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Questions tagged [pr.probability]

Theory and applications of probability and stochastic processes: e.g. central limit theorems, large deviations, stochastic differential equations, models from statistical mechanics, queuing theory.

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2 votes
2 answers
1k views

Result of repeated applications of the binomial distribution?

What is the result of multiplying several (or perhaps an infinite number) of binomial distributions together? To clarify, an example. Suppose that a bunch of people are playing a game with k (to ...
3 votes
3 answers
2k views

Conditional expectation of convolution product equals..

Let $X, Y$ be two $L^1$ random variables on the probablity space $(\Omega, \mathcal{F}, P)$. Let $\mathcal{G} \subset \mathcal{F}$ be a sub-$\sigma$-algebra. Consider the conditional expectation ...
4 votes
0 answers
497 views

A Local CLT with large variance

For n an even integer, $0 \leq i \leq$ ${n} \choose{j}$, $1 \leq j \leq n$ let $X_{i,j}$ be a random variable taking values $\frac{n}{2}-j,0,j - \frac{n}{2}$ with equal probability. Let $S_{n}$ be ...
1 vote
1 answer
336 views

A probabilistic inequality [closed]

Suppose $x_1,x_2,...,x_6$ are non-negative Independent and identically-distributed random variables, is it true that $P(x_1+x_2+x_3+x_4+x_5+x_6 \lt 3\delta) \lt 2P(x_1 \lt \delta)$ for any $\delta \...
2 votes
1 answer
380 views

Parity, Balls and Boxes

Start with a distribution $\mu$ on [n], and drop m balls into these n+1 slots independently and according to the distribution &mu. That is, we have iid random variables x 1 through x m ...
0 votes
1 answer
189 views

Difference Equations & Possible Limits

The answer to this may well be in some elementary textbook - a reference might be more useful than a short answer here. If we look at the behaviour of a point in R n under matrix multiplication, we ...
4 votes
4 answers
3k views

Harmonic mean of random variables

The arithmetic mean of normal random variables is normal. The geometric mean of log-normal random variables is log-normal. But is there a common distribution family closed under taking harmonic means?
0 votes
2 answers
449 views

Chances of streaks in small bit-streams

Let's say a series of 10 bits is output randomly. Now lets do that 256 times. I'd like to find out what the expected number of streaks of 1s or 0s are for each of the possible sizes 1-10. For example,...
2 votes
1 answer
558 views

Which iid variables give a normal variable, when multiplied?

Hello, I hope you'll find my riddle interesting. Z = XY Z ~ N(0, 1) X, Y are iid random variables (independent, identically distributed). We assume X and Y are symmetric. What is the distribution of ...
12 votes
3 answers
1k views

Expectation of the product of almost independent Gaussians

Let $X_ i$ be copies of the standard real Gaussian random variable $X$. Let $b$ be the expectation of $\log |X|$. Assume that the correlations $EX_ iX_ j$ are bounded by $\delta_ {|i-j|}$ in absolute ...
4 votes
4 answers
1k views

Deconvolution of gamma distributions

If the sum of two independent random variables is gamma distributed does this imply that the individual random variables are also gamma distributed. I suspect that the answer is no, but I do not know ...
0 votes
1 answer
485 views

Estimating probability of set membership

I have a number of discrete finite sets, $A_0$ through $A_n$. I do not actually know their contents, but I know the size of each set and the size of the intersection between $A_0$ and each of the ...
2 votes
2 answers
6k views

Examples of random variables

I'm looking for a list of examples of random variables to use in teaching a measure-theoretic probability course. For example, the Rademacher functions are an explicit construction of independent ...
-2 votes
2 answers
245 views

Evaluate a fair game [closed]

I'm not a mathematician, so my question may be not so clear, sorry. Let's say we toss up an ideal coin and win 1 dollar on heads and lose 1 dollar on tails. So, expected value is M = 1×0.5 &...
17 votes
4 answers
762 views

How many dimensions is it safe to get drunk in?

In Michael Lugo's blog post Variations on the drunken-bird theorem, and real-world sightings he wonders (without coming to a conclusion) what the maximum 'safe' number of dimensions to get drunk in ...
2 votes
1 answer
752 views

Suprema of stochastic processes

Let X be a continuous stochastic process. I know that (t>s) P(|X(t) - X(s)|>δ) < |t-s|/δ Is it possible to say anything (e.g. estimate the decay of the tail) about Y=sup_{s \in [0,1]} |...
4 votes
2 answers
543 views

maximizing function (stochastic calculus)

S is a price process which follows Geometric Brownian motion with no drift: dS=S*vol*dW, vol=const., W is a Wiener process. Define the following ratio: R=E[Max(f(S)-S(T),0)]/E[f(S)], where S(T) is ...
-1 votes
1 answer
338 views

about Function of Random variables [closed]

Hello, I am studying random variables. Question is this: if rv X & a function g is known, what is the pdf of random variable Y = g(x)? in the textbook answer is explained as follows. P[y ≤ Y ≤...
9 votes
1 answer
10k views

What is the difference between a homogeneous stochastic process and a stationary one?

Hello. I am studying stochastic process. here, I don't know what is difference of "the process is homogeneous" and "the process is stationary" I feel confusing. It seems to similar to me.
9 votes
6 answers
3k views

Primes are pseudorandom?

I've been reading the wonderful slides by Terry Tao and thought about this question. Primes appear to be quite random, and the formal statement should be that there are some characteristics of primes ...
2 votes
2 answers
372 views

Limit of sequence involving gamma functions

Let G be the gamma function, and b be a constant in (-2,inf). Let H(n, i) = G(i+1+b) * G(n-i+1+b) / [G(i+1) * G(n-i+1)] for integers n > i > 0. Let S(n) = \sum_{i=1}^{i=n-1} H(n, i). Let x_ n = H(...

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