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In probability and statistics, a probability distribution assigns a probability to each measurable subset of the possible outcomes of a random experiment, survey, or procedure of statistical inference.
1
vote
Probability of a given string being a substring of another string
Let $A_t$ be the event that $S_1$ is a substring of $S_2$, $S_2=pS_1q$, where the length of $p$ is $t$.
Then the probability of $\cup_t A_t$ can be found by inclusion-exclusion as
$$\sum P(A_t)-\sum P …
5
votes
What does the KL being symmetric tell us about the distributions?
We're looking at the equation $$-\sum_{x\in\mathcal{X}} P(x) \log\left(\frac{Q(x)}{P(x)}\right)
=
-\sum_{x\in\mathcal{X}} Q(x) \log\left(\frac{P(x)}{Q(x)}\right).
$$
In the Bernoulli case,
$$-p \log\ …
1
vote
Accepted
Finding a distribution satisfying uncountably many constraints. Any relevant references?
It seems that in general this is an almost arbitrarily hard problem.
Consider the simpler countably infinite case $X=\mathbb N$, $Y=\{0,1\}$.
Thus $H=\{x:h(x)=1\}$ is a "random set".
Fix $g:X\to\{0, …
1
vote
Accepted
algebraic tail of a random variable
It just means that
$$\mu\left(\{f: K_f>y\}\right)<\frac{\alpha}{y^\beta}$$
and
$$\mu\left(\{f: \rho(x_0,f(x_0))>y\}\right)<\frac{\alpha}{y^\beta}$$
2
votes
Samples paths are convex
How about if we let $f(t)=\int_0^t W_s^2ds$ where $W$ is a standard Wiener process, and $g(t)=\int_0^tf(s)ds$. Then $g''(t)=W_t^2\ge 0$ so $g$ is convex.
For general $C$ replace 0 by $\inf C$.
2
votes
Accepted
Where does the expected value in the restatement of the pseudoregret come from?
Since
$$E(X_{I_t}\mid I_t)=\mu_{I_t},$$
by iterated expectation
$$E(X_{I_t})=E(E(X_{I_t}\mid I_t)) = E(\mu_{I_t}),$$
from which we have the desired equality.
5
votes
uniquely determining a distribution using moments
Looks complicated in general, but here's a derivation that for $d=1$ and $k=2$, in the slightly further restricted case where $\phi(X)=aX^2+b$, three moments suffice.
Let $m_i=E(\phi(X)^k)$.
Recall $ …
3
votes
How to measure distribution of high-dimensional data
Here are some interesting theoretical notions of distance between two such distributions:
Wasserstein distance
Lévy–Prokhorov metric
Total variation distance of probability measures
3
votes
Given the joint probability distributions of $X$ and $Y$ for $Y = R\,X+C$, find the probabil...
It's not possible.
Let $X$ be constant equal to 1.
Let $B_1,B_2,B_3$ be independent Bernoullis.
Let $R_1=B_1+B_2$, $C_1=B_3$.
Let $R_2=B_1$, $C_2=B_2+B_3$.
Then $R_1X+C_1=R_2X+C_2$. So even if yo …
1
vote
Variance bound of a functional
This is not rigorous, but if one constant $a_1$ is small but the others $a_i$ are large, say $a_i\gg n$ for $i>1$ then it seems the $i>1$ terms are negligible and $c\approx X_i^2$, so $\mathrm{Var}(\h …
1
vote
Accepted
The distribution of the maximum of a series of extreme value type I random variable
For any $n$,
$$\Pr(Y\le n)=\Pr(X_i\le n\,(\forall i))=\prod_i\Pr(X_i\le n)=\lim_{i\to\infty}\Pr(X_1\le n)^i=0.$$
So $Y=\infty$ with probability 1.
1
vote
Accepted
Parameter estimation distribution for hypergeometric distribution
You can use maximum likelihood estimation:
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Maximum_likelihood_estimation
5
votes
Slight variation on law of the iterated logarithm
Does there exist $r$ such that with probability one,$$\limsup_{t \to \infty} {{M_t - m_t}\over{\sqrt{t \log \log t}}} = r?$$
Yes, such an $r$ does exist. First note that by the original LIL, with …
2
votes
Is the set of multiple points of the Brownian path $W[0, \infty)$ dense in the plane almost ...
Yes -- Dvoretsky, Erdos and Kakutani 1954
https://books.google.com/books?id=onG8BAAAQBAJ&pg=PA18&lpg=PA18&dq=multiple+points+of+the+Brownian+motion+dense&source=bl&ots=vxQ1n_EC4t&sig=wnDVnqRcN8F1WdCr …
5
votes
Number of intervals needed to cross, Brownian motion
Regarding question 1, the limiting probability of not crossing 0 during the time interval $[1,2^n]$ is
$$
\lim_{n \to \infty} \mathbb{P}\{K_n = 0\} = 0
$$
since Brownian motion is recurrent (in dimens …