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2 votes
0 answers
80 views

Bridging between Rosethal Inequalities and log convex tails

Let $X_1,\ldots,X_n$ be independent with $\mathbf{E}[X_i] = 0$ and $\mathbf{E}[|X_i|^t] < \infty$ for some $t \ge 2$. Write $\|X\|_p = (E|X|^p)^{1/p}$. Then we have the classical "Rosenthal-type ...
1 vote
1 answer
251 views

Expand the pdf of Wishart distribution into power series via orthogonal polynomials

In the univariate case ($\chi^2$ distribution), I know we can expand the pdf into power series of the variance $\sigma^2$ with Laguerre polynomials. Indeed, since the Laguerre polynomials are related ...
2 votes
1 answer
235 views

Kolmogoroff condition for truncated random variables

Question summary. Does the Kolmogoroff condition $\sum_{n=1}^\infty\frac{\mathbb V Y_n}{n^2} < \infty$ hold for truncated random variables $Y_n := X_n \cdot 1_{\{X_n \le n\}}$ (see below for a more ...
1 vote
1 answer
41 views

Probability that maximal elements has the same position in samples from correlated random variables

Let $x$ and $y$ be two correlated random variable (say, standard normal) with correlation coefficient $\rho>0$. Let $X= \{x_1, x_2, ..., x_L\}$ and $Y= \{y_1, y_2, .. y_L\}$ be samples of size $L$ ...
6 votes
1 answer
2k views

Kullback Leibler "variance": does that divergence have a name?

If you consider two probability distributions $p$ and $q$, one way to measure the distance between the two is the Kullback-Leibler divergence: $$KL(p,q)=\int p \log (p/q) = E_p(\log p/q)$$ and this ...
3 votes
0 answers
150 views

Central Limit Theorem for simultaneous sums

Take a sample $X_1 \ldots X_n$ of $n$ independent observations $X_j \in \mathbb{R}$ with zero mean and finite variances $\sigma_j^2$. For $i = 1, 2, \ldots$, define the sums $$S^n_i = \frac{\pm X_1 \...
7 votes
4 answers
4k views

Estimating the probability that one Poisson RV is larger than another

Let $X$ and $Y$ be Poisson random variables with means $\lambda$ and $1$, respectively. The difference of $X$ and $Y$ is a Skellam random variable, with probability density function $$\mathbb P(X - Y ...
17 votes
4 answers
2k views

Good introduction to statistics from a algebraic point of view?

There are already lots of questions on this subject like Is there an introduction to probability theory from a structuralist/categorical perspective? Is there a combinatorial/topological treatment ...
2 votes
1 answer
410 views

References for Hellinger distance/affinity involving mixture distributions

For two continuous probability distributions $F,G$ and their densities, $f,g$, the (squared) Hellinger distance/affinity is given by $d^2_H(F,G)=1-\int_{\mathbb{R}} \sqrt{fg}~dx$. Suppose that $f,g$ ...
3 votes
2 answers
100 views

Left tail of convex combinations of $\chi_1^2$

Suppose $a_1,...,a_n\geq0, \sum_{i=1}^na_i=1$ and $Z_1,...,Z_n$ are i.i.d. standard normal, what is a sharp upper bound of the following probability as $\delta\to0$ and what is the order? $$\mathbb{P}(...
32 votes
3 answers
12k views

What is the Katz-Sarnak philosophy?

It has been recently mentioned by a speaker (his talk is completely not relevant to random matrix theory/RMT though) that modern statistics, especially random matrices theory, will help solving some ...
37 votes
3 answers
3k views

On Mathematical Analysis of MathSciNet & MathOverflow

This question has two original motivations: mathematical and social. The mathematical motivation is mainly based on what I have seen about Zipf's law here and there. The Zipf's law simply states ...
3 votes
1 answer
461 views

Bounding the "spikiness" of a probability distribution

Are there any well-known conditions that guarantee that a probability distribution isn't too "spiky"? I ask this question because I am interested in the families of probability distributions $f(x)$ ...
1 vote
0 answers
66 views

Matrix variate t-distribution and product of Beta distributions

This is a reference request for the following result. Let $X$ be a random matrix following the matrix variate $t$-distribution $T_{p,m}(\nu, M, U, V)$ (as defined in Wikipedia). Then $$ \frac{\det(U)}{...
2 votes
1 answer
269 views

Square integrable conditional expectations as projections

I see this page Ordinary least square and random projection, and I am thinking that how $L^2$ integrable random variables be regarded as projections over a defined filtration sequence $\mathcal{F_n}$ ?...
5 votes
3 answers
117 views

Looking for a certain kind of a distribution

Is there any probability distribution supported on a compact or a half-open interval (of $\mathbb{R}$) such that if a vector $\vec{x} \in \mathbb{R}^n$ is sampled by sampling its coordinates like that ...
2 votes
2 answers
351 views

Weak convergence for discrete-time processes using characteristic functions

I am looking for a good reference about the analogues of the Bochner Theorem and the Lévy Continuity Theorem for probability measures on $\mathbb{R}^{\mathbb{N}}$ with the product topology. ...
3 votes
1 answer
253 views

Can we find an Stein operator characterizing a distribution without density function?

It is known that Stein operator characterizes a probability distribution and there are a lot of ways of find a Stein operator. For example, if $Z$ is the standard normal distribution, with pdf(...
15 votes
1 answer
1k views

Table with the most seated customers in Chinese restaurant process

Suppose we have some initial configuration of people seated at some tables. We start taking new customers and seat them following Chinese restaurant process. Is there some known work on finding the ...
4 votes
0 answers
188 views

Distributions over permutation groups $\mathcal{S}_n$

Partly inspired by recent developments in enumeration of pattern avoiding permutations, which is known to be connected with Brownian excursions [Hoffman&Rizzolo]. The exciting milestone is the ...
1 vote
1 answer
140 views

Reference request: Cover times, Mixing Times and DGFF applied in statistics?

I am trying to find if in active research in statistics, there is interest in mixing times, cover times of graphs, and/or the discrete Gaussian free field? I haven't found anything so far for the ...
10 votes
1 answer
210 views

Distribution of the maximum of the norm of k-averages of n i.i.d. d-dimensional random vectors

Suppose $X_1, ... X_n$ are i.i.d. random vectors in $d$-dimensional space (i.e., $R^d$) with continuous centrally symmetric density function $f(\cdot)$ (i.e., symmetric with respect to the origin). ...
5 votes
1 answer
372 views

What are some of results in low dimensional statistics that do not hold in high dimensions?

This question is partially inspired by the following MO post: What are some of the surprising results of finite sample statistical estimation? and current heated research front of high dimensional ...
3 votes
0 answers
98 views

Asymptotic results on statistical graph models

This post is partly inspired by this post. Reference request: results on the asymptotic distribution of singular values related to a random orthogonal matrix While it is well-known that two basic ...
3 votes
1 answer
941 views

What is the mathematical characterization of sufficient statistics of a given $\sigma$-dominated probability model?

Given a probability model $\mathcal{P}=\{P_{\theta},\theta \in \Theta \}$ dominated by a $\sigma$-finite measure $\lambda$ (e.g. Lebesgue measure) on a locally compact space $\cal{X}$ along with $\...
2 votes
1 answer
2k views

Bounds on the eigenvalues of the covariance matrix of a sub-Gaussian vector

Suppose that $\boldsymbol{x}\in\mathbb{R}^n$ is subgaussian random vector of variance proxy $\sigma^2$, i.e., $$\forall \boldsymbol{\alpha}\in\mathbb{R}^n: \quad \quad \mathbb{E}\left[ \exp\right(\...
10 votes
4 answers
645 views

Expected value of Bernoulli quadratic forms

Let $\mathbf{Y}\in\mathbb{R}^{n\times n}$ be a symmetric matrix. Let $\mathbf{x}\in\mathbb{R}^n$ be random vectors with entries i.i.d. $\pm 1$ with equal probability. I'm interested in a lower bound ...
4 votes
0 answers
141 views

Is there an example that both Berry-Essen bound and DKW bound are attained?

The Berry-Essen bound stated that $$\sup _{{x\in {\mathbb R}}}\left|\widehat{F_{n}(x)}-\Phi (x)\right|\leq C_{0}\cdot \psi _{0}$$ where $\psi _{0}(n)={\Big (}{\textstyle \sum \limits _{{i=1}}^{n}\...
3 votes
2 answers
195 views

What is known about the PDFs for the $\ell^2$-norm of these multivariate distributions?

I'm looking for resources giving the PDFs for the $\ell^2$-norm of various spherically symmetric, continuous multivariate distributions. For instance, the PDF for the $\ell^2$-norm of a multivariate ...
0 votes
1 answer
172 views

constrained optimization problem/proof

Im trying to maximize the probability of a particular outcome occurring subject to a constraint. In particular $$\max \prod_{i \leq n} 1 - (1 - x_i)^{y_i} \;\;\; \text{ s.t. } \;\;\; i \in \mathbb{N}...
11 votes
1 answer
1k views

What are some of the surprising results of finite sample statistical estimation?

I'm trying to familiarize myself with the latest results in finite sample statistics. It seems to me that these results can be classified into two categories: Unsurprising results confirm that the ...
5 votes
1 answer
365 views

power laws emerging from the sandpile model

Is there a rigorous proof that the abelian sandpile model generates a power law distribution of avalanche lengths?
4 votes
3 answers
273 views

Concentration inequalities for random sets

$\newcommand{\abs}[1]{\left|#1\right|}$ There is a population $O$ with a countable (finite or infinite) number of subjects. The population is colored randomly: for each subject, an unbiased coin-toss ...
1 vote
1 answer
142 views

Subclass of semimartingales for which all characteristics can be estimated?

I'm going to ask the question for Ito semimartingales rather than semimartingales in general, but more general answers would be great. An Ito semimartingale is a martingale for which the ...
18 votes
1 answer
3k views

Distribution of maximum of random walk conditioned to stay positive

I have an $n$ step random walk which starts at zero $X_0 = 0 = S_0$ where the steps $X_i$ are independent uniform random variates in $[-1,1]$, but the walk is conditioned on the hypothesis that it ...
2 votes
0 answers
54 views

Literature on transformed Gaussian matrices

I am considering real $n$-by-$m$ matrices of the following type: $$ M=SM^\prime,\\ M^\prime_{ij}\sim^{iid}N(0,1). $$ Here, $S$ is a fixed $n$-by-$n$ matrix and the entries of $M^\prime$ (same size ...
1 vote
0 answers
69 views

Norm-averaging reference request

(Apology in advance for the broadness of this question) I recently came across a relatively simple application where I needed to "balance" the "spreaded-out-ness" of a function with the "peaked-ness" ...
1 vote
1 answer
115 views

Supremum of centered jointly generalized chi-square random variables

Let $\zeta_n$ be a sequence of centered jointly generalized chi-square random variables, i.e. $\zeta_n = \sum_{k=1}^{m_n} a_{k,n}(\xi_{k,n}^2 - E[\xi_{k,n}^2])$, and $\xi_{k,n}$ are centered jointly ...
1 vote
1 answer
124 views

"Convergence speed" results for the Langevin process

The Langevin process is defined by the following stochastic differential equation: $$ \dot X = - \nabla \phi + \sqrt 2 dW_t $$ Its equilibrium distribution is the following: $$ p_\infty (x) \propto ...
16 votes
1 answer
2k views

Normal approximation of tail probability in binomial distribution

My problem: From the Berry--Esseen theorem I know, that $$\sup_{x\in\mathbb R}|P(B_n \le x)-\Phi(x)|=O\left(\frac 1{\sqrt n}\right),$$ where $B_n$ has the standardized binomial distribution and $\Phi$ ...
1 vote
0 answers
533 views

Finding an error estimation for the De Moivre–Laplace theorem with Stirling's formula

Context for my question: For one part of my thesis I try to find an upper bound for the error in the normal approximation of the binomial distribution following the standard proof of the De Moivre–...
5 votes
2 answers
368 views

Reference to iterated logarithm law and Smirnov law of empirical CDF

I am reading V. Vapnik's "Statistical Learning Theory". The author layouts following two statistical laws related to empirical CDF. I am looking for reference about proofs on these two laws. Let $...
0 votes
1 answer
200 views

How are epidemic models simulated in case of mobility?

I am not a mathematician but out of curiosity I am trying to implement the SIS epidemic model when the nodes have mobility to understand how it will change the results. I understand how to perform ...
3 votes
1 answer
306 views

Mutual information decrease with coarse-graining

Let $X,A,Y,B,C,D$ be random binary variables. $D$ is independent from $X,A,C$ and $C$ is independent from $Y,B,D$. Is it true that: If $I(Y:B|D=0)\leq \epsilon$ then $I(X\oplus Y:A\oplus B|C=0,D=0)\...
5 votes
0 answers
136 views

What's the variance in the Six Degrees model?

Recall the six degrees of Kevin Bacon game. You can even play the game at The Oracle of Bacon, and their search works via Breadth First Search. I interpret the punchline as saying that if I start ...
4 votes
1 answer
804 views

Proof for power-law tail of Poisson-Dirichlet distribution (Pitman-Yor process & Zipf's law)

I'm trying to understand the motivation of using Pitman-Yor (PY) processes in language modeling, in particular Teh's hierarchical LM based on PY processes. A motivation frequently stated in research ...
2 votes
2 answers
268 views

Distribution of a random walk on a directed line

Is there a closed formula for the distribution of $x_t$ in the following random process, describing a random walk on a directed line? $x_0 = n$ $x_t$ is a uniformly random integer between 1 and $x_{...
2 votes
1 answer
591 views

Concentration rates for the posterior distribution

Sanov's theorem and Dvoretzky–Kiefer–Wolfowitz's inequality tell us how fast the empirical distribution concentrates around the true underlying probabilty distribution. What is known about the ...
1 vote
0 answers
98 views

Small ball probabilities for functions of correlated normals

Let $f : \mathbb{R}^k \rightarrow \mathbb{R}$ and let $X$ be distributed k-dimensional normal with mean $0$ (with "arbitrary" covariance matrix). I am looking for references with bounds of the form: ...
10 votes
2 answers
590 views

"Fractional sampling" from a probability distribution

My question concerns an operation on probability distributions which has arisen in some applied research. It is well-defined mathematically (at least in a limited context), but I don't know how to ...