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7
votes
Accepted
Concentration inequalities for very rare events on a multiplicative scale
Let $n:=N$. Let us show that for all natural $n$ and all $p\in(0,1)$
$$P(A_n>\sqrt p)\le\frac{\sqrt p+p}{1+p},\tag{1}$$
so that $P(A_n>\sqrt p)\to0$ whenever $p\downarrow0$.
Consider first the case wh …
7
votes
Accepted
Endpoint of Brownian motion conditional on high maxima
$\newcommand{\ep}{\varepsilon}\newcommand{\vpi}{\varphi}\newcommand{\de}{\delta}$Yes, this is true:
By the reflection principle (see e.g. Proposition 2, for $M:=\max_{0\le t\le1}W_t$,
\begin{equation} …
6
votes
Accepted
Concentration Inequality for Bounding Lipschitz Empirical Lass
Your inequality is trivial and useless as written. On its left-hand side we have a probability which is $\le1$ and goes to $0$ as $t\to\infty$, whereas on the right-hand side we have an expression whi …
6
votes
Accepted
Large deviations: Growth of empirical average of iid non-negative random varialbes with infi...
Here it is more convenient to consider the order of magnitude of $S_n:=\sum_1^n X_i$, rather than that of $S_n/n$.
Take any real $c>0$. Let $x:=cn^{1/p}$, $Y_i:=X_i\,1(X_i<x)$, $T_n:=\sum_1^n Y_i$, $M …
4
votes
Accepted
Large deviations for discrete uniform distribution
The answer to your question is contained in the following local limit theorem for large deviations, due to V. Petrov, Theorem 6:
Suppose that $X,X_1,X_2,\dots$ are iid random variables such that …
3
votes
Accepted
Local central limit theorem far from the center
The asymptotics of the ratio
$$r_n(x,y):=\frac1{f_n(\sqrt nx)}f_{n-1}\left(\frac{nx + y}{\sqrt{n-1}}\right)
$$
will very much depend on the tail asymptotics of the density (say $f$) of $X$.
E.g., …
3
votes
Sample average L1 convergence speed
If (say) $s:=\sqrt{EX_1^2}<\infty$ then, by the central limit theorem, $Z_n:=S_n/n^{1/2}\to sZ\sim N(0,s^2)$ (as $n\to\infty$ in distribution). Also, $EZ_n^2=s^2<\infty$ and hence the sequence $(|Z_n| …
3
votes
Accepted
Probability of a deviation when Jensen’s inequality is almost tight
$\newcommand\ep\epsilon $Let $u:=\eta>0$, so that the probability in question is $P(\ln X>E\ln X+u)$. Note that this probability will not change if we replace there $X$ by $tX$ for any real $t>0$. So, …
3
votes
Accepted
Upper bound for $P(X \geq x)$, where $X \sim \operatorname{Pois}(\lambda)$
$\newcommand\Ga\Gamma\newcommand\Z{\mathbb Z}\DeclareMathOperator\Pois{Pois}$Let $t\mathrel{:=}\lambda$ and $k\mathrel{:=}x\in\Z\cap[0,t)$. Then for $X_t\sim \Pois(t)$ we have
$$P(X_t\ge k)=1-\frac{\G …
2
votes
Accepted
Anti-concentration inequalities: lower bound on realized second moment
Suppose e.g. that $X=X_1+\dots+X_n$, where the $X_i$' are independent zero-mean random vectors with $\|X_i\|\le1$ for all $i$. Then the Hoeffding--Azuma inequality (see e.g. Wikipedia) yields
$$P(\|X\ …
1
vote
Accepted
CDF of a log-concave discrete random variable
Indeed, if the probability mass function of an integer-valued random variable is log concave as a function on $\mathbb Z$, then the corresponding cdf is also log concave as a function on $\mathbb Z$.
…
1
vote
Fast Algorithms for sum of independent random variables
$\newcommand{\De}{\Delta}
\newcommand{\ep}{\epsilon}
\newcommand{\ga}{\gamma}
\newcommand{\Ga}{\Gamma}
\newcommand{\la}{\lambda}
\newcommand{\Si}{\Sigma}
\renewcommand{\th}{\theta}
\newcommand{\R}{\ma …
1
vote
Accepted
Tail condition (Varadhan's lemma)
Since $G$ is bounded and $\sigma W\ge0$, for all large enough real $M$ we have $A=\emptyset$, $\int_A\cdots=0$, and $\log\int_A\cdots=-\infty$, which yields what you wanted.
1
vote
Concentration of closed random walks
By the de Moivre–Laplace theorem,
\begin{equation}
P(S_n=k)=P(B_n=(n+k)/2)\sim\frac1{\sqrt{\pi n/2}}\,\exp\{-k^2/(2n)\},
\end{equation}
where $B_n$ is a random variable with the binomial distributio …
1
vote
Accepted
Large Deviations for Self-Normalized Sums
The conditions $x>EX/\sqrt{EX^2}$ and $EX\ge0$ imply $x>0$. So,
$t[bX_i -x(X_i^2+b^2)/2]$ is a quadratic polynomial in $X_i$ whose leading coefficient $-tx/2$ is less than $0$ (except for the trivial …