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Theory and applications of probability and stochastic processes: e.g. central limit theorems, large deviations, stochastic differential equations, models from statistical mechanics, queuing theory.
26
votes
Derivative of a random variable
There is nothing mathematically wrong with your notation. However, I don't like it, because $Z'$ suggests that you are taking a derivative with respect to the background randomness. I would rather w …
23
votes
2
answers
7k
views
What is a Gaussian measure?
Let $X$ be a topological affine space. A Gaussian measure on $X$ is characterized by the property that its finite-dimensional projections are multivariate Gaussian distributions.
Is there a direct ch …
22
votes
3
answers
6k
views
What is quantum Brownian motion?
It seems that the current state of quantum Brownian motion is ill-defined. The best survey I can find is this one by László Erdös, but the closest the quantum Brownian motion comes to appearing is in …
18
votes
3
answers
2k
views
How do we express measurable spaces using type theory?
A measurable space $(X,\mathcal X)$ consists of a set $X$ equipped with a $\sigma$-algebra of subsets $\mathcal X$. I would like to write computer programs involving measurable spaces, but to the best …
18
votes
1
answer
1k
views
Applications of the Giry monad in probability and statistics
In another thread, I asked about the $M$ endofunctor on the category $\operatorname{Meas}$ of measurable spaces, which sends a space $X$ to its space of measures $M(X)$.
Will Sawin described the mon …
18
votes
3
answers
1k
views
Is there a natural measurable structure on the $\sigma$-algebra of a measurable space?
Let $(X, \Sigma)$ denote a measurable space. Is there a non-trivial $\sigma$-algebra $\Sigma^1$ of subsets of $\Sigma$ so that $(\Sigma, \Sigma^1)$ is also a measurable space?
Here is one natural …
17
votes
5
answers
3k
views
Conditional probabilities are measurable functions - when are they continuous?
Let $\Omega$ be a Banach space; for the sake of this post, we will take $\Omega = {\mathbb R}^2$, but I am more interested in the infinite dimensional setting. Take $\mathcal F$ to be the Borel $\sig …
17
votes
Analog of Chebyshev's inequality for higher moments
Thomas Bloom is right: the proof of the usual Chebyshev inequality can be easily adapted to the higher moment case. Rather than looking at the statement of the theorem and being satisfied with it, h …
15
votes
3
answers
2k
views
Disintegrations are measurable measures - when are they continuous?
This is a sequel to another question I have asked.
The notion of disintegration is a refinement of conditional probability to spaces which have more structure than abstract probability spaces; someti …
12
votes
Proof of Krylov-Bogoliubov theorem
In addition to the excellent answers above, I also suggest the nice survey Oxtoby, Ergodic Sets (Zbl 0046.11504, MR47262, DOI: 10.1090/S0002-9904-1952-09580-X).
Introduction. Ergodic sets were introd …
12
votes
3
answers
862
views
Measure theory in nuclear spaces
Much of the literature on measure theory in linear spaces focuses on the case of normed linear spaces (e.g., the outstanding book by Vakhania, or its sequel). However, nuclear linear spaces "as far fr …
12
votes
2
answers
3k
views
Does there exist an event independent of a given sigma-algebra?
The following question came up in a discussion with my advisor:
Let $(\Omega, \mathcal F, \mathbb P)$ be a non-trivial probability space, and suppose that $\mathcal G$ is a proper sub-$\sigma$-alg …
11
votes
What is the probability distribution function for the product of two correlated Gaussian ran...
Arkadiusz gives the answer in the case of two independent Gaussians. A simple technique to reduce the correlated case to the uncorrelated is to diagonalize the system. The intuition which I use is t …
11
votes
3
answers
5k
views
Strong law of large numbers for weakly dependent random variables
Let $X_i$ be a sequence of identically-distributed random variables with finite-range dependence (i.e. there exists $I$ such that if $|i-i'| \ge I$, then $X_i$ and $X_{i'}$ are independent), and a fin …
11
votes
1
answer
2k
views
Do Measurable Cardinals Exist? (assuming ZFC)
In Appendix B of his Uniform Central Limit Theorems (1999), Dudley writes:
It is consistent with the usual axioms of set theory (including the axiom f choice) that there are no measurable cardinals, …