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6 votes
1 answer
499 views

Maxima of Brownian motion

It is well-known that Brownian motion attains infinitely many maxima in each time interval $[0,T]$ a.s.. From a physics perspective it seems reasonable that when the disorder of the path of a ...
Sascha's user avatar
  • 536
5 votes
0 answers
711 views

Concentration inequality for max component of a multivariate Gaussian in the general case

I am looking to bound the variance of the maximum component of a vector distributed multivariate Gaussian in the general case where the Gaussian distribution has arbitrary mean and full covariance ...
ted's user avatar
  • 283
2 votes
1 answer
675 views

Moment generating function of random unit vector

Let $X$ be uniformly distributed on the unit sphere $S^{n-1}$. Is there any result concerning the calculation or bound (particularly lower bound) of $$\mathbb{E}[\exp(X^Tv)]$$ for any $v$?
neverevernever's user avatar
4 votes
0 answers
261 views

Tight bounds for finite de Finetti's theorem

de Finetti's theorem roughly states that infinite sequence of exchangeable random variables are conditionally independent. I am looking for tight bounds for de Finetti's theorem in the following ...
Sandeep Silwal's user avatar
4 votes
1 answer
119 views

Expected value of a random variable conditioned on a positively correlated event

I have a random variable $x \in [a, b]$ with PDF $f(x)$ and an event $E$ which satisfies the following property for any $x'<b$. $$\Pr[E\mid x > x'] \geq \Pr[E]$$ My question is whether or not ...
Melika's user avatar
  • 189
1 vote
1 answer
194 views

Is there a 1/poly(n) or 1/polylogn upper-bound for this tail bound?

Is there a good tail bound for $\operatorname{P}\!\Bigg[\bigg\vert\dfrac{\sum_{j=1}^n(\sum_{i=1}^n a_{i,j})^2}{n^2} -1\bigg\vert > \epsilon\Bigg]\,,$ where all $a_{i,j}$'s are iid, with $\...
Pascalprimer's user avatar
3 votes
1 answer
226 views

Total offspring of Poisson multitype branching process

A normal branching process $Z_n$ initialized with $Z_0=1$ and offspring generated from $Pois(p),p<1,$ has a total progeny / total off spring distribution $$X=\sum_{n=0}^\infty Z_n$$ $X\in \mathbb{...
Conformal's user avatar
  • 315
3 votes
1 answer
456 views

Heavy tail central limit theorem

I am looking for a proof based on characteristic functions for the generalized central limit theorem when the second moment does not exist, in which case one ends up with a power law rather than a ...
AlgebraicGeometer's user avatar
5 votes
1 answer
1k views

Sum of random variables are equal in distribution

Suppose that $X,Y$ are scalar random variables supported on some standard Lebesgue probability space $(\Omega, \mathrm{P})$, such that $X \overset{\mathrm{d}}{=} Y$ in the sense that their pushforward ...
Ikebf 's user avatar
  • 85
1 vote
0 answers
72 views

Large Deviation of Triple Poisson Product

Let $X_i$ with $i=1,\ldots,n$ be independent Poisson variables, $X_i$ with parameter $\lambda_i.$ Let $\circ$ be a group operation on a group of size $n.$ I would like to obtain a large deviation ...
kodlu's user avatar
  • 10.4k
1 vote
1 answer
134 views

Random optimization problem

Let $V$ be a set of $n$-dimensional vectors such that, for each ${\bf v}\in V$ and for each index $i\in [n-1]$, we have $0\le v_{i+1}\le v_i$. Let $P(\cdot)$ be a discrete probability distribution ...
Penelope Benenati's user avatar
4 votes
1 answer
142 views

Linear combination of coordinates of random unit vector

Let $v\in \mathbb{R}^n$ be uniformly distributed on the unit sphere. Let $\lambda_1,...,\lambda_n$ be given real numbers. What is the distribution of $$X=\sum_{i=1}^n\lambda_iv_i^2\;?$$ Does it happen ...
neverevernever's user avatar
2 votes
1 answer
206 views

Density of random matrix only depends on its spectrum

Suppose a random positive definite matrix $A\in\mathbb{R}^{n\times n}$ has density function (with respect to the lebesgue measure on $\mathbb{R}^{n(n+1)/2}$) $f(A)=g(\lambda_1(A),...,\lambda_n(A))$ ...
neverevernever's user avatar
1 vote
0 answers
98 views

Joint distribution of two weighted sums of IID random variables

Let $X_1, X_2, \dots$ be independently uniformly distributed random variables in $\{-1, +1\}$ and let $a_1, b_1,a_2,b_2, \ldots \in \mathbb{R}$ be fixed, bounded and of non-zero average. Let $Y_n=...
Penchez's user avatar
  • 341
2 votes
0 answers
57 views

Given a set of marginals, what is the largest support of a distribution satisfying these?

Given a random variable $X$ with support over $\{0,1\}^I$, we can define the marginal distribution on the bits indexed by $A \subseteq I$ by $Pr(X_A = x_A) = \sum_{x \in \{0,1\}^{I - A}} Pr(X = x \cup ...
Samuel Schlesinger's user avatar
1 vote
1 answer
3k views

Correlation between square of normal random variables

Suppose I have $X,Y$ bivariate normal with correlation coefficient $\rho \in (0,1)$ . Then , what is the correlation between $X^2 $ and $Y^2$ ? I am aware of the fact that the square of the normal ...
John's user avatar
  • 183
5 votes
3 answers
512 views

Optimisation under constraint of Wasserstein distance

Let $\mathcal P_n = \{P \in \mathbb R^n_{\geq 0}: P^T \mathbb I = 1 \}$, where $\mathbb I = (1,...,1)^T \in \mathbb R^n$ and $f: \mathcal P_n \to \mathbb R$ a convex and differentiable function (or ...
SiXUlm's user avatar
  • 111
1 vote
1 answer
90 views

The weak version of the memoriless property

In our group we are working with a probability distribution $X$ defined on a non-negative domain, satisfying the following property $$ P\left[X>a\right]\ge P\left[X>a+t \mid X>t\right], $$ ...
Matjaž Krnc's user avatar
8 votes
1 answer
355 views

Lower Bound of KL-Divergence Between Two Gibbs Measures

Suppose we have two Gibbs measures with densities $$ p_f(x) \propto \exp(f(x)),\quad q_g(x)\propto \exp(g(x)). $$ Consider the KL-divergence between $p_f$ and $q_g$, as a functional of $f$ and $g$, ...
Minkov's user avatar
  • 1,127
2 votes
0 answers
70 views

If $X^n$ is a sequence of càdlàg processes whose FDDs converge to a continous process $X$, does $X^n$ converge to $X$ in the Skorohod topology?

Let $(\Omega,\mathcal A,\operatorname P)$ be a probability space, $E$ be a complete locally compact separable metric space, $(X^n_t)_{t\ge0}$ be an $E$-valued càdlàg process on $(\Omega,\mathcal A,\...
0xbadf00d's user avatar
  • 167
5 votes
2 answers
185 views

Density near at $0$ for the integral of the positive part of the Brownian motion

This question was asked recently on MO and then deleted by the owner, user Aalon. I think the question deserves to be answered, which is what I will try to do here. Aalon was reading this paper, where ...
Iosif Pinelis's user avatar
1 vote
0 answers
103 views

A question about pdfs with likelihood ratio order

Suppose $f_1,f_2,\dots$ are pdfs of absolutely continuous random variables with the same support (say an interval). Assume that $\{f_i\}$ are strictly positive in their support. Furthermore, $\frac{...
Ozzy's user avatar
  • 393
3 votes
1 answer
3k views

Is there a tight lower bound for the expectation of the product of two positive valued random variables?

Let $X,Y$ be two (dependent) random variables with $\mathbb{P}(X\ge 0)=\mathbb{P}(Y\ge 0)=1$. I want to find a tight lower bound of $\mathbb{E}(XY)$ when $X,Y$ are non-negative, almost surely. ...
Samrat Mukhopadhyay's user avatar
1 vote
1 answer
92 views

boundig variation from median [closed]

Given a scalar random variable $X$, suppose that there are positive constants $c_{1}$ and $c_{2}$ such that $$\forall t\geq 0 : \,\,\,\,\,\,\ \mathbb P\{|X-\mathbb EX|\geq t\}\leq c_{1}e^{-c_{2}t^{2}}...
Meysam's user avatar
  • 21
2 votes
1 answer
436 views

Best approximation of a compactly supported density by a single Gaussian

Note: This is a follow-up question inspired by a previous (more difficult) question I asked on MathOverflow. Let $f:\mathbb{R}\to\mathbb{R}$ be a (sufficiently regular, e.g. smooth) probability ...
JohnA's user avatar
  • 710
3 votes
2 answers
2k views

The norm of isotropic sub-Gaussian random vector may not be sub-Gaussian

Suppose $X$ is a isotropic sub-Gaussian $n$-dimensional random vector (i.e. $EXX^T=I_n$, and for any unit vector $u$,$\|\left<X,u\right>\|_{\psi_2}\le K$). It is said that $\|X\|_2-\sqrt n$ may ...
zbh2047's user avatar
  • 601
3 votes
2 answers
818 views

Is there a name for "splitting a probability distribution into independent components"?

Suppose I have a random variable $\theta=(\theta_1,\dotsc,\theta_n)$; where the $\theta_i$ might have pairwise correlations. I decompose it into $\theta=\hat\theta(\phi_1,\dotsc,\phi_k)$, where $\hat\...
Ted's user avatar
  • 267
2 votes
0 answers
100 views

Reference Request: Total Variation Between Dependent and Independent Bernoulli Processes

Let $X$ be a random variable taking values in $\{0,1\}^n$ with the following distribution. For each coordinate $i$, we have $p_i = P(X_i = 1) = c/\sqrt n$, where $c$ is a (very small) constant. ...
Sam OT's user avatar
  • 560
3 votes
1 answer
498 views

Strictly Proper Scoring Rules and f-Divergences

Let $S$ be a scoring rule for probability functions. Define $EXP_{S}(Q|P) = \sum \limits_{w} P(w)S(Q, w)$. Say that $S$ is striclty proper if and only if $P$ always minimises $EXP_{S}(Q|P)$ as a ...
King Kong's user avatar
  • 631
3 votes
3 answers
477 views

A clean upper bound for the expectation of a function of a binomial random variable

I wonder if there is a closed-form, or clean upper bound of this quantity: $\mathbb{E}[|X/n-p|]$, where $X\sim B(n,p)$.
ZUN LI's user avatar
  • 101
0 votes
1 answer
101 views

How to find a special random variable? [closed]

Suppose random variables $X_1$ and $X_2$ have the same distribution under P, $Y_1$ is an arbitrary random variable,let $Z_1:=X_1+Y_1$.Can we find a r.v. $Y_2$ which has same distribution as $Y_1$,such ...
John's user avatar
  • 13
3 votes
1 answer
694 views

Asymptotic bound on the total variation distance between a standard multivariate normal and a simple mixture

Let $P = N(\vec{0}, I^d)$ be a standard multivariate Gaussian distribution in $d$ dimensions. Let $Q$ be distributed the same as $P$, except that samples from $Q$ have one of their coordinates, chosen ...
Florian Tramèr's user avatar
1 vote
0 answers
56 views

About a class of expectations

Consider being given a $n-$dimensional random vector with a distribution ${\cal D}$, vectors $a \in \mathbb{R}^k$, $\{ b_i \in \mathbb{R}^n \}_{i=1}^k$ and non-linear Lipschitz functions, $f_1,f_2 : \...
gradstudent's user avatar
  • 2,246
2 votes
1 answer
847 views

Concentration inequality for quadratic form of Gaussian variables with non-idempotent matrix

Given $y \sim N(0,\sigma^2 I)$, and $M$ that is a symmetric matrix (not necessarily idempotent) what is the distribution of ${y^T M y}$? is there a high probability bound on $|{y^T M y}|$? Most ...
Enigman's user avatar
  • 123
4 votes
1 answer
699 views

Rate of decay in the multivariate Central Limit Theorem

The celebrated Berry-Esseen inequality tells us that the rate of convergence in the univariate CLT is of magnitude $\frac{1}{\sqrt{n}}$ for sums $S_n=X_1+\cdots+X_n$ of independent random variables $...
TOM's user avatar
  • 2,288
5 votes
1 answer
997 views

Variance of sum of $m$ dependent random variables

I originally posted this question in Mathstackexchange, but since I got no answer I'm posting it also here. Let $X_1,X_2,...$ be a sequence of identically distributed and $m$-dependent random ...
joeyg's user avatar
  • 339
1 vote
0 answers
221 views

Different balls in bins: What is the probability distribution of the sum of the minimum of the two types of balls over all bins?

Assume that there are $N$ different bins and two different kinds of balls, $R$ red balls and $W$ white balls. The red balls and the white balls are randomly distributed across the bins (that is, for ...
Matze's user avatar
  • 53
2 votes
1 answer
106 views

How to efficiently sample uniformly from the set of $p$-equipartitions of an $n$-set?

I have a question related to this one. For $n,p \in \mathbb{N}_+$ such that $p\mid n$, let $\mathcal{P}^{\rm eq}$ be the set of all equipartitions of $n$ in $p$ sets; i.e., in sets of equal size $\...
Clement C.'s user avatar
  • 1,372
3 votes
2 answers
309 views

Couplings on empirical distributions

For a problem I've been working on, I'm thinking about couplings between true and empirical distrubutions. I have two datasets $S$ and $T$ with underlying measures $\mu_S,\,\mu_T$. And then I have ...
Kashif's user avatar
  • 383
1 vote
1 answer
239 views

Probability of two Points being divided by an high-Dimensional Hyperplane

I have two points $x_1,x_2 \in \mathbb S^n $ which are distant $d$ from each other, where $d<<1$. I also have a vector $v$ sampled uniformly at random from $\mathbb S^n$. What is the ...
Alfred's user avatar
  • 899
0 votes
0 answers
268 views

Taylor series expansion of quantile function

Suppose $Y$ and $Z$ two random variables, $\lambda \in \mathbb{R} $. We note $F^{-1}_{Y}(\alpha)$ the quantile function of the variable $Y$ at the quantile level $\alpha \in (0,1)$. Do you have any ...
NN2's user avatar
  • 250
1 vote
1 answer
1k views

Monotonicity, Convexity, and Smoothness of the KL-Divergence between Two Brownian Motions with Different Initializers

We consider the two distributions $$ p_t = p_0 * N(0, tI),\quad q_t = q_0 * N(0, t I), $$ where $*$ denotes the convolution between two densities, while $p_0$ and $q_0$ have the same mean and ...
Minkov's user avatar
  • 1,127
23 votes
5 answers
2k views

Maximizing the expectation of a polynomial function of iid random variables

Let $f \colon \mathbb R^N \to \mathbb R$ be a smooth function. Let $\mu$ be a probability measure on $[0,1]$ and $X_1, \ldots , X_N$ be i.i.d. random variables on $\mathbb R$. Question 1. What is ...
Romeo's user avatar
  • 980
1 vote
1 answer
137 views

Approximate $\log \mathbb E_P[\exp(th(x)]$ for a function $h$ which is lipschitz and has finite moments of order 1 and 2 w.r.t $P$

Let $P$ be a probability measure on a space $\mathcal X$ and $h: \mathcal X \rightarrow \mathbb R$ is measurable function with finite moments of order 1 and 2. I'm interested in approximating the ...
dohmatob's user avatar
  • 6,853
1 vote
1 answer
90 views

Expectation of random variables coincides

Let $Y_1:=(X_i)_{i \in \mathbb Z}$ be a family of random variables that are identically distributed but not necessarily independent. We can then also define the shifted sequence $Y_2:=(X_{i+1})_{i \...
D. Driggs's user avatar
3 votes
4 answers
451 views

Solution of a 2D Recurrence sequence

Can we solve the following recurrence relation: $$a_{m,n} = 1 + \frac{a_{m,n-1}+a_{m-1,n}}{2}$$ with $a_{0,n}=a_{m,0}=0$? If not, can we get an estimate of the growth of $a_{m,n}?$ I encountered this ...
neverevernever's user avatar
1 vote
1 answer
88 views

Independence of r.v.'s following a distribution that is the ratio between complex Gaussian and Chi-square r.v.'s

Given the following two R.V.s $$z_1 = \frac{x_1}{|x_1|^2 + |x_2|^2 + \cdots + |x_M|^2}$$ and $$z_2 = \frac{x_2}{|x_1|^2 + |x_2|^2 + \cdots + |x_M|^2}$$ where $x_i \sim \mathcal{CN}(0,a), \forall i$...
Felipe Augusto de Figueiredo's user avatar
1 vote
1 answer
89 views

Correlation between r.v.'s following a distribution that is the ration between complex Gaussian and Chi-square r.v.'s

Given the following two R.V.s $$z_{1} = \frac{x_{1}}{|x_{1}|^2 + |x_{2}|^2 + ... + |x_{M}|^2}$$ and $$z_{2} = \frac{x_{2}}{|x_{1}|^2 + |x_{2}|^2 + ... + |x_{M}|^2}$$ where $x_{i} \sim \mathcal{CN}(...
Felipe Augusto de Figueiredo's user avatar
1 vote
0 answers
52 views

Stochastic Control: Markovian restriction

Consider a stochastic control problem, $$v^C(0,x) = \mathbb{E} \Big[\int_0^\tau f(X_t,C_t) d t + (T-\tau)|X_\tau|\Big] $$ where $X_t$ is a weak solution to the SDE $$dX_t = C_t dB_t, \quad X_0 = x \...
avk255's user avatar
  • 553
1 vote
1 answer
186 views

Expected norm of linear maps

I want to compute the expected norm of a vector-matrix multiplication. I have a vector $x \in \mathbb{R}^n$ with norm one and a matrix $M \in \mathbb{R}^{n \times n}$, whose entries are iid taken from ...
Alfred's user avatar
  • 899

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