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A stochastic process is a collection of random variables usually indexed by a totally ordered set.
3
votes
1
answer
273
views
Stein's Equation for Gaussian Mixtures
In the paper "Spin glasses and Stein's method" (https://arxiv.org/pdf/0706.3500.pdf), Sourav Chatterjee established Stein's equation for mixtures of two Gaussian densities in $\mathbb{R}$, which takes …
3
votes
1
answer
182
views
Superlinear Convergence of a Markov Chain
Suppose that we have a Markov process $\{Z_t\}_{t=0}^\infty$, where $Z_t \geq 0$ for any $t$. Assume that, conditioning on $Z_t = z_t$, we have
$
\mathbb{E}\{Z_{t+1}|Z_t = z_t\} \leq \kappa z_t^2
$. …
1
vote
1
answer
981
views
Monotonicity, Convexity, and Smoothness of the KL-Divergence between Two Brownian Motions wi...
We consider the two distributions
$$
p_t = p_0 * N(0, tI),\quad q_t = q_0 * N(0, t I),
$$
where $*$ denotes the convolution between two densities, while $p_0$ and $q_0$ have the same mean and varianc …
6
votes
0
answers
182
views
Distribution of the stopping time of an autoregressive sequence
Consider $e_t$ being i.i.d. uniformly chosen from $\pm 1$. Let $\eta$ be a small positive constant. What is the distribution of $T$ such that $\eta^{0.5} (1+\eta)^T W_T$ first hits $\pm 1$, in which
$ …
5
votes
0
answers
479
views
Hierarchical Random Walk (also known as Hierarchical Hidden Markov Model)
Let us consider the following hierarchical (recursive) random walk model, which is also known as the hierarchical hidden Markov model in computer science (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hierarchical_hi …
4
votes
1
answer
174
views
Random Walk with "Forward Dependency"
Let $\{X_t\}_{t=-\infty}^{\infty}$ be a sequence of random variables. We are interested in a "random walk" (or more generally, a random field) that can be characterized by
$$
X_t ~|~ X_{t-k}, \ldots, …
3
votes
1
answer
337
views
Importance resampling with exponential weighting
Suppose that we have
$$
\frac{p(x)}{q(x)} \propto \exp(\tau f(x)),
$$
where we can sample from $q$ but not from $p$. Our goal is to generate a set of particles $\{x_i\}_{i=1}^n$ such that $n^{-1}\sum_ …