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2 votes
2 answers
435 views

Convergence in distribution to a Poisson

We have encountered the following problem that we think that should be true. Let $\{X_n\}_{n\geq 0}$ a sequence of random variables which we know that $\mathbb{E}[X_n]$ tends to infinity. The ...
2 votes
1 answer
571 views

Extension of Dynkin's formula, conclude that process is a martingale

This question was asked here, but it did not get enough attention, so I'm crossposting it to MO. Let $u: \mathbb{R}_+ \times \mathbb{R}^d$ be a bounded $C^2$ function whose first and second partial ...
6 votes
2 answers
378 views

Slight variation on law of the iterated logarithm

Let$$M_t = \max\{B_s : 0 \le s \le t\},\text{ }m_t = \min\{B_s : 0 \le s \le t\},$$where $B_t$ is a standard Brownian motion. My question is, does there exist $r$ such that with probability one,$$\...
0 votes
0 answers
260 views

Concluding that the Poisson kernel is indeed the Cauchy distribution?

See here. Let $d = 2$, and consider the domain $D = \mathbb{H}$, the upper half-plane. Let $W_t = (X_t, Y_t)$. We see that for any $\theta \in \mathbb{R}$ and any $t \ge 0$, we have$$E^{(x, y)}\...
6 votes
2 answers
2k views

Distribution of $\max_{n \ge 0} S_n$, random walk

Say we have a random walk that is a nearest neighbor random walk on the integers where at each step the probability of moving one step to the right is $p$ and the probability of moving one step to the ...
1 vote
1 answer
237 views

Poisson kernel, expectation, an absolute value comes in

See here. Let $d = 2$, and consider the domain $D = \mathbb{H}$, the upper half-plane. Let $W_t = (X_t, Y_t)$. We see that for any $\theta \in \mathbb{R}$ and any $t \ge 0$, we have$$E^{(x, y)}\...
0 votes
1 answer
186 views

Poisson kernel, $E^{(x, y)}\text{exp}\{i\theta X_t - \theta Y_t\} = e^{i\theta x - \theta y}$

Let $d = 2$, and consider the domain $D = \mathbb{H}$, the upper half-plane. Let $W_t = (X_t, Y_t)$. How do I see that for any $\theta \in \mathbb{R}$ and any $t \ge 0$, we have$$E^{(x, y)}\text{exp}\{...
2 votes
1 answer
157 views

Is the set of multiple points of the Brownian path $W[0, \infty)$ dense in the plane almost surely?

Let $d = 2$. With probability $1$, is the set of multiple points of the Brownian path $W[0, \infty)$ dense in the plane?
3 votes
1 answer
350 views

Brownian motion, crossing intervals, possible usage of second moment method?

This is a followup to my question here. Let $B_t$ be a standard Brownian motion. Let $E_{j, n}$ denote the event$$\left\{B_t = 0 \text{ for some }{{j-1}\over{2^n}} \le t \le {j\over{2^n}}\right\},$$...
6 votes
4 answers
614 views

Number of intervals needed to cross, Brownian motion

Let $B_t$ be a standard Brownian motion. Let $E_{j, n}$ denote the event$$\left\{B_t = 0 \text{ for some }{{j-1}\over{2^n}} \le t \le {j\over{2^n}}\right\},$$and let$$K_n = \sum_{j = 2^n + 1}^{2^{2n}} ...
8 votes
1 answer
316 views

If $X∼F_1$, $Y∼F_2$, under what conditions on $F_1$, $F_2$ can we construct $Y=E(X\mid\mathscr{G})$ for some $\mathscr{G}$?

Suppose that we have distributions $F_1 $ and $F_2$. Under what conditions on $F_1,F_2$ is it possible to construct random variables $X\sim F_1,Y\sim F_2$ such that $Y=E(X|\mathscr{G})$, that is, $Y$ ...
4 votes
2 answers
168 views

For which $r > 0$ is it the case with probability one, for all $n$ sufficiently large $M_n \le r\sqrt{\log n}$?

Let $B_t$ be a standard Brownian motion. Let$$M_n = \max\{|B_t - B_{n-1}| : n - 1 \le t \le n\}.$$For which $r > 0$ is it the case with probability one, for all $n$ sufficiently large$$M_n \le r\...
2 votes
2 answers
3k views

Proof of conditional copula relation to the marginal copulas

Hello I am trying to derive the second equation displayed in section 7.1 (or p. 41) of this article or equation (6.3) of this book. I've seen this in many documents discussing conditional sampling ...
1 vote
2 answers
170 views

Non-normality of limit of random variables

I have encounter the following difficulty in the study of limits of random variables. Assume that $\{X_n\}_{n\geq 1}$ is a sequence of real-valued random variables such that $$\mathbb{E}[X_n]=\...
1 vote
0 answers
76 views

Specifying Skellam parameters by given probabilities

The problem sounds quite easy, and I still think it is. I somehow have the feeling that I just went too far and just miss the easiest solution now. The numerical solution I came up with is just not ...
5 votes
1 answer
619 views

Weak convergence of random variables in $L^2$ and vague convergence

Dumb question: Let $X_n:\Omega \to \mathbf{R}$ be a sequence of $L^2(\Omega,\Sigma,\mathbf{P})$ random variables that has a weak limit $X$ in $L^2$. Suppose also that $\mu_n$, the distributions of $...
16 votes
1 answer
2k views

Normal approximation of tail probability in binomial distribution

My problem: From the Berry--Esseen theorem I know, that $$\sup_{x\in\mathbb R}|P(B_n \le x)-\Phi(x)|=O\left(\frac 1{\sqrt n}\right),$$ where $B_n$ has the standardized binomial distribution and $\Phi$ ...
3 votes
2 answers
661 views

splitting exponential random variable into independent components

$X$ follows Exponential $(\lambda)$. Can we split $X$ into two independent r.v.'s, i.e., do there exist functions $g$ and $h$ such that $g(X)$ and $h(X)$ are independent for any fixed $\lambda$? $g(X)...
4 votes
1 answer
691 views

Orthogonal polynomials with respect to the lognormal distribution

I am currently doing some inspection on the orthogonal polynomials with respect to the lognormal distribution. Does anyone already work on that or know some cool references? All the best, Pierre-O.
4 votes
1 answer
196 views

Error for the convergence by distribution

A sequence of random variables $X_n$ converges in distribution to $X$, if there is pointwise convergence of its characteristic functions, i.e. $\lim_{n\rightarrow\infty}\phi_{X_n}(\lambda) = \phi_X(\...
6 votes
1 answer
1k views

Properties of a finite random walk

Consider the simplest random walk - $X_0 = 0$ and from there on (i.i.d), $X_i=X_{i-1}+1$ with probability $p$ or $X_{i-1}-1$ otherwise. Let $Y_N$ be the highest point $X$ have reached on the first $N$...
1 vote
0 answers
126 views

Quotient of cumulative binomial distribution functions

Given to integers $n < m \in \mathbb{N}_0$ and a probability $p$, I'm struggling to calculate (or at least get an upper bound for) the quotient $$Q = \frac{F(n+1;m,p)}{F(n;m,p)}$$ where $F$ denotes ...
4 votes
3 answers
433 views

Expectation of $(c+e^{N(0,\sigma^2)})^{-n},\, n>0$

I would like to know if there's a way to compute or approximate the following expectation: $$\mathbb{E}[(c+e^X)^{-n}]$$ where $X=N(0,\sigma^2)$ and $n,c>0$ (you can also assume that $n$ is a ...
1 vote
2 answers
2k views

Variance of exponential random variable

For a random variable $\xi$, what bounds can be achieved for Var $e^{\xi}$ in terms of E$\xi$ and Var $\xi$?
1 vote
0 answers
44 views

Validating a probability density distribution forecast model for a Markov process

Let's say we have a Markov process $X_t$, and we come up with a forecast model that takes some information from outside world and says: "value $X_{t+1}$ has probability density distribution $P_t(x)$". ...
2 votes
0 answers
60 views

A canonical example of the non-existence of predictive probability distribution

Section 3 of Fortini et al. (2000) states that Given $(X^\infty, \mathcal X^\infty,P)$, a predictive probability distribution of $x_n$ given $(x_1, \dots, x_{n-1})$ with respect to $P$ need not ...
1 vote
1 answer
524 views

Convergence in the Wasserstein metric and the square root function

Let $f$ be a smooth probability distribution on the unit square $S$ such that $f(x)>0$ on $S$. Let $\{g_i\}$ be a sequence of smooth probability distributions such that $g_i(x)>0$ on $S$ as ...
1 vote
3 answers
314 views

A sampling and learning question

Suppose there is an oracle that returns a number $b \in \mathbb{Z}_{n}$ whenever I press the button. We have $b = a + e$, where $a \in \mathbb{Z}_n$ is a fixed number and $e$ is sampled according to ...
1 vote
0 answers
52 views

PDF of points at the intersection of a sphere and hyperboloid in n dimensions

I'm studying a statistical mechanics problem and I have two conserved quantities: $$ E = \sum_{k=0}^{M} \left[ a_1^2(k) + a_2^2(k) + b_1^2(k) + b_2^2(k)\right] $$ $$ H = \sum_{k=0}^{M} 2 k \left[ a_1^...
8 votes
1 answer
2k views

Is there an $\infty$ version of the Wasserstein distance between two distributions?

If I have two probability distributions $\mu$ and $\nu$ defined on $X$ and $Y$ respectively, then the $p$-th Wasserstein distance between the two of them is defined as $$W_p(\mu,\nu) = \left(\inf_{\pi\...
17 votes
2 answers
1k views

A probability distribution in n dimensional space which its projection on any line is a uniform distribution?

Does there exist, for any natural $n$, a probability distribution in $\mathbb{R}^n$ whose projection on any line is a uniform distribution?
0 votes
0 answers
104 views

Why is this distribution exponential?

Take the interval $[0, 1]$. Now sample 10000 points in this interval randomly according to the uniform distribution. The fact is that the distribution of the distances between adjacent points on ...
3 votes
2 answers
259 views

Are all mixtures of these unimodal functions unimodal?

Let us say that a function $F\colon(0,\infty)\to\mathbb{R}$ is increasing-decreasing if, for some $c\in[0,\infty]$, $F$ is non-decreasing on $(0,c]$ and non-increasing on $[c,\infty)$. Is it true that ...
4 votes
1 answer
750 views

Lower bound on the tail of the hypergeometric distribution

Suppose there is a bag with $M$ white marbles and $N - M$ black marbles. Let $H(n, N, M)$ be a random variable which is number of white marbles in a draw, without replacement, of $n$ marbles from a ...
1 vote
1 answer
200 views

Is regularity closed under products?

Let $G \colon [0,1] \to [0,1]$ be a differentiable cumulative distribution function (monotonically non-decreasing function with $G(0) = 0$ and $G(1) = 1$). We say that $G$ is regular if $$ x - \frac{1-...
2 votes
2 answers
348 views

Suggestions for dealing with the "timed" balls-into-bins model

Definitions: Let $T$ (for "time") be a random variable $T \sim \text{Exp}(\lambda)$ and $\Delta t$ is a realization (or called an observed value) of $T$. Let $D$ (for "delay") be a random variable $D \...
6 votes
1 answer
718 views

What is the distribution of the maximum nearest-neighbor distance of a point cloud sampled from a solid body like?

Let $\mathcal{B} \subseteq \mathbb{R}^n$ be an $n$-dimensional solid body. Assume that we sample $N$ points, say $S = \{ x_1, ..., x_N \}$, from $\mathcal{B}$ uniformly at random. Consider the ...
1 vote
0 answers
166 views

Finitely additive measure over integers [duplicate]

We know that, with Axiom of Choice (AC), it can be shown that there exists a finitely additive uniform distribution defined for all subsets of the integers (see, e.g., Hrbacek and Jech 1999, Ch. 11). ...
1 vote
0 answers
100 views

Lower bound for the probability that a certain component of a Gaussian vector dominates all others

Let $X\sim\cal N(\mu,\Sigma)$ be an $n$-dimensional Gaussian vector. I would like to estimate $$P(X_1>\max_{k=2,\dots,n}X_k).$$ While no closed form solution exists (see e.g. MO question on ...
0 votes
1 answer
70 views

How can two random variables are continuous infers that their jointly random variable is continuous [closed]

We assume that $\forall a,b$ suchthat $a^2+b^2>0$, $aX+bY$ is continuous random variable. But we don't assume that $X$ and $Y$ are independent. My question is the following: Is it true that the ...
3 votes
1 answer
460 views

Derive concentration bound for the derivative

It that true to conclude that if a random $f(z)$ is a sub-Gaussian random variable for a constant value of z, its derivative $f'(z)|_{z=k}$ with respect to variable $z$ is also sub-Gaussian? In ...
3 votes
1 answer
711 views

Expectation of Mahalanobis norm

Let $(g_i)_{i=1,...,d}$ sampled i.i.d. from a standard Gaussian, and $(\lambda_i)_{i=1,...,d}$ non-random s.t. $\max_i(\lambda_i)=1$ and $\lambda_i>0, \forall i$. I am looking for the expectation ...
4 votes
2 answers
204 views

Probable direction of deviations from the expected value in binomial and hypergeometric cases

Suppose I have an urn with N marbles, with frequencies p and q for red and black marbles, and with p > 0,5. I take a sample of r marbles. It sounds intuitive to say that deviations from the mean ...
10 votes
2 answers
344 views

A moment problem

Suppose $X, Y$ are two positive random variables such that $\mathbb{E}[X^\alpha] = \mathbb{E}[Y^\alpha]$ for all $\alpha \in (0, 1/2)$. It is also known that the first moment exists for each of them, ...
6 votes
0 answers
203 views

Elementary function relative to erf

The modified Bessel function of the 1st kind $I_0$ is defined by $$ I_0(z)=\frac1\pi\int_0^{2\pi}e^{z\cos\theta}\,d\theta $$ and arises, among other places, in the probability density function of a ...
1 vote
2 answers
4k views

Variance of truncated normal distribution

Let $ X \sim \mathcal{N} ( \mu, \sigma^2 ) $, $ - \infty \leqslant a < b \leqslant +\infty $ ($ a, b \ne \infty $ simultaneously) and $ Y $ has a truncated normal distribution on $ (a, b )$, i.e. $...
2 votes
0 answers
175 views

Implication of MGF inequality

Let X and Y be two random variables. Denote by $F_X(x)$ and $F_Y(y)$ their CDFs and by $M_X(t)$ and $M_Y(t)$ their MGFs. It is known that X and Y have the same CDF iff they have the same MGF. My ...
2 votes
1 answer
137 views

Variant of Skorokhod's theorem

Consider the following situation: $S, T$ are standard Borel spaces (say $S = [0,1]^k$, $T = [0,1]$ if it is helpful). There is a a random variable $\zeta: \Omega \to S$. $f_n(\zeta) \to^d \eta$, i....
5 votes
2 answers
289 views

Finding joint probability from double marginals

Consider three probability distributions in the form $p_1(y,z),p_2(x,z),p_3(x,y)$. When does a global joint probability $p(x,y,z)$ (possibly not unique) exist? The first compatibility condition to ...
1 vote
1 answer
125 views

A differential inequality and a special value

Let $G \colon [0,1] \to [0,1]$ be a monotonically decreasing function with $G(0) = 1$ and $G(1) = 0$. Suppose that $G$ is differentiable infinitely many times, and that: $$G(x)G''(X) \leq 2{G'(x)}^2.$$...

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