Questions tagged [pr.probability]
Theory and applications of probability and stochastic processes: e.g. central limit theorems, large deviations, stochastic differential equations, models from statistical mechanics, queuing theory.
9,021 questions
72
votes
9
answers
30k
views
When are probability distributions completely determined by their moments?
If two different probability distributions have identical moments, are they equal? I suspect not, but I would guess they are "mostly" equal, for example, on everything but a set of measure zero. ...
6
votes
3
answers
4k
views
Rigorous definition, detection and test for trending vs. mean-reverting behaviour of stochastic processes
This is a question that has haunted me for some time. In the domain of time series you always talk about trends and mean reversion. But at least to me these concepts are either defined axiomaticly ...
9
votes
3
answers
354
views
Surfaces that are 'everywhere accessible' to a randomly positioned Newtonian particle with an arbitrary velocity vector
Consider an idealized classical particle confined to a two-dimensional surface that is frictionless. The particle's initial position on the surface is randomly selected, a nonzero velocity vector is ...
19
votes
9
answers
3k
views
How can I generate random permutations of [n] with k cycles, where k is much larger than log n?
I've been thinking a lot lately about random permutations. It's well-known that the mean and variance of the number of cycles of a permutation chosen uniformly at random from Sn are both ...
29
votes
5
answers
9k
views
Examples where Kolmogorov's zero-one law gives probability 0 or 1 but hard to determine which?
Inspired by this question, I was curious about a comment in this article:
In many situations, it can be easy to
apply Kolmogorov's zero-one law to
show that some event has probability 0
or 1, ...
4
votes
2
answers
543
views
maximizing function (stochastic calculus)
S is a price process which follows Geometric Brownian motion with no drift:
dS=S*vol*dW, vol=const., W is a Wiener process.
Define the following ratio: R=E[Max(f(S)-S(T),0)]/E[f(S)], where S(T) is ...
4
votes
4
answers
1k
views
Distribution of 1-norm for Gaussian Unitary Ensemble
Suppose I uniformly sample matrices X from the Gaussian Unitary Ensemble (GUE) with variance \sigma^2. Consider the Ky-Fan d norm, i.e. the sum of the singular values, of X. Let's call this Z=||X||...
12
votes
3
answers
1k
views
Expectation of the product of almost independent Gaussians
Let $X_ i$ be copies of the standard real Gaussian random variable $X$. Let $b$ be the expectation of $\log |X|$. Assume that the correlations $EX_ iX_ j$ are bounded by $\delta_ {|i-j|}$ in absolute ...
6
votes
3
answers
790
views
'Focusing' the mass of the Probability Density Function for a Random Walk
Consider a random walk on a two-dimensional surface with circular reflecting boundary conditions (say, of radius 'R'). Here, for a fixed-size area, one finds a larger fraction of the probability ...
11
votes
3
answers
5k
views
Strong law of large numbers for weakly dependent random variables
Let $X_i$ be a sequence of identically-distributed random variables with finite-range dependence (i.e. there exists $I$ such that if $|i-i'| \ge I$, then $X_i$ and $X_{i'}$ are independent), and a ...
91
votes
13
answers
146k
views
If you break a stick at two points chosen uniformly, the probability the three resulting sticks form a triangle is 1/4. Is there a nice proof of this?
There is a standard problem in elementary probability that goes as follows. Consider a stick of length 1. Pick two points uniformly at random on the stick, and break the stick at those points. What ...
9
votes
1
answer
10k
views
What is the difference between a homogeneous stochastic process and a stationary one?
Hello.
I am studying stochastic process.
here,
I don't know what is difference of
"the process is homogeneous"
and
"the process is stationary"
I feel confusing. It seems to similar to me.
-1
votes
1
answer
338
views
about Function of Random variables [closed]
Hello,
I am studying random variables.
Question is this:
if rv X & a function g is known, what is the pdf of random variable Y = g(x)?
in the textbook answer is explained as follows.
P[y ≤ Y ≤...
16
votes
6
answers
3k
views
analog of principle of inclusion-exclusion
When I teach elementary probability to my finite math students, a common error is to mix up the concepts of disjointness and independence. At some point I thought that it might be helpful to some ...
36
votes
2
answers
13k
views
Mean minimum distance for N random points on a one-dimensional line
Let's say that I have a one-dimensional line of finite length 'L' that I populate with a set of 'N' random points. I was wondering if there was a simple/straightforward method (not involving long ...
11
votes
3
answers
4k
views
erfc lower bound
I've seen the following lower bound for the complementary error function (erfc) but I haven't been able to prove it. Does anyone know how to establish the following?
$$erfc(x) > \frac{ x \exp(-x^...
9
votes
6
answers
3k
views
Primes are pseudorandom?
I've been reading the wonderful slides by Terry Tao and thought about this question.
Primes appear to be quite random, and the formal statement should be that there are some characteristics of primes ...
9
votes
4
answers
850
views
easy(?) probability/diff eq. question
I've been wondering about this ever since I was a little kid and I used to ride in the back of the car and my mom would speed like hell towards a green light, only to slam on the brakes when she ...
10
votes
4
answers
966
views
What m minimizes E(|m-X|^3) for a random variable X?
Let X be a random variable. Then E(|m-X|^1) is minimized when (as a function of m) when m is the median of X, and E(|m-X|^2) is minimized when m is the mean of x.
A couple weeks ago in a technical ...
49
votes
13
answers
24k
views
Why is it so cool to square numbers (in terms of finding the standard deviation)?
When we want to find the standard deviation of $\{1,2,2,3,5\}$ we do
$$\sigma = \sqrt{ {1 \over 5-1} \left( (1-2.6)^2 + (2-2.6)^2 + (2-2.6)^2 + (3-2.6)^2 + (5 - 2.6)^2 \right) } \approx 1.52$$.
Why ...
2
votes
2
answers
372
views
Limit of sequence involving gamma functions
Let G be the gamma function, and b be a constant in (-2,inf). Let
H(n, i) = G(i+1+b) * G(n-i+1+b) / [G(i+1) * G(n-i+1)]
for integers n > i > 0. Let
S(n) = \sum_{i=1}^{i=n-1} H(n, i).
Let x_ n = H(...