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A stochastic process is a collection of random variables usually indexed by a totally ordered set.

3 votes
1 answer
273 views

Stein's Equation for Gaussian Mixtures

In the paper "Spin glasses and Stein's method" (https://arxiv.org/pdf/0706.3500.pdf), Sourav Chatterjee established Stein's equation for mixtures of two Gaussian densities in $\mathbb{R}$, which takes …
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3 votes
1 answer
182 views

Superlinear Convergence of a Markov Chain

Suppose that we have a Markov process $\{Z_t\}_{t=0}^\infty$, where $Z_t \geq 0$ for any $t$. Assume that, conditioning on $Z_t = z_t$, we have $ \mathbb{E}\{Z_{t+1}|Z_t = z_t\} \leq \kappa z_t^2 $. …
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1 vote
1 answer
981 views

Monotonicity, Convexity, and Smoothness of the KL-Divergence between Two Brownian Motions wi...

We consider the two distributions $$ p_t = p_0 * N(0, tI),\quad q_t = q_0 * N(0, t I), $$ where $*$ denotes the convolution between two densities, while $p_0$ and $q_0$ have the same mean and varianc …
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6 votes
0 answers
182 views

Distribution of the stopping time of an autoregressive sequence

Consider $e_t$ being i.i.d. uniformly chosen from $\pm 1$. Let $\eta$ be a small positive constant. What is the distribution of $T$ such that $\eta^{0.5} (1+\eta)^T W_T$ first hits $\pm 1$, in which $ …
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5 votes
0 answers
479 views

Hierarchical Random Walk (also known as Hierarchical Hidden Markov Model)

Let us consider the following hierarchical (recursive) random walk model, which is also known as the hierarchical hidden Markov model in computer science (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hierarchical_hi …
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4 votes
1 answer
174 views

Random Walk with "Forward Dependency"

Let $\{X_t\}_{t=-\infty}^{\infty}$ be a sequence of random variables. We are interested in a "random walk" (or more generally, a random field) that can be characterized by $$ X_t ~|~ X_{t-k}, \ldots, …
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3 votes
1 answer
337 views

Importance resampling with exponential weighting

Suppose that we have $$ \frac{p(x)}{q(x)} \propto \exp(\tau f(x)), $$ where we can sample from $q$ but not from $p$. Our goal is to generate a set of particles $\{x_i\}_{i=1}^n$ such that $n^{-1}\sum_ …
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