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Modeling player interactions in multi-dimensional rating systems

In traditional rating systems (such as Elo), a player's strength is represented by a single scalar value, which is assumed to be consistent across different opponents. However, in some games, the ...
mb1's user avatar
  • 1
3 votes
0 answers
54 views

Multi-type Galton-Watson-like process where only majority-type is allowed to reproduce

Are you aware of any research papers that have explored a multi-type Galton-Watson process in which only particles of the majority type are permitted to reproduce in each generation? I've been unable ...
Eubos's user avatar
  • 56
4 votes
2 answers
427 views

Binomial coefficient asymptotics

What is the probability that the number of heads in $n$ fair coin tosses is exactly $\lfloor n/2 + c\sqrt{n} \rfloor$ for $c \leq O(1)$, $n > \omega(1)$? Of course the answer is $$ \frac{1}{2^n} \...
Alek Westover's user avatar
1 vote
0 answers
62 views

Nonintersecting witnesses of connectivity events in graphs

In my research I stumbled across a following result: Let $G = (V, E)$ be a multigraph with three chosen vertices $a, b, c \in V$. We color its edges into red and blue colors: $E = R \sqcup S$. Events ...
Nikita Gladkov's user avatar
0 votes
2 answers
239 views

Computing the expectation of a quadratic matrix form involving Bernoulli and Gaussian distributed matrices

I am working with two random matrices, $Z$ and $H$: $Z$ is an $n \times K$ matrix with entries sampled i.i.d. from a Bernoulli distribution: $Z_{ij} \sim \mathrm{Bernoulli}(p)$. $H$ is a $K \times K$ ...
Dalek's user avatar
  • 37
1 vote
0 answers
91 views

Large deviation inequalities for number of coupon types collected by a coupon collector with fixed budget

In the generalized Coupon Collector's Problem, there are $N$ types of coupon, and for any $i \in [N] := \{1,2,\ldots,N\}$, $p_i \ge 0$ is the probability of obtaining a type-i coupon on any trial. ...
dohmatob's user avatar
  • 6,853
2 votes
0 answers
56 views

Dirichlet series solution to Poisson Point Process question (repost from math.SE)

Reposting here because the bounty on the original math.SE post expired, with no solutions or comments received. For any discrete subset $S$ of $\mathbb{R}^d$, consider a digraph formed by placing an ...
Jim Ferry's user avatar
  • 121
2 votes
0 answers
68 views

What is an efficient non-adaptive group testing scheme if the number of defectives, $d$, grows proportionally to the number of items, $n$?

Suppose that for some $p \in \left(0, 1\right)$ and some $n \in \mathbb{N}$, we have $n$ independent Bernoulli random variables, $X_{1}, X_{2}, \dots, X_{n}$, each with mean $p$. We shall call $X_{1}, ...
Matthew Barber's user avatar
4 votes
1 answer
197 views

On a double sum involving binomial coefficients

For natural $n$, let \begin{equation} p_n:=2^{1-n}\sum_{v=1}^l \binom l{(v+l)/2}1(v\equiv l) \sum_{u=1-v}^{v-1}\binom k{(u+k)/2}1(u\equiv k), \tag{1}\label{1} \end{equation} where $k:=\lfloor(n+1)/...
Iosif Pinelis's user avatar
1 vote
0 answers
60 views

Correct dependence for "Local Coloring"

In Alon-Spencer's book, Probabilistic Lens #8, it is proven that for each $k$, there exists $\epsilon = \epsilon(k)>0$ such that for all large $n$, there exists an $n$-vertex graph $G$ with ...
Zach Hunter's user avatar
  • 3,499
-3 votes
1 answer
117 views

Combinatorial meaning of a reduced fraction in a simple probability problem?

A routine exercise for undergraduates says: Given that the number of successes in $20$ independent Bernoulli trials was $8,$ what is the conditional probability that exactly $3$ of those $8$ successes ...
Michael Hardy's user avatar
1 vote
0 answers
92 views

Can we prove the following statement for recurrence relation?

For every integer $n$, we have the following recurrence: $a_{i}= p^i(1-p)^{n-i}\binom{n}{i} -\sum_{j=i+1}^na_j\binom{j}{i}$. Can we prove that for every $n$ and $p<1/\sqrt{n}$, it holds that $\...
was_n's user avatar
  • 11
1 vote
0 answers
77 views

Distribution of colour pairs from a random matching

Given $a$ many red balls and $b$ many blue balls, with $a+b$ even, suppose we chose a random matching between the $a+b$ balls. What is the distribution of the number of red-red and red-blue (and blue-...
Lewwwer's user avatar
  • 129
1 vote
1 answer
186 views

Expected cardinal of the intersection between a random subset and a fixed subset

I have a set of size $n$, and a fixed subset $A$ of cardinal $k$. I take a random subset $X$ of cardinal $d$. I need to compute the expected cardinal of the intersection between $A$ and $X$. I tried ...
gthev's user avatar
  • 11
2 votes
1 answer
115 views

Randomly chosen walk of fixed length

Let $G=(V, E)$ be the graph on vertices $V = \{0, \cdots, k\}^n$, where vertices $(v_1, \cdots, v_n)$ and $(w_1, \cdots, w_n)$ share an edge iff $\lvert v_i - w_i\rvert \leq 1$ for all $i$. A walk of ...
S. M. Roch's user avatar
1 vote
0 answers
216 views

Classical and free cumulants, symmetric functions, and inverses (references), related to associahedra, parking functions, noncrossing partitions

Looking for references for one or more of the following four sets of partition polynomials 1a) through 4a), particularly those which present geometric / topological combinatorial interpretations. ...
Tom Copeland's user avatar
  • 10.5k
9 votes
1 answer
1k views

The length of the longest consecutive string of heads or tails that occur asymptotically almost surely when a unbiased coin is flipped repeatedly

Consider an unbiased coin being flipped $n$ times, and suppose we label the outcomes as Heads = 0, and Tails = 1. Then the result of the flipping is a finite binary sequence of length $n$. Let us ...
positron's user avatar
3 votes
2 answers
257 views

Grouping lists together in a proportional election: image of a Dirichlet distribution by the D'Hondt method of proportional allotment

A real-world motivation for this question is given below. But first let me recall what the Jefferson-D'Hondt “greatest divisors” method of proportional allotment (often used in electoral systems to ...
Gro-Tsen's user avatar
  • 32.5k
6 votes
1 answer
355 views

Probabilistic problem on random spanning trees

Let $G(V,E)$ be a connected simple graph, where $V$ and $E$ denote respectively its vertex and the edge set respectively. Let $f: V\to \{-1,1\}$ a function mapping each vertex to a value in $\{-1,1\}$....
Penelope Benenati's user avatar
3 votes
1 answer
229 views

Maximum cardinality of separated sets in the Hamming distance

This question is motivated by section 15.1 (Codes) of Alon and Spencer's The probabilistic method. Fix $\alpha<\frac{1}{2}$ and for each $n\in\mathbb{N}$ let $\{0,1\}^n$ be the length $n$ binary ...
Saúl RM's user avatar
  • 10.6k
1 vote
1 answer
195 views

Concentration of a certain simple / well-structured random multilinear polynomial with growing degree

Let $k$ and $N_1$ be positive integers and set $N=kN_1$. Partition $[N] := \{1,2,\ldots,N\}$ $k$ disjoint from $G_1,\ldots,G_k$ of each of size $N_1$, and let $\mathcal T(k,N_1)$ be a transversal of ...
dohmatob's user avatar
  • 6,853
0 votes
1 answer
119 views

How many samples do you need to get constant dispersion?

Let $C_n$ be the hypercube $[-1,1]^n$. For $a_1,\cdots,a_s \in C_n$, define its dispersion $D(a_1,\cdots,a_s)$ as $\max_{x \in C_n}\min_{i \in [s]} \|x-a_i\|_{2}$. Let $0< \lambda < 1$ be a ...
Mathews Boban's user avatar
2 votes
0 answers
148 views

Union of two copies of uniform spanning forest on $\mathbb{Z}^3$ is transient? [closed]

Let $G$ be the (random) graph which is the union of two independent copies of the uniform spanning forest on $\mathbb{Z}^3$. Question: Is (the simple random walk on) $G$ transient almost surely?
none Yuan's user avatar
2 votes
1 answer
201 views

Dispersion of a "random" subset of $[-1,1]^2$

Let $C$ be the square $[-1,1]^2$. Let $a_1,\dots,a_m$ be points chosen independently and uniformly at random from $C$. Let $d_m$ (dispersion) be the random variable $\max_{x \in C}{\min_{j \in [m]}{\|...
Mathews Boban's user avatar
4 votes
0 answers
414 views

Explicit formula for tournament sequence

I am looking for an explicit formula for a sequence. The sequence is generated as follows: There is a tournament with $10$ teams. In the beginning, all teams have a 0-0 win-loss record. The teams are ...
Jackson's user avatar
  • 41
4 votes
1 answer
167 views

A probability problem in the conjugacy classes of symmetric group

Assume that $\sigma\in S_n$ has the cycle type $(p,.,p,1,..,1)$ where $p>2$ is a prime and the numbers of $1$ maybe $0$. If $\sigma_1$ and $\sigma_2$ are chosen uniformly in the conjugacy class of $...
constantine's user avatar
2 votes
1 answer
224 views

Approximate size of the image of functions $f:[n]\to[n]$ [closed]

The following is inspired from the most recent riddle of the week of the German news magazine Der Spiegel. For any positive integer $n\in\mathbb{N}$, let $[n]$ denote the set $\{1,\ldots,n\}$. Let $...
Dominic van der Zypen's user avatar
3 votes
1 answer
142 views

Probabilistic method Alon and Spencer Azuma's inequality

Theorem 7.5.2 states: Let $v_1, \dots, v_n$ be vectors with $\|v_i\| \leq 1.$ Let $\epsilon_1, \dots, \epsilon_n \in \{-1, 1\}$ be independent with uniform probability and let $X=\|\epsilon_1 v_1 + \...
Marina Drygala's user avatar
8 votes
1 answer
478 views

Scheduling "parent talks" at school

Real life motivation. In my younger son's class, there are $18$ students. His teacher provided $18$ time slots for the parents of each child to have a 30-minute conversation of their kid's progress in ...
Dominic van der Zypen's user avatar
1 vote
1 answer
268 views

Entropy upper bound for the union of uniform distributions over union-closed families

The following question is motivated by the recent breakthrough result by Justin Gilmer on the union-closed sets (aka Frankl) conjecture. Let $\mathcal{F}\subseteq\mathcal{P}(\mathbb{N})$ be a finite, ...
RaffaeleScandone's user avatar
7 votes
0 answers
464 views

Mistakes in Logan and Shepp's famous paper on Young Tableaux?

In their landmark paper from 1977 named "A Variational Problem for Random Young Tableaux" Logan and Shepp obtained a number of results concerning asymptotic properties of Young Diagrams ...
Matteo's user avatar
  • 116
1 vote
1 answer
199 views

Rademacher complexity for a family of bounded, nondecreasing functions?

Let $\{\phi_k\}_{k=1}^K$ be a family of functions mapping from an interval $[a, b]$ to $[-1, 1]$. That is, $\phi_k \colon[ a,b] \to [-1, 1]$ are nondecreasing maps on some finite interval $[a, b] \...
Drew Brady's user avatar
3 votes
0 answers
187 views

Approximating any $d$-dimensional convex shape that occupies a constant fraction of its bounding box with a polytope having $\mathrm{poly}(d)$ facets

Given any convex set $A\in\mathbb{R}^d$, we denote by $V(A)$ its $d$-volume. Furthermore, given any two convex sets $A_1,A_2\in\mathbb{R}^d$, we denote by $V_{A_1,A_2}$ the $d$-volume of the symmetric ...
Penelope Benenati's user avatar
7 votes
0 answers
162 views

Approximating any convex shape in $\mathbb{R}^d$ with a polytope having $\mathrm{poly}(d)$ facets

We denote by $V(A)$ the $d$-volume of any convex set $A$. Furthermore, given any two convex sets $A,B\in\mathbb{R}^d$, we denote by $V_{A,B}$ the $d$-volume of the symmetric difference $V\left(A \...
Penelope Benenati's user avatar
3 votes
1 answer
266 views

A linearly distributed version of the balls into bins problem

Some years ago, I found a paper with all the formulas for the balls into bins problem when the "areas" (i.e., probabilities to capture a ball) of the bins are all different. However, the ...
Penelope Benenati's user avatar
3 votes
0 answers
190 views

Probabilistic optimization problem on tree vertex selection without replacement proportional to the degree

We are given a tree $T(V,E)$ with $|V|=n$ vertices, where $V=\{v_1,v_2,\ldots, v_n\}$. We denote by $d_i$ the degree of vertex $v_i$ for all $i\in\{1,2,\ldots,n\}$. In a sequential fashion, we select ...
Penelope Benenati's user avatar
2 votes
0 answers
103 views

Optimization problem on randomly selecting subintervals from a given interval with combinatorial constraints

We select uniformly at random $k$ pairwise disjoint intervals from a given interval $[0,s]$ with length respectively equal to $\ell_1, \ell_2, \ldots, \ell_k\ $, i.e., we select uniformly at random $k$...
Penelope Benenati's user avatar
1 vote
1 answer
318 views

How to calculate this limit (if exist)?

I have just asked the calculation of the following summation see here $$S(a,b,m,n_1,n_2)=\sum_{k=0}^m a^k b^{m-k} {n_1\choose k} {n_2\choose m-k}, $$ which is motivated by the calculation of the ...
Dian's user avatar
  • 57
4 votes
0 answers
93 views

(Asymptotic) Cycle structure in a random permutation given total number of cycles?

A random $N$-permutation is the one drawn uniformly from all possible permutations on $N$ points. We know that the expected number of cycles of length $\ell$ in a random $N$-permutation, $\mathbb{E}C_\...
MikeG's user avatar
  • 715
3 votes
1 answer
218 views

Bounding the number of facets of a polytope to approximate a given convex shape in higher dimensions

We are given a convex shape $S$ lying inside the hypercube $[0,1]^d$ in the $d$-dimensional Euclidean space. Let the volume $V(S)$ of $S$ be $\tfrac12$ (I guess nothing changes for any other fixed ...
Penelope Benenati's user avatar
4 votes
0 answers
144 views

Approximation of a convex shape in the $d$-dimensional Euclidean space for $d\gg 1$

We are given a convex shape $C$ lying inside the hypercube $[0,1]^d$ in the $d$-dimensional Euclidean space. Let the volume of $C$ be $\tfrac12$ (I guess nothing changes for any other fixed constant ...
Penelope Benenati's user avatar
7 votes
1 answer
186 views

$d$-ball approximation for $d\gg 1$ with a convex hull of random points on its boundary

Given a $d$-ball $\mathcal{S}^{d}$, let $P_n$ a set of $n$ points selected uniformly at random on the boundary $\mathcal{S}^{d-1}$ of $\mathcal{S}^{d}$. Let $\mathcal{C}_n$ the convex hull of $P_n$. ...
Penelope Benenati's user avatar
3 votes
1 answer
271 views

The number of $3$-CNF formulas in $n$-variables and the fraction of satisfiable ones

What is the number of $3$-CNF (conjunctive normal form) formulas with $n$ sentential variables and what is the fraction of satisfiable ones? I consider two formulas the same if they are syntactically ...
user1642683's user avatar
1 vote
0 answers
84 views

Constructing k-wise independent variables over a general set

We have seen in class a polynomials based construction that builds in $O(n^k)$ time, $n$ random variables, $k$-wise independent, over a field with $n$ elements. More specifically, you generate all the ...
tamir's user avatar
  • 11
6 votes
0 answers
164 views

Hamilton cycles in random graphs with just enough connectivity

What is the asymptotic probability that $G$ has a Hamilton cycle if $G$ is a random $n$ vertex $\frac{4}{3}n$ edge graph, with minimum degree 2 and without degree 2 vertices at distance 1 or 2 to each ...
Dmytro Taranovsky's user avatar
0 votes
1 answer
116 views

What's the cumulative probability of these particular bags of liquorice allsorts?

After eating a bag of liquorice allsorts in one sitting, as one does, I noticed that it had contained an unusual amount of brown ones (which, you will agree, are an abomination that should never have ...
Thomas's user avatar
  • 123
0 votes
0 answers
222 views

Convergence to normal distribution in total variation distance

Let $X_i$ be independent, identically distributed random variables with a uniform distribution on $\{M+1,...,2M\}$ (say), where $M$ is a positive integer. What would be a lower bound for how rapidly $...
H A Helfgott's user avatar
  • 20.2k
6 votes
2 answers
723 views

Threshold function for a graph not being planar

A graph property $\mathcal{P}$ is monotone increasing if $G\in \mathcal{P}$ implies $G+e \in \mathcal{P}$, i.e., adding an edge to a graph does not destroy the property. It is well-known that every ...
W. Paul Liu's user avatar
3 votes
0 answers
151 views

Permutahedra Euler characteristic polynomials from cumulant-moment relation, a combinatorial proof?

Given the formal Taylor series, or e.g.f., $f(x) = 1 + \sum_{n \geq 1} m_n \; \frac{x^n}{n!}$, the classical formal cumulants $c_n$ are generated from the formal moments $m_n$ via $ \sum_{n \geq 1} ...
Tom Copeland's user avatar
  • 10.5k
0 votes
0 answers
45 views

Lower bound for the gap in an interval randomly divided into $M$ pieces

Assume we randomly take $M$ integers $t_1 \le t_2 \le \dots \le t_M$ from the set of integers $\{ 1, 2, \dots, T \}$ such that $t_M = T$. We further denote $t_0 = 1$ for convention. For each $s \in [1,...
Rowan Ruiyuan Huang's user avatar

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