Questions tagged [epidemics-modeling]

The tag has no usage guidance.

Filter by
Sorted by
Tagged with
2
votes
0answers
46 views

SIR model constraint [closed]

During these past months, I've heard a lot about some pandemic modelling techniques, specially the so-called SIR model. Before I begin, I'd like to stress that my interest and question are just a ...
2
votes
1answer
172 views

Seeking a Lyapunov function for a SIR model with immunity loss

We add the immunity loss to the SIR model and obtain the following autonomous system. $$ \begin{align} s' &= -is+\alpha r \\ i' &= i s - \gamma i\\ r' &= \gamma i-\alpha r \end{align} \...
72
votes
4answers
6k views

Note rejected from arXiv: what to do next?

Short version: A note of mine was rejected by the arXiv moderation (something I didn't even know was possible) on account of being “unrefereeable”. The moderation process provides absolutely no ...
24
votes
1answer
792 views

Solving a delay-differential equation related to epidemiology

For some inexplicable reason, I have recently been interested in epidemiology. One of the classical and simplistic models in epidemiology is the SIR model given by the following system of first-order ...
2
votes
1answer
99 views

Densest safe disk packing

Inspired by current regulations regarding the minimal distance to be kept among people to prevent spreading of the COVID-19 virus and the maximal number of people in a group that is not subjected to ...
2
votes
1answer
170 views

How many persons pass your 1.5 meter neighbourhood during 1 week ? If the distribution is power law what is the exponent?

Consider a graph with vertices being people (in some region), and make an edge if one person pass another closer than say 1.5 meter during say one week. (Such a graph might be thought a kind of ...
5
votes
0answers
484 views

Coronavirus in NYC: What is happening in the near-term? [closed]

Although I am motivated to have some different questions answered (see below), I would like to build or use a model to predict the number of COVID-19 Cases in NYC in the near term (perhaps through the ...
12
votes
6answers
983 views

Suggestions for reducing the transmission rate?

What are suggestions for reducing the transmission rate of the current epidemics? In summary, my best one so far is (once we are down to the stay home rule) to discretize time, i.e., to introduce the ...
9
votes
4answers
1k views

Virus community spread mathematical modeling [closed]

What is the basic math behind the Virus community spread mathematical modeling,and how the time variable;(in these models),interacts with knowledge (data)?. I am not asking about how the virus is ...
13
votes
8answers
3k views

Relevant mathematics to the recent coronavirus outbreak

I would like to ask about (old* and new) reliable mathematical literature relevant to various mathematical aspects of the recent coronavirus outbreak: In particular, standard statistical/mathematical ...
5
votes
1answer
213 views

Epidemic threshold

Need some help / ideas to proceed. Stuck for a while on this. In the literature of epidemic theory, it is found that the epidemic threshold is $1/\lambda_{\max}(A)$ where $\lambda_{\max}(A)$ is the ...
6
votes
1answer
156 views

Relative vulnerabilities in SIS epidemic model

Consider the SIS model of epidemic spreading. There is a finite graph $G(V,E)$, link infection rates $\lambda_{ij}$ and node recovery rates $\mu_i$. There are a few initial nodes which are infected at ...