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56 views

How to study the convergence of the sample mode for arbitrary probability spaces

(This is not the problem I actually care about, but an analogy with similar issues to the problem I'm actually considering.) Consider a probability space with i.i.d. random variables $X_i$ producing ...
cgmil's user avatar
  • 277
1 vote
0 answers
148 views

conjecture for general form of minimax estimator

I had previously posed an overly ambitious version of this conjecture here, Form of minimax estimator, which was quickly shot down by Václav Voráček (on twitter) and Iosif Pinelis (MO answer in the ...
Aryeh Kontorovich's user avatar
1 vote
1 answer
341 views

Form of minimax estimator

Let $\Delta$ be the set of all probability distributions over $\mathbb{N}=\{1,2,\ldots\}$ and fix some $\mathcal{P}\subseteq\Delta$. Suppose additionally that $\Delta$ is endowed with some norm $||\...
Aryeh Kontorovich's user avatar
0 votes
1 answer
940 views

Derivative of log-likelihood function for Gaussian distribution with parameterized variance

Suppose we have a parameter $\theta \in R^{n}$ that defines some noisy observation $z=\mu(\theta)+\eta, z\in R^{m}$ where the noise follows a Gaussian distribution whose covariance is a function of ...
JNL's user avatar
  • 75
7 votes
1 answer
567 views

Singular Fisher information matrix and existence of unbiased estimators

I'm doing some research into the Cramer-Rao bound for time of arrival localization and have come across a rather strange result: the FIM is singular, but there exists an unbiased estimator. My ...
JNL's user avatar
  • 75
2 votes
0 answers
87 views

A complex problem involving densities (likelihood functions) and optimization

Consider the following autoregressive process with normal errors: \begin{equation}\label{7YlUV4i8nuO}\tag{I} y_t = \phi y_{t-1}+ u_t, \quad u_t \overset{iid}{\sim} N(0,\sigma^2) \end{equation} We ...
PSE's user avatar
  • 13
1 vote
0 answers
75 views

Percentile interval Lemma

Let $\theta$ be a parameter and $\hat{\theta}$ the plug-in estimate, I need a proof of the following lemma, as given in [1], p. 173, in the form of a reference or of a direct argument: Percentile ...
Roberto Palermo's user avatar
-2 votes
1 answer
92 views

Existence or impossibility of Gaussian factory

Gaussian factory problem: given an iid sequence $x_i \sim \mathcal{N}(\mu,\sigma^2)$, $i=1,2,\dots$, with $\mu$ and $\sigma^2$ both unknown, construct a realization $y \sim \mathcal{N}(0,1)$.
Sebastian Nowozin's user avatar
3 votes
1 answer
87 views

Optimal linear measurement operator

Let $x\in R^n$ be an unknown vector. Suppose I am allowed to choose any $A\in R^{m\times n}$, under the constraint that each row of $A$ has $\ell_2$ norm at most $1$. Then I carry out a "measurement", ...
Aryeh Kontorovich's user avatar
2 votes
1 answer
676 views

Distribution of ratio between complex Gaussian and Chi-square R.V.s

What would be the distribution (p.d.f.) of the following ratio? $$z = \frac{x_{1}}{|x_{1}|^2 + |x_{2}|^2 + ... + |x_{M}|^2}$$ where $x_{i} \sim \mathcal{CN}(0,a), \forall i$ and $a > 1$. As can ...
Felipe Augusto de Figueiredo's user avatar
2 votes
2 answers
632 views

An alternative proof of Bayesian Cramer-Rao

My question is: Are there an alternative proof of Cramer-Rao lower bound that does not use Cauchy-Swartz inequality? Let me outline the classical proof and explain why I am interested in this ...
Boby's user avatar
  • 671
1 vote
1 answer
193 views

Fisher information with vanishing probability

I am confused about the definition of the Fisher information and the case when probability is 0. Consider discrete set $\epsilon$ of possible measurement outcomes. Fisher information is defined as: $$...
WoofDoggy's user avatar
  • 237
3 votes
1 answer
96 views

Perturbation results for statistical estimators

Suppose I have a continuous random variable whose distribution $f$ is some parametric form (normal, exponential, etc.) that is known to me. If I draw many independent samples $x_i$ from $f$, I can ...
Tom Solberg's user avatar
  • 4,049
3 votes
0 answers
82 views

Uniform mean-square-error estimates

Consider a standard statistical estimation problem with iid real observations $\{X_i\}_{i=1}^N$. For a collection of real functions $\mathcal{F}$, I want to get an estimate of the uniform rate of ...
Sam Cohen's user avatar
  • 111
4 votes
1 answer
203 views

Can samples be compressed?

The Fisher information of a random variable $Y$ about a parameter $\theta$ upon which the probability of $Y$ depends is: $\mathcal{I}_Y(\theta)= -E\left[\left.\strut \frac{\partial^2}{\partial \theta^...
Daniel Moskovich's user avatar
1 vote
1 answer
256 views

KL divergence Inequality

I am trying to find a proof for the following inequality, but I did not get anywhere following the references from the paper I was reading. Consider two probability measures $P$ and $Q$ both ...
rajatsen91's user avatar
4 votes
2 answers
519 views

Cramér–Rao type bound for absolute estimation error

Let $\{X_1, X_2, \dotsc, X_n\}$ be independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) random variables sampled from a common distribution with density $f_{\theta}(x)$, where $\theta$ is an unknown ...
Michael's user avatar
  • 544
4 votes
1 answer
288 views

Equivalent method for maximum likelihood estimation of covariance parameters

My goal is to estimate the parameters of a covariance matrix $\Omega$, by maximizing the following log-likelihood function: $$\log L(\vec\tau, \rho, \sigma \mid W, X) = -m\ln(\left | \Omega \right |) ...
Ruben van Bergen's user avatar
1 vote
0 answers
186 views

Shrinkage (or Stein's phenomenon) in low dimensions, discrete contexts

I am trying to understand shrinkage, or the Stein phenomenon. As someone without a statistics background, the focus in most introductory presentations on normal distributions and squared error loss ...
user39080's user avatar
  • 203
1 vote
1 answer
282 views

Is an unbiased estimator with arbitrarily small variance necessarily consistent?

Given an unbiased estimator $\hat \theta_n$ of a parameter $\theta$, if the estimator has small variance (approaching $0$ as $n\to\infty$), it seems reasonable to expect that the estimator is ...
Federico's user avatar
  • 133
3 votes
1 answer
578 views

Why doesn't Stein effect happen for multinomial distributions?

(Medeen, et all, 1998)" show that Maximum Likelihood estimate is admissible for multinomial distribution under squared error. On other hand, James and Stein showed that arithmetic average is not an ...
Yaroslav Bulatov's user avatar
20 votes
1 answer
4k views

Using Fisher Information to bound KL divergence

Is it possible to use Fisher Information at p to get a useful upper bound on KL(q,p)? KL(q,p) is known as Kullback-Liebler divergence and is defined for discrete distributions over k outcomes as ...
Yaroslav Bulatov's user avatar
3 votes
3 answers
2k views

Is the min function ever an unbiased estimator for the mean?

Given $n$ i.i.d. variables $X_1$ to $X_n$ with an unknown probability distribution, the sample average is an unbiased estimator for the mean of the distribution. Is there some non-trivial probability ...
Claudiu's user avatar
  • 597