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2 votes
0 answers
54 views

If a probability measure is a mixture of products of its marginals, does it have finite moments?

Let $\mu$ be a Borel probability measure on $\mathbb{R}^n$. For a linear subspace $E\subset \mathbb{R}^n$, let $\mu_E$ denote the marginal of $\mu$ on $E$. The usual orthogonal complement of $E$ is ...
1 vote
1 answer
115 views

A property of the distribution related to stochastic ordering

Let $X$ be a random variable with a symmetric support $S\subset[-M,M]$ for some $M>0$. (i.e., if x is a point of increase of CDF $F_X(\cdot)$, so is $-x$.) Has the infimum value of $c$ such that \...
0 votes
0 answers
73 views

Asymptotic stochastic ordering for weighted sum of i.i.d. random variables

Are you aware of any literature focusing on the conditions such that for two i.i.d. sequences of discrete r.v.'s $\{X_n\}$ and $\{Y_n\}$, \begin{equation} a_1X_1+a_2X_2+\ldots+a_nX_n\geq_1 a_1Y_1+...
1 vote
0 answers
68 views

Gibbs Priors form a Martingale

I am working on adapting variational inference to the recently developed Martingale posterior distributions. The first case, which reduces the VI framework to Gibbs priors, is proving hard to show as ...
1 vote
1 answer
301 views

Upper-bound of the tail of a weighted sum of iid random variables

I have a question related to this one. $X_i$ are n iid random variables with CDF $1_{[0,+\infty[}(x) \Phi(x)$, i.e. it is a mixture between a folded Gaussian and a delta in $0$, both with weight $1/2$....
0 votes
1 answer
155 views

Limit distribution of the self-normalized sum of Cauchy random variables

This is something that has come up in my research. I originally posted this question on CrossValidated but realized it might be better suited for this site. I have deleted the question there (in case ...
1 vote
1 answer
147 views

Stochastic order on weighted sum of iid random variables

$X_i$ are n iid random variables with CDF $1_{[0,+\infty[}(x) \Phi(x)$, i.e. it is a mixture between a half Gaussian and a delta in $0$, both with weight $1/2$. I would like to show that, $\forall a \...
0 votes
0 answers
99 views

Random walks on groups

I recently started reading Wolfgang Woess' book titled "Random Walks on Infinite Groups". In the section where he introduces Markov chains and random walks on a set $X$, he has defined a ...
4 votes
0 answers
142 views

Algebraic area of Brownian half-plane excursion

Is anything known about the distribution of the algebraic area, à la Lévy's stochastic area, of a Brownian excursion in the half-plane? To be precise, letting $x>0$, we consider the path $(X_t,Y_t)...
7 votes
1 answer
556 views

A variation on the Borel–Cantelli lemma theme

Let $X,X_0,X_1,\dots$ be nonnegative independent identically distributed (i.i.d.) random variables. Let \begin{equation*} E:=\bigcap_{n\ge0}B_n, \end{equation*} where \begin{equation*} B_n:=\...
1 vote
0 answers
84 views

How can one build a min-2-wise independent small sample space from min-3-wise permutations?

I have been studying a polynomial-size set of permutations from one of my lectures. The below image, taken from the lecture notes PDF, illustrates how to construct min-3-wise permutations. My ...
1 vote
1 answer
115 views

How does Chernoff-Hoeffding bound with limited independence reduce to the usual generic CH bound with complete independence

As the title might suggest, I am referring to this paper https://www.cs.umd.edu/~srin/PDF/ch-bounds.pdf , titled : Chernoff-Hoeffding Bounds for Application with Limited Independence. The theorem in ...
2 votes
1 answer
138 views

expectation of the product of Gaussian kernels and their input

I was wondering if anybody knows how to solve: $$\mathbb{E}{\mathbf{z} \sim \mathcal{N}(\mathbf{0}, \mathbf{I})}\left[ (\mathbf{x}{i} - \mathbf{z})(\mathbf{x}{j} - \mathbf{z})^\top \exp\left( - (\...
0 votes
0 answers
116 views

Concentration bounds for sum of weighted sampling without replacement

Let $X$ be a collection of $2l$ non-negative numbers $X_1,X_2,\ldots,X_{2l}$. We draw $l$ weighted (proportional to values) samples without replacement from $X$. Let $S$ denote this set of $l$ samples....
14 votes
1 answer
1k views

A disc contains many random points. Each point is connected to its nearest neighbor. What is the expectation of average cluster size?

A disc contains $n$ independent uniformly distributed points. Each point is connected by a line segment to its nearest neighbor, forming clusters of connected points. For example, here are $20$ random ...
-1 votes
3 answers
215 views

Proving the uniform distribution maximizes the expected value of the product of a random draw of $m$ elements from discrete distribution

Say I have a discrete probability distribution $p_i$, so $0 \le p_i \le 1$ and $\sum_i{p_i}=1$. We sample $m > 1$ draws $D$ from this distribution proportional to $p_i$ with replacement, and ...
1 vote
0 answers
93 views

Representation theory for symmetries of probability distribution functions

I would like to parameterize all the possible modifications to a probability density function. Is there a representation theory for this? Something along the lines of, these are all the operators $L$ ...
2 votes
1 answer
534 views

Time interval of existence of an SDE solution with locally Lipschitz drift

Consider the stochastic ODE $$ dX = F(X) \, dt + dB $$ where $B$ is Brownian motion. If the drift $F$ is locally Lipschitz, then the solution exists and is unique over $[0,T]$ where $T$ is an "...
3 votes
1 answer
561 views

On the convergence in total variation

$\newcommand\R{\mathbb R}$For a probability measure $\mu$ over $\R^2$ and a unit vector $u\in\R^2$, let $\mu^u$ denote the pushforward of $\mu$ under the projection map $\R^2\ni x\mapsto u\cdot x\in\R$...
3 votes
0 answers
83 views

Monotone Characteristic Function

Let $X$ be a continuous, symmetric random variable such that its characteristic function $\phi_X$ is real, symmetric and with $\lim_{t\to\infty}\phi_X(t)=0$. What other properties must $X$ have in ...
0 votes
1 answer
85 views

Conditioned on the expectation and covariance, is the total variation distance maximal for Gaussian distributions?

I want to find two distributions $p_1, p_2$, whose total variation distance is the largest between all pairs of distributions whose expectations $\mu_1, \mu_2\in \mathbb{R}^d$ and covariances $\...
1 vote
0 answers
148 views

conjecture for general form of minimax estimator

I had previously posed an overly ambitious version of this conjecture here, Form of minimax estimator, which was quickly shot down by Václav Voráček (on twitter) and Iosif Pinelis (MO answer in the ...
0 votes
1 answer
69 views

Correlation for a Sum of random vectors from the sphere multiplied by matrices

Let $A_1,\dots,A_n\in \mathbb{R}^{d\times d}$ be some matrices. Suppose we sample $x_1,\dots,x_n,y\sim \mathcal{U}(\mathbb{S}^{d-1})$, where $\mathcal{U}(\mathbb{S}^{d-1})$ is the uniform distribution ...
1 vote
1 answer
186 views

Kolmogorov inequality for Bernoulli random variables

This question is also asked on math stackexchange. The question is about one inequality which shows in Kolmogorov's paper (inequality (3.1)) but is not proved. The inequality says that, if we assume $...
0 votes
1 answer
231 views

Concentration inequalities for random sampling without replacement

Let a population $C$ consist of $N$ values $c_1, c_2, \cdots, c_N$, with $c_i\in \{0,1\}$. Let $X_1, X_2, \cdots, X_n$ denote a random sample without replacement from $C$ and let $Y_1, Y_2, \cdots, ...
-2 votes
1 answer
260 views

On Impossible events

Let's consider a continuous random variable $X$ distributed according to a PDF $p(x):\mathbb{R}\mapsto \mathbb{R}_{\geq 0}$. Is there a meaningful sense in which one could say that for any $x_0:p(x_0)=...
0 votes
0 answers
55 views

Sum of Skellam-distributed number of random variables

Suppose $X_i$ are i.i.d, and $N \sim \text{Skellam}(\mu_1$, $\mu_2$). Is it possible to find a closed form for the p.d.f of $S_N$, defined by $S_N = X_1 + \cdots X_N$ when $N \ge 0$, and $S_{-N} = -...
2 votes
1 answer
156 views

Some identities from graph theory and probability

The other day I attended a seminar about probability. I took some notes and I am now revising it and trying to understand some steps that were omitted by the lecturer. To formulate my question, ...
4 votes
1 answer
277 views

Limit of distributions

Suppose that $X_1,X_2,\ldots, X_n$ are i.i.d random variables with continuous density $f(x)$, which is defined in the whole $\mathbb{R}$. Consider $$s(x)=\lim_{n\to\infty}\frac{1}{n}\log\mathbb{P}(\...
2 votes
1 answer
246 views

What's the lower bound of the correlation coefficient?

Suppose a random variable $X \in \mathbb{R}$ follows a discrete distribution $p$ and takes $n$ values. We assume $E[X]=0$ and $|X|\le M$, where $M$ is a constant. Given a smooth and monotonic ...
3 votes
1 answer
2k views

Closed-form formula for Wasserstein distance between uniform discrete distribution and discrete distribution with same support

Let $x_1,\ldots,x_n$ be $n \ge 1$ distinct points in $\mathbb R^d$ and consider two discrete distributions on these points $\mu = (1/n)\sum_{i=1}^n\delta_{x_i}$, and $\nu = \sum_{i=1}^n\nu_i\delta_{...
3 votes
0 answers
77 views

Distribution of waiting time conditioned on a fixed time length

FYI, this question is a duplicate from math stack exchange I ask here again because I got no response. Suppose, I work in a factory production line. The time for me to finish wrapping product $A$ (or $...
1 vote
1 answer
341 views

Form of minimax estimator

Let $\Delta$ be the set of all probability distributions over $\mathbb{N}=\{1,2,\ldots\}$ and fix some $\mathcal{P}\subseteq\Delta$. Suppose additionally that $\Delta$ is endowed with some norm $||\...
4 votes
2 answers
2k views

Why MLEs are asymptotically efficient whereas method of moment estimators are not?

Under appropriate regularity conditions it is well-known that Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) produces asymptotically efficient estimators in the sense that their asymptotic covariance is given by ...
4 votes
2 answers
274 views

Does strong stochastic ordering exist?

For two probability measure $\mu$ and $\nu$ on $\mathbb{R}$, we call $\mu$ is stochastically smaller than $\nu$ (i.e., $\mu\leq\nu$) , if $\int f \, d\mu\leq\int f \, d\nu$ for any nonnegative bounded ...
1 vote
1 answer
208 views

Extreme confusion with the exact meaning of Gaussian measure with "translation-invariant" covariance

In physics literature, the covariance of a Gaussian measure $\mu$ on a function space is denoted as $C(x,y)$. Moreover, they say that if the covariance is translation-invariant, then actually $C(x,y)=\...
1 vote
0 answers
170 views

Asymptotic distribution of L infinity norm of Gaussian random vector

Let $\mathbf{X}_n = (X_{n,1}, \ldots, X_{n,n})$ be a $n$-dimensional random vector with $N_n( \mathbf{0}_n, \boldsymbol{\Sigma}_n )$ distribution. The asymptotic distribution of the $L_\infty$-norm of ...
7 votes
0 answers
222 views

Projected polar chessboard measure convergence in total variation?

$\newcommand\R{\mathbb R}\newcommand\C{\mathbb C}\newcommand\ga{\gamma}$For natural $n$, let $E_n$ be the set of all points in $\R^2$ with "polar coordinates" $(r,t)$ in the set $$F_n:=\...
1 vote
1 answer
100 views

Does convergence of Radon transforms of a sequence of probability distributions implies convergence of the distributions themselves?

Let $P_1,P_2,\ldots $ be a sequence of absolutely continuous probability measures on $\mathbb R^n$, and let $f_j:\mathbb R^n\to\mathbb R$ be their PDFs. Assume that $\operatorname{E}P_j = 0$ and $\...
7 votes
2 answers
1k views

Can a non integrable random variable satisfy a strong law of large numbers principle?

Given a random variable $X$, we denote by $X_1, X_2, \dots$ a sequence of iid copies of $X$. Question: Does there exist a random variable $X$ with $\mathbb E[X^+] = \mathbb E[X^-] = +\infty$, but $$\...
4 votes
2 answers
3k views

Entropy of the multinomial distribution

What is the entropy of the multinomial distribution? To fix notation, let us define $n > 0$ as the number of trials, $p_1, \ldots, p_k$ as the probabilities of each of the $k$ possible outcomes and ...
1 vote
0 answers
67 views

Random matrix theory: accounting for mean

Assume a random matrix, denoted as $X$, which is an $n$ by $T$ matrix, $T\geq n$. While I understand the typical scenario where the random variables $X_{ij}$ are sampled from a $\mathcal{N}(0,\sigma_{...
0 votes
2 answers
239 views

Computing the expectation of a quadratic matrix form involving Bernoulli and Gaussian distributed matrices

I am working with two random matrices, $Z$ and $H$: $Z$ is an $n \times K$ matrix with entries sampled i.i.d. from a Bernoulli distribution: $Z_{ij} \sim \mathrm{Bernoulli}(p)$. $H$ is a $K \times K$ ...
3 votes
0 answers
125 views

Extracting moments of $\max(X_1,\ldots,X_k)$ from asymptotic behavior of $\mathbb{E}[(X_1^n+\cdots+X_k^n)^m]$

For fixed $k$ suppose we have $X_1,\ldots,X_k$ non-negative random variables with density functions. Setting a): We know $\mathbb{E}[(X_1^n+\cdots+X_k^n)^m]$ exactly for any integers $n,m \in \mathbb{...
4 votes
1 answer
518 views

Probability to return to the origin for a uniform random walk

Consider a uniform random walk on $\mathbb{R}$, with stepsize chosen uniformly from the interval $(-1,1)$. The random walk start at $x=0$. Denote by $\rho_p dx$ the probability that the random walk ...
0 votes
1 answer
87 views

Is the $2$-point function translation invariant for general Gaussian meaures?

Let us consider the real Hilbert space $H:=L^2\bigl(\mathbb{R}^n, \mathbb{R}^n\bigr)$ and "any" centered Gaussian measure $d\mu$ on it. Next, denote a generic element of $H$ by the column ...
0 votes
1 answer
154 views

Joint distribution of randomly permuted Poisson random variables

Let $U_1, ..., U_n$ be Poisson random variables with rates $ \lambda_1, ..., \lambda_n$ such that $\lambda =\sum_i \lambda_i = O(1)$ (i.e the sum of the rates is bounded). Suppose we have $n$ buckets. ...
3 votes
1 answer
453 views

When can you describe a population and its component subpopulations with the same parametric family of distributions?

I believe that it is often the case that you are trying to select the best probability distribution to use to describe some phenomenon you are studying, and you have data not only for a population, ...
4 votes
2 answers
403 views

What is the expected minimum total matching distance between two partitions of identically and independently distributed points?

Suppose a square $[0,1]\times [0,1]$ in which $N$ vehicles $V_i$ and $N$ riders $R_i$ are distributed identically and independently (say, uniform distribution), a bipartite matching (or a permutation, ...
0 votes
1 answer
112 views

Where does this coupling result use independence when bounding total variational distance?

I am reading this paper, which gives the following coupling result: Throughout this, I'll assume the dimension $k$ is clear. Let $e_i$ be the $i$-th basis in the $k$ dimensional standard basis. A $k$ ...

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