All Questions
119 questions
12
votes
3
answers
2k
views
Compactness of the set of densities of equivalent martingale measures
Consider an incomplete market $(\Omega,\mathcal F,\mathbb P)$ driven by a semimartingale $S=(S_t)_{t\in[0,T]}$. Under the no free lunch under vanishing risk (NFLVR) assumption, the set $\mathcal P^\...
- 243
1
vote
0
answers
53
views
A semimartingale interpolation problem
This question is a direct extension of this one.
Let $(\Omega,\mathcal{F},(\mathcal{F}_t)_{t\geq 0},\mathbb{P})$ be a stochastic basis and let $N\in\mathbb{Z}^+$, $T>0$, $\{t_n\}_{n=1}^{N}$ be a ...
- 77
1
vote
0
answers
80
views
Almost supermartingale and a.s convergence
After reading a paper on the convergence of almost supermartingale, the following result appeared:
If $(X_k)_k,(Y_k)_k,(W_k)_k$ are three $(\mathcal{F}_k)$-adapted processes taking values in $\mathbb{...
- 249
10
votes
1
answer
2k
views
Law of large numbers for martingales
I apologize in advance if this question is too basic, but I've received no response on Math Stack Exchange, so perhaps it is more appropriate here:
Let $X_n$ be a square-integrable martingale with $\...
- 103
7
votes
1
answer
409
views
Do i.i.d. sums concentrate any faster than martingales?
Suppose $X_1,X_2, \ldots, X_N \in \mathbb R^d$ are random variables with each $\|X_n\|_2 \le 1/2$ (this choice of the constant simplifies later formulae).
The simplest concentration inequality I know ...
- 1,955
3
votes
2
answers
319
views
Concentration inequality of joint event over time of a submartingale
Consider a discrete time submartingale $X_n$ with bounded difference $|X_n-X_{n-1}|\leq c$. With Azuma inequality we have the concentration of a single time event as
$$
P(X_t-X_0 \leq -t) \leq exp\...
- 185
2
votes
1
answer
287
views
Bernstein Inequality for continous local martingale
I'm looking for a simple proof of the following fact, which is somehow Bernstein inequality in continuous time.
Let $(M_t)_{t\geq 0}$ be a continuous local martingale. Then :
$$P\left(\sup_{t\in [0,...
- 245
0
votes
0
answers
71
views
Conditions for existence of a semi-martingale representing a system of probability measures
Let $(\nu_t)_{t \in [0,1]}$ be Borel probability measures on a stochastic basis $(\Omega,\mathcal{F},(\mathcal{F}_{t \in [0,1]})_t,\mathbb{P})$.
Does there exist a semi-martingale $(X_t)_{t\in[0,1]}$ ...
- 5,405
3
votes
2
answers
517
views
CLT for Martingales
I posted this question originally in math stack exchange, but I got no answer.
(https://math.stackexchange.com/questions/2604591/clt-for-martingales)
In wikipedia, there is a version of a CLT for ...
- 339
5
votes
1
answer
652
views
Proof of Pinelis (1992) - Banach space inequalities
I am reading Pinelis "An approach to inequalities for the distributions of infinite -dimensional martingales" and cannot follow his proof of Theorem 3:
Let $(f_n)$ be a martingale in a separable ...
- 619
5
votes
1
answer
208
views
Expected supremum of normalised random walk
Let $X^i\in \mathbb R^d$ be iid. random variables for $i=1$ to $n$.
Assume $\mathbb E[X^i]=0$ and the covariance matrix $\mathbb C[X^i] = \mathbb E[X^iX^{iT}] = I$ is the identity matrix.
Define $S^k=...
0
votes
2
answers
251
views
Martingale optional stopping before a stopping time
Here’s an easy one, I hope:
Suppose $\tau$ is a stopping time and $(M_t)$ is a martingale which together satisfy the hypotheses of the optional stopping theorem so that $\mathbb{E}[M_\tau]= \mathbb{E}...
- 3
0
votes
3
answers
639
views
Non-smooth Ito lemma for semi-martingales
Is there an extension of Ito's Lemma where $X_t$ is a semi-martingale and $f:\mathbb{R}^d \rightarrow \mathbb{R}$ is a function which is not smooth?
I've been looking but have not found much, any ...
- 5,405
1
vote
0
answers
265
views
Wiener isometry for semimartingales
Suppose that $Y_t$ is a special square-integrable $\mathbb{R}$-valued semi-martingale and let $\mathcal{L}^2(Y)$ denote the set of $Y$-predictable processes satisfying
$$
\mathbb{E}\left[
\int_0^{\...
- 5,405
6
votes
0
answers
150
views
Delayed Pólya's urn process
The standard Pólya's urn process can be stated as follows:
You have an urn with red and green balls. At any time unit you choose one ball at random, note the colour, and give the ball back. At the ...
- 396
7
votes
1
answer
487
views
A note on Doob's theorem
I have faced the following problem, regarding to the Martingale Theory. Because this area far from my area I don't know whether this problem is in literature or this can be simple question for ...
- 103
3
votes
2
answers
229
views
Expectation of the exitpoint distance for the symmetric random walk
Let $\nu(x)$ be a symmetric probability measure with respect to the origin on $x\in[-1,1]$ such that $\nu(\{0\})\neq 1$.
Consider a random walk started at $S_0=0$, denoted $S_n=X_1+\dotsb+X_n$, ...
- 31
7
votes
1
answer
1k
views
Moment bounds on exponential martingale
Consider the exponential martingale used in the Girsanov transformation of
measure:
$$Z(t) = \exp\Big(\int_0^tXdW - \frac{1}{2}\int_0^t|X|^2ds\Big)$$
so that $Z$ solves the sde $dZ = ZXdW$ where $W$ ...
- 143
7
votes
2
answers
594
views
Large deviation/concentration inequality for submartingale
Let $S_t = M_t + D_t$ be the sum of a martingale $\left(M_t\right)_{t=1,2,\ldots}$ and a predictable process $(D_t)_{t=1,2,\ldots}$ such that the variance of the increments of $M$ is uniformly bounded ...
- 355
1
vote
1
answer
419
views
Proof of the existence of the covariation of a continuous local martingale presented in the book of Kallenberg
Let
$T>0$
$(\Omega,\mathcal A,\operatorname P)$ be a probability space
$(\mathcal F_t)_{t\in[0,\:T]}$ be a complete filtration on $(\Omega,\mathcal A)$
$M$ be an almost surely continuous local $\...
- 167
2
votes
1
answer
161
views
Concavity, martingales and stopping time
Suppose $(x_t)_t$ is a bounded $\mathbb F_t$ martingale and $f(t,x)$ is continuous, bounded, and concave in $x$. So, for any $s \ge t$, $$\mathbb E_t f(s,x_s) \le f(s,\mathbb E(x_s)) = f(s,x).$$
Does ...
- 553
8
votes
3
answers
2k
views
What is the optimal growth of the constant in BDG?
Let $X$ be a continuous local martingale, and $\langle X \rangle$ be its quadratic variation process. The "standard" proof of Burkholder-Davis-Gundy inequalities found in books yields $(\mathsf{E} |X|^...
- 4,010
6
votes
3
answers
2k
views
Iterated Ito Integral, Gaussian Volterra Process
Let me define
$$
J^f_{n}(t) = \, \int_0^t \int_0^{t_1} \ldots \int_0^{t_{n-1}} f(t, t_1, \ldots, t_n) \; dB_{t_n} ...dB_{t_1}
$$
where $f:[0,1]^{n+1} \to \mathbb{R}$ is a nice deterministic function....
- 271
2
votes
0
answers
227
views
Non-negative martingale transforms and Radon Nikodym derivatives
Consider a filtered probability space $(\Omega, (\mathcal F_n), \mathcal F, \mathbb P)$, where $\Omega$ is the set of sequences with value in some $E \subseteq \mathbb R^d$, and $\mathcal F$ is the ...
- 341
5
votes
1
answer
1k
views
Supremum of a martingale
Let $(X_n)$ be a martingale. What can be said about the distribution of its maximum over a window of fixed length:
$$M_n = \max_{n-10 \leq k \leq n} X_k$$ or about the "range" over a window:
$$R_n = \...
- 587
11
votes
2
answers
1k
views
Can every discrete martingale be embedded in a continuous martingale?
Let $(X_k)_{k=0,1,..., n}$ be a discrete martingale defined on some probability space $(\Omega,\mathcal{F},\mathbb{P})$. I would like to know whether there exists a (continuous) martingale $(\tilde{X}...
- 1,835
1
vote
1
answer
1k
views
Predictable quadratic Variation <.> has same intervals of constancy as the process
From
Revuz and Yor - Continuous Martingales and Brownian Motion 1999
Chapter IV Proposition 1.13
it is proven, that for a continuous local martingale $M_t$ the intervals of constancy ...
- 257
2
votes
0
answers
203
views
Is martingale solution equivalent to weak solution for SDE driven by stable process
Consider the following SDE
$$
d X_t=b(X_t)d t+d L_t,
$$
where $L_t$ is the symmetric $\alpha$-stable process. The corresponding generator is given by
$$
L=\Delta^{\alpha/2}+b\cdot\nabla.
$$
Is the ...
- 411
7
votes
1
answer
560
views
Doob's inequality for martingale "convolution"
Let $(X_t, t \in \mathbb{N})$ be a martingale, and let $a \leq b \leq T \in \mathbb{N}$ be constants. Is there something like Doob's inequality for $\mathbb{E} \sup_{a \leq t \leq b} X_t(X_T-X_t)$, i....
- 1,069
9
votes
1
answer
556
views
Berry-Esseen bound for martingale sequence with varying and dependent variances
Let $(X_{1},\ldots,X_{k},\ldots)$ be a martingale difference sequence, i.e.
$$
E[X_{k}|\mathcal{F}_{k-1}] = 0
$$
where $\mathcal{F}_{k-1}$ is the $\sigma$-algebra filtration at $k-1$.
Let $\sigma_{...
- 719
5
votes
0
answers
653
views
Explicit martingale representation for a Brownian bridge
Let $W$ denote a Wiener process, $\displaystyle M_t = \max_{0 \le s \le t} W_s$ its running maximum. The martingale representation of $M$ is known explicitly:
$$M_T = \sqrt{\frac{2T} \pi} + \int_0^T ...
- 341
3
votes
0
answers
75
views
p-Variation distance defines semi-martingales
Question
When, does the process $\tilde{X}_t$, defined path-wise by
$$
\tilde{X}_t(\omega)\triangleq \rho_{\frac1{2}}\left((y_t,\mathbb{Y}_t),(x_t(\omega),\mathbb{X}_t(\omega))\right),
$$
define a ...
- 5,405
11
votes
5
answers
4k
views
Brownian motion, martingales, Markov Chains - Rosetta Stone
What are the most
fundamental/useful/interesting ways in
which the concepts of Brownian motion,
martingales and markov chains are
related?
I'm a graduate student doing a crash course in ...
6
votes
1
answer
461
views
Gronwall lemma with conditional expectation
The discrete Gronwall's inequality states that if $x_n$ and and $u_n$ are non-negative sequences such that
$$ x_{n+1}\le a+\sum_{k=0}^n u_k x_k$$
then $$x_n\le a\prod_{k=0}^{n-1} (1+u_k)$$
(It can be ...
- 562
1
vote
2
answers
3k
views
Is stopped brownian motion not a martingale?
In page 45 of the book "Financial Derivatives In Theory and Practice by P.J.Hunt and J.E.Kennedy, it seems to me that the author says the stopped Brownian Motion is not a martingale as follows.
(...
- 19
8
votes
1
answer
694
views
A generalization of Jensen's Inequality
Jensen's inequality is well known as
$$E\big[f(X)\big]\le f\big(E[X]\big)$$
where $X$ is a integrable random variable and $f: R\to R$ is a bounded concave function, see also http://en.wikipedia.org/...
- 1,835
12
votes
1
answer
5k
views
Martingales in both discrete and continuous setting
I am wondering, polynomials like
$S_n^4-6n S_n^2+3n^2+2n$ for $$S_n=\sum_{i=1}^n{X_i}$$ where $$\mathbb{P}(X_i=1)=\mathbb{P}(X_i=-1)=\frac{1}{2}$$ is a martingale (under the conventional filtration). ...
- 255
12
votes
5
answers
3k
views
Properties preserved under passage to augmented filtration
Dear all,
generally speaking, my question is about which properties of a stochastic process are preserved when I skip from the original to the augmented filtration.
Recall that if $(\mathcal{F}_t)_{...
- 121
12
votes
1
answer
330
views
Convergence of an implicitly defined sequence of random variables
Let $\{X_n\}_{n\ge 1}$ be a sequence of independent identically distributed Poisson random variables with mean $\lambda^*$. Consider a sequence of random variables $\{\hat{\lambda}_{n}\}_{n\ge 1}$ ...
- 171
10
votes
1
answer
532
views
a question on 0-1 valued stochastic process
Here's a question on probability theory from a layman (I'm a game theorist). It is very likely that the question will be a straightforward matter for someone who is a probability theorist. I guess I'm ...
2
votes
0
answers
440
views
Hitting time of a specific Markov chain using martingale approach (or otherwise)
Let $0 < c < 1$. Consider the Markov chain $(X_i)$ on $\{0, 1, \dots, n\}$, with transition probabilities
$$ P(k,k+1) = \left(1 - \tfrac {k}{n} \right)(1-c), \quad k = 0, \dots, n-1, $$
$$ P(k,...
- 985
3
votes
0
answers
108
views
Has there been any study of the "extreme convergence property" for martingales?
Let $(M_n)_{n \geq 1}$ be a uniformly bounded martingale over a probability space $(\Omega,\mathcal{F},\mathbb{P})$. Define the probability measure $\mu$ on $\mathbb{R}^\mathbb{N}$ to be the law of $(...
- 708
7
votes
1
answer
1k
views
a $L^1$ convergence for backward martingale
I have a question which may be naive, but I can not find the related result in the classical reference such as "Foundations of Modern Probability" and "Probability"(Billingsley). So if someone knows ...
- 1,835
2
votes
0
answers
110
views
Modified Pólya's Urn Process
Suppose that we have an urn that initially contains $n$ balls, partitioned into $k\geq 2$ color-classes with respect to some initial probability distribution $P=(p_1,\dots,p_k)$.
At each discrete time ...
- 396
3
votes
0
answers
124
views
How can we show that the quadratic covariation of a Hilbert space valued martingale takes values in the space of nonnegative operators?
Let
$(\Omega,\mathcal A,\operatorname P)$ be a probability space
$(\mathcal F_t)_{t\ge0}$ be a complete filtration of $\mathcal A$
$H$ be a separable $\mathbb R$-Hilbert space
$(e_n)_{n\in\mathbb N}$ ...
- 167
6
votes
0
answers
183
views
Distribution of the stopping time of an autoregressive sequence
Consider $e_t$ being i.i.d. uniformly chosen from $\pm 1$. Let $\eta$ be a small positive constant. What is the distribution of $T$ such that $\eta^{0.5} (1+\eta)^T W_T$ first hits $\pm 1$, in which
$$...
- 1,127
12
votes
1
answer
2k
views
Hardy spaces: analysis <---> martingales
Let $H^p$ be the Hardy space of analytic functions on the open unit disk $\mathbb{D}$: $f \in H^p$ if $f$ is analytic on $\mathbb{D}$ and $\sup_{r < 1} \int_0^{2\pi} |f(re^{i\theta})|^p d\theta <...
- 943
1
vote
1
answer
687
views
Supremum in a Markov chain model
A Markov chain $X$ with finite state space $\{1,2,\cdots,N\}$ is defined on a probability space $(\Omega, P, \mathcal{F})$ equiped with filtration $\{\mathcal{F}_t\}$. And we assume that we can reach ...
- 21
3
votes
0
answers
221
views
In which sense does the quadratic variation depend on the considered filtration?
Let
$(\Omega,\mathcal A,\operatorname P)$ be a probability space
$(\mathcal F_t)_{t\ge 0}$ be a complete right-continuous filtration on $(\Omega,\mathcal A,\operatorname P)$
$X$ be an almost surely ...
- 167
2
votes
2
answers
291
views
A question about Skorokhod embedding problem
The Skorokhod Embedding Problem is well known and has many solutions. Now let $B=(B_t)_{t\ge 0}$ be a standard Brownian motion and $\tau$ be an embedding to the centered distribution $\mu$, i.e. the ...
- 1,835