All Questions
Tagged with pr.probability st.statistics
317 questions with no upvoted or accepted answers
1
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40
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Can conditional distributions with respect to a sufficient sub-$\sigma$-algebra be represented by a single Markov kernel?
Let $(\Omega, \mathcal{F})$ be a measurable space, and let $\mathcal{P}$ be a collection of probability measures on this space. A sub-$\sigma$-algebra $\mathcal{G} \subset \mathcal{F}$ is said to be ...
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0
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48
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Quantile maximization of the difference of random constrained quadratic optimization problems
I am interested in understanding the family of parametrized random variables defined by the pushforward map
$$
\lambda_x : \varepsilon \mapsto \underset{z_1 \in \mathbb{R}^n :\, h^T z_1 = 0, \; z_1 \...
1
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0
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61
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Bound on $\int_0^1\sqrt{\log N_{[]}(\varepsilon,\mathcal{F},d)} \, d\varepsilon$ over the class of half-spaces $\mathcal{F}$ on $\mathbb{R}^d$?
For a class of functions $\mathcal{F}$ and a pair $f,g\in\mathcal{F}$ with $f\leq g$, the interval $[f,g]=\{h:f(x)\leq h(x)\leq g(x),\forall x\in\mathbb{R}^d\}$ is called a bracket for $\mathcal{F}$. ...
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0
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44
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Constrained random sampling from partitioned sets with quotas
Let $D$ be a finite set, $\mathcal{P} = \{D_{i,j}\}_{(i,j) \in I \times J}$ a partition of $D$, $N: J \to \mathbb{N}$ a quota function, and $k \in \mathbb{N}^+$. A subset $F \subseteq D$ is considered ...
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0
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80
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Moments from characteristic function for matrices
When $x$ is a random variable with the smooth characteristic function $\phi_x(t) = \mathbb{E}e^{itx}$, we can easily compute the moments as $\mathbb{E}[x^k] = i^{-n}\phi_x^{(n)}(0)$. There is no magic ...
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53
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The limit ratio of two Markov Chain Probability
Suppose there are two given SDE in $\mathbb{R}^d$:
$$
\begin{align}
\left\{
\begin{aligned}
dX_t&=\begin{bmatrix}-\nabla V(X_t)+2\beta^{-1}v_F^\theta(X_t)\end{bmatrix}dt+\sqrt{2\beta^{-1}}dW_t,&...
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68
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Gibbs Priors form a Martingale
I am working on adapting variational inference to the recently developed Martingale posterior distributions. The first case, which reduces the VI framework to Gibbs priors, is proving hard to show as ...
1
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1
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241
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Expectation of top-K selection of squared Gaussian random variables
Let us have
$$
Z = [z_1, z_2, \dots, z_n],
$$ where $z_i \sim N(0, \sigma^2)$ and are iid. Additionally, consider
$$
X_k := \{ x \in \{0, 1\}^n : e^T x = k \}
$$ If $Y = \max_{X \in X_k} |Z^T X|^2,$ ...
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0
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62
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A small lemma on cache resets (Bloom filters in particular)
Assume a fixed set of message $D$ and an associated distribution for selecting each message $d_i$ such that the total probability $\sum_{i \in D} d_i = 1$. We create a cache with $M$ bits and $k$ ...
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0
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72
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Dimension-free sample complexity for the inverse of Gaussian sample covariance?
Suppose I have $m$ samples drawn from a Gaussian in $\mathbb{R}^n$, and need the inverse of the sample covariance $\Sigma_m^{-1}$ to be $\varepsilon$-close to true inverse covariance $\Sigma^{-1}$ (in ...
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0
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148
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conjecture for general form of minimax estimator
I had previously posed an overly ambitious version of this conjecture here,
Form of minimax estimator,
which was quickly shot down by Václav Voráček (on twitter) and Iosif Pinelis (MO answer in the ...
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0
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57
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Limiting value of expectation of trace of truncated Gram matrix
Let $n$ and $d$ be large positive integers such that $d/n = a \in (0,1)$, fixed. Let $x_1,\ldots,x_n$ be iid random vectors from $N(0,I_d)$. Fix $b \in (0,1]$ and a unit-vector $v \in \mathbb R^d$, ...
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0
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67
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Random matrix theory: accounting for mean
Assume a random matrix, denoted as $X$, which is an $n$ by $T$ matrix, $T\geq n$. While I understand the typical scenario where the random variables $X_{ij}$ are sampled from a $\mathcal{N}(0,\sigma_{...
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0
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112
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A high probability bound for a Rademacher process
Let $\{x_i(t)\}_{i=1}^n$ be i.i.d. Gaussian processes for $t \in [0, T]$ with
\begin{align*}
\mathbb{E}[x_i(t)] & = 0, \quad \forall i \in [1 : n], \ t \in [0, T] \\
\mathbb{E}[x_i(s) x_i(t)] &...
1
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144
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Estimator for the conditional expectation operator with convergence rate in operator norm
Let $X$ and $Z$ be two random variables defined on the same probability space, taking values in euclidian spaces $E_X$ and $E_Z$, with distributions $\pi$ and $\nu$, respectively.
Let $L^2(\pi)$ ...
1
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1
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69
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Expected value of MGIG distribution
I'm currently dealing with a Gibbs sampler of the multivariate generalized inverse Gaussian distribution (MGIG). In order to check the correctness of the sampler, I'd like to know the expected value ...
1
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0
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39
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Characteristic function of a Dirichlet Process
Suppose $P \sim \text{DP}(\alpha,G) $ where $G \sim N(0,1)$ is the base measure and $\alpha > 0$ is the concentration parameter. The stick breaking representation says that $P$ can be expressed as \...
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68
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Limiting value of expectation of $\operatorname{tr}(BR(z))$, where $R(z) := (X^\top X - z I_d)^{-1}$ and $X \sim N_{n,d}(0,A)$
Let $A=A(d)$, and $B=B(d)$ be (sequences of) deterministic positive-definite $d \times d$ matrices and let $X$ be an $n \times d$ random matrix with iid rows from $N(0,A)$. Let $R$ be the resolvent of ...
1
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0
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124
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Using projections to determine equidistribution
Suppose I have a collection of points on $\mathbb{S}^{n-1} \subset \mathbb{R}^n.$ I want to know that they are equidistributed (if you want to be more precise, you have a sequence of such collections, ...
1
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0
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48
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Sample complexity of estimating a doubly stochastic matrix
Let $P\in\mathbb{R}^{n\times n}$ be a doubly-stochastic matrix. That is:
$$P(x,y)\geq 0,\quad \sum_xP(x,y)=1,\quad \sum_yP(x,y)=1.$$
I would like to know if lower and upper bounds on the sample ...
1
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0
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24
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Minimax statistical estimation of proximal transform $\mbox{prox}_g(\theta_0)$, from linear model data $y_i := x_i^\top \theta_0 + \epsilon_i$
tl;dr: My question pertains the subject of minimax estimation theory (mathematical statistics), in the context of linear regression.
Given a vector $\theta_0 \in \mathbb R^d$, consider the linear ...
1
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0
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82
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Concavity of expected size of a maximum matching (in a bipartite graph) w.r.t. edge probability
Given a n*n bipartite graph where each edge (between any two nodes on the opposite side) is formed i.i.d. with probability $p$, can we show a concavity result on the expected size of a maximum ...
1
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0
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59
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How to calculate the unifrom entropy or VC dimension of the following class of functions?
When dealing with U process I meet with such a uniform entropy to calculate.
For any $\eta>0$, function class $\mathcal{F}$ containing functions $f=\left(f_{i, j}\right)_{1 \leq i \neq j \leq n}: \...
1
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0
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83
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Properties of max of many linear combinations of a multivariate normal vector and/or sum of top $k$ elements of a multivariate normal vector
Thank you in advance for your help!
I am interested in studying the following probability:
$$P\big[\max_{H \subset X,|H|=k} \sum_{i \in H} \mathbf{a}_i^T \mathbf{w} \ge 0 \big],$$
where $\mathbf{a}_i$ ...
1
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1
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153
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Minimax estimation rate of sparse vector $w_\star$, w.r.t to mixed norm $\|\hat w_n-w_\star\| := \|\hat w_n - w_\star\|_2 + \|\hat w_n-w_\star\|_q$
Let $n,d,s$ be positive integers with $s \le d$, and let $B_0(d,s)$ be the set of all (real) $d$-dimensional vectors with at most $s$ nonzero components. Given an $n \times d$ matrix $X$ with rows $...
1
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0
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417
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Conditions for equivalence of RKHS norm and $L^2(P)$ norm
Let $K$ be a psd kernel on an abstract space $X$ and let $H_K$ be the induced Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Space (RKHS). Let $P$ be a probability measure on $X$ such that $H_K \subseteq L^2(P_X)$ and ...
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0
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100
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$L_1$ convergence rates for multivariate kernel density estimation
Let $X$ be a random variable on $\mathbb R^d$ with probability density function $f$, and let $X_1,\ldots,X_n$ of $X$ be $n$ iid copies of $X$. Given a bandwidth parameter $h=h_n > 0$ and a kernel $...
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146
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Using maximum entropy principle for joint probability estimation
Let $X_1, \dots, X_n, Y$ be random variables, each taking values in $\{0,1\}$. Assume that we are interested in estimating, for each $v=(v_1,\dots,v_n)\in \{0,1\}^n$, the probability
$$
p(v) = P[Y=1|...
1
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1
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160
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Given iid $w_1,\dotsc,w_N \sim N(0,1/d)$ iid, find a simple matrix $A$ s.t $\|aa^T-A\|_\text{op}\to0$, where $a_i := E_{G \sim N(0,1)}[f(\|w_i\| G)]$
Let $d$ and $N$ be two large comparable integers, for example assume
$$
N,d \to \infty, \quad d/N \to \gamma \in (0,\infty).
$$
Let $w_1,\dotsc,w_N$ be iid from $N(0,(1/d)I_d)$ and let $f:\mathbb R \...
1
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0
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78
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Canonical representation of the a probability distribution for Hammersley Clifford Theorem
I'm reading the following paper
http://www2.stat.duke.edu/~scs/Courses/Stat376/Papers/GibbsFieldEst/BesagJRSSB1974.pdf
On page 7 they give the result that
$$Q(\textbf{x}) = \sum_{1 \leq i \leq n} ...
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0
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349
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Tail bounds for random Gaussian chaos?
Let $g = (g_1, \dots, g_d)$ be a sequence of independent standard Normal random variables, and suppose $\Sigma$ is a $d \times d$ (deterministic), real, symmetric, positive definite matrix. The Hanson-...
1
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1
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415
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Approximate the singular values of a certain random dot-product kernel matrix (in the sense of El Karoui, Cheng-Singer, etc.)
Let $g:\mathbb R \to \mathbb R $ be a continuous function which is
"sufficiently smooth" (e.g $\mathcal C^3$) around $0$, and
"sufficiently integrable" (e.g integrable w.r.t $N(0,...
1
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45
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Is there a local limit theorem for functions of Gaussian random vectors?
Assume that $\sqrt{n} (\boldsymbol{Z}_n - \boldsymbol{\mu}) \stackrel{\mathcal{D}}{\longrightarrow} \mathcal{N}(\boldsymbol{0},\Sigma)$, as $n\to \infty$, for some $\boldsymbol{\mu}\in \mathbb{R}^d$ ...
1
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198
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Weak convergence of Cesaro means of weakly converging infinite-dimensional distribution
Suppose we have sequences of random variables $\{X_{n,m},n \in \mathbb{N}\}$ where the distribution of $(X_{n,m})_{n\in\mathbb{N}}$ converges weakly to an infinite-dimensional normal distribution $\...
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0
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489
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Can we generalize the concept of "characters" in group theory via methods from statistics and probability theory?
$\DeclareMathOperator\Cov{Cov}$Motivation: If $G$ is a finite group and $\phi=X+iY: G\to \mathbb{T}$ is a character of $G$, then $\Cov(X,Y)=0$ where $X$, $Y$ are considered as two real random ...
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0
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233
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Variance-based localized Rademacher complexity for RKHS unit-ball
Let $\mathscr X$ be a compact subset of $\mathbb R^d$ (e.g the unit-sphere). Let $K: \mathscr X \times \mathscr X \to \mathbb R$ be a positive kernel function and let $\mathscr H_K$ be the induced ...
1
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0
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75
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Percentile interval Lemma
Let $\theta$ be a parameter and $\hat{\theta}$ the plug-in estimate, I need a proof of the following lemma, as given in [1], p. 173, in the form of a reference or of a direct argument:
Percentile ...
1
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0
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65
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Normalizing constants preserve metric entropy
Suppose $\mathcal{F}=\left\{f\in L^2([a,b]): 0<\underline{c}\leq f\leq\overline{c} \right\}$. Consider the following transformation
$$\tilde{\mathcal{F}} := \left\{\frac{f}{\int f d\mu}: f\in \...
1
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42
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Estimation of a density by orthogonal projection
I was wandering if the following problem was already treated in the litterature.
Suppose i want to estimate a density $f$ by an estimator $\hat{f}$ that i cannot explicitely describe.
All i have is ...
1
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0
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68
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(Anti-)concentration of gap between largest and second largest component of multivariate random gaussian vector
Let $n$ be a large positive integer and let $Y=(Y_1,\ldots,Y_n)$ be a zero-centered random $n$-dmensional real vector with covariance matrix $\Sigma$, an $n$-by-$n$ positive definite matrix with ...
1
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0
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49
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semi-parametric regression
Suppose the observation $(X_1, Y_1), \ldots, (X_n, Y_n)$ satisfies the following semi-parametric model
$$Y_t = m(X_t, \alpha) + \sigma(X_t, \beta) U_t,$$
where $U_t$ is independent with $X_t$ with ...
1
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0
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99
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Covering number after projection
In these lecture notes on Statistical Learning Theory we find the following definitions for covering numbers:
Definition. Let $(\mathcal{W}, d)$ be a metric space and $\mathcal{F} \subset \mathcal{W}$...
1
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0
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35
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The asymptotic properties of $V$-statistic for mixing multivariate process
Suppose $\{X_t\}_{t \in \mathbb{Z}} \subseteq \mathbb{R}^d$ is a $\alpha$- or $\rho$-mixing process. Let $h (x, y) : \mathbb{R}^d \times \mathbb{R}^d \rightarrow \mathbb{R}$ be the symmetric kernel ...
1
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0
answers
146
views
Bounding the probability of success of adding elements into a list
Suppose $𝐿_1,…,𝐿_𝑘$ are lists with $n$ elements each. We use a fully independent hash function ℎ to compute a value for each element of each list. (We suppose the hash function returns a value ...
1
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0
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177
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Probability of satisfying the congruent mod equation
I'm wondering about the probability of picking three different numbers $x,y,z$ out of the set $[50]=\left\{ 1,2,3,...,50\right\}$ satisfying the equation: $$xyz\equiv \gcd(x,y,z)\mod 7$$ I started out ...
1
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0
answers
46
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How to use the mixed normal distribution to construct a proper statistics?
For a random vector $\xi_n \in \mathbb{R}^p$, if $\xi_n \rightarrow_d N(\mu, \Sigma)$, we can construct
\begin{equation*}
\Psi := \xi_n^{\top} \widehat{\Sigma}^{-1} \xi_n
\end{equation*}
for ...
1
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0
answers
212
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A new notion of probability coupling
Let $X$ and $Y$ be two discrete random variables distributed according to $\mu$ and $\nu$, respectively. Consider the following optimization problems
$$\inf_{\pi\in \Pi(\mu, \nu)}\Pr(X\neq Y),$$
...
1
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0
answers
131
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Almost sure stochastic equicontinuity
Suppose $\mathcal{G}$ is a normed closed class of functions with finite entropy and envelope with a finite second moment (details below), and $g_0$ is a function in the interior of that class. Let $...
1
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0
answers
64
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Dependence rank: what is the size of the largest subcollection of random variables which is statistically independent?
Let $X_1,\ldots,X_p$ be random variables on the same space. Define their dependence rank, denoted $rank(X_1,\ldots,X_p)$ as the largest nonnegative integer $k$ such that there is a subcollection of $k$...
1
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0
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45
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What is the number of iterations needed for the message passing algorithm to converge when applied to an acyclic factor graph?
I understand that the message passing algorithm (Belief Propagation algorithm), when applied to a factor graph consists in an exchange in messages between the factor nodes and the variable nodes, ...