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Can we do better than Azuma-Hoeffding when the variance is small?
The Azuma-Hoeffding Inequality says that if $X_1,X_2, \ldots$ is a martingale and the differences are bounded by constants, $\|X_i - X_{i-1}\| \le 1$ say, then we should not expect the difference $\|...
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Adaptive version of the Azuma–Hoeffding inequality
The Azuma inequality states that if we have a martingale $X_1,\ldots,X_N$ that satisfies a bounded difference condition:
$$|X_k - X_{k-1}| \leq c_k$$
Then:
$$\Pr\left[X_N - X_0 \geq \sqrt{2\sum_kc_k^2 ...