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Theory and applications of probability and stochastic processes: e.g. central limit theorems, large deviations, stochastic differential equations, models from statistical mechanics, queuing theory.
2
votes
1
answer
206
views
Controlling Mean Difference Between Product and Joint Distributions Using Optimal Transporta...
Suppose we have nonindependent random variables $X \sim P$ and $Y \sim Q$, where $P$ and $Q$ denote their marginal distributions. We are interested in upper bounding
$$
|\mathbf{E}_{X, Y\sim P \otime …
3
votes
1
answer
273
views
Stein's Equation for Gaussian Mixtures
In the paper "Spin glasses and Stein's method" (https://arxiv.org/pdf/0706.3500.pdf), Sourav Chatterjee established Stein's equation for mixtures of two Gaussian densities in $\mathbb{R}$, which takes …
8
votes
1
answer
340
views
Lower Bound of KL-Divergence Between Two Gibbs Measures
Suppose we have two Gibbs measures with densities
$$
p_f(x) \propto \exp(f(x)),\quad q_g(x)\propto \exp(g(x)).
$$
Consider the KL-divergence between $p_f$ and $q_g$, as a functional of $f$ and $g$, …
3
votes
1
answer
182
views
Superlinear Convergence of a Markov Chain
Suppose that we have a Markov process $\{Z_t\}_{t=0}^\infty$, where $Z_t \geq 0$ for any $t$. Assume that, conditioning on $Z_t = z_t$, we have
$
\mathbb{E}\{Z_{t+1}|Z_t = z_t\} \leq \kappa z_t^2
$. …
1
vote
1
answer
981
views
Monotonicity, Convexity, and Smoothness of the KL-Divergence between Two Brownian Motions wi...
We consider the two distributions
$$
p_t = p_0 * N(0, tI),\quad q_t = q_0 * N(0, t I),
$$
where $*$ denotes the convolution between two densities, while $p_0$ and $q_0$ have the same mean and varianc …
5
votes
1
answer
223
views
Anti-concentration of Gaussian when conditioning on event
Let $v$ be a given vector with $\|v\|_{\Sigma^{-1}} \leq 1$, where $\Sigma$ is a positive semi-definite matrix and $\|v\|_{\Sigma^{-1}} = \sqrt{v^\top\Sigma v}$. Meanwhile, let $u$ be a random vector …
8
votes
2
answers
2k
views
Moment matching: construction of a mixture of Gaussian distribution with lower moments ident...
This is a question related to the statistical model behind independent component analysis (ICA).
We assume that $Z \sim N(0,1)$. Our goal is to construct a random variable $X$ that follows a Gaussia …
7
votes
2
answers
588
views
Gaussian and the convex hull of moment curves
Let $c_1,\dots, c_d$ be the first $d$ moments of the standard normal distribution. Does the point $(c_1,\dots, c_d)$ lie in the convex hull of the set $\{(t,t^2,\dots,t^d)\colon t\in[-b,b]\}$, for a s …
3
votes
1
answer
184
views
Moment matching on the standard simplex
Let $\vec{\mu}_1, \vec{\mu}_2,\ldots, \vec{\mu}_k \in \Delta^{d-1}$ be $k\ (k\geq 2)$ distinct vectors on the standard simplex, where
$$\Delta^{d-1} = \{\vec{\mu}\in R^{d}:\| \vec{\mu}\|_1 = 1,\mu_j …
6
votes
0
answers
182
views
Distribution of the stopping time of an autoregressive sequence
Consider $e_t$ being i.i.d. uniformly chosen from $\pm 1$. Let $\eta$ be a small positive constant. What is the distribution of $T$ such that $\eta^{0.5} (1+\eta)^T W_T$ first hits $\pm 1$, in which
$ …
5
votes
0
answers
479
views
Hierarchical Random Walk (also known as Hierarchical Hidden Markov Model)
Let us consider the following hierarchical (recursive) random walk model, which is also known as the hierarchical hidden Markov model in computer science (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hierarchical_hi …
10
votes
2
answers
832
views
Minimum separation among $m$ random points on an $n$-dimensional unit sphere
Consider $m$ points $v_1, \ldots, v_m \in R^{n}$, which are uniformly distributed on the $n$-dimensional unit sphere $S^{n-1} = \{v:\|v\|_2 = 1\}$. Let the minimum separation be
$$
\rho = \min_{i,j\in …
3
votes
0
answers
267
views
Conditional distributions of uniformly distributed random orthonormal matrices
Let $U, U'\in R^{d\times k} (d>k)$ be two independent uniformly distributed random orthonormal matrices. In specific, let $S$ be the set of all $d\times k$ orthonormal matrices. Here 'uniform' is defi …
3
votes
0
answers
151
views
Sequential generation of any random graph
The high-level question is: can we generate any random graph with size $d$ using a Markov chain?
For example, let $X^{(0)} = (1,0,\ldots,0) \in R^d$ be the initial state, and $X^{(t+1)} = f^{(t)}(X^ …
7
votes
2
answers
451
views
Gaussian Surface Area of Positive Semidefinite Cone
Let $\mathbb{R}^n$ be the Euclidean space and $A \subseteq \mathbb{R}^n$ be a sufficiently regular set, e.g., one that has smooth boundary or is convex. We define the $\epsilon$-neighbor of $A$ in the …