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In probability and statistics, a probability distribution assigns a probability to each measurable subset of the possible outcomes of a random experiment, survey, or procedure of statistical inference.
0
votes
Accepted
Proving bound on expectation of likelihood ratio involving mixtures
I am now trying to show that $H(\mu) \leq 1$ for $|\mu| \geq c$. As $H$ is an even function, it is sufficient to show that $H(\mu) \leq 1$ for $\mu \geq c$.
This is not true. E.g., suppose that $c=1 …
1
vote
Accepted
Reconstruction of law of diffusion process from call option values
For any random variable $X$ with $E\max(X,0)<\infty$, you can determine the distribution of $X$ if you know the values of
$$g(c):=E\max(X,c)$$
for all real $c$.
Indeed, take any real $c$ and any real …
14
votes
Accepted
Expected survival time in Russian Roulette not monotone?
Let $S$ be the survival time. Then
$$P(S\ge s)=\binom{n-s}a\Big/\binom na$$
for $s=0,1,\dots$. So,
$$ES=-1+\sum_{s=0}^\infty P(S\ge s)=\frac{n+1}{a+1}-1.$$
So, $n=3$, $a=1$, $n^*=8$, $a^*=3$ will do.
…
3
votes
Accepted
Gaussian mixtures are dense in total variation?
$\newcommand\vpi\varphi\newcommand\de\delta\newcommand\ep\varepsilon\newcommand\R{\Bbb R}$Continuous compactly supported functions are dense in $L^1$. So, the problem reduces to the following:
Given …
1
vote
Accepted
$\log(K/\beta+1)$, $K\sim\operatorname{Poisson}(\lambda)$, is asymptotically normal as $\lam...
$\newcommand\la\lambda\newcommand\be\beta$Yes, this is true. Indeed, on the event $A_\la:=\{|K-\la|\le\la^{5/8}\}$,
$$Z=Z_\la:=\frac{\la+\be}{\sqrt\la}\,
\ln\Big(1+\frac{K-\la}{\la+\be}\Big) \\
=\fra …
7
votes
Which coupling of uniform random variables maximises the essential infimum of the sum?
Note that
$$I_n^*\le E(X_1+\cdots+X_n)=n/2.$$
This upper bound $n/2$ on $I_n^*$ is attained if $n=2m$ is even and $X_{2i}=1-X_{2i-1}$ for $i=1,\dots,m$.
So,
$$I_n^*=n/2$$
for even $n$.
It also follows …
3
votes
Accepted
Exchanging the integral and infimum on the space of couplings
$\newcommand\om\omega$This is of course not true in general (and almost never true).
Indeed, $I:=I_p$ is a continuous function, at least when $\mu$ and $\nu$ are compactly supported. Then the equality …
2
votes
How do you prove the triangle inequality property for a metric on Gaussians?
$\newcommand\si\sigma$This is not true. For instance, suppose that $\mu_1=\mu_2=\mu_3=0$ and
$(\si_1,\si_2,\si_3)=(1,2,6).$
Then $d(P, Q) + d(Q, R) - d(P, R)=-263/1764<0$.
1
vote
Accepted
Expressing a multivariate normal distribution as a mixture of uniform distributions?
$\newcommand\fm{f_{\max}}\newcommand\si\sigma\newcommand\Si\Sigma\newcommand\R{\Bbb R}$Let $f$ be the p.d.f. of the normal distribution $N(\mu,\si^2I_n)$ over $\R^n$, where $\si>0$ is a real number an …
5
votes
Accepted
Is Boltzmann entropy well-defined for arbitrary probability density function?
Counterexamples, with $d=1$:
$$f(x)=\frac{\ln2}{x\ln^2 x}\,1(0<x<1/2)$$
for all real $x$ -- for your statement 1;
$$f(x)=\frac{\ln2}{x\ln^2 x}\,1(x>2)$$
for all real $x$ -- for your statement 2.
3
votes
Ratio of Gaussian measure over Euclidean balls
We have
\begin{equation*}
F(x_0)=\infty \tag{1}\label{1}
\end{equation*}
for any nonzero $x_0$.
Indeed, by spherical symmetry, without loss of generality
\begin{equation*}
x_0=(2a,0,\dots,0)
\ …
2
votes
Accepted
Does stochastic boundedness imply stochastic domination by a constant multiple?
Not if $C>1$. (The case $C=1$ is trivial, and $C$ cannot be $<1$.)
Indeed, let $H(x):=P(Y\ge x)$ and $G(x):=\min(1,CH(x))$ for real $x$. Then $G(x)=P(X\ge x)$ for some random variable $X$ and all real …
2
votes
Accepted
Does stochastic domination of $X$ and $Y$ imply stochastic domination of $X \cdot Y$?
The answer is yes.
Indeed, for any real $t\ge0$,
\begin{equation*}
P(XY\ge t)\le P(X\ge\sqrt t)+P(Y\ge\sqrt t)
\le 2P(Z\ge\sqrt t)=:G(t); \tag{10}\label{10}
\end{equation*}
note that $G$ is a …
1
vote
How to prove: $\gamma^2=\frac{n-p}{(n-1)p}\tau^2\sim F_{p,n-p}$, where $\tau^2\sim T^2(p,n-1)$
First this fact was proved by Hoteling himself -- see formula (25). See also e.g. formula (28.40) in The Advanced Theory of Statistics, Volume 2, 1946 by Kendall.
4
votes
Approximating the probability that two Binomial variables are equal
Note that $X-Y=\sum_1^n X_i$, where the $X_i$'s are i.i.d. random variables with $P(X_i=1)=(1-p)p=P(X_i=-1)$ and $P(X_i=0)=1-2(1-p)p$.
So, assuming that $0<p<1$, by the local limit theorem -- see e.g. …