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1 vote
0 answers
85 views

BM hitting times with exponential killing process

Assume a BM in 3d domain (infinite) with a small absorbing subdomain (cube, sphere, ect), centered at point $p_s=(x_s,y_s,z_s)$ . BM starts at point $p_0=(x_0,y_0,z_0)$ and when it riches the ...
6 votes
1 answer
129 views

Choosing a sample based on where the density function is highest

Is there a name for the following process? Say I have an absolutely continuous probability density function $f$ with compact support, and I take $k$ independent samples $x_1,\dots,x_k$ from $f$. ...
3 votes
0 answers
157 views

Growth of inner products between two random vectors on the sparse hypercube

We define the $s$-sparse hypercube in $\mathbb{R}^d$ as \begin{align} \mathbb{H}_s = \bigl \{ {\bf{v}} \in \{ -1, 0 , 1\}^d \colon \| {\bf{v}} \|_0 = s \bigr\}, \end{align} where $ \| {\bf v} \|_0 $ ...
2 votes
0 answers
87 views

A question about probabilistic graphical models

Say one is given a probabilistic graphical model and a cut of the underlying graph. Do we know any statements about when and how can one or many of the marginals (of the sources) or the conditionals (...
0 votes
1 answer
558 views

Counterexample: weak convergence doesn't imply $L^1-$convergence [closed]

I'm not sure my question is of research level, but I cannot find the answer in the existing reference. Let $\mu_n$ be a sequence of probability measures on $\mathbb R$ satisfying $$\int_{\mathbb R}xd\...
2 votes
1 answer
306 views

About Renyi entropy

If one is given a joint probability distribution over a finite set of discrete random variables then I guess there a notion of $\alpha-$Renyi entropy defined for it as $S_\alpha (X_1,..,X_n) = \frac{...
1 vote
1 answer
324 views

Averaged geometric series with floor function

Given a value $p\in[0,1]$ (a probability of occurrence), I would like to bound the following expression: $$ s\frac{1-(1-p)^{k+1}}{p(k+1)} + (1-s)\frac{1-(1-p)^{k}}{pk},\ \ \ \text{where $k=\lfloor 1/...
7 votes
1 answer
719 views

Tightness and Functional Analysis

Let $(\Omega , \mathbb{P})$ be a probability space and $X$ be a real-valued random variable. Then we immediately have the push-forward measure $\mu$ on $\mathbb{R}$ and one can think of $\mu$ as an ...
1 vote
0 answers
184 views

variance of log of ratio of chi-square variables

Let X be a chi-square variable with two degrees of freedom. Let A and B be to arbitrary constants, with $A>B>0$. I need the variance of $Y=\log(1+AX)-\log(1+BX).$ The mean is, maybe not simple,...
3 votes
0 answers
134 views

Algorithm to calculate moments of uniform distribution on convex polyhedra

There is system of linear inequalities $$ Ax \leq K, $$ $$ x\geq a, x\leq b. $$ $A$ is $(n\times m)$-matrix, where $n\approx 100$ and $m\approx 10000$, $rank(A)=n$. Suppose that on set of solutions ...
0 votes
0 answers
51 views

derivation of a gap related to extreme value theory

I have an expression to evaluate as follow: $\mathbb{E}\left[\sum_{k=1}^K s_k f(x_k)\Big|s_k=s_k^{\ast} \right]$ where $\{s_k^\ast\}$ can be treated as a ${policy}$ which is defined as follows: \...
5 votes
3 answers
4k views

Integral over error function and normal distribution

Help me understand why $\int_{-\infty}^{\infty}\frac{1}{2}[1+\operatorname{erf}(\frac{\theta-x}{\sqrt{2q^2}})]\frac{1}{\sqrt{2\pi\sigma^2}}{\exp(-\frac{(x-\mu)^2}{2\sigma^2})}dx \approx \frac{1}{2}[...
3 votes
1 answer
187 views

Moment matching on the standard simplex

Let $\vec{\mu}_1, \vec{\mu}_2,\ldots, \vec{\mu}_k \in \Delta^{d-1}$ be $k\ (k\geq 2)$ distinct vectors on the standard simplex, where $$\Delta^{d-1} = \{\vec{\mu}\in R^{d}:\| \vec{\mu}\|_1 = 1,\mu_j \...
3 votes
1 answer
827 views

Solving recursion / finding generating function of a probability mass function

I am assessing the probability distribution on a running time of some algorithm that we've developed. I am looking for a family of probability mass functions $f_n$ with the following recurrence: $$ f_{...
3 votes
1 answer
271 views

Learn a distribution from distributions on samples

There's many good ways to learn a distribution $p_X$ of an r.v. $X$ over $k$ symbols given many i.i.d. samples $X_1,\ldots, X_n$. The simplest is to use the sample relative frequencies $\hat{f}_X$ as ...
2 votes
2 answers
182 views

Difference between maxima of random variables

Given four independent, identically distributed Gaussian random variables with zero mean and unit variance $x_1$, $x_2$, $y_1$, $y_2$, consider \begin{equation} u \equiv \max(x_1+C\, y_1, x_2+C \, ...
9 votes
1 answer
556 views

Berry-Esseen bound for martingale sequence with varying and dependent variances

Let $(X_{1},\ldots,X_{k},\ldots)$ be a martingale difference sequence, i.e. $$ E[X_{k}|\mathcal{F}_{k-1}] = 0 $$ where $\mathcal{F}_{k-1}$ is the $\sigma$-algebra filtration at $k-1$. Let $\sigma_{...
1 vote
0 answers
102 views

Stochastic Ordering of Negative Binomial-like Distributions

Please forgive me if this is not precise enough to post here. Simply ask me to remove it if it is not suitable. I am new here. I am bounding the running time of an algorithm as a random variable $X$ ...
6 votes
0 answers
277 views

universality for large deviations?

This is a question about universality in probability theory, with combinatorics in mind. Consider a sequence of polynomials $P_n$ in one variable, with positive coefficients. Combinatorics is a large ...
1 vote
1 answer
378 views

Discrete random walk with uniformly distributed transition p, set initially

I've been working on a discrete version of the "unreliable friend" distribution. It would seem that what I've come up with is equivalent to the following random walk: Choose $p$ from $U(0,1)$ Start ...
2 votes
1 answer
576 views

Inequality for square of the subgaussian distributions

Hi all, For my research I am trying to bound some exponential moments of subgaussian r.v.'s. And I am stuck with proving one of such inequalities. More specifically: Let $a$ be unit vector in $\...
3 votes
0 answers
276 views

Processes with the same finite dimensional distributions as the solutions to SDEs

Consider a sequence of stochastic processes $\{\tilde{x}^n\}$, $\tilde{x}^n = \tilde{x}^n_t(\omega)$, and Brownian motions $\{\tilde{w}^n\}$. Suppose that for each $\tilde{x}^n$ solves the stochastic ...
4 votes
0 answers
182 views

Approximate determinantal point process

Consider a random process defined on $2^{\mathcal{X}}$, i.e. all subsets of a set $\mathcal{X}$. It's well known that this process is determinantal if one can find a positive semidefinite matrix $K$, ...
8 votes
2 answers
2k views

Moment matching: construction of a mixture of Gaussian distribution with lower moments identical to Gaussian

This is a question related to the statistical model behind independent component analysis (ICA). We assume that $Z \sim N(0,1)$. Our goal is to construct a random variable $X$ that follows a ...
7 votes
2 answers
605 views

Gaussian and the convex hull of moment curves

Let $c_1,\dots, c_d$ be the first $d$ moments of the standard normal distribution. Does the point $(c_1,\dots, c_d)$ lie in the convex hull of the set $\{(t,t^2,\dots,t^d)\colon t\in[-b,b]\}$, for a ...
1 vote
1 answer
446 views

Question about characteristic function with independence assumption

Let $X$ be a random vector taking values in $\mathbb R^2$ with probability density $p(x) = p_1(x_1)p_2(x_2)$, i.e. the components of $X$ are independent. Let $V$ be an open set in $\mathbb S^1$, the $...
1 vote
1 answer
148 views

Distribution of maximum unique number of several random numbers

Suppose discrete random variables $\{X_1, X_2, ..., X_n\}$ are i.i.d. described by the probability function: $f(x) \equiv \text{Pr}(X_i = x)$, and $X_i \in \{1,2,3, ..., m\}$. Let $Y$ be the ...
11 votes
1 answer
283 views

Probability distribution derived from gamma function - does it have a name?

Consider the complex gamma function, denoted by $\Gamma(\sigma+it)$. Now, let's fix $\sigma$ and let t vary. Then consider the following expression: $$|\Gamma(\sigma+it)|^2$$ For any choice of $\...
1 vote
1 answer
166 views

Question abouth Skorokhod representation of random variables (II)

This is a continuation of Question abouth Skorokhod representation of random variables Let $\mu$ and $\nu$ be two probability measures on $\mathbb R$ such that $$\int_{\mathbb R}|x|^pd\mu(x),~ \...
4 votes
1 answer
220 views

Question about the weak convergence of probability

Let $\mu$ be a probability measure on $\mathbb R$ and set $$c(K):=\int_{\mathbb R}(x-K)^+d\mu(x).$$ Assume that one has a sequence of probability measures $(\mu_n)_{n\ge 1}$ s.t. $$\int_{\mathbb R}\...
5 votes
1 answer
356 views

Question abouth Prokhorov metric

Let $X$ and $Y$ be two random variables with first order moments, i.e. $E[|X|]$, $E[|Y|]<+\infty$. Assume further that $$E\left[|X-Y|\right]<\varepsilon.$$ Set $Law(X)=\mu$ and $Law(Y)=\nu$, ...
2 votes
2 answers
1k views

divisibility of uniform distribution [closed]

Let $X$ and $Y$ be independent and identically distributed random variables. Can $X+Y$ be a uniform distribution? (Please prove.) In other words, is a uniform distribution divisible? The meaning of "...
3 votes
1 answer
304 views

Question abouth Skorokhod representation of random variables

It is known that for any two probability measures $\mu$ and $\nu$ on $\mathbb R$ that are close in the Prokhorov metric $\rho$, i.e. $$\rho(\mu,\nu)<\varepsilon,$$ then there exist two random ...
4 votes
1 answer
229 views

How are the real-space RG transformations defined?

I'm reading Shang-keng Ma's book Modern theory of critical phenomena, and I'm a bit confused as to how the real-space RG transformations are defined. Ma basically says that these transformations are ...
3 votes
2 answers
589 views

Measure concentration for law of large numbers

The classical law of large numbers states that $$\frac1k\sum_{i=1}^k X_i \rightarrow \mathbb{E} X_1$$ for i.i.d. $X_1, X_2, \ldots$ with finite $L^1$ norm. I was wondering whether is it possible to ...
2 votes
0 answers
619 views

Laplace transform of a integral function of CIR/CEV process

The Cox–Ingersoll–Ross model (or CIR model) describes the evolution of interest rates. Constant elasticity of variance model (CEV) is a stochastic volatility model, which attempts to capture ...
1 vote
1 answer
290 views

Topologies for which the ensemble of probability measures is complete

I have been struggling quite a bit with reconciling my intuitive understanding of probability distributions with the weird properties that almost all topologies on probability distributions possess. ...
5 votes
1 answer
297 views

Random walk with continuously distributed steps on [-1,1]

A simple random walk $S_n = X_1 +\cdots +X_n$, where $P(X_i = 1) = p \not = 0.5$ and $P(X_i=-1)= q \triangleq 1-p$, admits the following probability $$P(S_n \textrm{ reaches } a \textrm{ before} -b) =...
2 votes
1 answer
444 views

Literature question on the convergence rate of the empirical distribution

Assume that given $n$ i.i.d samples $(X_1, X_2, ..., X_n)$ drawn from $p_X$, an unknown probability mass function defined over a finite alphabet $\mathcal{X}$, one wants to estimate $p_X(x)$ for each $...
1 vote
0 answers
82 views

Marginal of mean from product of student-t and gamma

Let's say we have a distribution with PDF described by the product of Gamma and Student-t distributions. This is equivalent to a generative model, in which precision is first drawn from Gamma, and the ...
7 votes
2 answers
409 views

Estimating entropy conditional to an event

Take for example the measure $\mu(n)=n^2$ on $\{1, \ldots, N\}$ and a random variable $X$ distributed according to the probability obtained by normalizing $\mu$. Does there exists a constant $K>0$...
2 votes
1 answer
886 views

Asymptotic behavior of a ratio of sums of iid random variables

Let $X_i$ and $Y_i$ be distributed identically to $X$ and $Y$, respectively. Assume both $X$ and $Y$ take strictly positive values. Consider the random variable $R_n \doteq \frac{\sum_{i=1}^n X_i}{\...
-1 votes
1 answer
213 views

Regarding a new divergence function of two probability distributions

Let $X$ and $Y$ be two continuous random variables with common support and with PDF $f(x)$ and $g(y)$. For any $0 \leq \alpha \leq 1$, and any constant $\beta$ within the support of $X$ and $Y$ such ...
2 votes
0 answers
208 views

On the Bhattacharyya distance

Let $X$ and $Y$ be two continuous random variables with support $\mathbb{R}^{+}$ and with PDF $f(x)$ and $g(y)$. If the Bhattacharyya distance of $f$ and $g$ is less than $\epsilon$, then is there any ...
1 vote
0 answers
80 views

A variance-preserving Boolean function [closed]

Let a random variable $X$ be given with $P_X$ supported over $\mathcal{X}$. What are the necessary conditions for the existence of a boolean function $f:\mathcal{X}\to \{0,1\}$ such that $\mathsf{var}(...
2 votes
1 answer
99 views

Conditioned binomial dominates unconditioned with different parameter

Let $X \sim \text{Bin}(n,p)$ and $Y \sim \text{Bin}(n-1,p)$ with $n >1, p \geq 1/2$ and $X,Y$ are independent. I'd like to show $$(X\mid X \geq 1) \succeq_{sd} 1 + Y.$$ Here $(X \mid \cdot)$ is the ...
2 votes
1 answer
461 views

Is it safe to work on a Cadlag modification of a Feller process?

Let $f$ be a continuous bounded function. $X$ is a Feller process, and $\hat X$ is its Cadlag modification. By the definition of the modification, one can write $$\mathbb E[f(X_t)] = \mathbb E[f(\hat ...
3 votes
1 answer
380 views

Uniform convergence of 2-norm of a multinomial vector

Let $(X_1,X_2,\ldots,X_k)$ be distributed according to a multinomial distribution with parameters $(n;p_1,p_2,\ldots, p_k),$ i.e. $$P(X_1=n_1,\ldots,X_k=n_k) = {n\choose n_1,n_2,\ldots,n_k} p_1^{n_1}...
1 vote
1 answer
606 views

moment sequence which does not define a random variable vs convergence in distribution

I am encountering the following problem concerning existence of a limiting random variable (in distribution): assume a sequence of positive random variables $\{X_n\}_{n\geq 0}$ from which we know ...
1 vote
1 answer
139 views

Exponentially Bounded Sequence of Moments defining Distribution?

I have an exponentially bounded sequence $m_n = \lambda^n + c_n$ (i.e. the $c_n$ are quadratic in $n$) and would like to know if this sequence of moments defines a distribution. I considered applying ...

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