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Theory and applications of probability and stochastic processes: e.g. central limit theorems, large deviations, stochastic differential equations, models from statistical mechanics, queuing theory.

10 votes

Identities and inequalities in analysis and probability

Many inequalities are proved by identities representing the thing which must be proved to be non-negative as integral (or sum, or expectation) of squares. For example: CBS inequality $$ \int_X f^2 \cd …
Fedor Petrov's user avatar
0 votes
Accepted

Upper bounds on quotients of binomial coefficients

Your formula yields $$f(n_0)=\prod_{j=0}^{m-1}\frac{n-n_0-j}{n-j}\leqslant \left(\frac{n-n_0}{n}\right)^m= \left(1-\frac{n_0}{n}\right)^m\leqslant e^{-mn_0/n},$$ that is about $e^{-1/\gamma}$.
Fedor Petrov's user avatar
4 votes
Accepted

An inequality about binomial distribution

Another try, now I claim that the inequality holds. For a random variable $X$, denote $\|X\|=(\mathbb E |X|^\sigma)^{1/\sigma}$. It is indeed a norm. Then $$ \|X_1+\ldots+X_n\|\leqslant \|X_1+\ldots+X …
Fedor Petrov's user avatar
1 vote
Accepted

Inequality for Gaussian measures

Denote $K_0=[-a,a]\times \mathbb{R}^{k-1}$, $K_{-}=[-\infty,-a]\times \mathbb{R}^{k-1}$, $K_{+}=[a,\infty]\times \mathbb{R}^{k-1}=-K_-$. We have $$\mu(L)(\mu(K_0)+2\mu(K_+))=\mu(L)=\mu(L\cap K_0)+\mu( …
Fedor Petrov's user avatar
6 votes

The vertices of a triangle are three random points on a unit circle. The side lengths are, i...

The following argument is less or more the same as that of Iosif Pinelis, but with less computations and the symmetry is rather explicit. It may be explained without complex numbers, but the explanati …
Fedor Petrov's user avatar
7 votes

Lower bounding a partition-related sum

I have no idea why Lucia removed her nice answer, but here goes a short elementary argument. We want to bound from below the expectation of $f(\pi)$, where $\pi$ is a random permutation and $f(\pi)=\p …
Fedor Petrov's user avatar
6 votes

Winning game probability

Here goes a combinatorial proof of the answer (formula (1)) by Christian Remling. If Alice wins, then after the last draw (or after the beginning if there were no draws) we have a sequence $B^jTA^N$, …
Fedor Petrov's user avatar
7 votes
Accepted

Random spanning trees probability problem

Here is a proof that the variance of $d_T(v)$ does not exceed $\frac14(\deg v-1)$. For every edge $e\in E$ take a variable $x_e$ and consider the polynomial $$P:=\sum_T \prod_{e\in T} x_e,$$ where the …
Fedor Petrov's user avatar
4 votes
Accepted

Quantitative Borel-Cantelli

Imagine that for all $k=1,2,\ldots$ all events $A_n$ for $n\in [k!,(k+1)!-1)$ are the same event $C_k$. Then if $x$ belongs to all $A_i$ along a subsequence of positive density yields that it belongs …
Fedor Petrov's user avatar
4 votes
Accepted

Does a subset with small cardinality represent the whole set?

The probability that all samples are less than $N^{19/10}$ is $(1-N^{-19/20})^{N}$ that tends to 0. The expected number of samples greater than $N^{1/2}$ is $N^{3/4}$, thus, the probability that we ha …
Fedor Petrov's user avatar
3 votes
Accepted

Expectation of the inner product of a subset of two random orthonormal vectors

Denote $\alpha=\mathbb{E} u_1^2v_1^2$, $\beta=\mathbb{E} u_1v_1u_2v_2$. Then by the symmetry and linearity of expectation we have $$f(m):=\mathbb{E} (u_1v_1+\ldots+u_mv_m)^2=m\alpha+m(m-1)\beta.$$ We …
Fedor Petrov's user avatar
19 votes

If $X$ and $Y$ independent and identically distributed, then $E(|X-Y|)\leq E(|X+Y|)$. Are ot...

It suffices to prove that for arbitrary $X_1,\ldots,X_n$ we have $$\sum_{i, j} |X_i-X_j|\leqslant \sum_{i, j} |X_i+X_j|, \quad \quad \quad (\star)$$ then applying $(\star)$ for a random sample from y …
Fedor Petrov's user avatar
2 votes

Can we find such $k$ so that the following inequality holds?

For arbitrary $C>0$ and positive i. i. d. $Y_1,\ldots,Y_k$ for $Z:=\sum_{i=1}^k Y_i$ we have $$\sum_{i=1}^k {\mathbf 1}(Z/Y_i\geqslant C)\geqslant k-C$$ (since $Z/Y_i<C$ means that $Y_i>Z/C$, which ma …
Fedor Petrov's user avatar
4 votes

A strange probability inequality

Every $\gamma>0$ seems ok. We have $$ \mathbb{P}(|x_k|\geqslant e^{\gamma k})\leqslant \mathbb{P}(1+|x_k|\geqslant e^{\gamma k})= \mathbb{P}(\gamma^{-1}\log(1+|x_k|)\geqslant k), $$ and the sum of th …
Fedor Petrov's user avatar
5 votes
Accepted

Estimation of the expected number of sites visited by i.i.d

Denote $p_k=P(X=k)$. Then $E(R_n)=\sum_k P(k\in \{X_1,\ldots,X_n\})\leqslant \sum_k \min(1,np_k)$. We are given that $\sum kp_k<\infty$. Fix $\varepsilon>0$. The sum of $\min(1,np_k)$ over $k<\varepsi …
Fedor Petrov's user avatar

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