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2 votes
1 answer
111 views

What happens to an SDE conditional on the underlying Brownian motion being close to $f \in C[0, T]$?

The so called forgery theorem for Brownian motion says that for any continuous $f: [0, T] \to \mathbb R^d$, with $f(0) = 0$, the $d$ dimensional Brownian motion $W$ has a nonzero chance of staying $\...
3 votes
0 answers
144 views

Distribution of Brownian motion conditional on linear growth

Let $W$ be a standard $d$-dimensional Brownian motion with $W_0 = 0$ almost surely. Fix a constant $\lambda > 0$ and timeframe $T > 0$, and consider the event $$ E_T := \{|B_s| \geq \lambda s\ \...
1 vote
0 answers
131 views

Large-deviation inequalities for a class of simple random multivariate polynomials

Let $N$ be a large positive integer and let $[N] := \{1,2,\ldots,N\}$. For any $k$, let $K_{N,k}$ denote the collection of $k$-element subsets of $[N]$. Let $x=(x_1,\ldots,x_N)$ be a uniformly random ...
1 vote
0 answers
102 views

Freidlin Wentzell for stochastic differential inclusions

Consider the SDI $$dX^\varepsilon(t)\in b(X^\varepsilon(t))\,dt + \varepsilon \sigma(X^\varepsilon(t)) \, dB(t).$$ Is there any Freidlin-Wentzell large deviations principle for $X^\varepsilon$?
2 votes
0 answers
59 views

How to determine speed (rate) in large deviation principle for geometric Brownian motion

By reading Asymptotics for volatility derivatives in multi-factor rough volatility models by Lacombe, Muguruza and Stone, I am not familiar with the way they deduce the speed (or rate) when showing ...
2 votes
1 answer
244 views

Reference: hitting time of Gaussian process

Let $X_t$ be an OU process and $Y_t$ be the Gaussian process defined by $$ Y_t = y+\int_0^t X_s ds + W_t, $$ for some Brownian motion independent of $X_t$. Let $y,a>0$; is there a large deviation ...
5 votes
2 answers
688 views

Endpoint of Brownian motion conditional on high maxima

Note: This question is closely related to an earlier question: A large noise limit. Let $W$ be a standard one dimensional Brownian motion. For every $\varepsilon > 0$, let $A_\varepsilon$ denote ...
1 vote
1 answer
93 views

Probability distribution of $\sum_i^n X_i - T$ where $\sum_i^nX_i <T<\sum_i^{n+1} X_i $

Let $X_{1}, X_{2}, \ldots, X_{n}$ be IID random variables with mean $\mu$ and variance $\sigma^2$. Let $S_n=\sum_i^{n}X_i.$ Let $T\gg1$ and define $\tau=T-S_n$ where $n$ satisfies the following ...
1 vote
1 answer
221 views

Large deviation for empirical median

I found this exercise while reading some notes on Large Deviation Principle. This exercise is at the end of the very first chapter, including Cramer's Theorem and essentially nothing more (no Sanov ...
2 votes
2 answers
161 views

Determine the affine envelope of a random process's MGF

Suppose that a stationary random process $S(t)$ can be characterized as the figure below, which for most of the time is a straight line $S(t)=c\cdot t$, but occasionally would "stall" for a ...
1 vote
0 answers
80 views

Large deviations estimate for arbitrary continuous function

Fix $\epsilon>0$ and let $(\Omega,\mathcal{F},\mathcal{F}_t,\mathbb{P})$ be a stochastic base, and let $f:\mathbb{R}^n\to \mathbb{R}^n$ be a continous function with $f(0)=0$. Is there a family of ...
2 votes
1 answer
460 views

Large deviation of random walk

1) Let $\{X_i\}_{i=1}^n$ be i.i.d. such that $\Pr(X_i=1 )=1-\Pr(X_i=-1)=p$. Define the random walk $$ S_i = \sum_{j=1}^iX_j $$ for $i=1,2,\ldots,n$. I am looking for "good" exponential upper bounds ...
3 votes
0 answers
181 views

Most probable path for stochastic Hamiltonian systems

It is known that for a real valued stochastic process $X_t$ satisfying $$ d X_t = b(X_t) d t + \sigma d W_t $$ where $W$ is real valued Wiener process, the equation for the most probable path from ...
5 votes
0 answers
1k views

Asymptotic behavior of row sums in 2-d array of random variables

Set-up. Let $f : \mathbb{N} \to \mathbb{N}$ be increasing. For each $m \in [0,1]$, consider an infinite two-dimensional array of random variables, where row $n$ has $f(n)$ variables: $B^m_{1,1}$ $B^...
3 votes
1 answer
164 views

Large deviations for integrands

I am a physicist caught in the following situation: I have two probability measures $\mathbb{P}_1$ and $\mathbb{P}_2$ and have to deal with the following integral where $X_i$ are random iid: $$\int_{...
2 votes
0 answers
123 views

Modified Wigner semicircle law

The Wigner semicircle law states that for a random GOE-matrix $M^N \in \mathbb{R}^{N \times N}$ in the $N \rightarrow \infty$ limit for any $f \in C^b(\mathbb{R})$ $$\lim_{N \rightarrow \infty}\frac{...
7 votes
2 answers
594 views

Large deviation/concentration inequality for submartingale

Let $S_t = M_t + D_t$ be the sum of a martingale $\left(M_t\right)_{t=1,2,\ldots}$ and a predictable process $(D_t)_{t=1,2,\ldots}$ such that the variance of the increments of $M$ is uniformly bounded ...