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Theory and applications of probability and stochastic processes: e.g. central limit theorems, large deviations, stochastic differential equations, models from statistical mechanics, queuing theory.
2
votes
Accepted
An inequality about binomial distribution (generalization)
$\newcommand\si\sigma$This is not true in general. Indeed,
$$B(n_1)=B_\si(n_1):=E(((1-t)N_2+t(N-n_1))^\si|N_1=n_1)$$
for random variables $N_1$ and $N_2$ with values in the set $\{0,\dots,N\}$ such th …
0
votes
Relationships between two stochastic matrices
Any vector in $R^n$ whose coordinates sum to $0$ is a scalar multiple of the difference $x-y$ between probability vectors $x$ and $y$. So, your condition on $A$ and $B$ can be restated as
$$\mathbf1^\ …
1
vote
Asymptotics for minimum of a sequence of random variables
(This is to address the previous comment by the OP. Since the previous answer is already long, this is being done in a separate answer.)
The answer to the mentioned comment is the following: there is …
7
votes
Asymptotics for minimum of a sequence of random variables
do we at least have $Y_n=\Theta(\frac{\log n}{n})$ almost surely?
The answer to this is no. It is not even true that $Y_n=\Theta(\frac{h(n)}{n})$ almost surely (a.s.) for any (deterministic or rando …
0
votes
Accepted
Proving bound on expectation of likelihood ratio involving mixtures
I am now trying to show that $H(\mu) \leq 1$ for $|\mu| \geq c$. As $H$ is an even function, it is sufficient to show that $H(\mu) \leq 1$ for $\mu \geq c$.
This is not true. E.g., suppose that $c=1 …
2
votes
Hermite–Fourier expansion for the median
$\newcommand{\si}{\sigma}\newcommand{\R}{\mathbb R}$As I understand the problem, it is to compute
$$e_{k_1,\dots,k_n}:=EM_nH_{k_1}(X_1)\cdots H_{k_n}(X_n),$$
where $n\ge1$ is an odd integer, the $H_k$ …
1
vote
Accepted
On the stationarity of Gaussian processes
Suppose that $(X_t)_{t\in\Bbb R}$ is a Gaussian process stationary in the wide sense, so that $m(t):=EX_t=m$ and $Cov\,(X_s,X_t)=g(s-t)$ for some real $m$, some real-valued function $g$, and all real …
5
votes
Accepted
Interpretation of an asymptotic result in probability
$\newcommand\ka\kappa$Intuition for this result is as follows.
The condition on $h'$ implies that $h(y)=(1+o(1))y$ (as $y\to\infty$). So, for the tail function $T$ given by $T(y):=P(Y\ge y)$ we have
$ …
2
votes
Accepted
Does convergence in probability of iid samples imply convergence in measure of the sampled f...
Counterexample: $g_i(x)=x-1/2$ for all $i$ and all $x\in[0,1]$.
1
vote
Accepted
Lower Bound on the Probability for the Sum of IID Random Variables
This conjecture is not true.
E.g., let $P(X_i=q)=p=1-P(X_i=-p)$, where $p\in(1/2,1)$ and $q:=1-p$, so that $P(X_i>0)>1/2$, $EX_i=0$, and $Var\,X_i=pq$ for each $i$. Then for any real $c>0$ and $S_n:=X …
1
vote
Accepted
Reconstruction of law of diffusion process from call option values
For any random variable $X$ with $E\max(X,0)<\infty$, you can determine the distribution of $X$ if you know the values of
$$g(c):=E\max(X,c)$$
for all real $c$.
Indeed, take any real $c$ and any real …
0
votes
Upper bounds on quotients of binomial coefficients
After cancellations and a bit of algebra, for $t:=\gamma>1$, we get
$$\begin{aligned}
f(n_0)&=\prod_{j=0}^{n_0-1}\Big(1-\frac{m}{n-j}\Big) \\
&\le\exp\Big(-m\sum_{j=0}^{n_0-1}\frac1{n-j}\Big) \\
&\l …
5
votes
Accepted
Sub-Gaussian Concentration without the Sub-Gaussian Norm
$\newcommand\si\sigma$The answer is no.
E.g., suppose that $P(X_i=1)=2/e=1-(X_i=0)$ for $i=0,1$.
Then $X_0$ and $X_1$ are sub-Gaussian with parameter $\si=1/\sqrt2$, so that we can take $\si_0=\si_1=1 …
2
votes
Problem in Probability Theory and Functional Analysis
This statement is false in general. E.g., suppose that $C=I=C[0,1]$.
Then the function $1_{[0,1/2]}$ is bounded and $\sigma(C)$-measurable but not in $I$.
14
votes
Accepted
Expected survival time in Russian Roulette not monotone?
Let $S$ be the survival time. Then
$$P(S\ge s)=\binom{n-s}a\Big/\binom na$$
for $s=0,1,\dots$. So,
$$ES=-1+\sum_{s=0}^\infty P(S\ge s)=\frac{n+1}{a+1}-1.$$
So, $n=3$, $a=1$, $n^*=8$, $a^*=3$ will do.
…