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Applied and theoretical statistics: e.g. statistical inference, regression, time series, multivariate analysis, data analysis, Markov chain Monte Carlo, design of experiments.
2
votes
Statistical test for boundedness of Expectation
Suppose you plan to draw $n$ samples. Consider the following distribution:
with probability $\frac{1}{2^n}$: draw from standard Cauchy
with remaining probability: equal to zero
This has infinite e …
3
votes
Testing uniformity for continuous probability distributions
This shouldn't be possible without assumptions on $X$. Take any algorithm drawing $m$ samples. Construct a discrete distribution $X$ by drawing $2^m$ samples indepedently and uniformly from $[0,1]$, a …
1
vote
Accepted
Strictly Proper Scoring Rules and f-Divergences
In a word, yes, KL is the only one. You're correct that $S$ is strictly proper if and only if $D_S$ is a Bregman divergence of some strictly convex function[1] (note you should swap the terms in your …
4
votes
Is data science mathematically interesting?
I think the problem is that "data science" means many different things to different people. To you it connotes applying statistics to marketing, but for others it covers large swaths of probability, s …
3
votes
Finite-sample deviation bound of empirical distribution from true distribution
A self-contained proof.
Step 1: $\mathbb{E} \|\hat{P}_n - P\|_2^2 \leq \frac{1}{n}$.
Step 2: McDiarmid's inequality.
Let $X_i$ be the number of samples of $i \in \{1,\dots,k\}$. Then $X_i \sim \te …
1
vote
Bounds on the number of samples needed to learn a real valued function class
There certainly are such results.
Yes, fat-shattering dimension and pseudo-dimension are used to characterize sample complexity. For example, here are some lecture notes (pdf) I found with a quick in …
1
vote
Looking for a certain kind of a distribution
In general, you are just asking about a weighted sum of i.i.d. variables from distribution $D$, with weights $\alpha_1,\dots,\alpha_n$. The Gaussian distribution is the only one that is rotationally i …
2
votes
Example of a (strictly) proper scoring rule on a general measurable space?
Well, it might be important to limit $\mathcal{P}$ here. If we consider the space $\Omega = \mathbb{R}$ with Lebesgue measure, we might take $\mathcal{P}$ to be the set of distributions with a continu …
3
votes
Example of a (strictly) proper scoring rule on a general measurable space?
Turns out that Gneiting and Raftery give an example in Section 4.2 of the continuous ranked probability score (CRPS), which is strictly proper for $\mathcal{P}$ equal to the Borel probability measures …
3
votes
Accepted
Does multiplication increase entropy?
Simulations suggest that most of this phenomenon can be explained by bit length (as suggested by Gerhard Paseman). Let $G(k)$ be the expected 'entropy' of a random $k$-bit number (i.e. chosen uniforml …
1
vote
Accepted
Maximal entropy of integer partitions of $n$
To summarize and make more complete what has already been figured out:
Claim: Let $T_i = {i+1 \choose 2}$ for all $i$. Let $j$ be the integer such that $T_j \leq n < T_{j+1}$. Then $H_{max}(n) = \log( …
2
votes
Accepted
lower bound the probability of at least L collisions
Main claim.
$$\Pr[|X - \mathbb{E} X| \geq t] \leq \frac{\mathbb{E} X}{t^2} \approx \frac{L}{t^2}. $$
You can bound the variance and use Chebyshev's Inequality as you suggest, and the calculations are …
2
votes
Points based partial ranking
This is an interesting question. An expert in social choice would have an interesting reply. As a semi-expert I can say semi-interesting things.
As you may know, a common voting setting in social choi …