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Questions tagged [pr.probability]

Theory and applications of probability and stochastic processes: e.g. central limit theorems, large deviations, stochastic differential equations, models from statistical mechanics, queuing theory.

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Random Permutation with fixed cycle length.

Suppose $ S_{n,N} $ be the set of $n$ elements with $N$ many cycles where $N$ is proportional to $n$. $U_{n,N}$ is an element picked randomly from this. It is known that the length of any cycle cannot ...
gmath's user avatar
  • 141
43 votes
8 answers
3k views

How to quantify noncommutativity?

If I have two operators or finite-dimensional matrices $A$ and $B$, how can I quantify the amount to which they commute or don't commute? (I would consider it a big plus if it is computable easily for ...
Jiahao Chen's user avatar
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2 votes
2 answers
2k views

Multivariate power law distributions?

Is there a text books or publications that describes multivariate power law/pareto distributions?
user23611's user avatar
2 votes
0 answers
271 views

Convergence of sample mean

I have a two-index succession of real-valued random variables $x_{t,n}$ such that $\lim_{n\to\infty} x_{t,n} = x_t$, for all $t$ and suitable limit r.v. $x_t$. I would like to prove that $$\lim_{n\to\...
Federico Poloni's user avatar
11 votes
1 answer
1k views

resampling over Bowen balls

Hello MO World I'm working on a paper involving embedding your favourite measure-preserving transformation into a topological model (think Krieger generator theorem: embedding in a full shift) and ...
Anthony Quas's user avatar
  • 23.2k
3 votes
1 answer
203 views

Bounds on tails with moments

A sort of continuation of Comparing distributions with moments Suppose I have some estimates of the moments of a non-negative random variable $X$: $$\log \mathbb{E}(X^n) = n \log n + (\beta-1)n + O(\...
genneth's user avatar
  • 275
1 vote
0 answers
179 views

Entropy of Bernoulli walks on semi-groups.

Consider the Fibonacci semi-group $<L,R|LRR=RLL>$ with a Bernoulli walk $P(R)=p, P(L)=1-p$. Is the entropy $H(p)$ an unimodal function with maximum at p=0.5? Is this true for all finitely ...
Jörg Neunhäuserer's user avatar
9 votes
5 answers
8k views

Intersection of an uncountable number of sets.

Let $\mathcal{I}$ be an uncountable set. Let $(\Omega, \mathcal{F},\mathbb{P})$ be a probability space, and $E_i, i\in \mathcal{I}$ be a measurable set such that $\mathbb{P}(E_i)=1$. What can we say ...
gmravi2003's user avatar
3 votes
3 answers
1k views

Comparing distributions with moments

Suppose I have two variables $X$ and $Y$ which have continuous p.d.f.s $f$ and $g$ on the positive real line. I know that the moments $\mathrm{E}[X^n] > \mathrm{E}[Y^n]$ for sufficiently large $n$ (...
genneth's user avatar
  • 275
2 votes
1 answer
1k views

karhunen-Loeve expansion of Poisson process

Let $X_t, t\geq 0$ be a Poisson process with rate parameter $\lambda$. Compute the karhunen-loeve expansion of $X$ in interval [0, T]. How about the KL expansion of the centered process $X_t-\lambda t$...
Adel Ahmadyan's user avatar
6 votes
1 answer
595 views

Number of connected components in a graph from G(n,m)

Hello, $G(n,m)$ is the family of all graphs with $n$ vertices and $m$ edges (I consider $m < n$). Each graph in $G(n,m)$ is selected with uniform probability. What is the probability that the ...
Marina's user avatar
  • 61
5 votes
1 answer
361 views

Moment Bounds on Hölder norms of stochastic processes

It is relatively easy to show that a stochastic process is Hölder continuous using Kolmogorov continuity theorem link text. But how does one obtain a bound $\mathbb{E} \left\Vert u\right\Vert _{\gamma}...
warsaga's user avatar
  • 1,256
2 votes
2 answers
427 views

Probability of a Random Walk crossing an increasing function of the standard deviation

Let $(S_n)_{n=0}^{\infty}$ be a random walk with $S_n = \sum_{i=1}^n X_i$, and let the $X_i$ be distributed according to some (bounded) distribution function $F$ with mean $0$ and variance $1$, so ...
TMM's user avatar
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31 votes
1 answer
7k views

"psi-epistemic theories" in 3 or more dimensions

In their recent paper The Quantum State Can Be Interpreted Statistically, Lewis et al. end with a very nice mathematical question, one whose answer (either way) would have interesting implications for ...
Scott Aaronson's user avatar
1 vote
2 answers
1k views

multivariate Gaussian approximation in total variation distance

I'm wondering if there's any general technique that gives the total variation distance between a distribution on $\mathbb{R}^n$ and $N(0, I_n)$. My understanding is that Stein's method gives only ...
Y L's user avatar
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1 vote
0 answers
188 views

Generating Conditional Random Graphs

Let $G(n,p)$ be the usual random graph on $n$ vertices with each edge existing independently with probability $p$ (no self loops , or double edges not are allowed). I would like to simulate the ...
Alex R.'s user avatar
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6 votes
1 answer
1k views

Time reversibility of Stratonovich Diffusion: Reference Request

Please consider the Stratonovich stochastic differential equation (SDE) $$ dX = b(X)\circ dB $$ where $B$ is standard Brownian motion and $X(0)=X_0$. This corresponds to the Ito (SDE) $$ dX = \frac{1}{...
Paul Tupper's user avatar
6 votes
2 answers
410 views

If Mean Residual Lifetime is approximately constant, Residual Lifetime is Approximately Exponential in a Strong Sense

Suppose the "mean residual lifetime," $\mathbb{E}[X-x|X≥x]$ is approximately constant for large $x$. Then, I believe that the conditional tail distribution is approximately exponential, in the sense ...
Nahpetz's user avatar
  • 99
1 vote
1 answer
281 views

A uniqueness proposition involving Erf, the error function

This is a generalization of a previous MO question, "Reducing system of equations involving Erf, Error Function". Consider the system of equations: $$1/2 + {\rm Erf}(x) - \alpha {\rm Erf}(\frac{x+y}{...
Johan Ugander's user avatar
3 votes
2 answers
752 views

Inequalities involving moments

$\newcommand{\bR}{\mathbb{R}}$ Suppose that $w:\bR\to \bR$ is a nonnegative, even smooth function decaying fast at $\infty$, $w\in\mathscr{S}(\bR)$. Define $$s_m(w)= \int_{\bR^m} w(|x|) dx,\;\; ...
0 votes
1 answer
289 views

Dither in Leech lattice quantization!

Can you please help me how to generate a dither signal $\mathbf{U}$, where $\mathbf{U}$ is a random vector of length 24 that is uniformly distributed over the Voronoi region of the Leech lattice. Best,...
Farzad's user avatar
  • 197
9 votes
4 answers
4k views

Anti-concentration of Gaussian quadratic form

Let $X_1,\dots,X_n$ denote i.i.d. standard Gaussian random variables. My question is: Do there exist absolute constants $C,c>0$ such that for every $\epsilon>0$ and positive real numbers $a_1,\...
Mitch's user avatar
  • 667
2 votes
0 answers
161 views

On randomly colored random chords

Let $Q=[-1/2,1/2]^2$ be a unit square and let $(\ell_n,\varepsilon_n)_{n\geq1}$ be an iid sequence of isotropic lines intersecting $Q$ (more precisely, distributed according to a Haar measure on the ...
Christian Hirsch's user avatar
1 vote
3 answers
538 views

"Graphical models" and "gene finding and diagnosis of diseases" ?

Quote Wikipedia: Applications of graphical models include ... gene finding and diagnosis of diseases... Unfortunately there is no comment what are these applications... Can one comment on this ? ...
6 votes
2 answers
482 views

Central limit theorem for 3d rotations

Let $X_i$ (where $i=1, \dots , n$) be independent and identically distributed 3d rotations. What is the distribution of $X_1X_2\dotsb X_n$ in the limit of large $n$? I'm especially interested in the ...
Alin's user avatar
  • 131
1 vote
0 answers
249 views

A random walk with uniformly distributed steps II

The problem is a improved version of this problem, A random walk with uniformly distributed steps Let us imagine a point on the real axis. At the beginning, it is located at point $O$. Then it will "...
Lwins's user avatar
  • 1,551
7 votes
4 answers
854 views

Laplace transform on the cone of positive-definite matrices

The title says most. Let $P_p$ be the cone of positive-definite $p \times p$ matrices. One can define the Laplace transform of (the distribution of) a random matrix with values in $P_p$ by (for ...
kjetil b halvorsen's user avatar
3 votes
1 answer
853 views

Transience of self avoiding random walks on $\mathbb{Z}^d$

I'm finishing up a masters thesis in computer science and want to say a bit in the introduction about self-avoiding walks. My thesis looks at a random process which arose in computer science and my ...
David White's user avatar
  • 30.3k
2 votes
1 answer
521 views

Limit of a rescaled random sum of i.i.d. random variables

Consider a sequence of i.i.d. random variables $(X_i)_{i \in \mathbb N}$ and let $S_n=X_1+\dots+X_n$ For every $\alpha \in ]0,+\infty[$, let $N(\alpha)$ be a discrete random variable on $\mathbb N$, ...
alezok's user avatar
  • 418
4 votes
2 answers
1k views

Reducing system of equations involving Erf, Error Function

I have a system of equations: $$1/2 + {\rm Erf}(x) - {\rm Erf}(\frac{x+y}{2})=0$$ $$-1/2 + {\rm Erf}(y) - {\rm Erf}(\frac{x+y}{2})=0,$$ Where $x \le y$ and ${\rm Erf}$ is the Error Function. By ...
Johan Ugander's user avatar
3 votes
3 answers
2k views

How to bound the sup norm of a Rademacher process or equivalently a Gaussian process?

I want to know how to find an upper bound of the following expectation taken for both $t$ and $y$ as $$\mathbb{E}\sup_{x \in D} \left|\sum_{k=1}^n t_k x^T y_k\right|,$$ where $D$ is the set of ...
user11870's user avatar
  • 227
12 votes
3 answers
891 views

Looking for at least one beautiful and not too technical result in asymptotic group theory

We have a student seminar devoted to the problems of asymptotic group theory with some connections to ergodic theory and measure theory in general. Each talk concerns one of the problems of this ...
2 votes
1 answer
337 views

Genericity of sets without unique mean value

Following Rosenblatt and Yang, I say that a subset $A$ of $\mathbb Z$ has a unique mean value if for all invariant means $\lambda_1,\lambda_2$ on $\mathbb Z$, one has $\lambda_1(A)=\lambda_2(A)$. ...
Valerio Capraro's user avatar
1 vote
1 answer
169 views

distribution of specific exponential functional of brownian motion

Does the following hold true $\forall T>0,a>0,c>0$ (in particular for c arbitrarily small): $P_0(\int_0^T e^{-aB_s}ds<{c})>0$? This is a minor result which will improve several ...
Mendy's user avatar
  • 13
21 votes
4 answers
6k views

A random walk with uniformly distributed steps

The following problem has bothered me for a long time. Let us imagine a point on the real axis. At the beginning, it is located at point $O$. Then it will "walk" on the real axis randomly in the ...
Lwins's user avatar
  • 1,551
4 votes
2 answers
568 views

Capped binomial random variables

Consider a random variable $X = \sum_{i=1}^{m} X_i$, where each $X_i$ is an indicator random variable that is $1$ with probability $k/m$ and $0$ otherwise. We are interested in the quantity $S_X(m) = ...
Balu's user avatar
  • 97
4 votes
1 answer
715 views

Classical convolution VS Free Convolution

We denote $\varphi:\mathbb R^2\rightarrow\mathbb R$ the addition of real numbers, and $\varphi_*:M_1(\mathbb R^2)\rightarrow M_1(\mathbb R)$ the induced push-forward map (where $M_1(\Delta)$ stands ...
Adrien Hardy's user avatar
  • 2,135
0 votes
1 answer
103 views

Affect of noise on Random variable separation

We have two random variables $X$ and $Y$. Suppose $P_1$ is the probability that $Pr[X > Y]$. $Z_1$ and $Z_2$ are two i.i.d. (identical and independent) random variables, and let $P_2$ be the ...
Kishor Barman's user avatar
9 votes
1 answer
1k views

Correlation-Function for Random Graph Ising Model

For non-Ising'ers: Given a graph, we study the probability-distribution on the set of colorings ("Spin-up" and "-down") generated by a given correlation ("force to equality") between adjacient nodes (...
Simon Lentner's user avatar
21 votes
3 answers
5k views

James-Stein phenomenon: What does it mean that a James-Stein estimator beats least squares estimator?

Background James-Stein estimator and Stein's phenomenon, as described in Wikipedia are rather counterintuitive and amazing. It is claimed that if one wants to estimate the mean $\Theta$ of Gaussian ...
Alexander Chervov's user avatar
11 votes
2 answers
2k views

De Finetti's theorem, the pointwise ergodic theorem, and reverse martingales

De Finetti's theorem says that an exchangeable sequence of random variables $X_i$ is a mixture of i.i.d. random variables. In other words, if $\mu$ is a measure on $\mathbb{R}^\infty$ that is ...
Jason Rute's user avatar
  • 6,287
5 votes
1 answer
703 views

Concentration of Gaussian vectors

If $f: \mathbb{R}^n \to \mathbb{R}$ is a Lipschitz function and $X$ is a standard $n$-dimensional Gaussian vector with $\mathbb{E} f(X) = 0$, then $f(X)$ is subgaussian (in a way that does not depend ...
Joe Neeman's user avatar
0 votes
0 answers
227 views

Branching process question

(Cross-posted to math stackexchange question 130154) I am trying to analyze the following branching process. We start with a root (level 0) node. Each surviving node has two children, each of which ...
David Harris's user avatar
  • 3,475
1 vote
1 answer
364 views

Binomial moments for the number of events occuring

Let $A_1,A_2,\dots,A_n$ be events on a probability space. For $0 \leq k \leq n$ let \begin{equation*} S_k=\sum_{1 \le {i_1}<{i_2}<\cdots<{i_k} \leq n} P(A_{i_1} \cap \cdots \cap A_{i_k}). \...
Siksek's user avatar
  • 3,142
1 vote
1 answer
1k views

Prokhorov theorem

Hi there. It is known that on a polish space, if a family of bounded positive measures (no need to be probabilities) is tight, then it is relatively compact in the space of positive measures with ...
Soviecki's user avatar
2 votes
1 answer
1k views

Forms of the Levy-Khintchine formula

I'm writing a survey that involves Levy processes and wanted to mention the different forms of the Levy-Khintchine formula found in literature. The most common version seems to give the Levy symbol ...
Dominic's user avatar
  • 21
4 votes
1 answer
418 views

"birds on wire" type problem

Consider $n$ individuals {$1,2, \ldots, n$}. For each (unordered) pair of individuals $i \neq j$ we consider a random variable $X_{i,j}$ that can be thought of as the distance between $i$ and $j$. ...
Alekk's user avatar
  • 2,133
26 votes
4 answers
1k views

Are there lightweight foundations for arbitrarily extendable objects?

My experience with foundations is rather scant, but I've run into some types of objects that seem to resist the sort of set-theoretic encoding schemes via Kurowski tuples that are rather common for ...
S. Carnahan's user avatar
  • 45.7k
3 votes
0 answers
321 views

Joint distribution of Ito integral and its quadratic varation

Any idea on solving the joint distribution of $X_T=\int_0^T \alpha_t dZ_t$ and $Y_T=\int_0^T \alpha_t^2 dt$ ? Here $X_T$ is an Ito integral and $Z_t$ is a standard Brownian process. When $\alpha_t$ ...
DASON's user avatar
  • 118
0 votes
1 answer
442 views

Calculate $\mathbb{E}[\int_o^T N_{t-}dS_t]$ - what went wrong?

First note, I had asked a similar question here, but the thread seems to have died, so I'll revive it here with more details. As a simplification of my real problem, I want to compute $\mathbb{E}[\...
Pierre's user avatar
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