(X_1...X_n)$ so that for any random variable Y which has the same law as the sum of the $X_i$ there exists a n tuple of functions $(f_i)_i$...
Raymond F.'s user avatar
6 votes
2 answers
2k views

Is there a universal bound for this ratio of expectations?

Let $X$ and $Y$ be two zero-mean independent and identically distributed random variables. Is there a bound for the following ratio, $$\frac{\mathbb{E}[|X+Y|]}{\mathbb{E}[|X|+|Y|]}=\frac{\mathbb{E}[|...
Math_Y's user avatar
  • 287
1 vote
0 answers
115 views

Existence of a Laplace transform that takes specific values on the integers

The classical Marcinkiewicz theorem (1939) states that if a random variable $X$ has a Laplace transform/characteristic function of the form $\mathbb{E}(e^{tX})=e^{P(t)} $ with $P$ a polynomial, then ...
Synia's user avatar
  • 593
8 votes
1 answer
1k views

Uniqueness of a Solution for a Convex Optimization Problem

I have the following convex optimization problem: $$\begin{array}{ll} \text{maximize}_{{f,g}} & \displaystyle\int_{\Omega} g^u{f}^{1-u}\mathrm{d}\mu\\ \text{subject to} & \displaystyle\int_{\...
Seyhmus Güngören's user avatar
3 votes
3 answers
593 views

An integral involving hyperbolic functions

I am wondering if it is possible to obtain a closed-form formula for $$ f(\alpha) = \frac{1}{{\sqrt{2 \pi } \; \alpha }} \int^\infty_{-\infty} x^2 \cosh(x) \; e^{-\frac{\sinh ^2(x)}{2 \alpha ^2}} \...
Mehmet Ozan Kabak's user avatar
3 votes
1 answer
156 views

Measurability of a particular set generated by discrete probability measures

Suppose that $(S,\Sigma)$ is a measurable space with $S$ Polish and $\Sigma$ its Borel sigma algebra. Let $\mathcal{C}$ be the collection of discrete probability measures on $S$ having countably ...
shanex's user avatar
  • 33
8 votes
3 answers
934 views

Question about Wasserstein metric

Let $\mu$ and $\nu$ be two probability measures on $\mathbb R^n$ with finite first moment. Denote by $d:=W_1(\mu,\nu)$, where $W_1(\cdot,\cdot)$ stands for the Wasserstein distance of order $1$. My ...
user111097's user avatar
8 votes
2 answers
2k views

Median and mean of the sample mean of i.i.d. log-normal

Let $y:=\frac1n\sum_{i=1}^n x_i$, where $\{x_i\}_{i=1}^n$ is a set of i.i.d. random variables, and every $x_i$ has a lognormal distribution $x_i \sim\text{Lognormal}(\mu,\sigma^2)$. Let $\text{Med}[y]$...
Hans's user avatar
  • 2,239
4 votes
0 answers
516 views

Sum of Binomial random variable CDF

Suppose there are two independent Binomial random variables $$ X\sim Binomial(n,p)\\ Y\sim Binomial(n,p+\delta) $$ where $\delta$ is considered to be fixed, and $p$ can vary in $(0,1-\delta)$. Now ...
Oliver's user avatar
  • 103
1 vote
1 answer
122 views

Variance bound of a functional

$X_1,\ldots,X_n$ are i.i.d standard normal random variables. $a_1,\ldots, a_n$ are constants with $a_i \in [\kappa_1, \kappa_2]$ for all $i$ and $\kappa_1>0$. $\hat c_n$ is given as the solution ...
Gourab Mukherjee's user avatar
10 votes
0 answers
742 views

Torus Graph Dynamics

Consider the torus graph, or the toroidal grid, which looks like (The graph's vertices are the bold dots). I will discuss only square torus graphs, where there is an equal number of vertices in a "...
co.sine's user avatar
  • 403
3 votes
0 answers
186 views

Anti-concentration for sum of t-wise independent uniform variables

Let $X_{1},\ldots,X_{n}$ be i.i.d. random variables, each variable is uniform over the set of integers $\{ 0,\ldots,D-1 \}$. Let $S = \sum_{i=1}^{n}X_{i}$. By ``small ball probability'', we have that ...
Daniel86's user avatar
  • 225
2 votes
1 answer
322 views

Questions about Levy measure in the canonical representation of infinitely divisible distributions

Let $X$ be a random variable with infinitely divisible and symmetric distribution $F$ distributed on $\mathbb{R}$. It is well known that the characteristic function of $X$ has a canonical ...
Boby's user avatar
  • 671
3 votes
1 answer
196 views

Minimizer of two random walks

Consider the following two random walks: The first random walk $\{S_n\}$ has i.i.d. step size $$ X_i\sim\mathcal{N}(1,1) $$ The second random walk $\{S'_n\}$ has i.i.d. step size $$ Y_i\sim\mathcal{...
Oliver's user avatar
  • 103
12 votes
2 answers
1k views

Should you bet in poker against Darth Vader?

This is a theoretical question about poker-type games. I'm not going to specify the rules. You can consider No Limit Texas Hold'em or some simple theoretical model, where each player holds a number ...
domotorp's user avatar
  • 18.9k
10 votes
2 answers
544 views

Does the optimal strategy converge in poker if the SPR tends to infinity?

This a a theoretical question about poker type games. I'm sure I don't have to explain the rules - you can consider No Limit Texas Hold'em or some simple theoretical model, where each player holds a ...
domotorp's user avatar
  • 18.9k
2 votes
1 answer
302 views

Order of independent random variables

Let $(p_\pi)_{\pi\in S_3}$ be given nonnegative reals such that $\sum_{\pi \in S_3} p_\pi = 1$. What are necessary and sufficient conditions for there to exist independent random variables $X_1,X_2,...
Sean Eberhard's user avatar
6 votes
1 answer
2k views

Minimizing KL divergence: the asymmetry, when will the solution be the same?

The KL divergence between two distribution $p$ and $q$ is defined as $$ D( q \| p)\int q(x)\log \frac{q(x)}{p(x)} dx $$ and is known to be asymmetry: $D(q\|p)\neq D(p\|q)$. If we fix $p$ and try to ...
Sung-En Chiu's user avatar
2 votes
1 answer
153 views

A problem about normal distribution, independent random variables

Suppose $\alpha_1, ..., \alpha_n $ are independent identically distributed random variables, $ a_1, ..., a_n,b_1,...,b_n $ are non-zero constants. Is it true that if $ \sum_{i=1}^{n}a_i\alpha_i $ and $...
Martin Chow's user avatar
1 vote
0 answers
265 views

Time-inhomogeneous and state dependent Markov chain

We look at an inhomogeneous Markov chain $X_{n}$ that evolves according to the following transition probabilities: $$ P(X_{n+1}=k+1|X_{n}=k)=\frac{f(k)}{n+1}\\ P(X_{n+1}=k|X_{n}=k)=\frac{n-f(k)}{n+1}\\...
Carina's user avatar
  • 11
5 votes
0 answers
204 views

anti-concentration of multi-linear polynomials in Gaussian variables

A Gaussian variable $X_i\sim {\cal N}(0,1)$ is anti-concentrated in the following sense: for any $\epsilon>0$ we have: $$ \mathbf{P}( |X_i| \leq \epsilon ) = O(\epsilon). $$ Hence if we consider a ...
Lior Eldar's user avatar
2 votes
1 answer
114 views

Does maximizing $D_u$ imply stochastic ordering?

Let $\mathscr P _0$ and $\mathscr P _1$ be two non-overlapping sets of probability distributions defined on $(\Omega,\mathcal{A})$. Consider the distance defined as $$D_u(P_0,P_1)=\int_\Omega \left(\...
Seyhmus Güngören's user avatar
1 vote
1 answer
234 views

When is the second largest Gaussian r.v. the largest in the stochastic sense?

Let $X_1, \ldots, X_n$ be jointly Gaussian, each of which is marginally distributed as a standard Gaussian $N(0,1)$. It is well known that $\max |X_i|$ achieves the maximum in the stochastic sense if $...
John Wong's user avatar
  • 773
0 votes
1 answer
165 views

Efficiently Sampling of Multivariate Distributions in the Vicinity of a Manifold

I am given a multivariate distribution, that maps each point of $\mathbb{R}^n$ to its probability of being drawn as sample and, the convolution $\mathcal{S_r}\times\mathcal{M}$ of a manifold $\mathcal{...
Manfred Weis's user avatar
  • 13.2k
2 votes
1 answer
216 views

Measure space for trees and other algebraic datatypes

Given a measure space $\mathcal M$, I am wondering what kind of measure space $\mathcal T(\mathcal M)$ one could associate to the set of binary trees with elements from $\mathcal M$ at each node. The ...
Manuel Eberl's user avatar
  • 1,241
2 votes
1 answer
369 views

Recovering a distribution from sample averages?

I'm working on a problem where I have $n^2$ real numbers $x_{11},...,x_{nn}$, all drawn i.i.d. from the same distribution $F$. I don't observe each $x_{ij}$, but I do observe the $n$ means: $$\bar{x}...
Asterix's user avatar
  • 371
6 votes
0 answers
133 views

Random Balanced Assignment

A balanced assignment from from $N$ objects to $K$ classes is a mapping $\sigma\colon \{ 1, \ldots, N\} \rightarrow \{ 1, \ldots, K\}$ such that $$ \textrm{Card}( \sigma^{-1} \{j \} ) = \textrm{Card} ...
Steve's user avatar
  • 1,127
15 votes
2 answers
1k views

Sum of independent random variables

We know that the sum of two independent normal random variables is again a normal random variable. But is the reverse right? If $X$ and $Y$ are independent random variables satisfying $X+Y$~$N(\mu,\...
St Chou's user avatar
  • 153
6 votes
0 answers
388 views

Closedness of a set of measures, where conditional marginals are in closed $\varepsilon$-ball w.r.t. Wasserstein distance

Let $(E,d)$ be a bounded polish space (separable, complete metric space satisfying $\sup_{x,y\in E} d(x,y) < \infty$). By $\mathcal{P}(E)$ we denote the space of Borel probability measures on $E$ ...
Steve's user avatar
  • 1,095
1 vote
1 answer
376 views

Invariants on the space of probability distributions

There are many valuable functionals on the space of probability distributions which are invariant under variable transformations. (as an example KL divergence) But all these functionals are defined ...
user21963's user avatar
1 vote
1 answer
183 views

Diffuse measure space as a product of $[0;1]$ and another diffuse measure space

The title speaks of itself. How far is an arbitrary finite diffuse measure space from being almost isomorphic to a product of $[0;1]$ with another diffuse measure space? What would be reasonable ...
Bedovlat's user avatar
  • 1,959
1 vote
1 answer
314 views

Solution of bimodal and multimodal Weibull distribution

Is there any closed form solution for $\sigma$ in a bimodal Weibull distribution function written in the following form: $$ P(\sigma) = 1- exp\Bigg(-\alpha\Big(\frac{\sigma}{\sigma_1}\Big)^{m1} -\...
F.Danzi's user avatar
  • 33
3 votes
0 answers
79 views

Finding analytic expressions for the cumulants of a correlated random variable

I am working with cumulants of a distribution. I have an example of how the second cumulant may be simplified from: $k_2 = p\alpha^2\left\{\left(\sum a_i\right)^2 - 2\sum_{i<j}a_ia_j\left(1-\rho^{...
hydrologist's user avatar
4 votes
2 answers
258 views

What theorem can be used to explain this occurrence?

I'm not highly versed in research-level mathematics. I do conduct research in cellular biology. I was wondering if you could help me find a term that can be referred to when discussing the following ...
Rohan Arora's user avatar
0 votes
0 answers
65 views

Wanted: example of a non-stationary sequence with reverse empirical measure

Assume we have a sequence $\xi=(\xi_1,\xi_2,\dots)$ of random variables such that $$\eta=\left(\frac{\sum_{i=1}^n \delta_{\xi_i}}{n}\right)_{n\geq 1}$$ is a reverse-martingale with respect to its own ...
mbe's user avatar
  • 211
7 votes
0 answers
3k views

What is vague convergence and what does it accomplish?

For convenience, let's say that I have a locally compact Hausdorff space $X$ and am concerned with probability measures on its Borel $\sigma$-algebra $\mathcal{B}(X)$. Natural vector spaces to ...
Greg Zitelli's user avatar
  • 1,124
2 votes
1 answer
652 views

Concentration inequality for subgaussian^4

Let $X_1,...,X_N$ be IID, mean-zero random variables whose tail is bounded by a subgaussian-tailed variable to the fourth moment, i.e., for some $t \ge t_0 > 0$ $$ P(|X_i| > t) \le C\exp\left( -...
Nikolayevich's user avatar

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