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Theory and applications of probability and stochastic processes: e.g. central limit theorems, large deviations, stochastic differential equations, models from statistical mechanics, queuing theory.
2
votes
Unique coupling
For two measurable sets $A,B$, let $p=\mu(A)$ and $q=\nu(B)$. Consider any coupling of a Bernoulli$(p)$ and a Bernoulli$(q)$, say, $C:\{0,1\}^2 \to [0,1]$. Then we can find a coupling $(X,Y)$ of $\mu …
2
votes
Accepted
$E(\mathbf{y}|\mathbf{x}+\mathbf{z})=g(\mathbf{x})$ almost surely, if $\mathbf{z}\perp \!\!\...
No:
If $x=y$ and $x,z$ are iid $N(0,1)$ (jointly normal) then $x \mid x+z$ is also normal with mean $(x+z)/2$, i.e.,
$$
E[x \mid x+z]= (x+z)/2.
$$
0
votes
Is there a good explanation for this fact on pairwise independent variables?
Claim: if $X_1=X_2=1 \Rightarrow X_3=X_4=1$ holds then $X_3\ne X_4 \Rightarrow X_1=X_2=0$.
Indeed, by pairwise independence,
$$
E\Big[
X_1\Big(\frac{X_3+X_4}{2} - X_2\Big)
+
X_2\Big(\frac{X_3+X_4}{2} …
10
votes
How large can $\mathbf{P}[X_1 + X_2 + X_3 < 2 X_4]$ get?
I believe the probability is at least $\approx0.343$.
Let $\mu_n$ be a probability measure giving
$q_n = P_n[ X_1 + X_2 + X_3 < 2X_4]$.
Consider now $(Y_i)_{i\le 4}$ Bernoulli$(p)$. The $Y_i$'s produc …
2
votes
Accepted
Behavior of a Wishart quadratic form
We can invert $P=P_d(\lambda)$ easily because it is diagonal:
$$
P^{-1} = \frac{1}{1-\lambda + \lambda/d} e_1e_1^T + \frac{d}{\lambda} \sum_{j\ge 2} e_j e_j^T.
$$
Write $P^{-1}$ as $\frac{d}{\lambda} …
4
votes
Question about the proof of Propp-Wilson algorithm in Olle Häggström's book
The claim that $P(Y=\tilde Y)=1$ is incorrect. But I do not see this claim in the book you linked to.
Yes, the algorithm will oversample some states if one does not "reuse previous randomness". With t …
3
votes
Why MLEs are asymptotically efficient whereas method of moment estimators are not?
A ``down-to-earth'' observation to see what goes wrong with method of moments is this:
When considering applying the method of moment to $(X_1,...,X_n)$, you may as well apply the method of moments to …
4
votes
Accepted
Beating the $1/\sqrt n$ rate of uniform-convergence over a linear function class
It is not possible to get $|\frac1n\sum_i z_i(w) - E[z_i(w)]|=O_P(r_n)$ with $r_n \lll n^{-1/2}$ even for a single $w$, since it would contradict the CLT whenever Var$[z_i(w)]>0$.
1
vote
Accepted
Sub-Gaussian random variables and convex ordering
If $Z\sim N(0,1)$ and $X$ is subgaussian with subgaussian norm less than $1/\sqrt 2$ then
$$P(|X|>t)\le 2 e^{-t^2} \le K P(|Z|>t)
$$
for some numerical constant $K>1$, thanks to lower bound on $P(Z>t) …
2
votes
Probabilistic bounds of random polynomials
I would start with Theorems 4.1 and 4.2 in [1]. A statement of Theorem 4.2 is as follows: if $\nu_n(B(r))$ is the number of zeros within the disk $B(r)$ of radius $r$ when the degree is $n$, then the …
0
votes
Computing the expectation of a quadratic matrix form involving Bernoulli and Gaussian distri...
If $H$ has iid $N(0,1)$ entries, write $\kappa=\langle Z^TZ, H\rangle$ using the usual Frobenius inner product $\langle A,B\rangle = trace[A^TB]$. Conditionally on $Z$, $\kappa\sim N(0,\|Z^TZ\|_F^2)$ …
1
vote
Anti-concentration inequality for the eigenvalue of Gaussian matrix
Theorem 2 in
Iain M. Johnstone. Zongming Ma. "Fast approach to the Tracy–Widom law at the edge of GOE and GUE." Ann. Appl. Probab. 22 (5) 1962 - 1988, October 2012. https://doi.org/10.1214/11-AAP819
…
0
votes
Reference request and clarification for Central Limit Theorem for complex random variables
Adding to Will's answer: The $b=[EY]=0$ condition can be dropped if one is allowed to take the normalizing $1/\sigma$ to be complex. For any candidate normalization $1/\sigma$, write it in polar coord …
0
votes
How to analyze the value of convergence of functions of random matrices?
Assume real entries. Let $b$ be a column of $A$ and write $\tilde A$ the matrix $A$ with that column removed so that $AA^T = \tilde A\tilde A^T + bb^T$.
By the https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sherman%E …
1
vote
Distribution of inverse of a random matrix
It is true under the assumption $k,d\to+\infty$ while $k/d\to 0$, in the sense that $R^T\in R^{d\times k}$ has obviously iid $N(0,1)$ entries, and satisfies
$$
\|\sqrt d R^+ - R^T/\sqrt d\|_{op}
\to^ …