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Theory and applications of probability and stochastic processes: e.g. central limit theorems, large deviations, stochastic differential equations, models from statistical mechanics, queuing theory.

4 votes

Minimum and maximum bound on mean of product of three pairwise uncorrelated random variables

I think one cannot find any useful bounds with these assumptions. For example, consider a positive r.v. $\xi$ such that $E\xi^2<\infty$, but $E\xi^3=\infty$. Then, let $\eta_1,\eta_2,\eta_3$ be i.i.d. …
Serguei Popov's user avatar
0 votes

Probability of at most $K$ consecutive zeroes in a sequence of 0s and 1s

If you are interested in the longest run of 0's in the i.i.d. setting, see this paper: http://gato-docs.its.txstate.edu%2Fmathworks%2FDistributionOfLongestRun.pdf&usg=AFQjCNE8shEgVJmaWNEVSYv5YNRIs08 …
Serguei Popov's user avatar
0 votes

Arcsine law for Brownian motion with drift

I don't know if there is a nice closed-form expression for this, but you can try to work it out writing $$ P[Z\leq y] = P[X_t\neq 0 \text{ for }x\in (y,1]] = \int_{-\infty}^{+\infty} f_{y}(v) P_v[X_t\ …
Serguei Popov's user avatar
2 votes
Accepted

Hitting time of a stochastically continuous process

This is not true. Consider some random sequence that converges to $0$ a.s., for example, $Y_n=(Z_1+\cdots+ Z_n)^{-1}$, where $Z$'s are i.i.d. (for instance) Exp(1) random variables. Set $$ X_t = \beg …
Serguei Popov's user avatar
1 vote
0 answers
125 views

Large deviations type results for sum of i.i.d. random functions

Assume that $f_1, f_2, f_3,\ldots$ are i.i.d. random functions $[0,1]\mapsto \mathbb{R}$ such that (1) random variables $M_k=\sup_{x\in[0,1]}f_k(x)$ have exponential tails, (2) $f$'s are a.s. Lipsch …
Serguei Popov's user avatar
2 votes
Accepted

Conditioned binomial dominates unconditioned with different parameter

This does not seem to be true. Take $p=2/3$ and $n=k=1000$. Then, you need that $$ \frac{(2/3)^{1000}}{1-(1/3)^{1000}} \geq (2/3)^{999}, $$ which is clearly false.
Serguei Popov's user avatar
3 votes
Accepted

Probability of covering a set

Let $Z(m)$ be the number of uncovered (= not chosen) sites after $m$ trials. First, we have $$\mathbb{E} Z(N^a(1+\epsilon)\ln N)=N\times(1-N^{-a})^{N^a(1+\epsilon)\ln N}\approx N^{-\epsilon},$$ so you …
Serguei Popov's user avatar
4 votes
Accepted

Dependent Bernoulli sequence for which the strong law fails to hold

Let $(S_n, n\geq 0)$ be the one-dimensional simple random walk started at the origin. Set $X_n=\mathbf{1}\{S_n\geq 0\}$. Then $n^{-1}(X_1+\cdots+ X_n)$ is the proportion of time that the SRW is non-ne …
Serguei Popov's user avatar
1 vote
0 answers
135 views

Capacity of two disks

Is there an explicit formula for the (logarithmic) capacity of a union of two disjoint disks? As far as I understand, one can assume without loss of generality that the disks have the same radii (othe …
Serguei Popov's user avatar
1 vote

Solution for 2 variable recurrence for a problem similar to gambler's ruin

See Example 8d of Section 4.8 of "A 1st course in Probability" by Sheldon Ross. Here it is: If independent trials, each resulting in a success with probability $p$, are performed, what is the probab …
Serguei Popov's user avatar
10 votes

"Surprising" examples of Markov chains

Let $S_n$ be the one-dimensional nearest neighbor random walk with $ 1-q=p=P[S_{n+1}=x+1\mid S_n=x]=1-P[S_{n+1}=x-1\mid S_n=x]$, where $p\neq q$. Then, there is a (rather surprising) fact that $Y_n=| …
Serguei Popov's user avatar
2 votes

How many steps do I have tto complete? Recursive sequence

You may find it useful to look here: http://www.artofproblemsolving.com/community/c7h398470 (in particular, the link in the 1st post, and also fedja's answer).
Serguei Popov's user avatar
0 votes
Accepted

Distribution of the cover time of a finite path?

It seems that formula (5.7) of Chapter XIV of the 1st volume of Feller may be used to obtain the full distribution of $C_n$ (as distribution of sum of two independent r.v.'s with explicit distribution …
Serguei Popov's user avatar
1 vote

Vanishing zeroes in matrix powers

There is an example in the book "Essentials of Stochastic processes" of Durrett, which shows that, in general, $m$ need not be equal to $2n-2$ (it is Example 4.5 of the chapter devoted to Markov chain …
Serguei Popov's user avatar
3 votes
Accepted

Edge-perspective degree distribution

Its meaning should be something like "degree distribution seen from a random edge". Indeed, let us first think of an unoriented edge as of two oriented (in opposite directions) ones. Assume that there …
Serguei Popov's user avatar

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