Let $P \to M$ be a principal $G$-bundle, assume as much regularity as you want (compact $G$ or compact base manifold, ect). Via parallel transport, a connection $A$ on $P$ gives rise to the holonomy map $$ Hol_p: L_m M \to G $$ where $p \in P$ is a chosen reference point projecting on $m \in M$ and $L_mM$ denotes the loop group based at $m$ (i.e piecewise smooth, closed curves starting at $m$).
Question: What is the exact relationship between the curvature $F_A$ of $A$ and the derivative of $Hol_p$ at the constant loop (the infinitesimal holonomy).
In the abelian case, I can answer this question as follows: Let $\gamma_s$ be a family of loops which represent a tangential vector $X \in T_\gamma L_mM$, that is $\gamma_0 = \gamma$ and $\frac{d}{ds}{\big|_0} \gamma_s = X$. Then the derivative of $Hol_p$ in the direction of $X$ evaluates to $$ \frac{d}{ds}{\big|_0} Hol_p (\gamma_s) = \frac{d}{ds}{\big|_0} \exp (\int_{\gamma_s} A) = (\exp)'_0 \int_0^1 \frac{d}{ds}{\big|_0} A(\dot \gamma_s(t)) dt = \int_0^1 dA(\frac{d}{ds}{\big|_0} \gamma_s(t), \dot \gamma_0(t)) dt, $$ That is, in this case we get a close expression for the derivative of $Hol_p$ at an arbitary loop $\gamma$ in terms of the curvature $F_A = dA$. Furthermore, the Ambrose-Singer theorem follows from this expression.
I was hoping to get a similar result also for the non-abelian case.
Sidequestion: conjugacy classes of (topological) homomorphisms $h$ between the loop gorup and $G$ uniquely determine a equivalence class of principal bundles with curvature by a result of Kobayashi (1954). Which additional properties on $h$ have to be impsoed to characterize all (equivalence classes of) connections on a fixed principal bundle $P$.