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In probability and statistics, a probability distribution assigns a probability to each measurable subset of the possible outcomes of a random experiment, survey, or procedure of statistical inference.
26
votes
Accepted
A variation of the law of large numbers for random points in a square
Given $n^2$ i.i.d. uniform points in $[0,1]^2$, the goal is to draw a configuration of $cn$ vertical lines and $cn$ horizontal lines such that in each small rectangle there is at most one marked point …
19
votes
What makes Gaussian distributions special?
If the random vector $(X,Y)$ in the plane has independent coordinates and a rotation-invariant distribution, then it is Gaussian.
8
votes
Accepted
Distribution of the first occurrence of a maximum (record) run of zeros in the digits of a n...
The length $R_N$ of the longest run in the first $N$ digits satisfies $R_N/\log_b(N) \to 1$ almost surely as $N \to \infty$, as first proved by Renyi, see the discussion in [1].
(Many references focus …
6
votes
Accepted
Is there a 1/poly(n) or 1/polylogn upper-bound for this tail bound?
Let $A:=\Bigg\{\bigg\vert\dfrac{\sum_{j=1}^n(\sum_{i=1}^n a_{ij})^2}{n^2} -1\bigg\vert > \epsilon\Bigg\}\,$ denote the event in question. We will show that
$\operatorname{P}(A)\le C_{\epsilon}/n$
f …
6
votes
Accepted
Sum of random variables are equal in distribution
There is$^*$ a counterexample in the atomic case, see below, so we will assume that $(\Omega, \mathrm{P})$ is a non-atomic standard Lebesgue probability space (so it is Isomorphic to the unit interval …
3
votes
Accepted
How to derive this change of measure identity in multi-armed bandits?
Shishir, this is quite elementary: write the probability $P_2(\omega)$ of any individual bit sequence $\omega$ as $P_1(\omega) f(\omega)$ where by definition, $f(\omega)=\exp(-\hat{kl}_n)$. Finally, s …
3
votes
Samples from a modified Bernoulli
Perhaps most relevant is [1] which discusses this construction and reduces the general case to $c=2$. See Theorem 1 and proposition 15 there. Note that $cp \le 1$ is not a sufficient condition; an in …
3
votes
Accepted
Distribution of a stopped random sum, with subexponential stopping time
The hypothesis implies that $M_k=[e^{\sum_{n=1}^k X_n}]$ is a supermartingale, with $M_0=1$. Then the optional stopping theorem for positive supermartingales implies the requested inequality. (see e. …
2
votes
Accepted
On the speed of divergence of the converse of the Strong law of large numbers
Such a sequence $a_n$ does not exist even for a well studied example like returns to the origin of simple random walk in one dimension. If $X_i$ denotes the number of steps from the $i-1$ time the wal …
2
votes
Bounded difference functions and sub-Gaussian random variables
The implication goes the other way.
The "standard" inequality you quote, usually called McDiarmid's inequality
is derived from the second inequality that you ask about. See e.g. http://empslocal.ex.a …
2
votes
Accepted
Minimum mean over all random variables subject to logarithm constraint
Assume $X>0$ a.s. (so the constraint can be satisfied) and write $Y=\log X$.
By Jensen's inequality (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jensen%27s_inequality),
$\mathbb{E} X \ge e^{\mathbb{E} Y}=e^C$, so …
2
votes
Accepted
Stationary and limiting distributions
For Markov chains, a very useful condition is Harris recurrence,
see https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Harris_chain.
This has been generalized to continuous time, see
https://www.jstor.org/stable/3690386? …
1
vote
CLT for Martingales
This Theorem is a direct consequence of the Skorohod representation of Martingales. You can find it, along with many variants, in
Hall, Peter, and Christopher C. Heyde. Martingale limit theory and its …
1
vote
Find $\inf_{P_{X_1,X_2}}P_{X_1,X_2}(\|X_1-X_2\| > 2\alpha)$ , where $\alpha > 0$ and inf is ...
As Iosif wrote, the conjecture does not hold. Suppose $\alpha=1$ and $X_1$ takes the values 0,1,2 with equal probability and $X_2$ takes the values 0,2 with equal probability. Then $h(1)=0$ but transl …
1
vote
Accepted
Exponential upper bounds for sums of martingale differences
Let $J$ take the value $M$ with probability $1/M^2$ and the value 1 with probability $1-1/M^2$. Let $R_i$ be i.i.d. $\pm 1$ valued random variables of of mean zero, and define $X_i:=JR_i$. Then for $ …