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2 votes
1 answer
675 views

Moment generating function of random unit vector

Let $X$ be uniformly distributed on the unit sphere $S^{n-1}$. Is there any result concerning the calculation or bound (particularly lower bound) of $$\mathbb{E}[\exp(X^Tv)]$$ for any $v$?
4 votes
0 answers
212 views

A lower bound on the expected sum of Bernoulli random variables given a constraint on its distribution

Given a set of Bernoulli random variables $x_1, \dots, x_n$ (not necessarily identical) with $X= \sum_{0<i\leq n} x_i$, I am intrested in finding a lower-bound for $\frac{\mathbb{E} [ \min (X,k) ]...
1 vote
0 answers
112 views

Hashed coupon collector

The story: A sport card store manager has $r$ customers, that together wish to assemble a $n$-cards collection. Every day, a random customer arrives and buys his favorite card (that is, each customer ...
14 votes
1 answer
813 views

Large-n limit of the distribution of the normalized sum of Cauchy random variables

What is the large-n limit of a distribution of the following sample statistic:$$x\equiv\displaystyle\frac{\sum^{n}X_{i}}{\,\sqrt{\,\sum^{n}X_{i}^{2}\,}\,}$$ when sampling the Cauchy(0,1) distribution? ...
5 votes
1 answer
1k views

Sum of random variables are equal in distribution

Suppose that $X,Y$ are scalar random variables supported on some standard Lebesgue probability space $(\Omega, \mathrm{P})$, such that $X \overset{\mathrm{d}}{=} Y$ in the sense that their pushforward ...
4 votes
0 answers
261 views

Tight bounds for finite de Finetti's theorem

de Finetti's theorem roughly states that infinite sequence of exchangeable random variables are conditionally independent. I am looking for tight bounds for de Finetti's theorem in the following ...
5 votes
0 answers
711 views

Concentration inequality for max component of a multivariate Gaussian in the general case

I am looking to bound the variance of the maximum component of a vector distributed multivariate Gaussian in the general case where the Gaussian distribution has arbitrary mean and full covariance ...
6 votes
1 answer
501 views

Maxima of Brownian motion

It is well-known that Brownian motion attains infinitely many maxima in each time interval $[0,T]$ a.s.. From a physics perspective it seems reasonable that when the disorder of the path of a ...
7 votes
0 answers
179 views

Can one "smooth over" k-wise independence to get actual independence?

I came across the following toy problem and was curious if there was a simple solution or counterexample. Suppose you have a distribution $p$ on $m$ random variables $X_1, \ldots, X_m$, each with ...
1 vote
1 answer
194 views

Is there a 1/poly(n) or 1/polylogn upper-bound for this tail bound?

Is there a good tail bound for $\operatorname{P}\!\Bigg[\bigg\vert\dfrac{\sum_{j=1}^n(\sum_{i=1}^n a_{i,j})^2}{n^2} -1\bigg\vert > \epsilon\Bigg]\,,$ where all $a_{i,j}$'s are iid, with $\...
4 votes
1 answer
119 views

Expected value of a random variable conditioned on a positively correlated event

I have a random variable $x \in [a, b]$ with PDF $f(x)$ and an event $E$ which satisfies the following property for any $x'<b$. $$\Pr[E\mid x > x'] \geq \Pr[E]$$ My question is whether or not ...
14 votes
4 answers
2k views

Gaussian distributions as fixed points in Some distribution space

I'm taking a course on topology and probabily. Today, the professor remarked something along the lines of: If you look at the space of probability distributions with $0$ mean and variance $1$, ...
4 votes
4 answers
4k views

"Square root" of Beta(a,b) distribution

Under what conditions on a and b is there a distribution $f_{a,b}$ such that the product $XY$ of two independent realizations $X$ and $Y$ from $f_{a,b}$ has a Beta(a,b) distribution? A standard ...
12 votes
2 answers
1k views

lower-bound for $Pr[X\geq EX]$

Given n random variables, $X_1, ..., X_n$, each takes value 0 or $a_i \in[0, 1]$. $X = \sum_{i=1}^n X_i$ and $EX \geq 1$ is the expected value of $X$. Can we get a lower-bound for $Pr[X \geq EX]$? It ...
3 votes
1 answer
226 views

Total offspring of Poisson multitype branching process

A normal branching process $Z_n$ initialized with $Z_0=1$ and offspring generated from $Pois(p),p<1,$ has a total progeny / total off spring distribution $$X=\sum_{n=0}^\infty Z_n$$ $X\in \mathbb{...
3 votes
1 answer
456 views

Heavy tail central limit theorem

I am looking for a proof based on characteristic functions for the generalized central limit theorem when the second moment does not exist, in which case one ends up with a power law rather than a ...
1 vote
0 answers
72 views

Large Deviation of Triple Poisson Product

Let $X_i$ with $i=1,\ldots,n$ be independent Poisson variables, $X_i$ with parameter $\lambda_i.$ Let $\circ$ be a group operation on a group of size $n.$ I would like to obtain a large deviation ...
1 vote
1 answer
134 views

Random optimization problem

Let $V$ be a set of $n$-dimensional vectors such that, for each ${\bf v}\in V$ and for each index $i\in [n-1]$, we have $0\le v_{i+1}\le v_i$. Let $P(\cdot)$ be a discrete probability distribution ...
4 votes
1 answer
142 views

Linear combination of coordinates of random unit vector

Let $v\in \mathbb{R}^n$ be uniformly distributed on the unit sphere. Let $\lambda_1,...,\lambda_n$ be given real numbers. What is the distribution of $$X=\sum_{i=1}^n\lambda_iv_i^2\;?$$ Does it happen ...
2 votes
1 answer
206 views

Density of random matrix only depends on its spectrum

Suppose a random positive definite matrix $A\in\mathbb{R}^{n\times n}$ has density function (with respect to the lebesgue measure on $\mathbb{R}^{n(n+1)/2}$) $f(A)=g(\lambda_1(A),...,\lambda_n(A))$ ...
1 vote
0 answers
98 views

Joint distribution of two weighted sums of IID random variables

Let $X_1, X_2, \dots$ be independently uniformly distributed random variables in $\{-1, +1\}$ and let $a_1, b_1,a_2,b_2, \ldots \in \mathbb{R}$ be fixed, bounded and of non-zero average. Let $Y_n=...
11 votes
7 answers
29k views

Resultant probability distribution when taking the cosine of gaussian distributed variable

I am trying to do a measurement uncertainty calculation. I have a gaussian distributed phase angle (theta) with a mean of 0 and standard deviation of 16.6666 micro radians. The variance is the ...
2 votes
0 answers
57 views

Given a set of marginals, what is the largest support of a distribution satisfying these?

Given a random variable $X$ with support over $\{0,1\}^I$, we can define the marginal distribution on the bits indexed by $A \subseteq I$ by $Pr(X_A = x_A) = \sum_{x \in \{0,1\}^{I - A}} Pr(X = x \cup ...
1 vote
1 answer
3k views

Correlation between square of normal random variables

Suppose I have $X,Y$ bivariate normal with correlation coefficient $\rho \in (0,1)$ . Then , what is the correlation between $X^2 $ and $Y^2$ ? I am aware of the fact that the square of the normal ...
0 votes
1 answer
681 views

concentration of sums of fourth moment of normals

I was wondering what is the best tail bound for \begin{equation*} \mathbb{P}\bigg\{\sum_{k=1}^n X_k^4>(1+t)3n\bigg\}\le ? \end{equation*} where $X_k$ are i.i.d. $\mathcal{N}(0,1)$.
5 votes
2 answers
185 views

Density near at $0$ for the integral of the positive part of the Brownian motion

This question was asked recently on MO and then deleted by the owner, user Aalon. I think the question deserves to be answered, which is what I will try to do here. Aalon was reading this paper, where ...
8 votes
1 answer
355 views

Lower Bound of KL-Divergence Between Two Gibbs Measures

Suppose we have two Gibbs measures with densities $$ p_f(x) \propto \exp(f(x)),\quad q_g(x)\propto \exp(g(x)). $$ Consider the KL-divergence between $p_f$ and $q_g$, as a functional of $f$ and $g$, ...
1 vote
1 answer
90 views

The weak version of the memoriless property

In our group we are working with a probability distribution $X$ defined on a non-negative domain, satisfying the following property $$ P\left[X>a\right]\ge P\left[X>a+t \mid X>t\right], $$ ...
2 votes
0 answers
70 views

If $X^n$ is a sequence of càdlàg processes whose FDDs converge to a continous process $X$, does $X^n$ converge to $X$ in the Skorohod topology?

Let $(\Omega,\mathcal A,\operatorname P)$ be a probability space, $E$ be a complete locally compact separable metric space, $(X^n_t)_{t\ge0}$ be an $E$-valued càdlàg process on $(\Omega,\mathcal A,\...
1 vote
0 answers
103 views

A question about pdfs with likelihood ratio order

Suppose $f_1,f_2,\dots$ are pdfs of absolutely continuous random variables with the same support (say an interval). Assume that $\{f_i\}$ are strictly positive in their support. Furthermore, $\frac{...
1 vote
1 answer
92 views

boundig variation from median [closed]

Given a scalar random variable $X$, suppose that there are positive constants $c_{1}$ and $c_{2}$ such that $$\forall t\geq 0 : \,\,\,\,\,\,\ \mathbb P\{|X-\mathbb EX|\geq t\}\leq c_{1}e^{-c_{2}t^{2}}...
2 votes
1 answer
436 views

Best approximation of a compactly supported density by a single Gaussian

Note: This is a follow-up question inspired by a previous (more difficult) question I asked on MathOverflow. Let $f:\mathbb{R}\to\mathbb{R}$ be a (sufficiently regular, e.g. smooth) probability ...
1 vote
1 answer
89 views

Correlation between r.v.'s following a distribution that is the ration between complex Gaussian and Chi-square r.v.'s

Given the following two R.V.s $$z_{1} = \frac{x_{1}}{|x_{1}|^2 + |x_{2}|^2 + ... + |x_{M}|^2}$$ and $$z_{2} = \frac{x_{2}}{|x_{1}|^2 + |x_{2}|^2 + ... + |x_{M}|^2}$$ where $x_{i} \sim \mathcal{CN}(...
1 vote
1 answer
88 views

Independence of r.v.'s following a distribution that is the ratio between complex Gaussian and Chi-square r.v.'s

Given the following two R.V.s $$z_1 = \frac{x_1}{|x_1|^2 + |x_2|^2 + \cdots + |x_M|^2}$$ and $$z_2 = \frac{x_2}{|x_1|^2 + |x_2|^2 + \cdots + |x_M|^2}$$ where $x_i \sim \mathcal{CN}(0,a), \forall i$...
3 votes
2 answers
2k views

The norm of isotropic sub-Gaussian random vector may not be sub-Gaussian

Suppose $X$ is a isotropic sub-Gaussian $n$-dimensional random vector (i.e. $EXX^T=I_n$, and for any unit vector $u$,$\|\left<X,u\right>\|_{\psi_2}\le K$). It is said that $\|X\|_2-\sqrt n$ may ...
3 votes
2 answers
819 views

Is there a name for "splitting a probability distribution into independent components"?

Suppose I have a random variable $\theta=(\theta_1,\dotsc,\theta_n)$; where the $\theta_i$ might have pairwise correlations. I decompose it into $\theta=\hat\theta(\phi_1,\dotsc,\phi_k)$, where $\hat\...
2 votes
0 answers
100 views

Reference Request: Total Variation Between Dependent and Independent Bernoulli Processes

Let $X$ be a random variable taking values in $\{0,1\}^n$ with the following distribution. For each coordinate $i$, we have $p_i = P(X_i = 1) = c/\sqrt n$, where $c$ is a (very small) constant. ...
3 votes
1 answer
498 views

Strictly Proper Scoring Rules and f-Divergences

Let $S$ be a scoring rule for probability functions. Define $EXP_{S}(Q|P) = \sum \limits_{w} P(w)S(Q, w)$. Say that $S$ is striclty proper if and only if $P$ always minimises $EXP_{S}(Q|P)$ as a ...
3 votes
3 answers
477 views

A clean upper bound for the expectation of a function of a binomial random variable

I wonder if there is a closed-form, or clean upper bound of this quantity: $\mathbb{E}[|X/n-p|]$, where $X\sim B(n,p)$.
0 votes
1 answer
101 views

How to find a special random variable? [closed]

Suppose random variables $X_1$ and $X_2$ have the same distribution under P, $Y_1$ is an arbitrary random variable,let $Z_1:=X_1+Y_1$.Can we find a r.v. $Y_2$ which has same distribution as $Y_1$,such ...
3 votes
1 answer
694 views

Asymptotic bound on the total variation distance between a standard multivariate normal and a simple mixture

Let $P = N(\vec{0}, I^d)$ be a standard multivariate Gaussian distribution in $d$ dimensions. Let $Q$ be distributed the same as $P$, except that samples from $Q$ have one of their coordinates, chosen ...
1 vote
0 answers
56 views

About a class of expectations

Consider being given a $n-$dimensional random vector with a distribution ${\cal D}$, vectors $a \in \mathbb{R}^k$, $\{ b_i \in \mathbb{R}^n \}_{i=1}^k$ and non-linear Lipschitz functions, $f_1,f_2 : \...
22 votes
3 answers
3k views

On the sum of uniform independent random variables

Let $X_1,...,X_n$ be independent uniform random variables in [0,1] and assume $c>1/2$. Is it true that $$\mathbb{P}\left[\sum_{i=1}^n X_i \leq n \cdot c\right]$$ is increasing with respect to $n$? ...
2 votes
1 answer
111 views

Where does the expected value in the restatement of the pseudoregret come from?

Given stochastic payoff functions $X_{1}(t) \dots X_{K}(t)$, each having a different probability distribution on $[0,1]$, denote the expected value of $X_i(t)$ by $\mu_i$, and define $\mu^* = \max_{i \...
2 votes
1 answer
847 views

Concentration inequality for quadratic form of Gaussian variables with non-idempotent matrix

Given $y \sim N(0,\sigma^2 I)$, and $M$ that is a symmetric matrix (not necessarily idempotent) what is the distribution of ${y^T M y}$? is there a high probability bound on $|{y^T M y}|$? Most ...
1 vote
1 answer
161 views

LLN large number law of Probability

I am studying the Law of large numbers for independent and identically distributed (i.i.d) random variables. Assume there are i.i.d variables $(\xi_k)_{k\ge 1}$ taking values in $(0,1)$. From the law ...
4 votes
1 answer
699 views

Rate of decay in the multivariate Central Limit Theorem

The celebrated Berry-Esseen inequality tells us that the rate of convergence in the univariate CLT is of magnitude $\frac{1}{\sqrt{n}}$ for sums $S_n=X_1+\cdots+X_n$ of independent random variables $...
5 votes
1 answer
997 views

Variance of sum of $m$ dependent random variables

I originally posted this question in Mathstackexchange, but since I got no answer I'm posting it also here. Let $X_1,X_2,...$ be a sequence of identically distributed and $m$-dependent random ...
1 vote
0 answers
221 views

Different balls in bins: What is the probability distribution of the sum of the minimum of the two types of balls over all bins?

Assume that there are $N$ different bins and two different kinds of balls, $R$ red balls and $W$ white balls. The red balls and the white balls are randomly distributed across the bins (that is, for ...
2 votes
1 answer
106 views

How to efficiently sample uniformly from the set of $p$-equipartitions of an $n$-set?

I have a question related to this one. For $n,p \in \mathbb{N}_+$ such that $p\mid n$, let $\mathcal{P}^{\rm eq}$ be the set of all equipartitions of $n$ in $p$ sets; i.e., in sets of equal size $\...

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