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Theory and applications of probability and stochastic processes: e.g. central limit theorems, large deviations, stochastic differential equations, models from statistical mechanics, queuing theory.

10 votes
2 answers
2k views

Birkhoff Ergodic Theorem and Ergodic Decomposition Theorem for Continuous-Time Markov Processes

I have a couple of questions regarding ergodicity for Markov processes in continuous time. (In particular, the first question seems like it should be particularly basic, and yet I haven't managed to f …
Julian Newman's user avatar
10 votes
2 answers
551 views

Can Birkhoff's ergodic theorem for integrable functions easily be deduced from Birkhoff's er...

It seems to me that a considerably simpler proof [see below] of Birkhoff's ergodic theorem can be obtained for bounded observables than for more general $L^1$ observables. Therefore, I feel like it wo …
Julian Newman's user avatar
8 votes
3 answers
819 views

Do regular conditional distributions almost surely assign trivial measure to all members of ...

Let $(X,\Sigma)$ be a standard measurable space, let $\rho$ be a probability measure on $(X,\Sigma)$, and let $\mathcal{E}$ be a sub-$\sigma$-algebra of $\Sigma$. We will say that a stochastic kernel …
Julian Newman's user avatar
7 votes

Definition of random measures

By way of introduction: As expressed in some of the comments, I find the "locally compact" assumption possibly a bit too strong. A weaker assumption than having a locally compact second-countable Ha …
Julian Newman's user avatar
7 votes
1 answer
835 views

Does the strong Markov property imply the "really strong Markov" property?

Let $\mathbf{\Omega}=(\Omega,\mathcal{F},(\mathcal{F}_t)_{t \in [0,\infty)},\mathbb{P})$ be a filtered probability space satisfying the Usual Conditions. Let $P \colon [0,\infty) \times \mathbb{R} \t …
Julian Newman's user avatar
5 votes
1 answer
243 views

Is the topology of weak+Hausdorff convergence Polish?

Let $X$ be a compact metric space, $P_X$ the set of Borel probability measures on $X$, and $K_X$ the set of non-empty closed subsets of $X$. I will define the "topology of weak+Hausdorff convergence" …
Julian Newman's user avatar
4 votes
Accepted

Do regular conditional distributions almost surely assign trivial measure to all members of ...

I've found the answer - it's NO! The paper I found addressing the question is the following: http://projecteuclid.org/euclid.aop/1175287757 ("0-1 Laws for Regular Conditional Probabilities") A simple …
Julian Newman's user avatar
4 votes
1 answer
440 views

Sufficient conditions for a SDE to have a stationary probability measure

Apologies if this question is too basic for MathOverflow. For a smooth Wiener-driven SDE on a non-compact manifold $M$ taking the form $$ dX_t = b(X_t) dt + \sum_{i=1}^k \sigma_i(X_t) \ast dW_t^i $$ w …
Julian Newman's user avatar
4 votes

Sufficient conditions for a SDE to have a stationary probability measure

Thanks to Nawaf Bou-Rabee's comments, I can post a first answer. Specifically, Theorem 2.2.1 of [Cerrai '01] seems to state the following - although it is hard to say for certain that I have interpret …
Julian Newman's user avatar
3 votes
Accepted

Birkhoff Ergodic Theorem and Ergodic Decomposition Theorem for Continuous-Time Markov Processes

I have the answers to my two questions. (I've actually had them for a while; apologies for the delay in posting.) I will give them in reverse order: The answer to Q2 is yes; the structure of the proo …
Julian Newman's user avatar
3 votes
1 answer
281 views

Is it possible for a random nowhere dense closed set to have a positive probability of hitti...

Given a compact metrisable topological space $X$, we write $\mathcal{N}(X)$ for the set of non-empty closed nowhere dense subsets of $X$, which is a Polish space under the topology induced by the Haus …
Julian Newman's user avatar
3 votes
1 answer
122 views

Does a sequence of coin-tosses a.s. have a subsequence on which the remainder of the sequenc...

Let $(X_n)_{n \geq 0}$ be an i.i.d. sequence of $\{0,1\}$-valued random variables $X_n \sim \mathrm{Bernoulli}(\frac{1}{2})$, i.e. a sequence of independent tosses of a fair coin. Does there exist a …
Julian Newman's user avatar
3 votes
0 answers
108 views

Has there been any study of the "extreme convergence property" for martingales?

Let $(M_n)_{n \geq 1}$ be a uniformly bounded martingale over a probability space $(\Omega,\mathcal{F},\mathbb{P})$. Define the probability measure $\mu$ on $\mathbb{R}^\mathbb{N}$ to be the law of $( …
Julian Newman's user avatar
3 votes
2 answers
262 views

For a SDE with smooth transition densities, if every point is "path-accessible", is every po...

Suppose we have a $C^\infty$ manifold $M$ and $C^\infty$ vector fields $b,\sigma_1,\ldots,\sigma_k$ on $M$, and for convenience define the set of vector fields $$ \mathcal{S} = \{b,\sigma_1,-\sigma_1, …
Julian Newman's user avatar
2 votes
0 answers
244 views

Reference for Borel $\sigma$-algebra of topology of convergence in probability

I'm pretty sure I can prove the "Theorem" given further below (without very much difficulty), but it seems way too basic not to have been noticed before. So I'm wondering if there are any papers/text …
Julian Newman's user avatar

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