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Law of large numbers for a continuum of Bernoullis

Suppose I have a family of $n$ independent Bernoulli random variables described by a vector of parameters $(p_i)_{i=1}^n$. As it is well known, the number of successes within this family is a random ...
Francesco Bilotta's user avatar
2 votes
1 answer
133 views

Can convergence in distribution necessarily be realised by almost-sure convergence?

Let $X$ be a Polish space. Let $(\mu_n)_{n \in \mathbb{N} \cup \{\infty\}}$ be a family of Borel probability measures $\mu_n$ on $X$ such that $\mu_n \to \mu_\infty$ weakly as $n \to \infty$. For each ...
Julian Newman's user avatar
2 votes
1 answer
198 views

References on tilting distributions

I would be interested in any book, paper, or other reading material that gives a comprehensive treatment of tilted distributions using the following notion of "tilting" (or equivalent): ...
FD_bfa's user avatar
  • 147
2 votes
1 answer
133 views

Optimal-score partitions

The question about throwing darts asked on the MathOverflow page Sacred Geometry of Chance was not well received, apparently because of "[t]oo much noise around the actual math", as stated in a well-...
Iosif Pinelis's user avatar
2 votes
0 answers
205 views

When should the empirical measure of an infinite sequence be defined?

Let $(x_n)_{n \in \mathbb{N}}$ be a (deterministic) sequence of nonnegative reals, possibly even with $x_n \in \mathbb{N}$ if you prefer. Then we'd like to define the empirical measure of such a ...
Tobias Fritz's user avatar
  • 6,406
2 votes
0 answers
127 views

Measure algebra for a family of probability measures

Let $(X,B,P)$ be a probability space, $I_P$ the $\sigma$-ideal of $P$-null sets and \begin{align} B_P = B \ltimes I_P &= \{ A \mathbin{\triangle} N \mid A \in B, N \in I_P \} \end{align} the ...
Packo's user avatar
  • 285
2 votes
0 answers
98 views

Has this "optimal constrained transport" notion of convergence of measures been named and/or studied?

Let $(X,d)$ be a compact metric space, and let $\{\mu_n\}_{n \in \mathbb{N} \cup \{\infty\}}$ be a family of Borel probability measures on $X$. Fix $L \geq 1$. I will say that $\mu_n$ converges in ...
Julian Newman's user avatar
2 votes
0 answers
61 views

Measurable extensions of probability measures

Let $X$ be a set, and let $\mathcal G \subset \mathcal F$ be $\sigma$-fields over $X$. Let $\Delta_\mathcal G$ (resp. $\Delta_\mathcal F$) be the set of probability measures on $\mathcal G$ (resp. $\...
aduh's user avatar
  • 869
2 votes
0 answers
261 views

Reference for Borel $\sigma$-algebra of topology of convergence in probability

I'm pretty sure I can prove the "Theorem" given further below (without very much difficulty), but it seems way too basic not to have been noticed before. So I'm wondering if there are any papers/...
Julian Newman's user avatar
1 vote
2 answers
262 views

Is the Boltzmann entropy lower semi-continuous in the weak topology induced by $C_b (\mathbb R^d)$?

For Lebesgue-absolutely continuous probability measures $\rho\ll \mathcal{L}^d$ in the whole space $\mathbb{R}^d$ with finite second moments (i-e $\rho\in \mathcal{P}^2_{ac}(\mathbb{R}^d)$), let $$ \...
Akira's user avatar
  • 825
1 vote
1 answer
448 views

Law of large numbers for random Dirac measures

Suppose $\{X_1,...X_n\}:\Omega \to \mathbb{R}^p$ be i.i.d. random vectors with common probability law/measure $p$, i.e. $Prob(X_i^{-1}(E))=p(E) \forall E \subset \mathbb{R}^p $ Borel measurable. ...
Learning math's user avatar
1 vote
1 answer
137 views

Ergodic theorem on limit of periodic transformations?

Suppose $(X,\mu)$ is a probability space, and $T_n, n \in \mathbb N$, is a sequence of periodic measure preserving transformations. For $x \in X$ and $f : X \to \mathbb R$, let $\mathrm{avg}_{f,n}(x)$...
Monroe Eskew's user avatar
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1 vote
1 answer
96 views

Asymptotic behavior of a Markov process on the set of $\{0,1\}$-polynomials

This question is cross-posted from https://math.stackexchange.com/questions/4711799/asymptotic-behavior-of-a-markov-process-on-the-set-of-0-1-polynomials I am trying to study the asymptotic behavior ...
Francesco Bilotta's user avatar
1 vote
1 answer
164 views

Is this (somewhat specific) moment problem treated somewhere?

Suppose I have a measure $\mu$ over $\mathbb R_+$ given by its moments $\mu_0,...,\mu_n$, defined as : $$\mu_k = \int x^{k} \partial\mu(x),\; k \in 1,...,n$$ Using Faà di Bruno's formula, I can ...
lrnv's user avatar
  • 686
1 vote
1 answer
88 views

Convergence of probability measures which (asymptotically) concentrate along a submanifold

Let $V : (-1, 1)^d \to \mathbf{R}_+$ be a smooth function, and for $\beta > 0$, define \begin{align} P_\beta ( dx ) &= \exp \left( - \beta V ( x ) \right) / z (\beta) \, dx\\ z (\beta) &= \...
πr8's user avatar
  • 801
1 vote
1 answer
206 views

Almost identical $\sigma$-algebras and measurability

Let $(X,\mathscr X,\mathbb P)$ be a probability space, $(Y,\mathscr Y)$ a measurable space, and $h:X\times Y\to\mathbb R$ a real-valued function measurable with respect to the product $\sigma$-algebra ...
triple_sec's user avatar
1 vote
1 answer
120 views

Are there well-established notions of convergence of measures that take into account differentiable structure?

All the notions of convergence of measures that I know of are either in the purely measure-theoretic category (e.g. strong convergence, total variation), or in the topological category (e.g. weak ...
Julian Newman's user avatar
1 vote
1 answer
344 views

Is the Borel-Cantelli Lemma applicable here? [duplicate]

Consider $(X_{n})_{n\in\mathbb{N}}$ a sequence of random variables taking values in the set $\mathbb{Z}_{\geq 0}$ where $\mathbb{P}(X_{n} = i) > 0 $ for every $i\in\mathbb{Z}_{\geq0}$ which are ...
user1234's user avatar
  • 161
1 vote
0 answers
168 views

Optimal transport-like problem where the objective depends on conditional probability distribution

$\DeclareMathOperator\marg{marg}$I would like to know if the following problem can be studied as an optimal transport problem, possibly imposing additional assumptions on the data. Consider two sets $\...
Francesco Bilotta's user avatar
1 vote
0 answers
87 views

Symmetry of the isoperimetric profile

Given a probability measure $\mu$ on a metric space $(X, \mathsf{d})$, the $(\mu-)$Minkowski content of a set $A$ is defined as $$\mu^+ (A) := {\lim\inf}_{r \to 0^+} \frac{\mu ( A_r \setminus A)}{r},$$...
πr8's user avatar
  • 801
1 vote
0 answers
191 views

Characterization of Poisson random measure in terms of Laplace transform

Let $(E,\mathcal E)$ be a measurable space and $\mu$ be a measure on $(E,\mathcal E)$. A random measure $\pi$ on $(E,\mathcal E)$ is called Poisson with intensity $\mu$ if $\pi(B)\sim\operatorname{...
0xbadf00d's user avatar
  • 167
1 vote
0 answers
74 views

Measurability of $\mathbb{R}^n$-Random Field

Let $(X_x)_{x\in [0,1]^d}$ be a collection of integrable random variable defined on a (common) probability space $(\Omega,\mathcal{F},\mathbb{P})$. Under what condition is the map: $$ [0,1]^d\ni x \...
ABIM's user avatar
  • 5,405
1 vote
0 answers
83 views

Embedding random variables in infinite-dimensional spaces

Let $H$ be a reproducing kernel Hilbert space of functions $f:E\to F$ with kernel $k$. A point in $E$ may be embedded into $H$ via the canonical embedding $x\mapsto k(x,\cdot)$. Similarly, a random ...
JohnA's user avatar
  • 710
1 vote
0 answers
91 views

Probability space with countable subset such that every subset of positive measure meets the subset

Let $(X, \mathcal F, P)$ be a probability space. Question What kind of condition is this: there exists a sequence $(a_n)_n \subseteq X$ such that $\forall$ measurable $A \subseteq X$, $P(A) >...
dohmatob's user avatar
  • 6,853
1 vote
0 answers
163 views

Does the law of a Feller process depend continuously on the initial condition?

Let $E$ be a locally compact and separable metric space, and suppose $X$ is a Feller process with transition function $P_t$. To be precise, let $C_0$ denote the space of continuous functions vanishing ...
Potato's user avatar
  • 11
1 vote
0 answers
58 views

Extension of a result about measurable, additive functionals

Let $W$ be a set, and let $v$ be a finitely additive probability measure on $2^W$. Equip $2^W$ with the Borel sigma-algebra $\mathcal{B}$ generated by the sub-basic sets of the form $\{a: w \in a\}$ ...
aduh's user avatar
  • 869
1 vote
0 answers
120 views

Existence of Time-Reversed Markov Kernels

Suppose I have a probability measure $\pi$ and a Markov kernel $q$ which leaves $\pi$ invariant, in the sense that \begin{align} \int_x \pi(dx) q(x \to dy) = \pi(dy) \end{align} Then, a (the) time-...
πr8's user avatar
  • 801
1 vote
0 answers
192 views

References about distances between singular probability measures

I would be interested in references on the topic of distances between probability measures that are singular with one another and not reduced to trivial ones. For example from here we know that total ...
The Bridge's user avatar
  • 1,334
1 vote
0 answers
417 views

Defining density of a random function using Radon-Nikodym Theorem

Let $(\Omega,\mathbb{F},P)$ be a probability space and $E$ be an infinite dimensional Banach space and $\mathbb{B}$ be the $\sigma$-algebra of Borel subset of $E$. Let $X$ be random function defined ...
Janak's user avatar
  • 213
0 votes
1 answer
133 views

Product of sets with the Radon-Nikodym Property (RNP)

I have read that it is somewhat well-known that if two Banach spaces $X$ and $Y$ have the Radon-Nikodym Property (RNP), then their product $X\times Y$ also has the RNP. Does the above result ...
BigbearZzz's user avatar
  • 1,245
0 votes
1 answer
102 views

Lower bounds for truncated moments of Gaussian measures on Hilbert space

Let $\mu_C$ be a centered Gaussian probability Borel measure on a real separable Hilbert space $\mathcal{H}$ with covariance operator $C$. Denote the ball with radius $r$ in $\mathcal{H}$ centered at ...
S.Z.'s user avatar
  • 505
0 votes
2 answers
167 views

Equidistributed sequence wrt exponential/Gaussian measure

For an arbitrary probability space $(X,\mu)$, a sequence $(x_n)$ in $X$ is said to be equidistributed with respect to $\mu$ if the measures $\frac 1 n \sum_{1\le k\le n} \delta_{x_k}$ converges weakly ...
Tartrate's user avatar
  • 341
0 votes
1 answer
190 views

Visualization of the disintegration theorem [closed]

Where can I find a picture that gives a visualization of the disintegration theorem? If such reference does not exist, what would a nice visualization of this fundamental result look like?
Jay's user avatar
  • 109
0 votes
0 answers
54 views

Reference request: "doubly empirical" measure associated to a random measure

I am considering the following type of situation. Suppose we have a random probability measure, by which I mean a probability measure on a space of probability measures atop some Polish space $X$. In ...
pseudocydonia's user avatar
0 votes
0 answers
161 views

Markov process with time varying transition kernels

I cross post this question from StackExchange as it may be more appropriate. I am interested in studying the evolution of a variable $\alpha_t\in [0,1]$ governed by the following stochastic dynamical ...
Francesco Bilotta's user avatar
0 votes
0 answers
424 views

Bounding the total variation distance between two measures from a given set

I have a distance on the space of probability measures on $[0,2]$. It is defined as such for two probability measures $\mu_1$ and $\mu_2$ : $d_p(\mu_1,\mu_2) := \sum_{k=0}^p ( \mathbb{E}[X_1 ^k]- \...
YZ22's user avatar
  • 31
-1 votes
2 answers
407 views

Conditional expectation: commuting integration and supremum

Let $X$ and $A$ be compact Polish spaces endowed with Borel $\sigma$-algebras. Let $\mathcal{A} = X\times \mathcal{B}(A)$ be the $\sigma$-algebra consisting of cylinders whose projections on $A$ are ...
Vokram's user avatar
  • 109

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