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This tag is used to refer to mathematical/probabilistic/statistical modeling questions, usually this tag is used to ask about questions that are related with the mathematical formalism of the model instead of the correctness of a specific model in practice.

5 votes
Accepted

Time of peak of an SIR epidemic

Seems like you fell in love with those equations and, especially, with the $I$ component of them:-). So let me try to show you how you can derive as many approximations as you want yourself, test them …
Hans-Peter Stricker's user avatar
2 votes

Approximated solutions of SEIR models

Is your function F(x) known for giving good fits in many contexts? How can these be characterized? This is too long for a comment but I'd like you to check if the fit is to your satisfaction before I …
fedja's user avatar
  • 61.9k
3 votes

Suggestions for reducing the transmission rate?

Response to Steven Landsburg: The main point Steven made was that M is at least as important as $A$. How to reduce M? (the interaction between public servants and ordinary people)? That, as Steven co …
fedja's user avatar
  • 61.9k
3 votes

Suggestions for reducing the transmission rate?

Here is another model from Gil Kalai last idea: We have the moving compressible fluid in which the particles can teleportate, diffuse, and organize the motion, while contamination can only diffuse. E …
fedja's user avatar
  • 61.9k
2 votes

Removing outliers from circular average data

An alternative approach is just to choose some real trigonometric polynomial $p(x)=\sum_{k=-m}^m c_ke^{ikx}$ that is like $ct^2$ near the origin and like $1$ far from it and to minimize $q(x)=\sum_j p …
fedja's user avatar
  • 61.9k
0 votes

Recovering a function from a set of approximations

This is a bit too long for a comment, so I post it as an "answer". Let us crunch your numbers a bit. Suppose you just have 100 bad agents and use the simple majority rule. Then, on an easy value, the …
fedja's user avatar
  • 61.9k