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What is the asymptotic of the irregular blue curve? Is it $(8x)^{1/2}$ or is it something else?

From Terry Tao's post here there is the statement: "Conversely, if one can somehow establish a bound of the form $$\displaystyle \sum_{n \leq x} \Lambda(n) = x + O( x^{1/2+\epsilon} ) \tag{1}$$ ...