Let $2 \leq m \leq n$ be integers and let $\mathbf{x} \in \mathbb{R}^n$ (importantly, I am not assuming that the entries of $\mathbf{x}$ are non-negative). The elementary symmetric polynomials are defined by $$ e_k(\mathbf{x}) := \sum_{1 \leq i_1 < \cdots < i_k \leq n} \left(\prod_{j=1}^k x_{i_j}\right). $$ for $1 \leq k \leq n$. Is the following conjecture true?
Conjecture: If $\max_j(x_j) \leq 1/(m-1)$, $e_1(\mathbf{x}) = 1$, and $e_k(\mathbf{x}) \geq 0$ for $1 \leq k \leq m$, then $e_k(\mathbf{x}) \geq \binom{m-1}{k} / (m-1)^k$ for $1 \leq k < m$.
Background/motivation: It is not too hard to show that if the hypotheses hold (i.e., if $\max_j(x_j) \leq 1/(m-1)$, $e_1(\mathbf{x}) = 1$, and $e_k(\mathbf{x}) \geq 0$ for $1 \leq k \leq m$) then in fact $e_k(\mathbf{x}) > 0$ for $1 \leq k < m$ (though it may be the case that $e_m(\mathbf{x}) = 0$). The conjecture's goal is to establish a precise bound on how small $e_k(\mathbf{x})$ can be.
Special cases that are known: It's trivially true that $e_k(\mathbf{x}) \geq \binom{m-1}{k} / (m-1)^k$ when $k = 1$, since the quantity on the right in this case is equal to $1$, and one of the hypotheses was that $e_1(\mathbf{x}) = 1$. So we just need to prove this bound for $1 < k < m$.
I can prove that the conjecture is true if the entries of $\mathbf{x}$ are all non-negative (so it's true when $m = n$). However, numerics suggest that it might be true even if $\mathbf{x}$ has negative entries (the hypothesis $e_k(\mathbf{x}) \geq 0$ for $1 \leq k \leq m$ allows entries of $\mathbf{x}$ to be slightly negative; just not "too" negative).
Finally, the conjecture (if true) is tight: for the vector $(1,\ldots,1,0,\ldots,0)/(m-1)$, where there are $m-1$ entries equal to $1/(m-1)$, all of the hypotheses are satisfied and we have $e_k(\mathbf{x}) = \binom{m-1}{k} / (m-1)^k$ for $1 \leq k < m$.