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Theory and applications of probability and stochastic processes: e.g. central limit theorems, large deviations, stochastic differential equations, models from statistical mechanics, queuing theory.
6
votes
Moments of a positive random variable
This is known as the truncated Stieltjes moment problem, and there is a necessary and sufficient condition taking the form of a semidefinite program. See Section 5 of the classic paper by Curto and Fi …
8
votes
Why Kleisli Markov categories and not the Eilenberg-Moore categories of the associated monads
What can you do with the Kleisli category (of a probability monad) that you can't do with the Eilenberg-Moore category?
The first paragraph of kirk sturtz's answer provides a good high-level summary …
23
votes
2
answers
1k
views
How large can $\mathbf{P}[X_1 + X_2 + X_3 < 2 X_4]$ get?
Let $\mu$ be a probability measure on $[0,\infty)$ and $X_1, \dots, X_4 \sim \mu$ independent. Then what can be said about the probability that $X_1 + X_2 + X_3 < 2 X_4$?
More precisely, what is the v …
4
votes
How large can $\mathbf{P}[X_1 + X_2 + X_3 < 2 X_4]$ get?
In this answer, I will derive the following improved bounds:
$$0.367 \approx \frac{208}{567} \le \sup_\mu \mathbf{P}[X_1 + X_2 + X_3 < 2 X_4] \le \frac{7}{15} \approx 0.467.$$
In the remarks at the en …
2
votes
General additive function of probability
Here is a partial answer. As has been hinted at in the comments, one should expect that the space of functions under question strongly depends on the continuity assumption made. For example, the Rényi …
7
votes
1
answer
383
views
Idempotent splitting for Markov kernels
Let $X$ be a standard Borel space and $e : X \to X$ a Markov kernel. Suppose that $e$ is idempotent, that is $e \circ e = e$, or written out using the Chapman-Kolmogorov equation,
$$e(A|x) = \int_X e( …
2
votes
0
answers
172
views
When should the empirical measure of an infinite sequence be defined?
Let $(x_n)_{n \in \mathbb{N}}$ be a (deterministic) sequence of nonnegative reals, possibly even with $x_n \in \mathbb{N}$ if you prefer. Then we'd like to define the empirical measure of such a seque …
7
votes
Accepted
Hopf monads in categorical probability theory
Since the idea of a probability monad is not a fully formal concept, there can be no fully formal answer to this question. Nevertheless, I will argue below that no nontrivial probability monad is a Ho …