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Theory and applications of probability and stochastic processes: e.g. central limit theorems, large deviations, stochastic differential equations, models from statistical mechanics, queuing theory.

2 votes
1 answer
206 views

Controlling Mean Difference Between Product and Joint Distributions Using Optimal Transporta...

Suppose we have nonindependent random variables $X \sim P$ and $Y \sim Q$, where $P$ and $Q$ denote their marginal distributions. We are interested in upper bounding $$ |\mathbf{E}_{X, Y\sim P \otime …
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  • 1,127
3 votes
1 answer
273 views

Stein's Equation for Gaussian Mixtures

In the paper "Spin glasses and Stein's method" (https://arxiv.org/pdf/0706.3500.pdf), Sourav Chatterjee established Stein's equation for mixtures of two Gaussian densities in $\mathbb{R}$, which takes …
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  • 1,127
8 votes
1 answer
340 views

Lower Bound of KL-Divergence Between Two Gibbs Measures

Suppose we have two Gibbs measures with densities $$ p_f(x) \propto \exp(f(x)),\quad q_g(x)\propto \exp(g(x)). $$ Consider the KL-divergence between $p_f$ and $q_g$, as a functional of $f$ and $g$, …
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  • 1,127
3 votes
1 answer
182 views

Superlinear Convergence of a Markov Chain

Suppose that we have a Markov process $\{Z_t\}_{t=0}^\infty$, where $Z_t \geq 0$ for any $t$. Assume that, conditioning on $Z_t = z_t$, we have $ \mathbb{E}\{Z_{t+1}|Z_t = z_t\} \leq \kappa z_t^2 $. …
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  • 1,127
1 vote
1 answer
981 views

Monotonicity, Convexity, and Smoothness of the KL-Divergence between Two Brownian Motions wi...

We consider the two distributions $$ p_t = p_0 * N(0, tI),\quad q_t = q_0 * N(0, t I), $$ where $*$ denotes the convolution between two densities, while $p_0$ and $q_0$ have the same mean and varianc …
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  • 1,127
5 votes
1 answer
223 views

Anti-concentration of Gaussian when conditioning on event

Let $v$ be a given vector with $\|v\|_{\Sigma^{-1}} \leq 1$, where $\Sigma$ is a positive semi-definite matrix and $\|v\|_{\Sigma^{-1}} = \sqrt{v^\top\Sigma v}$. Meanwhile, let $u$ be a random vector …
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  • 1,127
8 votes
2 answers
2k views

Moment matching: construction of a mixture of Gaussian distribution with lower moments ident...

This is a question related to the statistical model behind independent component analysis (ICA). We assume that $Z \sim N(0,1)$. Our goal is to construct a random variable $X$ that follows a Gaussia …
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  • 1,127
7 votes
2 answers
588 views

Gaussian and the convex hull of moment curves

Let $c_1,\dots, c_d$ be the first $d$ moments of the standard normal distribution. Does the point $(c_1,\dots, c_d)$ lie in the convex hull of the set $\{(t,t^2,\dots,t^d)\colon t\in[-b,b]\}$, for a s …
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  • 1,127
3 votes
1 answer
184 views

Moment matching on the standard simplex

Let $\vec{\mu}_1, \vec{\mu}_2,\ldots, \vec{\mu}_k \in \Delta^{d-1}$ be $k\ (k\geq 2)$ distinct vectors on the standard simplex, where $$\Delta^{d-1} = \{\vec{\mu}\in R^{d}:\| \vec{\mu}\|_1 = 1,\mu_j …
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  • 1,127
6 votes
0 answers
182 views

Distribution of the stopping time of an autoregressive sequence

Consider $e_t$ being i.i.d. uniformly chosen from $\pm 1$. Let $\eta$ be a small positive constant. What is the distribution of $T$ such that $\eta^{0.5} (1+\eta)^T W_T$ first hits $\pm 1$, in which $ …
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  • 1,127
5 votes
0 answers
479 views

Hierarchical Random Walk (also known as Hierarchical Hidden Markov Model)

Let us consider the following hierarchical (recursive) random walk model, which is also known as the hierarchical hidden Markov model in computer science (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hierarchical_hi …
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  • 1,127
10 votes
2 answers
832 views

Minimum separation among $m$ random points on an $n$-dimensional unit sphere

Consider $m$ points $v_1, \ldots, v_m \in R^{n}$, which are uniformly distributed on the $n$-dimensional unit sphere $S^{n-1} = \{v:\|v\|_2 = 1\}$. Let the minimum separation be $$ \rho = \min_{i,j\in …
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  • 1,127
3 votes
0 answers
267 views

Conditional distributions of uniformly distributed random orthonormal matrices

Let $U, U'\in R^{d\times k} (d>k)$ be two independent uniformly distributed random orthonormal matrices. In specific, let $S$ be the set of all $d\times k$ orthonormal matrices. Here 'uniform' is defi …
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  • 1,127
3 votes
0 answers
151 views

Sequential generation of any random graph

The high-level question is: can we generate any random graph with size $d$ using a Markov chain? For example, let $X^{(0)} = (1,0,\ldots,0) \in R^d$ be the initial state, and $X^{(t+1)} = f^{(t)}(X^ …
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  • 1,127
7 votes
2 answers
451 views

Gaussian Surface Area of Positive Semidefinite Cone

Let $\mathbb{R}^n$ be the Euclidean space and $A \subseteq \mathbb{R}^n$ be a sufficiently regular set, e.g., one that has smooth boundary or is convex. We define the $\epsilon$-neighbor of $A$ in the …
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  • 1,127

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