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2 votes
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A complex problem involving densities (likelihood functions) and optimization

Consider the following autoregressive process with normal errors: \begin{equation}\label{7YlUV4i8nuO}\tag{I} y_t = \phi y_{t-1}+ u_t, \quad u_t \overset{iid}{\sim} N(0,\sigma^2) \end{equation} We ...
PSE's user avatar
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1 vote
0 answers
148 views

conjecture for general form of minimax estimator

I had previously posed an overly ambitious version of this conjecture here, Form of minimax estimator, which was quickly shot down by Václav Voráček (on twitter) and Iosif Pinelis (MO answer in the ...
Aryeh Kontorovich's user avatar
1 vote
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81 views

Calculating the mean squared error for an estimate of a large sum

Consider the set of all Boolean function $f: \{0, 1\}^{n} \rightarrow \{-1, 1\}$. Now, let's pick a function uniformly at random from this set. Let $F$ be the random variable corresponding to the ...
RandomMatrices's user avatar
1 vote
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A question about the prediction error

I am reading about the prediction error estimation and I found the following: Suppose we have ${\mathbf{Y}}=\mathbf{x}_0+ \epsilon$, where, $\epsilon$ is normally distributed as $\sim \mathcal{N}(0, \...
neda's user avatar
  • 11
0 votes
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31 views

What is the Fisher information matrix of the von Mises-Fisher distribution?

Assuming the von Mises-Fisher distribution as $$f_{p}(\mathbf{x}; \boldsymbol{\mu}, \kappa) = C_{p}(\kappa) \exp \left( {\kappa \boldsymbol{\mu}^\mathsf{T} \mathbf{x} } \right),$$ where $\kappa \ge 0$,...
Math_Y's user avatar
  • 287
-1 votes
1 answer
205 views

How to combine estimator with different variances?

Consider independent random variables $X_1,X_2,\ldots,$ that have the same expectation $\mathbb x=\mathbb E[X_1]=\mathbb E[X_2]=\ldots$ Further, assume that we know that $Var[X_i]=\sigma_i^2$. In the ...
M A's user avatar
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