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Theory and applications of probability and stochastic processes: e.g. central limit theorems, large deviations, stochastic differential equations, models from statistical mechanics, queuing theory.
10
votes
Identities and inequalities in analysis and probability
Many inequalities are proved by identities representing the thing which must be proved to be non-negative as integral (or sum, or expectation) of squares. For example: CBS inequality
$$
\int_X f^2 \cd …
0
votes
Accepted
Upper bounds on quotients of binomial coefficients
Your formula yields $$f(n_0)=\prod_{j=0}^{m-1}\frac{n-n_0-j}{n-j}\leqslant \left(\frac{n-n_0}{n}\right)^m=
\left(1-\frac{n_0}{n}\right)^m\leqslant e^{-mn_0/n},$$
that is about $e^{-1/\gamma}$.
4
votes
Accepted
An inequality about binomial distribution
Another try, now I claim that the inequality holds.
For a random variable $X$, denote $\|X\|=(\mathbb E |X|^\sigma)^{1/\sigma}$. It is indeed a norm.
Then
$$
\|X_1+\ldots+X_n\|\leqslant \|X_1+\ldots+X …
1
vote
Accepted
Inequality for Gaussian measures
Denote $K_0=[-a,a]\times \mathbb{R}^{k-1}$, $K_{-}=[-\infty,-a]\times \mathbb{R}^{k-1}$, $K_{+}=[a,\infty]\times \mathbb{R}^{k-1}=-K_-$.
We have $$\mu(L)(\mu(K_0)+2\mu(K_+))=\mu(L)=\mu(L\cap K_0)+\mu( …
6
votes
The vertices of a triangle are three random points on a unit circle. The side lengths are, i...
The following argument is less or more the same as that of Iosif Pinelis, but with less computations and the symmetry is rather explicit. It may be explained without complex numbers, but the explanati …
7
votes
Lower bounding a partition-related sum
I have no idea why Lucia removed her nice answer, but here goes a short elementary argument.
We want to bound from below the expectation of $f(\pi)$, where $\pi$ is a random permutation and $f(\pi)=\p …
6
votes
Winning game probability
Here goes a combinatorial proof of the answer (formula (1)) by Christian Remling.
If Alice wins, then after the last draw (or after the beginning if there were no draws) we have a sequence $B^jTA^N$, …
7
votes
Accepted
Random spanning trees probability problem
Here is a proof that the variance of $d_T(v)$ does not exceed $\frac14(\deg v-1)$.
For every edge $e\in E$ take a variable $x_e$ and consider the polynomial $$P:=\sum_T \prod_{e\in T} x_e,$$
where the …
4
votes
Accepted
Quantitative Borel-Cantelli
Imagine that for all $k=1,2,\ldots$ all events $A_n$ for $n\in [k!,(k+1)!-1)$ are the same event $C_k$. Then if $x$ belongs to all $A_i$ along a subsequence of positive density yields that it belongs …
4
votes
Accepted
Does a subset with small cardinality represent the whole set?
The probability that all samples are less than $N^{19/10}$ is $(1-N^{-19/20})^{N}$ that tends to 0. The expected number of samples greater than $N^{1/2}$ is $N^{3/4}$, thus, the probability that we ha …
3
votes
Accepted
Expectation of the inner product of a subset of two random orthonormal vectors
Denote $\alpha=\mathbb{E} u_1^2v_1^2$, $\beta=\mathbb{E} u_1v_1u_2v_2$. Then by the symmetry and linearity of expectation we have $$f(m):=\mathbb{E} (u_1v_1+\ldots+u_mv_m)^2=m\alpha+m(m-1)\beta.$$
We …
19
votes
If $X$ and $Y$ independent and identically distributed, then $E(|X-Y|)\leq E(|X+Y|)$. Are ot...
It suffices to prove that for arbitrary $X_1,\ldots,X_n$ we have
$$\sum_{i, j} |X_i-X_j|\leqslant \sum_{i, j} |X_i+X_j|,
\quad \quad \quad (\star)$$
then applying $(\star)$ for a random sample from y …
2
votes
Can we find such $k$ so that the following inequality holds?
For arbitrary $C>0$ and positive i. i. d. $Y_1,\ldots,Y_k$ for
$Z:=\sum_{i=1}^k Y_i$ we have $$\sum_{i=1}^k {\mathbf 1}(Z/Y_i\geqslant C)\geqslant k-C$$
(since $Z/Y_i<C$ means that $Y_i>Z/C$, which ma …
4
votes
A strange probability inequality
Every $\gamma>0$ seems ok. We have $$
\mathbb{P}(|x_k|\geqslant e^{\gamma k})\leqslant
\mathbb{P}(1+|x_k|\geqslant e^{\gamma k})=
\mathbb{P}(\gamma^{-1}\log(1+|x_k|)\geqslant k),
$$
and the sum of th …
5
votes
Accepted
Estimation of the expected number of sites visited by i.i.d
Denote $p_k=P(X=k)$. Then $E(R_n)=\sum_k P(k\in \{X_1,\ldots,X_n\})\leqslant \sum_k \min(1,np_k)$. We are given that $\sum kp_k<\infty$. Fix $\varepsilon>0$. The sum of $\min(1,np_k)$ over $k<\varepsi …