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Theory and applications of probability and stochastic processes: e.g. central limit theorems, large deviations, stochastic differential equations, models from statistical mechanics, queuing theory.
6
votes
0
answers
146
views
Running minimum of exponential random walks
Let $\{X_i\}$ be a collection of i.i.d. Exp$(1)$ random variables. For $k \in \mathbb{Z}_{>0}$, define
$$S_k = \sum_{i=1}^k X_i$$
and note that $\mathbb{E}[S_k] = k$.
I was wondering if there is any w …
5
votes
1
answer
584
views
Radon-Nikodym derivative and conditional probability
In this paper by Diaconis and Zabell from 1982, Theorem 2.1 and the remark after essentially stated that
Given two probability measures $P$ and $Q$ on the same probability space $\Omega$. If $Q\ll P$ …
2
votes
1
answer
421
views
Random walk always stays below a level $a$
Suppose we have a random walk $S_n$ with i.i.d. steps $X_i$. We assume that
$$\mathbb{E}[X_i] = -\mu, \text{Var}[X_i] = 1,$$
where $\mu$ is close (or going) to zero. We also assume that the moment gen …
3
votes
0
answers
78
views
super-critical percolation on $\mathbb{Z}^2$, number of corners in a directed open path
Define the planar percolation where each unit edge is open with probability $p$ very close to $1$.
Looking at the event where there exists a directed open path between $(0,0)$ and $(n,n)$. This event …
3
votes
1
answer
182
views
Bernoulli percolation, infinite path from (0,0) in a "cone"
Look at Bernoulli percolation on $\mathbb{Z}^2$ with $p> p_c$ ($p$ can be arbitrarily close to 1).
I am interested in the probability that there exists an infinite cluster starting at $(0,0)$ and it …
2
votes
1
answer
222
views
Maximum of sums of iid $X_i$'s where $X_i$ is the difference of two exponential r.v
Given $X_i = A_i - B_i$ where $A_i\sim \text{ Exp}(\alpha)$ and $B_i \sim \text{ Exp}(\lambda)$. Define $S_k = \sum_{i=1}^k X_i$ with $S_0 = 0$, and
$$M_n = \max_{1\leq k \leq n} S_k.$$
Is it possibl …
11
votes
1
answer
1k
views
Maximal inequality for the average of i.i.d. random variables
Let $Z_i$ be i.i.d. random variables with $\mathbb{E}[Z_i] = 0$ and $\mathbb{E}|Z_i|^p< \infty$ for $p=1,2,3,\cdots$. I am looking for the following type of estimate if possible, and it is not like th …