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Theory and applications of probability and stochastic processes: e.g. central limit theorems, large deviations, stochastic differential equations, models from statistical mechanics, queuing theory.
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How to check numerically iterated logarithm law ? (How to choose cutOff lim_n sup_{m: n<= m<...
The law of iterated logarithm asserts that if $x_1,x_2,\dots$ are i.i.d $\cal N(0,1)$ random variables and $S_n=x_1+x_2+\cdots+x_n$, then
$$\limsup_{n \to \infty} S_n/\sqrt {n \log \log n} = \sqrt 2, …
2
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1
answer
473
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Latent Dirichlet allocation - math words digest ?
Latent Dirichlet allocation - is quite a popular topic in data-mining.
Wikepedia mentions thousands citations in few years.
Question 0 Can one give some digest for a math minded person of the key i …
5
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2
answers
2k
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Probability of general Brownian (or non) bridge to be higher than given parameter?
Consider general Brownian bridge W(0)=0; W(T) = a. (Here "general" means: $W(T)\ne 0$).
What is the probability W(t) >= b, for all $ t \in [0, T] $ ?
Is there close simple formula in terms of a …
5
votes
1
answer
555
views
Casino does not win, while clients do lose ? Prob_loss(T) = 1 - .8/sqrt(T)?
Setup. Let casino generate a color: black or red with equal probability.
Let client try to guess the color. If guess is correct - he earns 1 coin from casino, if not - he gives one to casino. If he lo …
8
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answers
150
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Cohomology dimensions are well approximated by Gaussian for multiply-fibered manifolds ? (To...
Consider some manifold $M$ say compact smooth. Let $b_i$ be its Betti numbers (non-zero), i.e. its cohomology dimensions.
Assume $M$ can be subsequently fibered by many manifolds, i.e. there is $ M_ …
6
votes
2
answers
551
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Number of neigbour Voronoi cells for a random set of points on S^k or cube [-1, 1]^k?
Consider $S^k \subset R^{k+1} $. Sample $N$ points by say uniform distribution. (Example k=120, N=2^24, i.e. N>>k ).
Consider Voronoi cell around each point.
How many neighbours would a cell have …
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3
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535
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"Graphical models" and "gene finding and diagnosis of diseases" ?
Quote Wikipedia: Applications of graphical models include ... gene finding and diagnosis of diseases...
Unfortunately there is no comment what are these applications...
Can one comment on this ?
Bac …
3
votes
0
answers
108
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"Soft" Voronoi cells or statistical criterias
It is probably some basic statistics question, but...
Informally 1: How to choose "criteria", such that it will guarantee that error decision probability is less than "epsilon", and maximize probabi …
5
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3
answers
1k
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One can earn nothing on the Brownian motion, true ?
Consider any discrete time stochastic process $p(n)$ (price) with independent increments $\xi_k$ and $E(\xi_k)=0$. E.g. Brownian motion (i.e. $\xi_k = N(0,1)$).
Consider some "trading strategy" whic …
8
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3
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Explain seemingly non-random figures which arise from random Poisson points with normalization
Context Working with some biological datasets it was puzzling to see the patterns like Figure 2 (right) below. The first feeling was, that it corresponds to some biological effects like correlations b …
21
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2
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Uncertainty principle and Cramer-Rao bound - is there relation?
Just out of curiosity.
The two things sounds a little bit similar - 1) Uncertainty principle 2) Cramer-Rao bound.
Saying that we cannot measure something with certain accuracy.
However looking closer …
1
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2
answers
2k
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Stochastic process with Bessel function autocorrelation. (Rayleigh (Jakes) fading for radiow...
Have the following stochastic process $f(t)$ been studied in mathematics ?
It is stationary, Gaussian, $f(t)-$complex independent Gaussians $N(0,1)$.
The autocorrelation is given by the
zero-order Be …
7
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1
answer
413
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Can one divide algebraic manifolds ? Make sense: $Gr(2,n)/ Gr(2,n+m) = P^{n-1}/P^{n+m-1} P^{...
Let's start from a little bit far.
Basic probability theory - chain rule reads:
$$ P(AB) = P(A)P(B|A)$$
Example: consider n+m balls, where n - white balls, m - black balls,
consider A - first cho …
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1
answer
501
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Mathematical properties of financial prices
Prices of financial assets (stock-market prices or currency exchange rates) obviously resemble trajectories of stochastic processes.
What is known about their mathematical properties ?
I know the …
6
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190
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What are compact manifolds such that GROWTH (of spheres volumes) is well approximated by the...
Consider some compact Riemannian manifold $M$. Fix some point $p$.
Consider a "sub-sphere of radius $r$" - i.e. set of points on distance $r$ from $p$.
Consider growth function $g(r)$ to be volume of …