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Theory and applications of probability and stochastic processes: e.g. central limit theorems, large deviations, stochastic differential equations, models from statistical mechanics, queuing theory.
21
votes
Accepted
Martingales in both discrete and continuous setting
One knows that $P(S_n,n)$ is a martingale if and only if $P(s+1,n+1)+P(s-1,n+1)=2P(s,n)$ and
that $Q(B_t,t)$ is a martingale if and only if $2\partial_tQ(x,t)+\partial^2_{xx}Q(x,t)=0$.
Assume that $P …
14
votes
Accepted
Calculating $E[X^2Y^2]$ given $E[X^2]$, $E[Y^2]$, $E[X]$, $E[Y]$, and that $X$, $Y$ are Gaus...
The result holds if, additionnally to the conditions of the post, one assumes that the vector $(X,Y)$ is Gaussian. Then, $Y=aX+\sqrt{1-a^2}Z$ with $a=\mathrm{cov}(X,Y)$ and $Z$ standard Gaussian such …
13
votes
Maximum of a set of sums of iid random variables
Let
$M_n(T)=\max\{S_1(T),\ldots,S_n(T)\}$
where the $S_j(T)$ are i.i.d. and distributed like $S(T)$. A partial answer to your question is that $E(M_n(T))/T\to\mu$ when $T\to+\infty$ as soon as the f …
13
votes
Analog of Chebyshev's inequality for higher moments
Tom is right: the proof of Chebyshev's inequality can be easily adapted to every nondecreasing nonnegative function. The proof of this generalization that I prefer has a principle worth remembering:
…
12
votes
Accepted
Looking for an appealing counterexample in probability
You are looking for random variables $X$ of median $m(X)$ such that
$$
E((X-E(X))^3)>0\quad\mbox{and}\quad E(X)< m(X).
$$
Assume there exists two nonnegative random variables $Y$ and $Z$ and an indep …
12
votes
Accepted
Skellam distribution: Deep connection between Poisson distributions and Bessel function?
A mathematical reason is as follows.
On the one hand, the Laurent series for the modified Bessel functions of the first kind $I_k$ can be deduced from the Laurent series for the Bessel functions of t …
11
votes
Accepted
Coin flipping and a recurrence relation
The exponential generating function of the sequence $(f(n))$ is
$$
\sum_{n\ge0}f(n)\frac{s^n}{n!}=\mathrm{e}^{s}\sum_{k\ge0}(1-\mathrm{e}^{-s/2^k}).
$$
Not sure that this formula helps to recover the …
10
votes
Accepted
Integral of the product of Normal density and cdf
The horror, the horror... :-)
Recall that $\Phi(x)=P[X\leqslant x]$ for every $x$, where the random variable $X$ is standard normal, and that, for every suitable function $u$,
$$
\int_{-\infty}^{+\in …
9
votes
Accepted
Random linear recurrence relations
If $(x_n)$ solves the recursion you are interested in, then the sequence $(y_n)$ of general term $y_n=x_n/\alpha^n$ is a random Fibonacci sequence such as in the Embree-Trefethen page you linked to.
8
votes
A simple problem in markov chains
Indeed, these formulas are standard. Their derivation in a slighly more general setting than yours is as follows.
For every $t\ge0$, let
$$
M_t=\displaystyle\exp\left(\int_0^tv(X_s)\mathrm{d}s\righ …
8
votes
Accepted
Inequality on probability distributions
The inequality holds for every $n\ge2$ (integer or not) and every probability distribution. Here is a proof. We begin with two easy facts.
Fact 1: For every $z\ge0$ and every $k\ge1$,
$$
zF(z)^k-\in …
8
votes
Accepted
Can you interpret this divergent integral?
The trouble (as was already explained to you) lies in the starting point $t=0$ of the integral in the exponential. Fortunately, W+W are only interested in steady solutions of equation (15) of their ar …
8
votes
Accepted
Correlation structure among the maximums of a Brownian motion
You ask for the correlation function, defined for every $0\le s\le t\le u\le v$ by the formula
$$
C(s,t;u,v)=E(Y_{s,t}Y_{u,v})-E(Y_{s,t})E(Y_{u,v}).
$$
One first computes $E(Y_{s,t})$. For every $t\ge …
7
votes
Accepted
method of moments and Laplace transform from Shepp and Lloyd
This is a general fact: assume that $X$ is a positive random variable and that, for a given nonnegative function $g$, $\displaystyle E(\mathrm{e}^{-y/X})=\int_y^{\infty}g(x)\mathrm{d}x$ for every posi …
7
votes
Sweep-segment bot: Will this random walk sweep the plane?
Call $[A_n,A_n+V_n]$ the segment at time $n$ assuming that $A_n$ is the end of the segment around which it rotates between times $n$ and $n+1$. Thus $A_n$ and $V_n$ are complex numbers, $A_0=1=V_0$, a …