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A stochastic process is a collection of random variables usually indexed by a totally ordered set.
1
vote
exchangeable normal r.v.s
I will expand on this answer later if there is interest and when I have some references handy. But for now you may be interested in the following way of thinking about the problem.
One way to charac …
0
votes
1
answer
197
views
Law of large numbers for Harris recurrent Markov chains
I'm trying to familiarize myself with the details of the proof that the Markov chains produce by the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm have a law of large numbers. I've found a half dozen or more referenc …
1
vote
Accepted
Gibbs sampling step size
To expand a bit on Arthur B.'s comment that you can use samples even if they are dependent, consider this quote from Andrew Gelman and Kenneth Shirley:
The purpose of thinning (i.e. setting n
to som …
0
votes
Quantifying the effect of noise on the posterior variance in Gaussian processes / multivaria...
Consider the joint Gaussian distribution of $(Y, Z, f(x))$. Observe that knowing both $Y$ and $Z$ together is equivalent to knowing $f(\mathbf{x})$ (the noiseless version of $Y$). Then we can compute …
16
votes
James-Stein phenomenon: What does it mean that a James-Stein estimator beats least squares e...
This has always bothered me. "One should use the price of tea in China to obtain a better estimate of the chance of rain in Melbourne" is not a good characterization at all. One should use the price …